Group 1 - The main contract of the CSI 500 stock index futures (IC) has increased by 1.00%, currently reported at 6028.2 points [1] - The main contract of the CSI 1000 stock index futures (IM) has reached 6300 points, with a daily increase of 0.93% [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Although the US has restarted the tariff war, the market has become somewhat desensitized after previous fluctuations in trade relations. With the release of listed companies' semi - annual performance forecasts, the market is optimistic about their H1 earnings. A series of pro - growth policies are taking effect, and the market has strong expectations for positive Q2 economic data. The fundamental recovery supports the stock market, and with the approaching July Politburo meeting, market bulls may pre - position, driving the stock market up. It is recommended to buy on dips with a light position [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Disk - **Contract Prices**: IF main contract (2509) at 3972.0, up 15.0; IH main contract (2509) at 2740.4, up 13.4; IC main contract (2509) at 5854.2, up 24.2; IM main contract (2509) at 6231.6, up 11.8. IF sub - main contract (2507) at 3997.2, up 15.4; IH sub - main contract (2507) at 2745.4, up 14.0; IC sub - main contract (2507) at 5958.8, up 21.6; IM sub - main contract (2507) at 6375.2, up 10.2 [2]. - **Contract Spreads**: IF - IH current - month contract spread at 1251.8, up 4.6; IC - IF current - month contract spread at 1961.6, up 8.6; IM - IC current - month contract spread at 416.4, down 12.4; IC - IH current - month contract spread at 3213.4, up 13.2; IM - IF current - month contract spread at 2378.0, down 3.8; IM - IH current - month contract spread at 3629.8, up 0.8 [2]. - **Quarter - to - Month Spreads**: IF current - quarter to current - month at - 25.2, down 1.0; IF next - quarter to current - month at - 55.6, up 1.4; IH current - quarter to current - month at - 5.0, up 0.8; IH next - quarter to current - month at - 4, up 0.6; IC current - quarter to current - month at - 104.6, up 2.0; IC next - quarter to current - month at - 227.6, up 2.4; IM current - quarter to current - month at - 143.6, up 1.2; IM next - quarter to current - month at - 328.8, up 2.4 [2]. Futures Positions - IF top 20 net positions at - 29,557.00, down 216.0; IH top 20 net positions at - 14,304.00, up 275.0; IC top 20 net positions at - 10,512.00, down 601.0; IM top 20 net positions at - 36,476.00, up 278.0 [2]. Spot Prices - CSI 300 at 4010.02, up 18.6; SSE 50 at 2756.93, up 17.0; CSI 500 at 5983.05, up 29.6; CSI 1000 at 6406.57, up 16.1. IF main contract basis at - 38.0, up 0.6; IH main contract basis at - 16.5, down 0.6; IC main contract basis at - 128.9, up 1.2; IM main contract basis at - 175.0, up 1.5 [2]. Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume at 15,150.68 billion yuan, down 123.53 billion yuan; margin trading balance at 18,687.97 billion yuan, up 38.65 billion yuan; north - bound trading volume at 1818.91 billion yuan, up 142.25 billion yuan; reverse repurchase (maturity, operation) at - 572.0 billion yuan, up 900.0 billion yuan; main funds at - 449.96 billion yuan (yesterday) and - 192.38 billion yuan (today) [2]. - Rising stock ratio at 54.37%, up 20.10%; Shibor at 1.316%, up 0.003%; IO at - the - money call option closing price (2507) at 29.00, up 5.00; IO at - the - money call option implied volatility at 11.69%, down 0.23%; IO at - the - money put option closing price (2507) at 29.60, down 12.40; IO at - the - money put option implied volatility at 11.69%, down 0.23%; CSI 300 index 20 - day volatility at 9.25%, up 0.05%; trading volume PCR at 51.64%, down 1.13%; open interest PCR at 73.00%, up 1.18% [2]. Wind Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - All A - shares at 6.00, up 2.00; technical aspect at 5.40, up 2.00; capital aspect at 6.50, up 1.90 [2]. Industry News - Trump announced on social media that tariffs would start on August 1, 2025, and he plans to impose tariffs on specific industries like pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and metals, with a 50% tariff on copper and up to 200% on pharmaceuticals. He also mentioned a 10% tariff on each BRICS member country [2]. - US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the US delegation will meet with Chinese officials next month to discuss trade issues, with members including the Treasury Secretary and the US Trade Representative [2]. - China's June CPI rose 0.1% year - on - year (previous value down 0.1%), down 0.1% month - on - month (previous value down 0.2%); PPI fell 3.6% year - on - year (previous value down 3.3%), down 0.4% month - on - month (previous value down 0.4%) [2]. Key Events to Watch - St. Louis Fed President Sam Lem to speak on July 10 at 21:00; Fed Governor Waller to speak on July 11 at 1:15; China's June financial data release time is pending [3]

Group 1 - In June, China's manufacturing, non-manufacturing, and composite PMI rose to 49.7%, 50.5%, and 50.7% respectively, indicating a recovery in domestic market sentiment [1] - Domestic consumption policies have been strengthened, with the central government emphasizing the need to address low-price disorderly competition among enterprises, which is expected to boost domestic risk appetite in the short term [1] - Internationally, the US ISM manufacturing PMI increased to 49, and the ISM non-manufacturing index reached 50.8, both slightly above expectations, indicating a positive trend in the US economy [1] Group 2 - The market is currently focused on domestic incremental stimulus policies and trade negotiation progress, with macroeconomic conditions expected to improve in the short term [1] - The Federal Reserve has signaled a potential early interest rate cut, with the probability of a rate cut in September dropping to around 80% [1] - Short-term strategies suggest a cautious approach to A-shares, with a preference ranking of stock indices over government bonds and commodities [1] Group 3 - The bond market is experiencing reduced external risks and lower inflation expectations, leading to a strong short-term performance in bond prices [1] - Commodity markets are showing overall oscillation and rebound, with oil prices rebounding in the short term and non-ferrous metals continuing to show strength [1] - The strategy ranking for commodities is prioritized as precious metals, followed by non-ferrous, energy, and black metals [1]

股指期货午盘收盘 沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约涨0.38%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约涨0.49%，中证500股指期 货（IC）主力合约涨0.36%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约涨0.20%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock index futures market shows mixed performance with slight gains in some contracts and minor declines in others [1] Group 1: Stock Index Futures Performance - The main contract for the CSI 300 index futures (IF) increased by 0.13% [1] - The main contract for the SSE 50 index futures (IH) rose by 0.38% [1] - The main contract for the CSI 500 index futures (IC) decreased by 0.02% [1] - The main contract for the CSI 1000 index futures (IM) fell by 0.03% [1]

股指期货日度数据跟踪 2025-07-09 图 3：中证 1000 各板块对指数贡献的涨跌点数 -5 0 5 10 15 20 电子 电力设备 计算机 机械设备 通信 有色金属 基础化工 汽车 医药生物 传媒 建筑材料 国防军工 非银金融 环保 商贸零售 房地产 建筑装饰 交通运输 钢铁 食品饮料 石油石化 美容护理 农林牧渔 家用电器 纺织服饰 轻工制造 社会服务 煤炭 综合 公用事业 银行 数据来源：Wind，光期研究所 图 4：中证 500 各板块对指数贡献的涨跌点数 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 电子 电力设备 非银金融 计算机 基础化工 传媒 机械设备 有色金属 通信 国防军工 钢铁 社会服务 汽车 家用电器 医药生物 商贸零售 建筑材料 交通运输 房地产 食品饮料 石油石化 美容护理 环保 煤炭 轻工制造 建筑装饰 纺织服饰 农林牧渔 公用事业 银行 数据来源：Wind，光期研究所 一、指数走势 07 月 08 日，上证综指涨跌幅 0.7%，收于 3497.48 点，成交额 5675.07 亿元，深成指数涨跌幅 1.47%，收于 10588.39 点，成交额 8864.32 亿元。 中证 ...

Group 1 - The main contract of CSI 300 stock index futures (IF) increased by 0.18% [1] - The main contract of SSE 50 stock index futures (IH) rose by 0.14% [1] - The main contract of CSI 500 stock index futures (IC) decreased by 0.11% [1] - The main contract of CSI 1000 stock index futures (IM) slightly increased by 0.02% [1]

股指日报 股指期货日报 2025年7月8日 王梦颖（Z0015429）、廖臣悦 (F03120676) 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 放量上涨，市场情绪明显好转 市场回顾 今日股指集体收涨，以沪深300指数为例，收盘上涨0.84%。从资金面来看，两市成交额回升2452.97亿元。 期指均放量上涨。 重要资讯 1. 美国总统特朗普接连在社媒上公布其对多个国家发出的关税信函，截至目前，其已对14个国家发出最新的 关税税率威胁。此前，美国白宫表示，特朗普将签署行政令，把关税谈判截止日期推迟至8月1日。 股指日报期指市场观察 | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力日内涨跌幅（%） | 1.00 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 2.01 | | 成交量（万手） | 9.4888 | 4.6496 | 9.3001 | 21.7782 | | 成交量环比（万手） | 2.7418 | 1.3708 | 3.78 | 8.1468 | | 持仓量（万手） | 25.6893 | 8.8094 | 23.4225 | 34. ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the index trends, the influence of sector fluctuations on indices, the basis and annualized opening costs of stock - index futures, and the point differences and annualized costs of stock - index futures contract roll - overs on July 7th. It provides detailed data on various indices and futures contracts. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Index Trends - On July 7th, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.02% to close at 3473.13 points with a trading volume of 476.197 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.7% to close at 10435.51 points with a trading volume of 732.444 billion yuan [1]. - The CSI 1000 Index rose 0.24% with a trading volume of 264.835 billion yuan, opening at 6305.04, closing at 6327.14, with a daily high of 6333.51 and a low of 6303.86 [1]. - The CSI 500 Index fell 0.19% with a trading volume of 165.759 billion yuan, opening at 5901.4, closing at 5900.41, with a daily high of 5910.8 and a low of 5889.6 [1]. - The SSE 50 Index fell 0.33% with a trading volume of 56.66 billion yuan, opening at 2736.01, closing at 2731.53, with a daily high of 2736.26 and a low of 2723.96 [1]. Sector Fluctuations' Influence on Indices - The CSI 1000 rose 14.94 points compared to the previous closing price. Sectors such as utilities, computers, and basic chemicals significantly pulled the index up, while machinery, electronics, and biomedicine pulled it down [2]. - The CSI 500 rose - 11.03 points compared to the previous closing price. Sectors like utilities, non - bank finance, and real estate significantly pulled the index up, while machinery, electronics, and biomedicine pulled it down [2]. - The SSE 300 rose - 17.03 points compared to the previous closing price. The banking sector significantly pulled the index up, while biomedicine, power equipment, and electronics pulled it down [2]. - The SSE 50 rose - 8.91 points compared to the previous closing price. The banking and national defense and military industries significantly pulled the index up, while coal, non - ferrous metals, and food and beverages pulled it down [2]. Stock - Index Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs - For IM futures, IM00 had an average daily basis of - 53.6, IM01 of - 131.34, IM02 of - 209.83, and IM03 of - 393.64 [13]. - For IC futures, IC00 had an average daily basis of - 38.29, IC01 of - 95.74, IC02 of - 151.11, and IC03 of - 276.72 [13]. - For IF futures, IF00 had an average daily basis of - 19.74, IF01 of - 37.22, IF02 of - 47.52, and IF03 of - 84.05 [13]. - For IH futures, IH00 had an average daily basis of - 17.1, IH01 of - 22.69, IH02 of - 23.55, and IH03 of - 24.24 [13]. Stock - Index Futures Contract Roll - over Point Differences and Annualized Costs - For IM futures, detailed 15 - minute average data on point differences between different contract months (e.g., IM00 - 01, IM00 - 02) and their corresponding annualized costs are provided [23]. - For IC futures, 15 - minute average data on point differences between different contract months and their corresponding annualized costs are presented [25]. - For IF futures, 15 - minute average data on point differences between different contract months and their corresponding annualized costs are given [25]. - For IH futures, 15 - minute average data on point differences between different contract months and their corresponding annualized costs are shown [27].

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For the IH2509 variety, the short - term view is "oscillation", the medium - term view is "rise", and the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", with the core logic being that positive policy expectations provide strong support [1]. - For IF, IH, IC, and IM varieties, the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", the medium - term view is "rise", and the reference view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias". The core logic is that recent stock market trading volume has decreased, indicating weakened market chasing sentiment and slower upward momentum of stock indices. The main logic for the stock index rebound is the need for favorable policies to stabilize economic demand and market expectations, and the market is waiting for policy implementation from the Politburo meeting in July. In the short term, stock indices will mainly oscillate within a range [5]. 3. Summaries Based on Related Catalogs 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the IH2509 variety, short - term: oscillation; medium - term: rise; intraday: oscillation with a slight upward bias; view reference: oscillation with a slight upward bias; core logic: policy - end positive expectations provide strong support [1]. 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - Varieties: IF, IH, IC, IM. Intraday view: oscillation with a slight upward bias; medium - term view: rise; reference view: oscillation with a slight upward bias. Yesterday, each stock index oscillated narrowly. The total stock market trading volume was 1227 billion yuan, a decrease of 227.4 billion yuan from the previous day. The recent decline in trading volume reflects weakened market chasing sentiment and slower upward momentum of stock indices. The main logic for the stock index rebound is the need for favorable policies to stabilize economic demand and market expectations, and the market is waiting for policy implementation from the Politburo meeting in July. In the short term, stock indices will mainly oscillate within a range [5].