Core Viewpoint - The increase in gold prices is driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty in global trade, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 12, gold prices reached $3,375.50 per ounce, marking a 0.61% increase from the previous day [4]. - The gold price opened at $3,356.79 per ounce, with a daily high of $3,377.50 and a low of $3,351.38 [4]. Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The rise in gold prices is attributed to heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly warnings from Iran regarding potential retaliation against U.S. military assets if negotiations fail [3]. - The U.S. is evacuating non-essential personnel from its embassy in Baghdad and military families from several bases in the Gulf due to security concerns, further stimulating safe-haven buying of gold [3]. Group 3: Year-to-Date Trends - Gold prices have increased by 28% year-to-date, supported by rising geopolitical risks and increased central bank purchases [3].

Core Viewpoint - The rise in CPI is expected to suppress the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The market is aware that reaching trade agreements among major economies is not straightforward, and ongoing global trade tensions may continue to support gold prices [1] - CPI data is anticipated to rise, which should provide investors with more guidance on the Federal Reserve's policy direction [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - Silver prices are projected to reach $38 per ounce in the coming months, with market deficits and a weakening dollar being key factors for further price increases, potentially testing $40 per ounce [1]

Group 1 - The CEO of the National Bank of Canada highlighted that global trade tensions and ongoing trade negotiations continue to create uncertainty, impacting the economy [1] - There is an increase in geopolitical and geoeconomic instability as a result of these trade issues [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Eurozone's economic activity is experiencing a contraction, with the composite PMI falling from 50.4 in April to 49.5 in May, below market expectations [1] - The services sector PMI dropped to 48.9, the lowest since January 2024, significantly below the expected 50.3 and previous value of 50.1, indicating weakened demand and declining business confidence [1] - Manufacturing PMI showed signs of stabilization, rising to 49.4, above the previous value of 49.0 and the expected 49.3, with output index remaining in expansion territory at 51.5 for the second consecutive month [1] Group 2 - The analysis highlights that the Eurozone's economic momentum is insufficient, with the services sector's long-standing role as a growth engine being challenged, particularly under the pressures of global trade tensions and policy uncertainties [2] - There is an expectation that the European Central Bank will lower the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.00% in the upcoming meeting on June 5, which could further boost business confidence [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations, currently reported around $3,295 per ounce, with significant attention on upcoming U.S. PMI data that could lead to notable market volatility [1] - Gold prices have seen a four-day consecutive rise, reaching a two-week high of $3,350 per ounce, but the upward momentum is slowing down due to market digestion of previous positive news and upcoming economic data releases [1] - Factors supporting gold prices include rising geopolitical risks, deteriorating U.S. fiscal conditions, and a weakening dollar, with Moody's downgrading the U.S. sovereign credit rating and warning of potential increases in U.S. debt by $3 to $5 trillion [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows that gold prices have recently rebounded to a one-week high, but there is a need to be cautious of short-term correction risks, with a high point of $3,345 noted for the day [3] - The 5-day moving average shows a slight golden cross, while MACD indicates a dead cross with an upward turn, suggesting a mixed technical outlook for gold prices [3] - The suggested trading strategy includes shorting gold around the current price of $3,290, with a stop loss at $3,298 and a target range of $3,275 to $3,255, indicating a bearish sentiment for the evening [3]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The international gold price fell on May 16, recording its largest weekly decline in six months, primarily due to a stronger dollar and reduced concerns over the US-China trade war, which diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [1][2] - As of the report, spot gold dropped by 1.83% to $3,181.19, with a daily low of $3,154, marking a nearly 4% decline for the week, the worst since November of the previous year [1] - Market expectations indicate that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates by approximately 58 basis points by the end of the year, a significant reduction from the 120 basis points anticipated during the peak of panic in April [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold's price action on Friday mirrored that of Thursday, with a significant drop followed by a potential rebound, indicating a possible double bottom formation [2][4] - The key support levels are identified at $3,152 and $3,140, while resistance is noted at $3,210-3,212, suggesting a wide trading range for the upcoming week [4] - The strategy for the upcoming week is to focus on buying on dips above $3,150 and selling on rallies, with a close watch on the resistance and support levels [4] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - On May 16, international oil prices experienced slight upward movement, trading around $61.98 per barrel, following a significant drop the previous day due to easing global trade tensions [5] - The market's concerns regarding oil demand were alleviated by a temporary suspension of tariffs between major economies, which is expected to help mitigate fears of a global economic slowdown [5] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The mid-term outlook for oil prices remains bearish, with the price expected to test lower levels around $50 after a series of fluctuations [6] - Short-term trading strategies suggest focusing on selling on rallies, with key resistance levels at $63.50-64.00 and support levels at $60.5-60.0 [6]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The international gold price fell on May 16, with a potential for the largest weekly decline in six months, driven by a stronger dollar and reduced concerns over the US-China trade war, diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2] - As of the report, spot gold decreased by 1.83% to $3,181.19, with a weekly drop exceeding 3%, marking the worst weekly performance since November 2024 [2] - The market has adjusted its expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, now anticipating a reduction of about 58 basis points this year, down from a peak of 120 basis points during the panic in April [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - On the daily chart, gold showed a strong bullish reversal after hitting a low of 3,120, with a target to test the upper channel at 3,500-3,438, provided that the 3,120 level holds [3] - The recent trading has been influenced by the timing of Russia-Ukraine negotiations, with key resistance at 3,211-3,212 [3] - Short-term analysis indicates a potential for a second bottom test followed by a rebound, with critical resistance at 3,211-3,212 and support levels at 3,150 and 3,140 [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - On May 16, international oil prices experienced slight upward movement, trading around $61.98 per barrel, following a significant drop the previous day [6] - The rebound was attributed to easing global trade tensions, which alleviated concerns about the global economy and oil demand, despite ongoing supply surplus pressures [6] - Oil prices had previously fallen over 2% due to comments from President Trump regarding nearing a nuclear deal with Iran, although key differences remain unresolved [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The mid-term outlook for oil prices indicates downward pressure from the moving average system, with expectations of a decline towards the $50 level after a series of price fluctuations [7] - Short-term trends show oil prices testing the $60 support level, with a potential for a small upward movement before facing resistance around $63.50 [7] - The recommended trading strategy suggests focusing on short positions during rebounds, with key resistance at $63.5-$64.0 and support at $60.5-$60.0 [7]

南方中心董事、中国公共外交协会会长吴海龙表示，美国滥施关税影响发展中国家贸易与经济，冲击产 业链供应链合作，造成金融市场动荡。中方始终站在多边主义、公道正义和国际社会共同利益一边，希 望与国际社会加强合作、共同应对。 与会各方积极呼应中方发言，强调应坚持开放合作、互利共赢，共同维护好多边贸易体制，一致认为应 加强南南贸易合作，发挥好贸易对发展的促进作用，共同落实联合国2030年可持续发展议程。(新华社) 中国常驻联合国日内瓦代表团与南方中心8日在瑞士日内瓦万国宫共同举办"全球贸易紧张局势对发展中 国家影响"对话会，就发展中国家团结合作应对美国滥施关税行径展开讨论，共30多个发展中国家参 加。与会代表表示，关税等单边主义措施冲击全球经济和发展中国家经济社会发展，各方应加强对话合 作，妥善处理分歧。 中国常驻联合国日内瓦办事处和瑞士其他国际组织代表陈旭发言指出，美国"对等关税"是典型的单边主 义、保护主义做法，剥夺了发展中国家的发展机遇，严重冲击全球经济和贸易秩序。中国始终坚持开放 合作、互利共赢，将加强与其他发展中国家合作，继续维护以联合国为核心的国际体系和以世贸组织为 核心的多边贸易体制。 ...

当地时间8日，中国常驻联合国日内瓦代表团与南方中心在日内瓦万国宫共同举办"全球贸易紧张局势对 发展中国家影响"对话会，重点就发展中国家团结合作应对美国滥施关税行径展开讨论，30多个发展中 国家参加。与会代表纷纷表示，关税等单边主义措施冲击全球经济和发展中国家经济社会发展，各方应 加强对话合作，妥善处理分歧。(央视新闻) ...

Group 1 - The Bank of England announced a 25 basis points interest rate cut, lowering the benchmark rate to 4.25%, aligning with market expectations [1] - UK inflation pressures have eased, and economic growth showed unexpected improvement in February, with both year-on-year and month-on-month GDP growth exceeding expectations [1] - Economists surveyed by Reuters predict that the Bank of England will maintain a quarterly rate cut pace, potentially lowering the benchmark rate to 3.75% by the end of the year [1]