新华财经北京6月19日电根据2025年陆家嘴论坛披露的信息，中国人民银行与证监会研究推进人民币外 汇期货交易，这是2025年金融开放战略的重要举措。双方将围绕完善外汇市场产品序列展开合作，重点 探索以美元兑人民币为标的的期货合约，计划在上海中国金融期货交易所（CFFEX）试点上市。这一 动作旨在通过标准化衍生品工具，增强汇率风险管理能力，推动人民币汇率形成机制市场化改革。 人民币外汇期货的发展不仅与人民币国际化进程密切相关，也满足了企业在汇率风险管理方面的需求。 境内市场方面，上海期货交易所曾于2018年开展人民币外汇期货仿真交易，但境内一直尚未正式推出外 汇期货产品。一般投资者参与外汇期货买卖时，可通过芝商所（CME）等境外合规交易平台，且需遵 守国家外汇管理局关于个人购汇用于境外投资的相关规定。需注意的是，中国对跨境金融交易监管严 格，投资者需避免通过非法平台参与，以防资金安全风险，同时外汇期货属杠杆交易，需具备相应风险 承受能力。 期货市场的开放还将增强人民币资产的吸引力。截至2024年，境外机构持有境内人民币债券规模达4.8 万亿元，但汇率避险工具的不足制约了配置意愿。衍生品交易能吸引投机资金入场，扩 ...

在LSEG"与专家面对面"系列网络研讨会的最新一期中，深入剖析了实施全面合规计划的重要性，并为制定 更具主动性的风险管理策略提供了一系列最佳实践方面的见解。 以更少的资源做更多的事 如今，受监管实体正深陷一场"完美风暴"：法规不断演变，尽职调查工作量与成本急剧攀升，而资源却极为 有限。据LSEG的研究显示，90%的受访者表示，过去三年间，他们所处理的增强尽职调查（EDD）请求数 量呈上升态势。 这些不断攀升的工作量给预算和资源带来了巨大压力。与此同时，合规团队必须确保客户准入流程以及交易 决策过程快速、无缝且具备成本效益。 所有这些情况都凸显出"以更少资源达成更多成效"的迫切需求。借助恰当的数据与技术手段，您便能够驾驭 这一复杂多变的风险局面。 5项最佳实践见解 01 采用基于风险的方法 采用基于风险的方法至关重要，因为资源是有限的。即使是最大的组织也没有无限的资源，这意味着您应该 将可用的预算、时间和精力投入到潜在风险最高的领域。 筛查是识别潜在风险的重要初始环节。一旦怀疑或发现风险，便需要以增强尽职调查（EDD）的形式开展 更深入的尽职调查工作。 增强尽职调查（EDD）的力度应与怀疑的风险程度相匹配，并应 ...

6月18日，在2025年陆家嘴论坛上，中国人民银行行长潘功胜公布八项重要金融政策，其中明确提出将会同 证监会研究推进人民币外汇期货交易，推动完善外汇市场产品序列，便利金融机构和外贸企业更好管理汇 率风险，备受市场关注。 据券商中国记者了解，人民币外汇期货是学术界、企业界呼吁已久的人民币汇率风险管理工具。相较现有工具 体系，外汇期货能够承载更加多元化的交易主体，为境内外贸企业应对汇率风险带来了新的解决方案，尤其是 涉及外贸的中小企业期盼这一工具已久，同时也标志着我国外汇市场建设进入全新阶段。 中小企业汇率避险需求激增 南华期货宏观外汇创新分析师周骥表示，从深层次剖析，这一政策的出台绝非偶然，而是中国经济在全球地位 显著提升过程中，市场内生变革需求的必然结果。 随着中国 经济的快速发展 ，人民币国际化进程不断加速，跨境资本流动愈发频繁且深入，极大地提升了人民 币在国际间的兑换需求。与此同时，国际社会对人民币的关注度持续上升，人民币汇率的双向波动特征也愈发 明显。 "境内企业在这样的环境下，面临的汇率风险急剧增加，其避险需求呈现出指数级的增长态势。市场对多样 化、精准化的人民币汇率风险管理工具的需求也变得愈发迫切。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of RMB foreign exchange futures is a significant step towards enhancing currency risk management for domestic enterprises, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), amid increasing demand for diversified and precise risk management tools [1][2][3]. Group 1: Policy Announcement and Market Demand - On June 18, during the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, the Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, announced eight important financial policies, including the promotion of RMB foreign exchange futures trading [1]. - The demand for RMB foreign exchange futures has been long-awaited by the financial and business sectors as a tool for managing exchange rate risks [1]. - The increasing complexity of exchange rate risks faced by domestic enterprises has led to an exponential growth in their hedging needs [1][2]. Group 2: Current Hedging Tools and Limitations - In the first five months of 2025, 1,295 A-share listed companies in the real economy issued announcements related to hedging, a 12% increase from the same period in 2024, with exchange rate risk being the primary concern [2]. - Current domestic foreign exchange derivative tools are limited, and existing hedging products do not fully meet the diverse needs of enterprises [2]. - SMEs particularly require more flexible, cost-effective foreign exchange risk management products, which RMB foreign exchange futures can provide due to their standardized contracts and lower barriers to entry [2]. Group 3: Impact on RMB Internationalization and Financial Institutions - The launch of RMB foreign exchange futures is expected to support RMB internationalization and facilitate capital flow, while also providing a compliant investment channel to mitigate risks associated with illegal foreign exchange margin trading [3]. - According to BIS statistics, only 2.4% of global foreign exchange transactions involve RMB, highlighting the lack of hedging tools as a key constraint [3]. - The introduction of RMB foreign exchange futures can offer strategic opportunities for financial institutions to transform their business models and enhance their capabilities [3][4]. Group 4: Business Innovation and Risk Management - The introduction of foreign exchange futures will reshape the product matrix and service models of futures operating institutions, promoting diversification and specialization [4]. - By integrating futures with the real economy, futures institutions can provide precise exchange rate risk management solutions to enterprises [4]. - Financial institutions can utilize foreign exchange futures to optimize asset-liability management, reduce exchange rate risk exposure, and improve risk management efficiency [4].

南华期货碳酸锂企业风险管理日报 2025年6月18日 夏莹莹（投资咨询证书：Z0016569) 余维函 （期货从业证号：F03144703) 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 期货价格区间预测 | 品种 | 价格区间预测 | 当前波动率（20日滚动） | 当前波动率历史百分位（3年） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 碳酸锂主力合约 | 震荡区间59000-62000 | 20.1% | 20.8% | source： 南华研究,同花顺 碳酸锂企业风险管理策略建议 | 行为 导向 | 情景分析 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 | 推荐比例 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 库存 | 产品库存偏高，担心库存 | 为防止库存减值，可以根据库存情况，做空碳酸锂 期货来锁定成品利润 | LC2509 | 卖出 | 70% | | 管理 | 有减值风险 | 卖出看涨期权 | 场外/场内期权 | 卖出 | 30% | | | | 买入虚值看跌期权 | 场内/场外期权 | 买入 | | | 采购 管理 | 未来有采购计划， ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced eight policy measures aimed at enhancing Shanghai's status as a global financial center, focusing on the internationalization of the Renminbi and financial innovation [2]. Group 1: Policy Measures - Establishment of an interbank market trading report database [2] - Creation of a digital Renminbi international operation center [2] - Formation of a personal credit institution [2] - Launch of offshore trade finance service reform pilot in Shanghai's Lingang New Area [2] - Development of offshore bonds in the free trade zone [2] - Optimization of free trade account functions [2] - Innovation of structural monetary policy tools in Shanghai [2] - Collaboration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission to promote Renminbi foreign exchange futures trading [2][3] Group 2: Implications for Renminbi Internationalization - The introduction of Renminbi foreign exchange futures is a significant step towards the internationalization of the Renminbi, enhancing its global pricing power and reducing foreign market influence [3][5]. - The current lack of foreign exchange products in China's futures market highlights the need for this development, as other markets like Singapore and Hong Kong have already established active trading in Renminbi futures [3][5]. Group 3: Market Demand and Supply - Increased volatility in the Renminbi's exchange rate has heightened the demand for effective risk management tools, particularly among small and medium-sized enterprises [4]. - Existing tools for managing exchange rate risk are limited and often costly, making the introduction of standardized and transparent foreign exchange futures particularly beneficial [4]. Group 4: Benefits for Enterprises - Renminbi foreign exchange futures will help enterprises manage exchange rate risks by locking in costs and providing a comprehensive product chain for different risk preferences [5]. - The new tools will lower the barriers for small and medium-sized enterprises to participate in the foreign exchange derivatives market, which has previously favored larger companies [5]. Group 5: Future Considerations - The policy must balance marketization with risk prevention to avoid exacerbating exchange rate volatility through speculative trading [6]. - The introduction of these futures is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Chinese foreign trade enterprises and provide a more robust infrastructure for exchange rate risk management in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [6].

就今后人民币外汇期货推出在宏观层面上的影响，周骥认为其将远超单一金融产品创新范畴，甚至可以推进我国金融强国建设的关键制度突破。"作 为现代金融市场的核心基础设施，标准化场内衍生品的引入具有显著的'鲶鱼效应'，将显著提升我国外汇市场的国际竞争力。丰富且多元化的外汇市场产 品体系能够有效吸引更多的国际投资者参与我国外汇市场交易，从而增加市场的资金量和交易量，提高市场的活跃度和流动性，推动我国外汇市场在全球 市场格局中占据更有利地位。"周骥表示。 然而，对于人民币外汇期货这一新金融期货品种而言，在其制度建设、市场培育、基础设施和国际合作等方面，均需持续完善。而随着中国外汇期货 市场的逐步成熟，涵盖外贸企业、金融机构、期货经营机构的汇率风险管理生态圈也将加速构建。 （责任编辑：曹萌 ） 目前，我国基础汇率避险工具领域已与国际市场发展水平接轨，构建起了包含远期、掉期、货币互换及期权等产品的外汇衍生品市场体系，这在一定 程度上满足了大多数实体经济的汇率避险需求。而未来随着人民币外汇期货交易的落地，我国外汇市场建设将进入全新阶段。 南华期货宏观外汇创新分析师周骥表示，在全球经济格局持续演变，不确定性增加的情况下，基础汇率避 ...

6月18日，2025年陆家嘴论坛在上海召开，中国人民银行行长潘功胜在论坛开幕式上公布了八项重 要金融政策。 其中，明确提出将会同证监会研究推进人民币外汇期货交易，推动完善外汇市场产品 序列，便利金融机构和外贸企业更好管理汇率风险。 从全球外汇期货的发展历程来看，1972年5月16日，芝加哥商品交易所推出了全球首个金融期货产 品——外汇期货，这也是外汇期货首次问世。而经过50余年的发展，外汇期货目前已成为国际流行 的汇率对冲工具之一。但国内此前却迟迟没有推出这一金融期货品种。 而在当下时点，央行宣布研究推进人民币外汇期货交易，从侧面说明国内发布这一金融期货品种的时 机已经成熟。近年来，人民币国际化进程高歌猛进，跨境资本流动愈发频繁且深入，极大地提升了人 民币在国际间的兑换需求。 与此同时，国际社会对人民币的关注度持续上升，人民币汇率的双向波动特征也愈发明显。境内企业 在这样的环境下，面临的汇率风险急剧增加，其避险需求呈现出指数级的增长态势。市场对多样化、 精准化的人民币汇率风险管理工具的需求也变得愈发迫切。 目前，我国基础汇率避险工具领域已与国际市场发展水平接轨，构建起了包含远期、掉期、货币互换 及期权等产品的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that global investors are reallocating their funds, moving away from a focus on single asset classes, particularly in the U.S. market, which is undergoing adjustments in debt, equity, and commodities [1] - China's capital market needs to continuously enrich its product line and improve risk management tools to better accommodate global capital flows [1] - The lack of diverse asset classes and corresponding hedging tools may hinder the ability to meet international investors' allocation needs, impacting their investment willingness [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is actively preparing for the introduction of RMB government bond futures, which is seen as a crucial step in enhancing the market ecosystem [1] - This initiative is expected to further increase the attractiveness of China's capital market to global funds [1]

Group 1 - The number of A-share listed companies participating in hedging activities continues to grow, with a significant increase in announcements related to hedging in May 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - In May 2025, 50 A-share listed companies in the real economy issued 78 announcements regarding hedging, up from 26 companies in May 2024, indicating a strong demand for risk management tools [1] - Year-to-date, 1,295 A-share listed companies have issued hedging-related announcements, an increase of 142 companies or 12% compared to the same period in 2024, with exchange rate risk being the primary concern [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China announced eight major financial opening measures, including the promotion of RMB foreign exchange futures trading to enhance risk management for financial institutions and foreign trade enterprises [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission plans to accelerate the implementation of key measures for capital market opening by 2025, including expanding the range of products available for foreign investment [1] - The establishment of the RMB foreign exchange futures market is expected to deepen the onshore market and provide a new option for the People's Bank of China in foreign exchange market regulation [2] Group 3 - The introduction of foreign exchange futures is anticipated to diversify trading participants and better serve the risk management needs of the real economy [2] - The China Financial Futures Exchange currently offers various futures and options products in equity and interest rate derivatives, and the addition of foreign exchange futures will fill a gap in the market [2]