Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices reached a two-week high of $3408.71 due to increased safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical uncertainties and weak U.S. employment data [2][3] - On August 7, gold prices surged by $26.05, or 0.77%, closing at $3395.30 per ounce, as market participants anticipated a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve [2] - The market is currently experiencing a wide trading range between $3400 and $3370, with ongoing volatility influenced by various news events, including U.S. tariffs and employment data [3][4] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are attributed to conflicting news, with the People's Bank of China increasing its gold reserves for nine consecutive months, providing bullish support [3] - The market is expected to continue its "whipsaw" behavior, with potential for a downward trend following a brief upward movement [4][6] - Short-term trading strategies suggest focusing on selling during price rebounds, with key resistance levels identified at $3408-$3418 and support levels at $3370-$3360 [6] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices have shown significant declines, with Brent crude falling to $66.40 per barrel and WTI crude to $63.82 per barrel, marking a weekly drop of over 4% and 5% respectively [7] - The downward pressure on oil prices is primarily due to concerns over the impact of new U.S. tariffs on global economic growth and shifts in OPEC+ policies [7][8] - The technical outlook for oil indicates a bearish trend, with six consecutive days of declining prices and MACD indicators suggesting strengthening bearish momentum [8]

Group 1: Fundamental Analysis - Global trade tensions are increasing demand for safe-haven assets, with Trump's tariffs on imports raising the average U.S. import tariff to its highest level in a century, leading to heightened inflation and economic slowdown concerns [2] - U.S. labor market data shows weakness, with initial jobless claims rising to 226,000, and the market is increasingly expecting a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with a probability exceeding 91% [2] - Geopolitical risks are escalating, particularly in the Middle East and due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which is further enhancing the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset [4] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that gold has maintained a strong upward trend, with key support levels at 3380, 3371, and 3365, while resistance is noted at 3432 [5][8] - On the four-hour chart, gold is likely in the fifth wave of an upward trend, with critical support at 3350/3349, and the market should be monitored for potential resistance at previous highs of 3438/3439 [7][8]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current spot gold price is around $3,380.79 per ounce, influenced by weak U.S. economic data, rising expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, and escalating global trade tensions [1][2] - The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend for gold, with a significant long lower shadow candlestick suggesting stabilization and potential upward movement towards the $3,460-$3,470 range [4] - The market sentiment is further supported by geopolitical risks and a weakening dollar, which are driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][4] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices are stable, with Brent crude at $68.76 per barrel and WTI crude slightly down at $66.27, amid concerns over supply surplus [5] - OPEC+ plans to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day starting in September, which may pressure oil prices downward [5] - The oil market is currently in a state of "supply-demand expectation game," with geopolitical pressures potentially limiting supply and affecting global energy flows [5][6] Group 3: Trading Strategy Insights - The trading strategy for gold suggests a focus on buying during pullbacks, with key resistance levels at $3,400-$3,410 and support levels at $3,360-$3,350 [4] - For oil, the recommendation is to sell on rebounds, with resistance levels at $67.0-$68.0 and support levels at $64.0-$63.0 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Moody's analysis indicates that Indonesia's GDP growth is expected to slow from 4.9% in the first quarter to 4.6% year-on-year in the second quarter, marking the weakest result since September 2021 [1] Economic Outlook - The anticipated GDP growth of 4.6% will be the lowest since the economic contraction caused by COVID-19 lockdowns in September 2021 [1] - Moody's forecasts a GDP growth of 4.7% for 2025, which is below the government's target of 5% [1] Contributing Factors - Global trade tensions are likely to exert pressure on exports [1] - Declining consumer confidence, slowing industrial activity, and high unemployment rates are expected to weigh on domestic economic performance [1] Upcoming Data - GDP data is scheduled to be released on Tuesday [1]

Market Overview - The US stock market experienced a decline on Thursday, with the S&P 500 index recording its third consecutive day of losses. The Dow Jones fell by 0.74%, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.37%, and the Nasdaq saw a slight drop of 0.03% [1][3]. Trade Policies Impact - The primary reason for the market pullback is attributed to a series of trade and price control policies accelerated by Trump during the election campaign. He announced new tariffs on goods from multiple countries, including a 15% tariff on South Korean products in exchange for a $350 billion investment from South Korea [3]. - Trump also stated that starting Friday, a 25% tariff would be imposed on Indian goods, warning of further penalties if India continues to purchase Russian energy [3]. - Additionally, Trump urged 17 multinational pharmaceutical companies, including Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, and Pfizer, to lower US drug prices to the lowest globally within 60 days, leading to a significant drop in the pharmaceutical sector [3]. Figma's IPO Performance - Figma, a cloud-based design software company, saw its stock surge by 250% on its IPO day, opening at $85, nearly three times its $33 issue price, and reaching a high of $112 before closing at $115.50 [4]. - The successful IPO has injected strong momentum into the US IPO market, with over $21 billion raised so far in 2025, surpassing the $20.2 billion raised in the same period of 2024 [9]. Future Growth and M&A Strategy - Figma aims to expand its user base beyond designers to include product managers, marketers, and general office users, which is seen as a key variable for long-term growth [7]. - The company plans to integrate AI capabilities deeply into its products and is actively seeking acquisition opportunities to enhance its offerings in design, collaboration, and development [8]. Market Sentiment and Valuation - Analysts suggest that the recent rapid market increase has already priced in a lot of positive expectations, particularly after the S&P 500 reached new highs for six consecutive days. The current market valuation is considered high, and any policy changes or hawkish statements could trigger technical adjustments [3].

Market Overview - The US stock market closed lower on July 31, with all three major indices declining despite strong performances from Microsoft and Meta [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.74% to 44,130.98 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.37% to 6,339.39 points, and the Nasdaq Composite slightly dropped by 0.03% to 21,122.45 points [2][3] - Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached historical highs during the trading session but retreated, indicating cautious investor sentiment [2] Company Performance - Microsoft and Meta reported quarterly earnings that exceeded expectations, with Microsoft shares rising approximately 3.95% and Meta's shares increasing by 11.25% [4][5] - Microsoft's cloud service Azure achieved annual revenue exceeding $75 billion, while Meta provided an optimistic revenue forecast for Q3, surpassing Wall Street expectations [4] - Other major tech stocks showed mixed results, with Apple down 0.71%, Nvidia down 0.78%, and Google down 2.36%, while Amazon rose by 1.70% and Tesla fell by 3.38% [4][5] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.66%, with notable performances from Alibaba (up 2.77%) and NIO (up 7.98%), while JD.com fell by 0.82% [5][6] Earnings Reports - Apple reported Q3 revenue of $94.04 billion, a year-over-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit of $23.43 billion, also up by 9% [8] - Amazon's Q2 revenue reached $167.7 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of $18.16 billion, up 34.7% [8] Trade Policy Impact - President Trump's new tariff measures, including a 90-day extension of tariffs on Mexico and an increase in tariffs on Canada from 25% to 35%, have raised concerns about global trade tensions [9]

Group 1 - Eurozone economy unexpectedly expanded by 0.1% in Q2, contrary to analysts' expectations of zero growth [1] - Germany's economy contracted by 0.1% during the same period, indicating ongoing economic challenges [1] - France's economy grew by 0.3% in Q2, surpassing market expectations of 0.1% [1] - Spain's economy grew by 0.7% in Q2, up from 0.6% in Q1, continuing its role as a growth engine in the region [1] Group 2 - European Central Bank (ECB) maintains interest rates at 2%, with inflation nearing the 2% medium-term target [1] - ECB President Lagarde noted that the eurozone's economic performance has been slightly better than the bank's expectations for the year [1] - Deka Bank's chief economist highlighted the ongoing weakness in Germany's economic momentum compared to other European countries [2]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant volatility due to President Trump's comments about potentially firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which led to a sharp increase in gold prices before a partial retracement [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Gold prices initially dropped to a low of $3319 before surging to $3376, ultimately closing at $3346, indicating a day of high volatility [1] - Trump's ambiguous statements regarding Powell's position have raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, providing support for gold's safe-haven appeal [1] Group 2: Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Israel's airstrikes on Damascus have heightened regional instability, contributing to the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - The Trump administration's announcement of potential tariffs on over 150 countries, with rates possibly set at 10% or 15%, has escalated global trade tensions, further supporting gold prices [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The gold market is expected to maintain a volatile trading range between $3330 and $3380, with key resistance levels at $3350-55 and $3370-80 [2] - A cautious approach is recommended, with traders advised to wait for market sentiment to stabilize before making significant moves [2] Group 4: Trading Recommendations - A suggested trading strategy includes buying gold at $3337-3336 with a stop loss at $3329 and a target of $3370-3380, while also considering short positions if prices drop below $3330 [3] Group 5: Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data to watch includes U.S. initial jobless claims, retail sales, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, all scheduled for release on July 17 [4]

Group 1 - The international silver price rose to $37.89 per ounce, an increase of $0.20 or 0.52%, amid new tariffs imposed by the U.S. on 17 countries, adding uncertainty to global trade prospects [1] - The latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that as of July 16, silver ETF holdings decreased by 36.73 tons to 14,819.29 tons [1][2] - The U.S. has announced reciprocal tariffs on major trading partners, including the EU, Japan, Canada, Mexico, and South Korea, due to the failure to reach an agreement during a 90-day tariff truce [2] Group 2 - The U.S. inflation rate surged to 2.7% as a result of rising import prices, raising questions about the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in September [3] - Market experts warn that the current price pressures only reflect the initial impact of tariffs on certain industries, with the full effects of the tariffs yet to be seen [3] - The international silver market experienced fluctuations, with a recent support level identified between $37.30 and $37.50, and a potential drop below $37.30 could lead to testing lower support levels [4]

Group 1 - Indonesia announced the easing or removal of import restrictions on ten categories of goods and raw materials, including forest products, pearls, subsidized fertilizers, certain fuels and chemicals, plastic raw materials, food pallets, bicycles, and footwear [1] - The measures aim to assist in negotiations with the US regarding a 32% tariff threat and to promote broader trade goals, including a trade agreement with the EU and joining the OECD [1] - Indonesia will tighten import regulations on clothing and accessories to support domestic manufacturing, while maintaining import restrictions on strategic goods such as rice, salt, fishery products, and certain labor-intensive industry products [1] Group 2 - Indonesia proposed investment cooperation with the US in the electric vehicle supply chain, focusing on nickel and other key materials, but did not disclose further details [2] - As the world's largest nickel producer, Indonesia is accelerating its electric vehicle battery supply chain, recently launching a $5.9 billion industrial park construction [2] - The policy adjustments are part of President Joko Widodo's early efforts to improve Indonesia's business environment, which has seen a decline in global competitiveness rankings [2]