Core Viewpoint - Gold prices continue to reach new highs, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and global economic uncertainties [1][2] Group 1: Gold Price Movement - As of October 13, 2023, domestic spot gold (Au9999) rose by 2.98% to 924.4 CNY per gram, while international spot gold in London increased by 1.4% to 4075.47 USD per ounce [1] - The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is a significant factor supporting gold prices in the short term [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Outlook - The likelihood of a rate cut in October is high, with Federal Reserve officials indicating a potential reduction of 25 basis points due to signs of a weakening labor market and slowing inflation [1][2] - The strong expectation of rate cuts is seen as bullish for gold [1] Group 3: Global Economic Factors - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts contribute to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - The IMF president has warned that current global asset valuations are nearing levels seen during the internet bubble 25 years ago, suggesting that a significant market correction could enhance gold's appeal as a hedge [2] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investors interested in gold can consider related investment products such as Tianhong Shanghai Gold ETF Connect C (Class C: 014662) and Tianhong Shanghai Gold ETF Connect A (Class A: 014661) [2]

Core Insights - International gold prices have surged over 51% this year, marking 2025 as potentially the year with the highest price increase since 1979 [1][2] - Domestic gold prices have also risen, with brands like Chow Tai Fook reporting prices around 1168 RMB per gram, an increase of 45 RMB since the end of September [1] Price Trends - After an 8-day market closure, gold trading resumed on October 9, with prices on the Shanghai Gold Exchange reaching 911.5 RMB per gram, up over 4.5% from September 30 [1] - The international gold price has increased from approximately 3300 USD per ounce to 4000 USD, a rise of over 20% since late August [1] Contributing Factors - Multiple factors are driving the rise in gold prices, including geopolitical changes, global economic uncertainty, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and increased gold purchases by central banks [3] - The recent U.S. government shutdown has heightened concerns over dollar credibility and U.S. sovereign debt, further pushing up gold prices [3] Investment Behavior - There is a noticeable shift in consumer behavior, with physical gold sales showing weakness while investment in gold bars is strong, indicating a market driven by investment rather than consumption [5] - During the recent holiday period, the market saw a higher proportion of out-of-town customers, primarily seeking to allocate assets [6] Future Outlook - Experts suggest that while there is medium to long-term support for gold prices, the rapid short-term increases may exceed expectations, leading to potential volatility [7] - Gold is viewed as a long-term asset allocation tool rather than a short-term speculative investment, emphasizing the need for investors to understand the risks associated with different gold-related products [7]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have surged significantly in 2023, with an increase of over 51%, marking it as potentially the largest annual gain since 1979 [1][5][6]. Price Movement - After an 8-day market closure for the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, gold prices in Shanghai rose sharply, with AU99.99 closing at 911.5 yuan per gram, up more than 4.5% from September 30 [1][5]. - Domestic gold prices have also increased, with brands like Chow Tai Fook reporting prices around 1168 yuan per gram, a rise of 45 yuan since the end of September [1][5]. Factors Driving Gold Prices - Multiple factors are contributing to the rise in gold prices, including geopolitical changes, global economic uncertainty, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and increased gold purchases by central banks [6][7]. - The recent U.S. government shutdown has heightened concerns over the dollar's credibility and U.S. sovereign debt, further pushing up gold prices [7]. Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable shift in consumer behavior, with a decline in gold jewelry sales but a surge in investment in gold bars, indicating a market driven by investment rather than consumption [8][9]. - The gold buyback business has been sluggish during the holiday period, attributed to the lack of signs of price stabilization or a peak [10]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that while there is medium to long-term support for gold prices, the rapid short-term increases may exceed expectations, indicating potential volatility [15]. - Gold is viewed as a long-term asset allocation tool rather than a short-term speculative investment, emphasizing the need for investors to understand the risks associated with different gold investment products [15].

Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above 11115, with a reported price of 11169 per kilogram, reflecting a 2.22% increase, and a trading range between 11082 and 11309 [1] - The recent agreement between Israel and Hamas to release all hostages, facilitated by U.S. negotiations, has weakened the safe-haven demand for silver [3] - Despite this, silver prices remain near historical highs since 1993, driven by global economic uncertainty, trade concerns, and issues related to U.S. fiscal sustainability [3] Group 2 - Geopolitical tensions and the continued accumulation of silver by the largest silver ETF provide solid support for silver prices [4] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has concluded interviews for candidates to replace current Federal Reserve Chair Powell, indicating potential shifts in monetary policy [4] - The long-term outlook for silver remains bullish, with expectations of continued volatility post-holiday, suggesting a trading range focus between 11130 and 11300, and a broader range of 11000 to 11400 [4]

Core Insights - The rising gold prices have attracted significant attention from investors, especially during periods of economic volatility, prompting a shift from riskier assets like stocks to gold as a perceived safe haven [1][3][20] Group 1: Gold Price Surge - On September 11, 2024, gold prices surged to 745 yuan per gram, marking a 9.08% increase, which led to a significant rise in gold bar prices from jewelry brands [3][4] - The increase in gold prices reflects the complexities of the global economic situation, including the depreciation of the US dollar and rising oil prices, contributing to market uncertainty [7][8] Group 2: Investment Considerations - Investors are increasingly considering gold as a stable investment option, but the differences between gold bars and gold jewelry must be understood; gold bars are more suitable for those seeking pure financial returns, while jewelry combines aesthetic value with investment [11][13] - It is crucial for investors to purchase gold bars through reputable channels to ensure price transparency and transaction security, while also being aware of gold purity and other factors affecting investment value [13][14] Group 3: Risks and Rational Investment - Despite being viewed as a safe asset, gold investment carries risks, including price volatility and challenges in liquidity when needing to sell quickly [14][15] - Rational investors should avoid overcommitting to gold and instead consider it as part of a diversified investment strategy, emphasizing the importance of financial literacy and awareness of macroeconomic factors [17][18][20]

Core Viewpoint - Booking Holdings experienced a significant stock decline of 3.28%, reaching its lowest point since May 2025, raising investor concerns about its financial performance and market strategy [1]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Booking Holdings reported total revenue of $11.56 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.52%, but net profit plummeted by 46.54% to $1.23 billion [1]. - The decline in profit is closely linked to the company's strategy of expanding market share and increasing business investments, particularly high spending on advertising and marketing, which, while boosting revenue, has compressed profit margins [1]. Market Strategy and Analyst Ratings - Wells Fargo maintained a "hold" rating on Booking Holdings with a target price of $5,443, reflecting cautious sentiment among analysts regarding the company's performance in the global travel market and its expansion strategy in emerging markets [1]. - Despite the company's expansion plans, uncertainties in the global economy, intensified competition in emerging markets, and foreign exchange fluctuations have led to a cautious outlook on future profit growth [1]. Industry Trends - The online travel industry is facing increasing competition due to changing consumer preferences and travel patterns, necessitating continuous investment in technology to maintain competitiveness, which further raises operational costs [2]. - Booking Holdings operates in a challenging environment within the global travel market, where its current financial performance indicates robust revenue growth but pressured profits, highlighting the need for effective cost control and market expansion strategies in the short term [2].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責 任。 （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：444） 復牌情況的季度更新 及 繼續暫停買賣 本公告乃由Sincere Watch (Hong Kong) Limited（「本公司」，連 同 其 附 屬 公 司，統 稱 「本集團」）根 據 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司（「聯交所」）證 券 上 市 規 則（「上市規則」） 第13.09條及第13.24A條以及香港法例第571章證券及期貨條例第XIVA部項下內 幕 消 息 條 文 而 刊 發。 茲提述(1)本公司日期為2022年12月7日、2023年1月20日、2023年3月7日、2025年8 月7日 及2025年8月29日 的 公 告，內 容 有 關 終 止 獨 家 分 銷 協 議（定 義 見 該 等 公 告） 及 仲 裁（定 義 見 該 等 公 告）；(2)日期為2025年6月16日、 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Fortune Global 500 Summit was held in Guangzhou, focusing on how companies can achieve sustainable growth through innovation and collaboration amid global economic uncertainties [1][5] - The total revenue of the listed companies reached $41.7 trillion, accounting for over one-third of global GDP, with a year-on-year growth of 1.8% [1] - The profit margin of the top ten companies includes three from the semiconductor and electronics sectors, highlighting the importance of high-tech industries [3] Group 1 - The summit emphasized the need for dialogue and cooperation to navigate the "atypical cycle" of the global economy [3][5] - Discussions included leveraging AI to enhance innovative productivity and addressing the energy transition's progress and long-term outlook [5][9] - The summit aimed to help companies enhance resilience and discover opportunities in uncertain environments [6] Group 2 - China had 130 companies on the Fortune Global 500 list, with a diverse industry representation including automotive, healthcare, new materials, finance, e-commerce, and construction [7] - Guangzhou has attracted significant foreign investment, with over 362 Fortune Global 500 companies investing in more than 2,000 projects [7] - The city's foreign trade imports and exports grew by 15.5% in the first half of the year, despite a complex global economic situation [7]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged past a 40-year historical high, reaching $3,674.27 per ounce, surpassing the inflation-adjusted record of $3,590 from 1980 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices have increased approximately 5% in September and nearly 40% since the beginning of the year [2]. - The recent spike in gold prices is attributed to rising unemployment claims in the U.S., which reached 263,000, a three-year high, alongside persistent core inflation and economic uncertainty [3]. - Despite the international market's enthusiasm, the domestic retail market and gold funds experienced a slight pullback on September 13 [3][4]. Group 2: Retail Pricing Strategies - Major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook have set gold jewelry prices at 1,078 yuan per gram, showing a slowdown in momentum compared to previous surges [4]. - Gold funds, such as Huaan Gold and Bosera Gold, reported minor declines of around 0.36%, with prices around 758 yuan and 748 yuan respectively [5][6]. - Different pricing strategies among retailers are notable, with some stores like Baoqing Silver Tower offering gold at 1,036 yuan per gram, significantly lower than mainstream prices [8]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The current gold price increase is fundamentally different from the speculative frenzy of the 1980s, reflecting deeper uncertainties in the global economy and geopolitical landscape [10][11]. - The investment environment has become more complex, with lower barriers to entry for gold investments through various ETF products, leading to a significant increase in institutional buying [14]. - Central banks have become major buyers of gold, diversifying their foreign reserves and reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar, which has bolstered gold's position as a reserve asset [15][16]. Group 4: Future Projections - Analysts from Goldman Sachs predict that gold prices could reach $3,700 by the end of 2025 and potentially exceed $4,000 by mid-2026 [17]. - A more aggressive scenario suggests that if there is a large outflow from dollar assets, gold prices could soar to between $4,500 and $5,000 [18]. - The ongoing global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, and continued central bank purchases are expected to support gold prices in the long term [22].

Market Overview - Gold has emerged as a shining safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainty, reaching a historical high of $3674 on September 10, followed by a closing price of $3640.14 on September 11, reflecting an increase of approximately 0.4% and a year-to-date gain of over 39% [1] - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to unexpectedly weak U.S. PPI data, reinforced expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, and ongoing geopolitical tensions, collectively driving the gold market into a new bull market cycle [1] Technical Analysis - On the previous trading day, gold fluctuated between $3635 and $3657, closing with a small gain while remaining above the 5-day moving average. However, indicators such as KDJ and MACD suggest potential for a price correction [3] - The four-hour analysis indicates a slight upward movement after a decline to the 20-day moving average, with current trading around $3636. The TRIX trend indicator shows a bearish crossover, and the MACD indicates increasing bearish momentum, suggesting a predominantly bearish outlook for the day [3] Trading Recommendations - A trading strategy suggests entering short positions around $3658-$3661 with a stop-loss at $3666 and a take-profit target between $3630 and $3520 [5]