要闻速递 央行：把促进物价合理回升作为把握货币政策的重要考量 8月15日，央行发布2025年第二季度中国货币政策执行报告。报告提出，落实落细适度宽松的货币政 策。根据国内外经济金融形势和金融市场运行情况，把握好政策实施的力度和节奏，保持流动性充裕， 使社会融资规模、货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹配，持续营造适宜的金融环 境。把促进物价合理回升作为把握货币政策的重要考量，推动物价保持在合理水平。 中国证监会原发行监管部监管四处处长杨郊红被开除党籍 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国证券监督管理委员会纪检监察组、江苏省宿迁市纪委监委消息：日前，经中 央纪委国家监委批准，中央纪委国家监委驻中国证券监督管理委员会纪检监察组与江苏省宿迁市纪委监 委对中国证监会原发行监管部监管四处处长杨郊红严重违纪违法问题进行了纪律审查和监察调查。详情 >>> A股爆发！居民存款"搬家"信号初现 A股牛市氛围渐浓，8月15日，沪指收涨0.83%，盘中再次突破3700点关口，创近4年新高。21世纪经济 报道记者观察到，随着牛市行情升温以及7月金融统计数据出炉，近期多家券商研报关注"存款搬家"议 题。机构普遍认为，7月非银存款同比大 ...

一、这是一轮"健康牛" 从我们去年9月底提出"市场逻辑已经反转"，2025年度策略《强市场，新逻辑》进一步强调"资本市场再度肩负重任"、"中国股市、中国经济要形成良性的 正面循环，需要更长久的行情"，年初又鲜明提出"中国资产将迎来重估"，4月动荡中强调"以我为主"、"中国资产的重估远没有结束"，至今A股稳步向 上，牛市正逐渐成为市场共识。 在国家战略方向指引下，叠加关键时刻的政策与资金托底、新动能的持续显现，带动市场信心活化、增量资金入市不断形成合力之下，当前市场正在经 历"健康牛"。 首先，从资本市场的历史使命看，当前更需要一轮"慢牛"。也因此，年初以来指数稳步向上，而波动率持续下行，当前更已逼近历史底部。这是"健康 牛"的第一个特征。如我们在2025年度策略《强市场，新逻辑》中提示的，本轮提振股市，肩负着推动居民和政府资产负债表修复、通过财富效应提振市 场信心、化债并盘活优质资产、优化资源配置助力新质生产力发展等重任。近期又增加了推动供给侧出清、"反内卷"的任务。从股市承担的任务看，核心 是要为实体经济服务的。要实现国家的高质量发展、要让大多数人赚到钱，这便决定了本轮市场一定是底部缓慢抬升的稳步市场，而非 ...

Group 1 - The current market is experiencing a "healthy bull" phase, characterized by a steady upward trend in A-shares and a consensus on the bull market's continuation [1][2] - The market is expected to serve the real economy, focusing on high-quality development and wealth effect to boost market confidence, indicating a gradual and stable market rather than volatile fluctuations [2][5] - Despite new index highs, most industries remain at moderate levels of crowding, allowing for a "multi-point blooming" market where various sectors and themes take turns in gaining attention [5][7] Group 2 - Institutional advantages are becoming more apparent as the market warms up, with active public funds showing significant performance gains, indicating a potential "institutional bull" market [7][11] - The number of new institutional accounts has surged to historical highs, suggesting a positive correlation with the issuance of equity funds [11][14] Group 3 - The brokerage sector is highlighted as a direct vehicle for the "healthy bull," with expected strong performance due to market activity and relatively low current valuations [15][16] - The AI sector has emerged as a strong market leader, showing no signs of overheating despite previous rapid gains, indicating a sustainable upward trend [18][24] Group 4 - The military industry is poised for growth due to upcoming events like military parades and the "Five-Year Plan" meeting, which historically catalyze stock performance [30][33] - The military sector is expected to benefit from both domestic strategic planning and increased global competitiveness, with significant order releases anticipated [36][37][38] Group 5 - The "anti-involution" theme is becoming a long-term focus, with policies aimed at breaking negative cycles and improving industry profitability, particularly in sectors like steel and glass [40][42] - Key industries involved in "anti-involution" are currently at historical lows in profitability and capital expenditure, indicating a strong willingness to participate in positive changes [42]