Core Viewpoint - The upcoming IPO of Zhejiang Kema Friction Material Co., Ltd. marks a significant milestone in the company's history and indicates a solid step forward for the domestic friction material industry towards high-end and international markets [2] Group 1: Business Performance - Kema Material has demonstrated excellent growth potential, with projected revenue increasing from approximately 202 million yuan in 2022 to about 249 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.16% in 2024 [3] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 139 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.37%, with net profit reaching 45.5 million yuan, up 30.68% [5] - The company's gross margin has been consistently high, reaching 47.39% in 2024, with overseas business gross margin at 58.8%, significantly above the industry average of about 26% [6][7] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Kema Material has established a robust cash flow base in the aftermarket for commercial vehicles, ensuring a steady market share through deep partnerships with major domestic commercial vehicle manufacturers [8] - The company is strategically expanding into the wet paper-based friction material market, which has been dominated by foreign giants, thus opening up significant opportunities for domestic production [9] Group 3: Innovation and Future Growth - Kema Material is actively developing torque dampers for hybrid vehicles, addressing new requirements for smooth power transmission in hybrid systems [10][11] - The company has successfully integrated its torque damper friction materials into over 500,000 hybrid vehicles, including models from major manufacturers like Huawei and BYD, indicating early success in its new energy initiatives [13] - The planned fundraising of 206 million yuan will enhance the company's capabilities for high-end transformation, solidifying its leading position in the industry [14]

Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF (512760) rose over 2.3%, drawing attention to the progress of domestic semiconductor autonomy [1] - The semiconductor industry chain is highly linked with production processes, and domestic wafer manufacturers are developing new technological paths due to equipment restrictions [1] - The inability of overseas EDA tools to support differentiated domestic processes creates independent market space for domestic EDA vendors [1] Group 2 - Recent IPOs and mergers in the EDA industry are becoming more active, with transaction amounts gradually increasing, focusing on core areas of digital IC design [1] - Over the next five years, large domestic EDA companies are expected to achieve full integration of digital IC design processes through mergers and acquisitions [1] - Support from local governments and the national big fund will accelerate the integration of smaller firms by leading companies, promoting industry development [1] Group 3 - The EDA industry is expected to evolve towards forming 2-3 leading companies through mergers and integrations, with a long-term positive outlook on domestic substitution logic [1] - The semiconductor ETF tracks the China Semiconductor Index (990001), which focuses on listed companies in semiconductor materials, equipment design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing in the Chinese A-share market [1] - The index selects the top 50 companies based on average daily market capitalization, emphasizing small and medium-sized companies in the information technology sector to reflect the overall performance of semiconductor-related stocks [1]

作者：七佰 2025年的A股依旧跌宕起伏，不过"慢牛"的成色依然十足。2025年初股指震荡下行，直至2月DeepSeek横空出世，带动科技板块走出一轮主升行情。4月7日 全球股市遭遇"黑色星期一"，受关税政策冲击，日韩市场开盘急跌，A股创业板指单日暴跌超过9%，市场恐慌情绪加剧，"A股大跌"迅速成为热议焦点。 此后在多方协同努力下，市场迎来强劲反弹，指数连续11个交易日上涨，几乎收复全部失地。2025年8月18日，指数创下十年新高；随后在8月22日、10月9 日、10月28日接连突破3800点、3900点及4000点整数关口，并于11月14日攀升至全年高点4034.08点。 回首2025年，中国资本市场在走向成熟、开放与高质量发展的道路上，步履坚实。我们试图通过十个关键词，梳理这一年的风雨起伏，也在回溯中探寻2026 年A股的前行方向。 关键词1：DeepSeek时刻 DeepSeek横空出世点燃了2025年初科技行情。2025年春节期间，DeepSeek 7天狂揽1亿用户，超越ChatGPT的增长速度，登顶中美应用商店下载榜。随后A股 迎来DeepSeek时刻，中国资产被重估，以算法、算力、数据为核心的多条 ...

2025年中央经济工作会议将"坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场"置于重点任务之首，政策信号迅速传导 至资本市场，A股零售、食品饮料等消费板块近期集体拉升，反映出市场对扩内需主线的积极预期。 多位券商分析师指出，当前扩内需政策呈现"增收赋能、供给优化、精准投资"特征，相关板块正迎来估 值修复与业绩增长的双重契机。 中信建投证券宏观首席分析师周君芝认为，政策重心正从传统"刺激消费"转向"增收与供给优化"的深层 逻辑，这决定了消费机会将呈现结构性特征。"制定实施城乡居民增收计划，将直接提升居民消费能 力，利好大众消费品及普惠金融领域；释放服务消费潜力有助于文旅、康养、医疗健康、体育休闲等服 务业迎来政策与需求双重利好。"周君芝说。 数据印证了服务消费的增长活力。国家统计局数据显示，2025年11月，核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，其中飞 机票、家政服务价格分别上涨7.0%、2.4%。商务部数据显示，2025年前11个月，服务零售额同比增长 5.4%，增速快于商品零售额1.3个百分点，文体休闲服务等细分领域保持两位数增长。 "从消费升级角度看，随着居民收入提升和观念转变，国货品牌、健康医疗、文旅体验等领域进入快速 发展期； ...

全球OLED面板出货量稳健增长，在智能手机、平板、笔电、车载等领域的渗透率有望不断提升。25H1 我国显示面板全球份额首超50%，国内面板厂商相继布局高世代OLED产线，叠层OLED等新技术不断 推进，带动OLED材料需求进一步增长。2024年全球OLED显示材料市场销售额达24.4亿美元，预计 2031年达84.98亿美元，2025-2031年CAGR为19.8%。2024年我国OLED有机材料(终端+前端材料)市场规 模约为57亿元，同比大幅提升31%。目前OLED通用辅助材料国产化率约为12%，终端材料国产化率不 足5%，国内厂商不断进行国产化突破，同时随着国内OLED面板产能和市占率的扩张，国产OLED有机 发光材料市场空间有望持续扩大。另一方面，PSPI材料性能优异，与传统光刻胶相比可简化光刻工艺， 是OLED显示制程的核心主材。日本和美国企业占据全球PSPI主导地位。随着我国集成电路、OLED面 板等产业需求的进一步扩大，国内PSPI市场规模有望持续扩增，国产产品放量可期。 投资建议 智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，受益于下游行业快速发展、先进技术不断迭代以及国产替代 大背景，电子材料领域 ...

1月6日早盘，A股三大指数集体上涨，上证指数盘中上涨0.73%，贵金属、券商、基本金属等板块涨幅 靠前，通信设备、林木跌幅居前。芯片科技股继续走强，截至10:04，芯片ETF（159995）上涨2.43%， 其成分股华海清科上涨7.88%，中微公司上涨6.80%，拓荆科技上涨5.56%，北方华创上涨5.35%，华润 微上涨4.94%。 中山证券表示，展望2026年，AI相关产业景气度有望维持，国产替代加速有望带来国内半导体行业的 机会。根据有关机构预测，2026年云计算巨头资本支出有望维持40%以上的增长，AI行业的景气度有望 维持在较高水平。同时AI相关芯片国产化进程持续推进，有望带动国产设备材料公司股价表现好于电 子行业整体。 资料显示，芯片ETF（159995）跟踪国证芯片指数，30只成分股集合A股芯片产业中材料、设备、设 计、制造、封装和测试等龙头企业，其中包括中芯国际、寒武纪、长电科技、北方华创等。其场外联接 基金为，A类：008887；C类：008888。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 12月30日，长鑫发布招股说明书，公司计划募资295亿，其中75亿用于存储器晶圆制造量产线技术升级 改造项目，13 ...

2026年开年第一个交易日，A股放量普涨迎开门红，沪指12连阳重返4000点。板块来看，医药、半导体方向领涨市场，受益于产业链涨价趋势 延续，上游半导体设备ETF（561980）全天大涨5.64%，五个交易日内获资金净流入超2亿元。 一方面，行业并购重组动作频频成为半导体产业链重要催化。 半导体设备ETF（561980）第一权重股中微公司近期发布重大资产重组预案，拟以发行股份及支付现金方式购买杭州众硅64.69%股权，并募集 配套资金，股票于1月5日复牌。 中微表示，交易完成后公司将形成"刻蚀+薄膜+量测+湿法"四大前道工艺设备矩阵，业务版图将首次覆盖芯片制造80%的关键工序，与国际巨 头业务结构趋同。 数据显示，自"科八条"发布以来，科创板半导体公司已合计新增49单并购重组，其中有25单已经完成，有14单在流程中，重大资产重组是23 单，此外还有多单并购交易正在积极推进中。 42.16% 18.06% 58.38% 沪深300 中证未言 中证全指半导体 数据来源:iFinD,截至2025.12.31 多 市场热点 存储芯片全年涨幅最高达1800% 另一方面，存储涨价超级周期对半导体设备需求形成明确利好。 据 ...

2026年首个交易日，A股市场取得"开门红"，上证指数延续强势走出12连阳罕见走势，一举突破并站稳4000点整数关口，为全年行情奠定坚实基础。 沪指重上4000点 指数表现方面，三大股指全天高开高走，震荡上行。截至收盘，上证指数报4023.42点，上涨1.38%，涨幅54.58点，成功重返4000点上方，日线12连阳的走 势创下近期市场强势纪录；深证成指表现更为强劲，收于13828.63点，大涨2.24%，涨幅303.61点，突破阶段新高；创业板指涨幅领先，收报3294.55点，大 涨2.85%，尽显成长股活力。全市场呈现普涨格局，沪深京三市超4100只个股飘红，3959只个股实现上涨，126只个股强势涨停，仅1111只个股下跌。 从板块表现来看，热点赛道全面开花，主线特征鲜明。脑机接口概念成为今日最耀眼的明星板块，受益于马斯克旗下神经连接公司2026年大规模量产脑机接 口设备的消息催化，三博脑科、创新医疗等20余只相关个股集体封板，板块内近40股涨幅超10%；半导体产业链同步走强；存储芯片方向凭借美股相关板块 大涨的联动效应及国产替代逻辑，香农芯创、江波龙等个股强势拉升，中芯国际涨近5%，进一步夯实科技主线 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth opportunities in the electronic materials sector driven by rapid downstream development, technological advancements, and domestic substitution [3][5] - The semiconductor materials market is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted sales revenue of USD 67.5 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [7][34] - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investments in electronic materials [3][5] Semiconductor Materials - The global semiconductor materials market is expected to exceed USD 87 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5% from 2024 to 2029 [7][34] - China's semiconductor materials domestic substitution rate is currently around 15%, with significant reliance on imports for high-end materials [38][42] - Key materials such as CMP polishing materials, photoresists, and electronic specialty gases are seeing increased domestic production efforts, which are expected to enhance the domestic substitution rate [38][42] PCB Materials - The PCB industry is evolving towards high-frequency and high-speed applications, with increasing demand for electronic resins and fabrics [7][34] - The global market for electronic resins and fabrics used in PCB production is estimated at approximately USD 33.02 billion and USD 24.13 billion, respectively, in 2023 [7][34] - The transition to high-frequency and high-speed PCBs is driven by advancements in 5G technology and the rapid growth of data centers and cloud computing [7][34] OLED Materials - The demand for OLED materials is expected to grow rapidly due to increasing terminal application needs and the acceleration of high-generation line capacity release [7][34] - The global OLED display materials market is projected to reach USD 2.44 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 19.8% expected from 2025 to 2031 [7][34] - Domestic OLED organic materials currently have a low substitution rate of around 12%, indicating significant growth potential as local manufacturers expand their capabilities [7][34] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies benefiting from the semiconductor market recovery, such as Anji Technology, Yake Technology, and Jiangfeng Electronics, among others [5][34] - For AI server demand, companies like Shengquan Group and Dongcai Technology are highlighted as key players in the electronic resin market [5][34] - In the OLED sector, companies like Lite-On Optoelectronics and Wanrun Co., Ltd. are recommended due to their strong market positions [5][34] Industry Performance - The semiconductor materials index has shown a cumulative increase of 37.87% in 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 18.72 percentage points [26] - The electronic chemicals index has increased by 54.98% in the same period, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 35.83 percentage points [26] - Overall, the electronic materials industry is experiencing stable growth, with significant improvements in revenue and profitability metrics [16][26]

Core Insights - The medical device sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the CSI All Index Medical Device Index rising by 1.25% and significant gains in key stocks such as Meihua Medical and Xiangyu Medical reaching the daily limit of 20% [1] - Neuralink, owned by Elon Musk, plans to begin large-scale production of brain-machine interface devices in 2026, aiming for a streamlined and automated surgical process, with the goal of helping paralyzed individuals regain full body function [1] - The brain-machine interface has been included in China's 14th Five-Year Plan, with specific targets set for technological breakthroughs by 2027 and industry strength to rank among the world's top by 2030 [1] Industry Developments - Domestic high-end medical device market share is increasing, with over 70% penetration of domestic DR and ultrasound diagnostic equipment in grassroots medical institutions, and rising application rates of high-end CT and MRI in tertiary hospitals [2] - The brain-machine interface industry is expected to enter a growth phase due to policy support, accelerating the transition from research to commercialization [2] - The brain-machine interface market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 17% from 2025 to 2034, reaching an estimated market size of $12.4 billion by 2034 [2] ETF Insights - The medical device ETF (159883) has the highest exposure to brain-machine interfaces, accounting for over 23% of its holdings, and is the largest ETF focused on the medical device sector [3] - The Hong Kong medical ETF (159366) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical Theme Index, providing access to high-quality assets in the medical device and biotechnology sectors [3] - Both ETFs are positioned to benefit from the growth in domestic innovation, export acceleration, and new technology advancements in the medical device industry [3]