大家早上好！这里是今天的早报，每天早上，我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 昨夜今晨 【丽江公开发函喊话小红书审核避雷贴】 据现代快报，12月23日下午，云南丽江市古城区文化和旅游局公开发布《关于请小红书平台强化丽江市婚拍领 域信息审核监管和监测的函》，称小红书在履行平台信息监测及管理方面的主体责任和审核义务不到位，导致 大量消费者为达到其超合理诉求，在企业无过错责任情况下利用平台发布不实"避雷贴"、"曝光贴"等内容，威 胁企业退钱退款的情况，企业针对此类不实内容申诉难，造成大量企业商誉受到诋毁，退单退订大面积发生。 据丽江市古城区旅拍行业协会调查摸排，截止到12月，因不实"避雷贴"企业退订100余万元，间接损失超500万 元。 当晚 9 点， @ 现代快报 记者联系上丽江市古城区文化和旅游局副局长朱镇罡，他表示已和小红书取得联系并 递交相关材料，事情已在处理阶段。 【东方雨虹：美国子公司疑遭电信诈骗，涉案金额约1211万元】 据界面新闻，东方雨虹12月23日公告，公司近日获悉，公司下属美国全资子公司OYH Construction Materials LLC（简称"OYH建材公司"）疑遭电信诈骗 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese government under Prime Minister Sanna Takashi emphasizes "responsible active fiscal policy" aimed at balancing current and future responsibilities, ensuring fiscal sustainability while addressing immediate economic challenges [2][4][5]. Fiscal and Economic Policy - The government aims to balance strong economic growth with sustainable fiscal practices, controlling government debt growth within the limits of economic growth rates to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio [4]. - The economic measures and supplementary budget for 2025 are designed to address rising living costs while ensuring a secure and robust economy through "crisis management investment" and growth investments [5][6]. - The government plans to keep the issuance of new government bonds lower than the previous year, reflecting a commitment to fiscal sustainability [5]. Budget and Debt Management - The Prime Minister indicated a willingness to adjust the primary balance surplus target based on the need for fiscal sustainability and market confidence, suggesting a shift towards multi-year assessments rather than annual targets [6]. - The upcoming budget for 2026 is being prepared with a focus on prioritizing essential expenditures and minimizing reliance on supplementary budgets [7][8]. Tax and Social Security Reform - The government is considering options for consumption tax reductions, particularly for food services, but recognizes the challenges in implementing such measures quickly [9]. - A "National Conference" is proposed to address social security reforms, aiming for a sustainable system that balances benefits and burdens across different demographics [10][12]. Economic Growth Strategy - "Crisis management investment" is identified as a core component of the growth strategy, focusing on enhancing food and energy self-sufficiency, healthcare stability, and advancing AI technology [16][17]. - The government aims to leverage Japan's manufacturing strengths to develop competitive AI technologies, particularly in robotics and autonomous systems [17].

Core Viewpoint - The European aerospace and defense sector is identified as a significant investment opportunity, particularly in the context of geopolitical shifts and increased defense spending by NATO countries [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The launch of the EUAD ETF was based on the expectation that European defense companies would benefit from increased domestic spending by countries like France, England, and Germany [2]. - The focus on "Defense 3.0" highlights the importance of missiles, drones, and space technologies, which are seen as critical areas where the U.S. must not fall behind China [3][4]. - Companies like Palantir are viewed as central to the future of defense, with the potential to lead in areas such as AI and space technology [7][10]. Group 2: Company Analysis - Palantir's stock has increased over 150% this year, raising questions about its valuation; however, it is compared to Tesla in terms of future potential rather than current valuation metrics [5][6]. - Traditional defense companies like Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman are still considered valuable, but there is a call to diversify portfolios with innovative companies that may offer higher growth potential [9]. - The future success of Palantir is contingent on its ability to maintain its central role in defense initiatives, particularly with partnerships like Space Command [10][11].

Core Insights - Despite fluctuations in 2025, technology stocks are performing strongly, driven by AI investments, with profit growth rates in technology and communication services approximately four times that of other sectors in the S&P 500 [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The demand for data center chips, including both the latest and previous generations of GPUs, is fully utilized, contrasting with the overbuilding seen during the internet bubble [1] - Chip manufacturers are facing severe shortages, limiting growth despite record production levels [1] Group 2: Valuation and Financial Risk - The estimated peak price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the MSCI World Technology Index in 2025 is 31 times, which is only half of the P/E ratio before the internet bubble burst in March 2000 [1] - Most capital expenditures until 2026 will be funded by the operating cash flow of technology giants, with projected operating cash flow for the top five capital expenditure companies reaching $700 billion by 2026 [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Technology stocks are expected to outperform the market in 2026 due to three supporting factors: the evolution of AI focusing on value creation, advancements in various innovative fields, and strong profit growth reducing reliance on P/E expansion [2]

Core Insights - The emergence of "Physical AI" is being driven by major tech companies, with significant advancements in AI capabilities that allow for interaction with the real world [1][3] - NVIDIA's founder Jensen Huang has been a prominent advocate for Physical AI, predicting it to be a major wave in AI development, with potential worth trillions of dollars [3][4] Industry Developments - 51WORLD is set to launch an IPO on December 30, aiming to become the first Physical AI stock globally, with plans to raise approximately HKD 731 million, potentially up to HKD 841 million with over-allotment options [4] - The company has developed a "Clone Earth" plan, creating a virtual environment that accurately replicates physical laws, which is essential for training Physical AI [6][7] Key Components of Physical AI - Three core elements are essential for successful Physical AI: spatial intelligence models, data fuel, and training platforms [5][6] - Spatial intelligence models act as the "brain" for robots, enabling them to understand and predict their environment [5] - High-fidelity virtual simulation platforms provide the necessary data for training Physical AI, allowing for safe and cost-effective learning [5][6] Market Performance - 51WORLD has shown significant revenue growth, with an increase from CNY 170 million in 2022 to CNY 287 million in 2024, and a 62% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025 [7] - The company has secured thousands of enterprise clients across various sectors, indicating strong market demand for its Physical AI solutions [7][8] Collaborations and Partnerships - Collaborations are forming within the industry, such as the partnership between 51WORLD and Moore Threads to develop next-generation Physical AI simulation systems [8]

Core Insights - The article discusses the current delivery status of the L series and i8/MEGA being order-driven, while the i6 is capacity-driven, with a significant order milestone reached for the i6 and i8 models [1] - It highlights the importance of value creation, transmission, and delivery in determining sales performance, suggesting that these factors are critical for future growth [1] - The article outlines key sales trends and expectations for the company in 2026, emphasizing the need for new model releases and consumer feedback to drive orders [3] Summary by Sections Current Delivery Status - The i6 and i8 have surpassed 100,000 cumulative orders as of December 1, 2025, with expectations for i6's monthly production capacity to reach 20,000 units early next year [1] - As of November 30, 2025, approximately 12,977 i6 units and 20,396 i8 units have been delivered [1] Sales Trends and Expectations - Sales performance is typically strongest in the first few months after a model's release, with few models able to regain momentum later [2] - The company may have overestimated or underestimated sales for certain models, which is a common occurrence in the industry [2] Key Sales Drivers for 2026 - The release of new or updated models and the potential for positive consumer feedback in early 2026 are identified as critical sales drivers [3] - The company is expected to take a more serious approach to sales in 2026, reflecting on past performance to drive improvement [3] Strategic Directions for 2026 - The article outlines three main strategic directions for the company in the electric vehicle market, focusing on market-validated models, innovative definitions, and user value through intelligent driving [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge in user experience and charging solutions, which are seen as key to driving sales [8] Potential Value Creation in 2026 - Anticipated value creation includes significant upgrades to the L series, advancements in intelligent driving, and improvements in user experience [7] - The company is expected to enhance its charging infrastructure, potentially introducing automatic charging capabilities [7][8]

来源：环球时报 而"反泡沫论"者则对技术突破与应用拓展抱有坚定信心。从国家战略来看，主要大国均围绕AI积极布 局，这种战略级布局决定了AI投入的长期性与稳定性。从应用场景看，AI已从ToC（面向消费者）向 ToB（面向产业端）延伸拓展，日益丰富的应用场景不断延伸AI的价值链条，当前新旧GPU的"跑满"状 态也在相当程度上反映出旺盛的真实需求。此外，引发外界普遍担心的企业投资产出比，对于多数AI 头部企业而言，前期投入固然巨大，但一方面自身具有强劲造血能力，能够提供有力支撑；另一方面未 来盈利前景向好，对所谓投资与产出的评估需要留足"时间跨度"。比如近期引发产业界震动的谷歌TPU 芯片对外供货，其带来的"鲇鱼效应"推动算力生态向多元共生发展，不仅打破了英伟达GPU的垄断格 局，更为重要的是它构建了基于自身商业生态的"算力底座"与"核心模型"，核心业务重塑之后的商业前 景巨大。 到底应该如何看待所谓的"AI泡沫"呢？传统金融理论认为，泡沫是资产价格偏离内在价值的现象，但AI 作为新兴产业，其内在价值难以用传统估值方法衡量。简单套用历史经验判断AI是否存在泡沫可能并 不准确。即便是沿用历史经验进行评估，也应该看到技 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the collaboration between Moore Threads and 51WORLD is to build a next-generation physical AI simulation system based on the KUAE intelligent computing cluster, leveraging domestic GPU computing power and advanced simulation and world model technologies [1][3] - The traditional simulation methods have limitations such as long construction cycles, high costs, and limited generalization capabilities, which the new "reconstruction + generation" approach aims to address by automating the simulation process using AI [3] - The physical AI simulation system developed by 51Sim and Moore Threads has already been applied at scale in the intelligent driving sector, supporting the closed-loop validation of end-to-end intelligent driving algorithms [3] Group 2 - Moore Threads is a strategic shareholder of 51WORLD, which is aiming to become the first "Physical AI" stock listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange by December 30, 2025, indicating a strong capital support for technology development and market expansion [4] - The collaboration between Moore Threads and 51WORLD is expected to create a synergistic effect that will enhance the development of the domestic GPU and Physical AI industry chain [4]

Core Insights - The collaboration between Moore Threads and 51World focuses on building a next-generation physical AI simulation system based on the KUAE intelligent computing cluster, leveraging domestic GPU capabilities and advanced simulation technologies [1][3] - The partnership aims to address the limitations of traditional simulation methods by transitioning from manual modeling to AI-generated simulations, enhancing the efficiency and applicability of physical AI in real-world scenarios [3] - Moore Threads is a strategic investor in 51World, supporting its goal to become the first publicly listed company in the Physical AI sector by December 30, 2025, which is expected to accelerate technology development and market expansion [4] Group 1 - The collaboration centers on creating a comprehensive physical AI simulation system that integrates training and inference capabilities [3] - The new simulation technology, based on "4DGS reconstruction + generative world models," aims to overcome the challenges of high costs and long development cycles associated with traditional simulation methods [3] - The physical AI simulation system has already been applied in the intelligent driving sector, facilitating the closed-loop validation of end-to-end driving algorithms [3] Group 2 - The partnership is expected to create a synergistic effect that will enhance the development of the domestic GPU and Physical AI industry chain [4] - Both companies are pursuing a path of capitalization to secure funding for accelerated technological advancements and market penetration [4] - The future plans include expanding the application of physical AI beyond intelligent driving to encompass broader scenarios in embodied intelligence [3]

Group 1 - The core focus of the collaboration between Moore Threads and 51WORLD's simulation platform 51Sim is to build a next-generation physical AI simulation system based on domestic GPU computing power and advanced simulation and world model technologies [1][3] - The traditional simulation methods have limitations such as long construction cycles, high costs, and limited generalization capabilities, leading to a "confidence gap" with the real world [3] - 51Sim's approach of "4DGS reconstruction + generative world model" aims to transition simulation from manual construction to AI-driven generation, addressing the computational demands of physical AI simulation [3] Group 2 - The partnership has already achieved large-scale applications in the intelligent driving sector, supporting the closed-loop validation of end-to-end intelligent driving algorithms [3] - Moore Threads is a strategic shareholder of 51WORLD, which is aiming to become the first publicly listed company in the Physical AI sector by December 30, 2025, on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [4] - The collaboration is expected to enhance funding for technology development and market expansion, thereby strengthening the synergy and promoting the development of the domestic GPU and Physical AI industry chain [4]