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个人是阶段主要买入力量,北上与 ETF均有所净流出
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-07 09:20
Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index continued to decline, and the degree of "inversion" in the China-US interest rate spread deepened. Both nominal and real yields on 10-year US Treasuries rose, indicating a rebound in inflation expectations [1][6] - Offshore dollar liquidity has marginally tightened, while the domestic interbank funding situation remained overall balanced, with a slight widening of the yield spread between 10-year and 1-year bonds [1][6] Market Trading Activity - Overall market trading heat has decreased, with most major indices experiencing a decline in volatility. Sectors such as light industry, military industry, textile and apparel, chemicals, retail, machinery, computers, pharmaceuticals, steel, and telecommunications are all above the 80th percentile in trading heat [2][6] - The liquidity indicators in the market have also receded, with the non-ferrous metals sector's liquidity indicators above the 50th historical percentile [2][11] Analyst Forecasts - Analysts have adjusted the net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2025/2026, with sectors such as steel, retail, machinery, electric power, media, non-ferrous metals, and utilities seeing upward revisions [2][4] - The proportion of stocks with upward revisions in net profit forecasts for 2025/2026 has increased, while the proportion of stocks with downward revisions has decreased [4][16] - The net profit forecasts for the ChiNext Index and the SSE 50 have been raised, while those for the CSI 300 have been lowered. The CSI 500's forecasts have seen mixed adjustments [4][16] Northbound Trading - Northbound trading activity has decreased, with an overall net sell-off of A-shares. The average daily trading volume for northbound trading has also declined [3][5] - Northbound funds have primarily net bought sectors such as electric power and utilities, and electronics, while net selling occurred in sectors like computers, media, food and beverage, agriculture, and home appliances [3][5] Margin Financing - Margin financing activity has slightly decreased but remains at a high point since late March 2025. The net buying in margin financing was 12.607 billion yuan, with significant net purchases in sectors like electronics, military, chemicals, and electric power [4][6] - The proportion of financing purchases in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, real estate, telecommunications, and military has increased, with non-ferrous metals and telecommunications above the 50th historical percentile [4][8] Fund Activity - The positions of actively managed equity funds have decreased, with overall net redemptions in ETFs, primarily from institutional ETFs. Active equity funds have increased positions in sectors like military, telecommunications, computers, and pharmaceuticals, while reducing positions in agriculture, retail, and consumer services [4][8] - Newly established equity funds have seen a significant decline in scale, with both active and passive equity fund sizes decreasing [4][8]
沪深300增强本周超额基准0.97%
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-06 03:15
沪深 300 增强本周超额基准 0.97% 戴维斯双击策略 戴维斯双击即指以较低的市盈率买入具有成长潜力的股票,待成长性显现、 市盈率相应提高后卖出,获得乘数效应的收益,即 EPS 和 PE 的"双击"。 策略在 2010-2017 年回测期内实现了 26.45%的年化收益,超额基准 21.08%。 今年以来,策略累计绝对收益 16.79%,超额中证 500 指数 13.55%,本周策 略超额中证 500 指数-0.61%。本期组合于 2025-05-06 日开盘调仓,截至 2025-07-04 日,本期组合超额基准指数 1.13%。 净利润断层策略 金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 净利润断层策略是基本面与技术面共振双击下的选股模式,其核心有两点: "净利润",指通常意义上的业绩超预期;"断层",指盈余公告后的首个交 易日股价出现向上跳空,该跳空通常代表市场对盈余报告的认可程度。 策略在 2010 年至今取得了年化 29.25%的收益,年化超额基准 27.44%。本 年组合累计绝对收益 28.58%,超额基准指数 25.33%,本周超额收益 0.13%。 沪深 300 增强组合 根据对优秀 ...
因子跟踪周报:成长、分红因子表现较好-20250705
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-05 07:08
金融工程 证券研究报告 因 子 跟 踪 周 报 : 成 长 、 分 红 因 子 表 现 较 好 - 20250705 金融工程 | 金工定期报告 因子 IC 跟踪 IC 方面,最近一周,标准化预期外盈利、季度净利润同比增长、bp 等因 子表现较好,Beta、1 月特异度、Fama-French 三因子 1 月残差波动率等 因子表现较差;最近一月,1 月特异度、1 个月超额收益率波动、bp 等因 子表现较好,一致预期 EPS 变动、一致预期净利润复合增速、一年动量等 因子表现较差;最近一年,小市值、1 个月反转、Fama-French 三因子 1 月残差波动率等因子表现较好,一年动量、前五大股东持股比例合计、季 度 roa 等因子表现较差。 因子多头组合跟踪 多头组合方面,最近一周,股息率、标准化预期外盈利、季度 ep 等因子 表现较好,Beta、1 月特异度、一致预期净利润复合增速等因子表现较 差;最近一月,季度净利润同比增长、小市值、1 个月超额收益率波动等 因子表现较好,1 个月非流动性冲击、90 天分析师覆盖度、bp 三年分位 数等因子表现较差;最近一年,小市值、1 个月换手率波动、1 个月日均 换手率 ...
雪天盐业:预计2025年上半年净利润同比减少76.34%-80.29%
news flash· 2025-07-03 07:46
雪天盐业(600929)公告,预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为6478万元到7774万 元,与上年同期相比,将减少2.51亿元到2.64亿元,同比减少76.34%到80.29%。预计2025年半年度实现 归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为4092万元到4910万元,与上年同期相比,将减少 2.18亿元到2.26亿元,同比减少81.60%到84.67%。 ...
青松股份高管层涨薪 副总裁骆棋辉连续四年维持118.5万不变
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 05:46
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 运营商财经网 实习生许小婧/文 近期,青松股份发布了2024年年报,据财报显示,公司全年净利润同比增幅超100%,副总裁兼董事会 秘书骆棋辉薪酬连续四年维持不变,引发关注。 2023年12月,青松股份因在未取得正式评估报告的情况下,于信息披露文件中引用相关评估数据等违规 行为,被福建证监局采取出具警示函的监管措施,骆棋辉作为时任副总裁兼董事会秘书与董事长范展华 同步被予以警示。 据公司2024年年报显示,全年实现营业收入约19.4亿元,同比下降1.51%,实现归属净利润5468.34万 元,同比增长180.02%,公司营收降幅小,但净利润大幅度上涨。 值得关注的是,在披露薪酬的高管中,副总裁骆棋辉2024年度薪酬为118.5万元,均低于董事长范展 华、副总裁林悦聪以及常务副总裁欧阳汝正,他们的薪酬分别为122.2万元、160.54万和138.3万元 据过往财报数据显示,骆棋辉的薪酬较稳定,2020年为98.04万元,2021年上涨至118.5万元后,至2024 年连续四年间,其薪酬均维持在该水平。而同职级副总裁林悦聪2021年至2024年薪酬呈现逐年上升态 势 ...
吉宏股份:预计上半年净利润同比增长97.25%-108.21%
news flash· 2025-07-02 11:18
吉宏股份(002803)公告,预计2025年上半年净利润为1.3亿元至1.37亿元,比上年同期的6598.91万元 增长97.25%—108.21%。归属于上市公司股东的净利润为1.12亿元至1.19亿元,比上年同期的7236.3万元 增长55.00%—65.00%。 ...
麦迪科技:预计2025年上半年净利润2500万元-2700万元,同比扭亏为盈
news flash· 2025-07-02 07:49
麦迪科技:预计2025年上半年净利润2500万元-2700万元,同比扭亏为盈 金十数据7月2日讯,麦迪科技公告,预计2025年半年度归属于母公司所有者的净利润为2500万元至2700 万元,上年同期为-7633.52万元,将实现扭亏为盈。预计2025年半年度归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经 常性损益的净利润为400万元至600万元。 ...
岳阳兴长收盘下跌1.34%,滚动市盈率103.53倍,总市值57.08亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 08:28
Company Overview - Yueyang Xingchang's closing price on July 1 was 15.44 yuan, down 1.34%, with a rolling PE ratio of 103.53 times and a total market value of 5.708 billion yuan [1] - The company operates in the petrochemical sector, focusing on the development, production, and sales of chemical new materials, energy conservation and environmental protection, and energy chemical products [1] - Main products include methyl tert-butyl ether, liquefied petroleum gas, propylene, industrial isooctane, ortho-cresol, calcined petroleum coke, and special polypropylene [1] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.063 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.85% [1] - Net profit for the same period was 13.6081 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 37.00% [1] - The sales gross margin stood at 18.85% [1] Shareholder Information - As of March 31, 2025, the number of shareholders was 22,331, an increase of 408 from the previous count [1] - The average market value of shares held per shareholder was 352,800 yuan, with an average holding of 27,600 shares [1] Industry Comparison - The average PE ratio for the petrochemical industry is 12.81 times, with a median of 29.80 times, positioning Yueyang Xingchang at 19th place within the industry [2] - The company's PE ratio is significantly higher than the industry average, indicating potential overvaluation compared to peers [2]
净利润断层本周超额基准3.24%
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-28 13:28
金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 基于投资者偏好因子构建增强沪深 300 组合,历史回测超额收益稳定。本 年组合相对沪深 300 指数超额收益为 13.23%;本周超额收益为-0.10%;本 月超额收益为 2.40%。 净利润断层本周超额基准 3.24% 戴维斯双击策略 戴维斯双击即指以较低的市盈率买入具有成长潜力的股票,待成长性显现、 市盈率相应提高后卖出,获得乘数效应的收益,即 EPS 和 PE 的"双击"。 策略在 2010-2017 年回测期内实现了 26.45%的年化收益,超额基准 21.08%。 今年以来,策略累计绝对收益 16.55%,超额中证 500 指数 14.14%,本周策 略超额中证 500 指数-0.15%。本期组合于 2025-05-06 日开盘调仓,截至 2025-06-27 日,本期组合超额基准指数 1.75%。 净利润断层策略 净利润断层策略是基本面与技术面共振双击下的选股模式,其核心有两点: "净利润",指通常意义上的业绩超预期;"断层",指盈余公告后的首个交 易日股价出现向上跳空,该跳空通常代表市场对盈余报告的认可程度。 策略在 2010 年至今取得了年化 ...
菱电电控收盘下跌1.14%,滚动市盈率81.79倍,总市值27.03亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 12:04
6月26日,菱电电控今日收盘52.16元,下跌1.14%,滚动市盈率PE(当前股价与前四季度每股收益总和 的比值)达到81.79倍,总市值27.03亿元。 从行业市盈率排名来看,公司所处的汽车零部件行业市盈率平均44.54倍,行业中值36.26倍,菱电电控 排名第190位。 来源:金融界 截至2025年一季报,共有4家机构持仓菱电电控,其中其他3家、基金1家,合计持股数471.00万股,持 股市值2.28亿元。 武汉菱电汽车电控系统股份有限公司的主营业务是发动机管理系统、纯电动汽车动力电子控制系统、混 合动力汽车动力电子控制系统、车联网产品以及相关的技术开发及标定服务。公司的主要产品是汽油 EMS、混合动力EMS、两用燃料(汽油、CNG)汽车EMS、摩托车EMS、电机控制器、发电机控制 器、整车控制器、T-BOX、电机电控二合一、HECU、四合一电机控制器、PCU、GECU发电三合一、 动力车身域控制器。 最新一期业绩显示,2025年一季报,公司实现营业收入3.12亿元,同比21.55%;净利润1747.60万元, 同比4521.16%,销售毛利率18.59%。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市 ...