新华社东京9月14日电 （记者 李子越 陈泽安）日本总务省14日公布最新统计数据显示，目前日本 共有65岁以上老年人3619万人，占全国总人口比例达29.4%，创历史新高。 数据显示，日本65岁以上老年人较去年减少5万人。但与此同时，老年人占总人口比例上升0.1个百 分点至29.4%。在全球人口超过4000万的38个国家中，日本老年人占比最高。 数据同时显示，按性别划分，65岁以上男性老年人为1568万人，女性为2051万人。按年龄层划分， 70岁以上老年人有2901万人，75岁以上人口为2124万人，80岁以上有1289万人，均较上年有所增加。 此外，数据显示，2024年日本65岁以上老年人就业人数达930万人，比前一年增加16万人，连续21 年刷新纪录。65岁以上就业者占总就业人口的比例为13.7%，同样创历史新高。总务省表示，由于人手 不足和退休年龄延后等因素，预计今后老年人就业人数还将继续增长。 近年来，日本老龄化和少子化程度日益加深。据日本国立社会保障与人口问题研究所推算，到2050 年，日本65岁以上老年人口占比或将达37.1%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The key to maintaining output growth in the face of accelerating population aging is to improve labor productivity through technological advancement, increasing labor participation rates, and expanding overseas operations [2]. Group 1: Global Population Trends - The global population is transitioning through four stages of demographic transformation, with most countries having completed industrialization or being in its middle stages, leading to a decline in the demographic dividend and an increase in aging and low birth rates [5][10]. - By 2024, the global population aged 65 and older is projected to reach 10.2%, with this figure expected to rise to 13.1% by 2035, indicating a shift towards moderate aging societies [10]. - The total fertility rate globally has decreased from a peak of 5.32 in the 1960s to 2.25 in 2024, nearing the replacement level of 2.1, with developed economies facing significant challenges related to low birth rates [11]. Group 2: China's Population Challenges - China is entering a phase of accelerated aging, with the proportion of the population aged 65 and older expected to reach 15.6% by 2024, transitioning to a moderately aged society [16]. - The total fertility rate in China has fallen below the replacement level since 1991, reaching 1.0 in 2023, necessitating comprehensive policies to support childbearing and reduce the burden of child-rearing [18]. - The phenomenon of "aging before becoming rich" poses challenges for total demand and the social security system, as the elderly population's consumption capacity may be weaker than that of developed economies [20]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Impacts of Population Structure Changes - The aging population is expected to exert downward pressure on potential growth rates due to a shrinking labor force, with China's labor force participation rate declining from a peak of 74.5% in 2010 to 68.3% by 2024 [31][34]. - The aging process can lead to a negative output gap, as seen in Japan, where actual economic growth has consistently lagged behind potential growth due to demographic shifts [36]. - Population aging is associated with a shift in consumption patterns, increasing demand for services such as healthcare and elder care, which may enhance service consumption's share of total consumption [39]. Group 4: Strategies to Address Aging Challenges - Improving labor productivity is crucial to counter the negative impacts of an aging population, with technology playing a key role in enhancing productivity through automation and innovation [46][51]. - Increasing labor participation rates, particularly among women, and extending working hours can help mitigate the labor supply challenges posed by an aging population [57]. - Expanding overseas operations and attracting foreign labor can serve as effective strategies to address domestic labor shortages and enhance productivity [59][60].

从全国范围看，日本每10万人中约有80名百岁老人。从人口比例上看，岛根县连续13年成为日本百岁老 人比例最高的地区，每10万人中约有169人；埼玉县连续36年比例最低，每10万人中约有49人。 数据还显示，2024年日本女性平均寿命为87.13岁，男性为81.09岁。 日本1963年开始这项调查，当时日本百岁老人仅有153人。随着医疗和护理水平提高，日本百岁老人人 数逐年增加，1981年突破1000人，1998年超过10000人，2022年突破90000人。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） 中新社东京9月12日电 (记者朱晨曦)日本厚生劳动省12日发布的数据显示，日本百岁老人人数连续55年 创新高，超过9.9万人。 截至12日，日本年满百岁的老人共99763人，比去年增加4644人。百岁老人中，女性有87784人，约占 88%；男性有11979人。 日本在世的最长寿老人名为贺川滋子，女性，今年114岁，住在奈良县大和郡山市。男性最年长者名为 水野清隆，今年111岁，生活在静冈县磐田市。 ...

Core Insights - Haisheng Pharmaceutical reported a revenue of 101 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.14% and a net profit of 30.33 million yuan, up 29.33% year-on-year [1] - The company is a key supplier in the veterinary and pharmaceutical raw materials sector, capitalizing on the recovery of the aquaculture industry and expanding its revenue sources through new product launches and successful fundraising projects [1][3] Industry Trends - The global aging population is projected to reach nearly 1.6 billion by 2050, with 16% of the population aged 65 and older, driving demand for chronic disease management and elderly care medications [2] - The Chinese elderly population is expected to reach 310 million by the end of 2024, accounting for 22% of the total population, further increasing the demand for pharmaceuticals [2] - The global veterinary drug market is expected to exceed 60 billion USD by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5% from 2022 to 2025 [2] Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, Haisheng Pharmaceutical's raw materials and intermediates business generated revenues of 77.94 million yuan and 22.71 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 58.14% and 5.46% [3] - The gross profit margins for raw materials and intermediates were 43.81% and 42.25%, indicating strong product competitiveness and market expansion effectiveness [3] R&D and Innovation - Haisheng Pharmaceutical maintains a high level of R&D investment, with expenditures of 5.17% of revenue in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.68% [4] - The company has developed core patented technologies that effectively reduce production costs and ensure product quality consistency, supporting profitability and market competitiveness [4] Market Strategy - The company achieved domestic revenue of 78.44 million yuan and international revenue of 22.41 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with gross margins of 39.70% and 56.34%, respectively [5][6] - Haisheng Pharmaceutical is expanding its global market presence while optimizing internal operations and technical capabilities, which is expected to drive revenue growth [5][6] Client Relationships - The company has established partnerships with notable domestic and international clients, ensuring stable sales growth and continuous operational optimization [7] - Haisheng Pharmaceutical is well-positioned to capture opportunities arising from the recovery of the aquaculture industry and the expansion of its product offerings [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the real estate market in China, particularly in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai, highlighting a significant decline in property prices and questioning the sustainability of previous growth trends [1][2]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - Property prices in major cities have not only stagnated but have also seen declines, with some areas experiencing drops of over 20% [1]. - In certain provincial capitals, the highest price drops have reached 50%, indicating a severe market correction [1]. - The article notes that the real estate market is facing a lack of buyers, as evidenced by the absence of offers on listed properties [1]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Price Decline - The peak of residential leverage occurred in 2021, and since then, there has been no growth in household leverage, leading to a stagnation in property prices [3]. - The "three red lines" policy has restricted corporate leverage, resulting in ongoing bankruptcies among small to medium-sized real estate companies [4]. - An oversupply of new homes is pressuring developers to sell quickly, but potential buyers are hesitant to take on more debt [4]. - Demographic challenges, such as an aging population and a decrease in new births, are contributing to a reduced demand for housing [5][6]. - Government initiatives to build affordable housing are expected to further decrease the demand for commercial properties [7]. Group 3: Long-term Perspectives - Some analysts believe that the current price levels in first and second-tier cities are attractive and that a recovery is possible, drawing parallels with past market recoveries in places like Hong Kong [9][10]. - There is a sentiment that inflation could serve as a catalyst for future price increases in the real estate market [10]. - However, skepticism remains regarding the long-term viability of property investments, with concerns about the generational wealth depletion and the aging housing stock [11][12].

Core Insights - By the end of 2024, the population aged 60 and above in China will exceed 300 million, accounting for over 22% of the total population, leading to the rapid formation of a trillion-level "silver economy" market [1][5][7] - The consumption demands of the elderly have shifted from basic survival needs to quality of life, with digitalization, health, socialization, and value realization becoming core features of new consumption patterns [1][4] - There is a significant supply gap in the market, particularly in key areas such as elderly care facilities, services, health, cultural tourism, products, finance, and smart elderly care, which restricts the development of the silver economy [1][4][36] Population Base - The aging population is a global trend and a core feature of China's social structure, providing a substantial user base for the silver economy [4][5] - In 2000, the population aged 60 and above reached 130 million, marking the beginning of China's aging society; by 2023, this number had grown to 297 million, indicating deep aging [5][7] - By 2035, the population aged 60 and above is projected to reach 440 million, accounting for 32.1% of the total population, indicating a transition to a super-aged society [7][9] Demand Upgrade - The new generation of elderly consumers, primarily from the "post-60s" cohort, is driving the silver economy with a strong consumption capability and a desire for a richer lifestyle [16][18] - The elderly are increasingly crossing the digital divide, with 60.7% of them spending over three hours online daily, engaging in activities such as online shopping and social media [18][20] - There is a growing focus on self-investment, health, and social relationships, with many elderly individuals actively seeking to enhance their personal value and quality of life [20][26] Supply Gap - The rapid aging of the population in China has outpaced the development of necessary infrastructure and services, leading to a significant supply gap in the silver economy [36][38] - As of 2024, there is a shortfall of approximately 1 million elderly care beds, highlighting the urgent need for improved elderly care facilities [39][41] - The elderly care service sector faces challenges such as limited coverage in rural areas and a lack of qualified caregivers, with a projected demand for around 20 million caregivers by 2030 [45][46] Payment Capability - The elderly population's payment capability is continuously increasing, supported by high savings rates, stable pension income, and family support [2][62] - The average total assets of households led by individuals aged 46-64 are approximately 3.5 million yuan, indicating a strong financial foundation for consumption [64][66] - The income of retirees is steadily rising, with a significant portion of the elderly population in urban areas receiving pensions that support their consumption needs [68][70] Policy Drive - The introduction of the "Silver Economy Document No. 1" in 2024 marks a systematic push at the national strategic level to transform demographic challenges into new economic growth drivers [3][71] - Over the years, numerous policies have been implemented to support the development of the silver economy, emphasizing the need for a coordinated approach between elderly care services and the market [72][75] - The government is increasingly focusing on developing the silver economy, recognizing its potential to address the needs of an aging population and stimulate economic growth [75][76]

Core Viewpoint - Central banks from multiple countries warn that without attracting more foreign labor, major global economies will face severe labor shortages in the coming decades due to aging populations [1] Group 1: Japan - The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda Kazuo states that Japan's rapid aging society makes labor shortages one of the country's "most urgent" economic issues [1] - Foreign workers account for only 3% of Japan's total labor force but contribute to half of the recent labor growth [1] Group 2: Eurozone - European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde emphasizes that without the influx of foreign workers, the Eurozone's labor force will decrease by 3.4 million by 2040 [1] - Foreign workers have contributed to 50% of the Eurozone's labor growth over the past three years, playing a crucial role in offsetting the negative impacts of demographic changes on economic growth [1] Group 3: United Kingdom - Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey warns that declining productivity and lower labor participation rates are exacerbating economic challenges in the UK [1] - It is predicted that by 2040, 40% of the UK population will be aging, which may worsen labor market shortages [1] Group 4: Economic Implications - Economists indicate that labor shortages could lead to decreased production capacity and may trigger inflationary pressures [1]

Core Insights - Community home-based elderly care services are a crucial supplement to traditional family care models, addressing the needs of the aging population in China and alleviating the burden on family caregivers [1][10] - The market size of China's community home-based elderly care services is projected to grow from 52.42 billion yuan in 2016 to 1,149.12 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 47.1% [1][10] - By 2025, the market size is expected to reach 1,310.4 billion yuan, driven by the deepening aging process and the continuous improvement of the elderly care service system [1][10] Industry Overview - Community home-based elderly care services integrate family, community, and social resources to provide specialized support for elderly individuals living at home, including daily care and rehabilitation services [3][5] - The service model includes home visits and daytime care, covering 14 basic service categories such as meal assistance, bathing assistance, and health monitoring [3][5] Market Dynamics - The number of individuals aged 65 and above in China has increased from 144.24 million in 2015 to an estimated 220.23 million by 2024, with an aging rate rising from 10.5% to 15.64% during the same period [8] - The growing elderly population and the resulting demand for daily care services are driving the development of community-based home care models, which are part of the "9073" elderly care system [8] Policy Support - The Chinese government has introduced various policies to support the community home-based elderly care sector, including financial subsidies, tax incentives, and standard regulations, which have stimulated market vitality and diversified service supply [8][10] - Recent policies aim to enhance the basic elderly care service system, promote community-based care, and encourage the integration of community resources for elderly services [8][10] Industry Structure - The community home-based elderly care service industry features a diverse competitive landscape, including government-supported public organizations, market-oriented professional institutions, and community social organizations [11] - Key players in the industry include Beijing Sijiejiatong Information Technology Co., Ltd., Lion City Yian (Shanghai) Property Management Co., Ltd., and Jiangsu Ruizhikang Health Industry Group Co., Ltd., among others [11][12] Future Trends - The integration of smart technology and data analytics is expected to enhance service efficiency in community home-based elderly care, with applications such as health monitoring devices and AI-assisted care [12][13] - There will be a growing emphasis on personalized and customized services tailored to the specific needs of elderly individuals, including health management and psychological support [13] - Increased government support is anticipated, including expanded long-term care insurance trials and improved regulatory frameworks to enhance service quality and protect elderly rights [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Fortune Global 500 Summit will focus on corporate strategies in turbulent times, exploring how to leverage new technologies, innovate collaboration models, drive transformation, and enhance resilience to navigate the changing global market [2][6]. Group 1: Event Overview - The summit will take place in Guangzhou on September 25-26, 2025, under the theme "Standing at the Dawn of a New Cycle: Explore, Embrace, and Elevate" [2][6]. - The event aims to provide a platform for leaders and experts from Fortune 500 companies to share insights on trends, transformation, and self-reinvention [2][6]. Group 2: Economic Context - The World Bank projects that global economic growth will reach its slowest pace since 2008, highlighting the challenges posed by a "non-typical cycle" filled with uncertainties [2]. - BlackRock has warned that five "super forces" (the rise of artificial intelligence, energy transition, geopolitical fragmentation, aging population, and financial digitalization) are reshaping the global economy and its long-term trajectory [2]. Group 3: Importance of Dialogue and Cooperation - Major corporations, which have historically benefited from technological advancements and global economic integration, now face challenges such as geopolitical rifts, trade barriers, and technological competition [2]. - The summit emphasizes the necessity of dialogue and cooperation among businesses to pave a more stable and prosperous path forward [2].

国金证券研报表示，中国人口老龄化将进入加速阶段，人口"灰犀牛"的影响将愈发不可忽视。从供给侧 看，人口老龄化会导致劳动年龄人口的萎缩，给潜在增长率带来下行压力。从需求侧看，人口老龄化将 加剧总需求不足，表现为负产出缺口，同时也会提高服务消费占比。短期看，老龄化加深将抑制通胀， 但长期可能会推动通胀上行。 ...