2月18日：上交易日周二（2月17日）：国际黄金遇阻回落再度收跌，因伊美和谈释放积极信号，特朗普 宣布美日贸易协议正式启动，减弱了避险需求，令其处于短期均线及中轨下方，空头暂占据优势，但又 由于美联储古尔斯比：如果通胀走低，将会有多次降息的鸽派言论，基本面前景仍维持看涨，所以，那 么，在重回中轨上方持稳后顺势跟进新高，要么维持目前偏弱调整待回踩60日均线或10周均线支撑后， 再去看涨反弹。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于4995.59美元/盎司，则先行录得日内高点5000.90美元，之后整体震荡下 行，延续至美盘时段触及日内低点4841.30美元，最后有所止跌筑底盘整，但仍未转强，最终收于 4877.29美元，日振幅159.6美元，收跌118.3美元，跌幅2.37%。 基本面上，本周因美伊核谈判取得突破性进展及俄乌开启和平谈判，地缘政治风险显著降温，黄金避险 需求遭受重创。叠加美元指数走强加剧抛售压力，但这都是在金价牛市当中的阶段性压力，难以造成趋 势性行情； 展望今日周三（2月18日）：国际黄金开盘仍偏弱运行，但在受到30日均线及美联储的鸽派言论而未能 进一步跌破，但上方压力较大，基本面未能有进一步利好，故此， ...

白宫经济顾问哈塞特：我们认为美联储有充足的降息空间。 来源：滚动播报 ...

今晚，全球资产集体上涨！ 记者丨金珊 北京时间2月18日晚，欧洲股市高开高走，泛欧斯托克600指数涨0.93%，创历史新高，英国富时指数涨 1.05%，续刷历史新高；法国CAC指数涨0.55%，德国DAX指数涨0.83%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨近 1.4%，逼近历史新高。 美股方面，美国三大股指期货齐涨，纳指期货涨0.53%，标普500指数期货涨0.41%，道指期货涨 0.26%。 美股部分大型科技股盘前走强，英伟达涨近2%。消息面上，据智通财经报道，Meta加码英伟达，未来 数年部署数百万颗芯片，首次采用Grace CPU。此外，亚马逊涨1.4%，特斯拉涨超0.4%，微软涨近 0.4%。 编辑丨江佩霞 国际金属全线走强，现货黄金涨超1%，报4929美元/盎司，现货白银涨2.6%，报75.4美元/盎司，LME伦 铜涨幅扩大至1%。 消息面上，关于美联储降息的预期又有变化。据证券时报报道，北京时间2月18日凌晨，美国旧金山联 储主席玛丽·戴利表示，达到中性利率之前，美联储大约还有75个基点的降息空间；美联储理事迈克尔· 巴尔表示，前景暗示美联储将在一段时间内维持利率不变；美国芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比则表示，如果 ...

Group 1 - European stock markets opened higher, with the UK FTSE index rising over 1% to set a new historical high, while the French CAC index increased by 0.53% and the German DAX index rose by 0.91% [1] - The Turkish banking index expanded its gains, increasing by over 3%, and the Istanbul Stock Exchange 100 index rose by 2% [2] - International oil prices surged, with Brent crude futures rising nearly 2% and WTI crude futures also increasing by nearly 2% due to Slovakia's government declaring a state of emergency for oil and planning to utilize national oil reserves [2] Group 2 - International metals strengthened, with spot gold rising by 0.8% and spot silver increasing by over 3%, while LME copper's gains expanded to 1% [3] - The US stock market saw a collective rise in major indices, with increased market expectations for future Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, as Fed's Daly indicated there is about 75 basis points of room before reaching neutral interest rates [3] Group 3 - Iran's President emphasized the commitment to rapidly implement a comprehensive strategic cooperation plan with Russia, aiming for significant advancements in bilateral relations [4] - Indirect negotiations between Iran and the US are ongoing, with a "new window of opportunity" opening despite existing differences in positions [4] - A trilateral meeting between Russia, the US, and Ukraine concluded, with discussions described as difficult but pragmatic, and plans for further talks on the Ukraine issue in the near future [4]

黄金未能守住5,000美元关口，地缘紧张局势缓和以及美元走强共同打压市场情绪。不过，澳新银行分 析师认为，金价在5,000美元附近的阶段性企稳不会长期持续。 据Kitco报道，澳新银行已上调对金价的二季度预测。该行大宗商品分析师显著上调二季度金价预测， 最新目标为5,800美元。这相比其此前在最新报告中给出的5,400美元目标大幅提高。 分析师表示："尽管近期波动引发了市场对金价是否见顶的质疑，但我们认为这轮涨势尚未成熟到会在 短期内出现反转。" 上月金价自接近5,600美元的纪录高位快速回落，令部分投资者担忧。他们担心这一下跌可能预示着大 幅崩跌，类似于1980年和2011年高点之后出现的行情。 澳新银行指出，当前市场环境与当时明显不同，对黄金构成更强支撑。 该行认为，这主要源于市场预期美联储今年至少会降息两次。此外，通胀压力回落，使得市场开始押注 到12月可能出现第三次降息。 市场参与者正关注周三将公布的美联储1月会议纪要，以获取更多货币政策走向线索。CME的FedWatch 工具显示，主流预期是首次降息将在6月发生。 由于黄金不产生利息收益，在低利率环境中通常表现更佳。 澳新银行进一步预计，今年黄金市场 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices experienced a short-term surge, with spot gold rising over 1.3% to reach $4,940 per ounce, and settling at $4,920 per ounce [1] - Spot silver also saw significant gains, increasing over 3.8% to surpass $76 per ounce [1] - Multiple gold jewelry brands in China reported a decrease in domestic gold jewelry prices, with major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Miao Gold quoting prices below 1,500 yuan per gram [2] Group 2 - A global fund manager survey by Bank of America indicated that buying gold has become the most crowded trade for the second consecutive month, with 50% of fund managers indicating a bullish stance on gold, slightly down from 51% in January [6] - Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials have garnered market attention, with indications that there is approximately 75 basis points of rate cut space before reaching neutral rates, and potential for multiple rate cuts if inflation continues to decline [6] - Lao Pu Gold announced a price adjustment for its products effective February 28, 2026, following three price increases in 2025 [3]

Market Performance - The U.S. stock market opened mixed on February 17, with the Dow Jones increasing by 0.07%, the S&P 500 rising by 0.10%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.14% by the end of the trading day [1] - Major technology stocks showed varied performance, with Apple rising over 3%, Broadcom increasing over 2%, and Nvidia and Amazon both up over 1%. In contrast, Google, Microsoft, and Tesla fell over 1% [2][3] Company Highlights - Apple announced a special Apple experience event scheduled for March 4, featuring new products such as the MacBook Pro with M5 Pro and M5 Max chips, a new entry-level MacBook, Studio Display 2, and the iPhone 17e, which is expected to include the latest A19 chip and 8GB of RAM [4] - In the Chinese stock market, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.1%, with notable movements including ZTO Express rising over 2% and Tencent Music dropping over 3% [4][5] Commodity Market - International precious metals prices experienced a decline, with COMEX gold futures down by 2.33% to $4,896.10 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down by 3.93% to $73.55 per ounce [6][7] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is set to release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting, with recent comments from officials indicating potential interest rate cuts if inflation decreases. Current probabilities suggest a 7.9% chance of a 25 basis point cut by March and a 92.1% chance of maintaining rates [8][9]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Harmony Gold's stock price decline is primarily influenced by the drop in gold prices, changes in market risk appetite, and the outflow of funds from the gold sector [1][6]. Group 2 - Recent stock performance shows that the spot gold price fell below $4900 per ounce, negatively impacting the overall performance of gold mining stocks, including Harmony Gold [1]. - The U.S. stock market indices are collectively declining, with the Nasdaq 100 futures down nearly 1%, driven by increasing concerns over AI technology disrupting traditional industries [2]. - U.S. inflation and employment data are better than expected, reducing the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March to 7.8%, which is unfavorable for non-yielding assets like gold [3]. - Recent geopolitical events, including negotiations between Russia-Ukraine and U.S.-Iran in Geneva, have created uncertainty, while military exercises by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz have heightened regional tensions [4]. - There is a general decline in U.S. listed gold mining stocks, with companies like Newmont and Barrick Gold seeing declines of over 2%, indicating a shift of funds away from the gold sector [5].

近日，美国公布了一月份通胀数据，结果低于市场预期，这一数据为市场带来了新的希望。在面临经济 压力的时刻，这一通胀数据成为市场关注的焦点，甚至重新点燃了市场对美联储今年降息的希望。 美国1月通胀数据低于预期，重燃市场对美联储今年降息希望的火花 总的来说，美国的通胀数据低于预期，为市场带来了新的希望。这一数据不仅重新点燃了市场对美联储 今年降息的希望，也显示出市场在面对压力时的韧性。这无疑为全球经济形势带来了积极的影响，也为 我们在面对经济挑战时提供了更多的信心。 面对全球经济的复杂形势，美国的通胀数据一直备受关注。一月份的通胀数据低于预期，显示出美国经 济可能正在走向稳定，这给市场带来了积极的信号。此前，市场对美联储的货币政策持谨慎态度，担忧 通胀压力与经济增长的平衡问题。然而，这一数据的公布，似乎给市场带来了转机。 【注：本文内容由人工智能辅助生成，仅供学习和参考之用。文中观点和数据仍需经本人甄别与核实， 不代表最终立场。】 这一积极的数据表现，重新激发了市场对美联储今年降息的可能性。在面临经济压力的环境下，降息往 往被视为一种刺激经济增长的手段。虽然美联储对于货币政策的决策会考虑众多因素，但低通胀数据无 疑 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chicago Fed President Goolsbee indicated that there is still room for further interest rate cuts this year if inflation continues to move towards the Fed's 2% target, but more data is needed to validate this policy direction [1] Group 1: Inflation and Monetary Policy - Current service sector inflation remains at a high level, which is a key focus for policymakers [1] - If price increases related to tariffs are proven to be temporary rather than persistent inflationary pressures, it would leave room for monetary policy adjustments [1] - Goolsbee believes that if these impacts are confirmed as temporary and inflation is on a path back to 2%, multiple rate cuts could still occur in 2026, contingent on seeing relevant evidence [1] Group 2: Recent Policy Context - The Fed opted to keep interest rates unchanged at last month's meeting after three consecutive rate cuts in the final months of 2025 to address signs of a weakening job market [1] - The decision to continue rate cuts will largely depend on the trajectory of inflation, with Goolsbee emphasizing the need for more evidence to confirm a steady return to the 2% inflation target [1] - The market perceives Goolsbee's recent statements as a relatively dovish policy signal, indicating that the Fed remains open to further easing of monetary policy, provided inflation no longer poses a sustained threat [1]