一、行情回顾 市场全天震荡调整，深成指、创业板指均跌超1%。大消费板块逆势爆发，阳光乳业、东百集团等十余股涨停。商业航天概念继续活跃，雷科防务、通宇通 讯等多股涨停。保险板块走强，中国平安涨近5%，股价创4年多新高。下跌方面，算力硬件股走弱，长飞光纤、跃岭股份跌停。个股跌多涨少，沪深京三市 约3000股飘绿，今日成交1.79万亿。 二、当日热点 1.航天 航天板块今日继续强势，再升科技6连板，雷科防务反包、航天机电2连板，通宇通讯、乐凯胶片等涨停。 据中新网报道，上海交通大学12日与国星宇航举行签约仪式，共同建设国内首个太空计算联合实验室。 据介绍，该实验室将围绕天基算力网需求。此次合作推动形成具有全球影响力的太空计算产业集群。 资料显示，国星宇航成立于2018年，致力于构建服务人工智能的太空算力基础设施，提供相关技术产品和服务，2024年11月牵头发起"星算"计划，旨在建成 由2800颗计算卫星组成的超级太空计算中心。 中邮证券表示，在算力中心面临能源桎梏与散热困境背景下，太空算力在能源、散热等方面皆具有优势，是解决AI时代下相关痛点的优选之一。 此外，国金证券认为，从时间角度看，中国正处于类似SpaceX ...

格隆汇12月15日丨格灵深瞳(688207.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司的业务暂未直接涉及到太空算力 领域。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，浙商证券发布研报称，在近地轨道部署数据中心已成为各科技公司未来计算战略布 局中一个颇具潜力的新选项。我国低轨星座即将进入发射高峰期。民营火箭企业即将试射的新型号如朱 雀-3、天龙-3等运力成本有望下探至2万元/kg，已经接近SpaceX的猎鹰9号的成本，随着运力成本的下 降，更多星座企业能够负担发射成本，从而释放潜在需求。火箭行业当前处于供不应求的产能扩充期， 看好高价值量+高壁垒标的。 浙商证券主要观点如下： 卫星互联网：卫星通信军民两用，太空算力打开空间 卫星互联网是通过一定数量的卫星形成规模组网，实现覆盖全球，完成地面和空中终端提供宽带互联网 接入等通信服务的新型网络。可为军队构建更强大的通信网络体系，并扩展地面用户网络系统的服务范 围。 太空算力有望解决当前数据中心散热和供电瓶颈。地球电力供给限制数据中心的扩张，太空数据中心可 全天候使用高强度太阳能，不受大气影响，发电效率为地面的5倍。同时太空数据中心不需要水进行冷 却。因此，在近地轨道部署数据中心已成为各科技公司未来计算战略布局中一个颇具潜力的新选项。 低轨星座建设进度不及预期，火箭发射需求进入快速增长期 中国低轨星座规划和需求 ...

人民财讯12月15日电，长城基金认为，军工行业部分细分主题表现活跃，看好商业航天赛道布局机会， 主要集中在两大方向：一是可控核聚变，近期相关项目招标进入密集落地阶段，多项核心系统采购结果 陆续公布，标志着工程化进程加快，为产业链上下游企业带来明确业务增量，有助于提升行业发展能见 度。二是商业航天，国际层面科技企业积极布局太空算力，国内星座建设与发射节奏加快，首个太空计 算星座已于近期组网，同时政策层面持续释放支持信号。 ...

Group 1 - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by government policy support and technological advancements, with companies like Zhongchao Holdings and Hualing Cable seeing substantial stock price increases [1] - SpaceX, under Elon Musk, has confirmed plans for a potential IPO in 2026, aiming for an $800 billion valuation through internal share sales [1] - CITIC Securities highlights that the commercial aerospace industry is entering a new era, with key areas including remote sensing, satellite control systems, and space computing [1][2] Group 2 - The Chinese government has set ambitious goals for building a strong aerospace nation, emphasizing the encouragement of commercial aerospace development during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The establishment of the Commercial Aerospace Department by the National Space Administration in 2025 aims to enhance the industry's scale, efficiency, and safety by 2027 [2] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to evolve from infrastructure development to regulatory frameworks and exploration of frontier fields in the upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan [2] Group 3 - The remote sensing industry is a primary focus within commercial aerospace due to its broad application scenarios and tangible economic value [3] - The demand for satellite intelligent flight control technology is anticipated to rise significantly, driven by the increasing complexity of low Earth orbit satellite constellations [3] - CAE technology plays a crucial role throughout the lifecycle of satellites, rockets, and probes, particularly in design and testing phases [3] Group 4 - Space computing is emerging as a new application area, complementing ground-based computing capabilities and addressing challenges related to energy consumption and resource allocation [4] - Elon Musk's vision includes the establishment of 100GW space AI data centers, which he believes represent the most cost-effective path for large-scale AI operations [4] - Google's Project Suncatcher aims to deploy satellites equipped with TPUs for in-orbit experiments, highlighting the potential of space-based computing solutions [4]

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to enter a new era driven by national policy support and technological breakthroughs, with a focus on various segments including remote sensing, satellite control systems, and space computing capabilities [1] Group 1: Industry Development - The goal of building a strong aerospace nation accelerates the development of the commercial aerospace industry, with China emphasizing the creation of a globally covered, efficient communication, navigation, and remote sensing infrastructure during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] - The Chinese government is expected to evolve its policy support for commercial aerospace from infrastructure construction and market cultivation to rule-making and guiding exploration in frontier fields by the 15th Five-Year Plan [1] - The establishment of the Commercial Aerospace Department by the National Space Administration in November 2025 aims to enhance the scale, ecological collaboration, and safety regulation of the commercial aerospace industry by 2027 [1] Group 2: Information Technology in Aerospace - The remote sensing industry is a major area of development within commercial aerospace due to its wide application scenarios and direct economic value [2] - The demand for satellite intelligent flight control technology is expected to increase significantly as low-orbit satellite constellations become more densely deployed, ensuring the safe and efficient operation of the industry [2] - CAE technology plays a crucial role throughout the lifecycle of satellites, rockets, and probes, particularly in the design and testing phases [2] Group 3: New Application Scenarios - Space computing is anticipated to become a new application scenario, complementing ground computing, with Elon Musk proposing a 100 GW space AI data center as a cost-effective solution for large-scale AI operations [3] - Google's Project Suncatcher aims to launch satellites equipped with TPUs for on-orbit experiments, addressing challenges related to power consumption, land resources, and cooling in large-scale ground computing centers [3]

商业航天还有哪些投资机会？20251214 摘要 2025 年商业航天行情由商业火箭拐点和太空算力双重驱动，新型号火 箭验证及可回收技术取得进展，太空算力将地面数字基建搬到太空，提 升行业天花板。 未来商业航天板块催化剂包括长征十二号甲发射后的海南文昌大会、 SpaceX V3 版本星舰发射、长征十二号乙首飞、长十发射及蓝箭朱雀 3 遥二、天兵天龙 3 首飞等事件。 重点推荐顺浩股份，其参股公司轨道晨光在北京巨型算力星座中占据重 要位置，具备明确商业价值。同时关注航天动力等国家队火箭项目相关 标的，电科系三巨头及上海三巨头。 结构件和注箱方面，超捷和广联的产品在单颗火箭配套上价值量较大； 高华科技专注于传感器，客户覆盖范围广，具有明显优势。 地面侧相关公司中，通宇通讯的 Micro WiFi 产品已与 SpaceX 进行技 术对接，震有科技是星网建地面信关站的合作伙伴，长江通信深度绑定 G60 项目，值得重点关注。 Q&A 近期商业航天板块的整体观点是什么？与之前的行情有何不同？ 2024 年由于产业进度低于预期，商业航天板块没有出现大规模行情。相比之 下，2023 年是卫星互联网的高峰期，主要依托于星网和 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [5] Core Insights - The commercial aerospace and satellite internet industries are accelerating due to a resonance of technology and policy, marking a significant turning point for satellite internet as a crucial component of integrated space-ground networking infrastructure [1][12] - The satellite internet technology is characterized by its wide coverage, low latency for intercontinental communication, and low ground construction costs, addressing connectivity needs in remote areas and emergency scenarios [1][12] - The demand for space computing is emerging, driven by the exponential growth of AI model requirements, with major tech companies focusing on deploying data centers in space [2][13] Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform the Market - A," indicating a projected investment return that exceeds the performance of the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [5][27] Industry Performance - The report notes that the computer sector has underperformed relative to the CSI 300 index, with a 1-month relative return of -1.9% and a 3-month relative return of -7.6% [7][15] Key Industry Developments - The establishment of a dedicated regulatory body for commercial aerospace by the National Space Administration of China signifies a commitment to high-quality development in the sector [1][12] - SpaceX's Starlink project aims to deploy a constellation of approximately 42,000 satellites, enhancing military communication and reconnaissance capabilities [2][13] - The report highlights the increasing urgency for technological iteration and industrial acceleration in satellite internet and reusable rocket development in China [2][13] Beneficiaries and Recommendations - Companies involved in satellite control, space asset management, and testing services are expected to benefit from the growth in satellite numbers, with specific recommendations for firms like Xingtu Control and Shengbang Security [3][14] - The report suggests monitoring satellite payload and integrated service companies, including Zhongke Xingtou and Shanghai Hantong, as potential investment opportunities [3][14]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations influenced by significant macroeconomic events, including inflation and foreign trade data releases, as well as the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. The Shanghai Composite Index has fallen below 3900 points this week [1]. Semiconductor Industry - Intel is testing chip manufacturing tools from a well-connected equipment manufacturer, which may be used for its advanced chip manufacturing process expected to begin production in 2027 [1]. - The semiconductor sector saw a sudden rise on Friday, although the reasons for this increase remain unclear [1]. Financial Data - In November, China's social financing increased by 24,885 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1,597 billion yuan, marking a return to positive growth after three months of decline [6]. - New RMB loans amounted to 3,900 billion yuan in November, a year-on-year decrease of 1,900 billion yuan, with a notable drop in household loans [7]. Market Trends - The technology sector is expected to see a rebound as geopolitical risks ease and policy expectations improve, with a focus on AI and semiconductor industries [6]. - The stock market is currently in a cautious phase, with significant net selling observed in sectors such as computing, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals [32]. Investment Opportunities - The upcoming economic policies and data releases are anticipated to create investment opportunities, particularly in technology and cyclical sectors [6]. - The semiconductor and AI sectors are highlighted as areas of potential growth, with specific attention to the TPU industry chain and related technologies [6]. Industry Insights - The photovoltaic equipment sector is expected to see advancements with the emergence of new technologies, such as silicon-based and perovskite solar cells [11]. - The commercial aerospace sector is preparing for significant IPOs, with SpaceX planning to raise over $30 billion [12]. Consumer Sector - The Chinese government is implementing measures to boost consumer spending, including adjustments to personal consumption loan policies [16]. - Guizhou Moutai is expected to introduce a volume control policy, impacting the production and pricing of its products [16].

（文章来源：证券日报） "上述投资事项对公司现有业务无协同性，对公司2025年经营业绩影响较小，相关产业发展仍处早期， 未来收益存在较大不确定性。公司郑重提示广大投资者注意股票市场交易风险，审慎决策，理性投 资。"顺灏股份在公告中表示。 公开资料显示，顺灏股份业务涉及特种防伪环保纸、印刷品、新型烟草、工业大麻四大产业。子公司广 泛分布于上海、香港、深圳、广东、福建、湖北、云南、安徽、海南等国内重要地区，并延伸布局至美 国、日本、柬埔寨，业务范围遍及全球。2025年前三季度，顺灏股份实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 6731.90万元，同比增长20.29%。 2025年6月份，顺灏股份以1.1亿元投资轨道辰光，持股比例为19.30%。轨道辰光的主要业务是通过将算 力卫星发射至晨昏轨道，组建太空数据中心，为客户提供算力服务，其经营范围包括卫星技术综合应用 系统集成、卫星导航服务、卫星移动通信终端制造、卫星移动通信终端销售等。 近期，随着商业航天被纳入国家航天发展总体布局，作为AI与航天交叉融合的前沿领域，太空算力正 成为市场关注的焦点。深圳华道研究咨询有限公司合伙人王志球对《证券日报》记者表示，当前，算力 正加速渗 ...