Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Alibaba maintains a "buy" rating, with projected revenues of 1.06 trillion, 1.18 trillion, and 1.30 trillion yuan for FY2026-FY2028, and adjusted net profits of 125.6 billion, 159.9 billion, and 190.3 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 19.9, 15.6, and 13.1 times [1] - Alibaba's synergy between instant retail and its main e-commerce platform is significant, further enhancing its "big consumption platform" strategy, while its cloud business is expected to benefit from AI applications and the commercialization of AIAgent [1] - Gaode Map, a subsidiary of Alibaba, launched the "Gaode Street Ranking," the world's first ranking based on user behavior, to support offline dining and service consumption, covering over 300 cities in China [1] Group 2 - Following the launch of Taobao Flash Sale on April 30, Alibaba further expanded its offline business with the Gaode "Street Ranking," which has synergies with both offline and delivery services [2] - The complexity of offline consumption scenarios is lower than that of delivery services, leading to greater profit margins, and Gaode Map's recent upgrade includes AI features that analyze user behavior data [2] - Gaode Map's average daily active users (DAU) reached 186 million by July 2025, six times that of Dianping, indicating strong traffic advantages, and the platform aims to become a "super app" in the domestic map sector [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group (09988.HK) [4] Core Views - Alibaba is enhancing its "big consumption platform" strategy with the launch of Gaode's "Street Ranking," which supports offline dining and service consumption [1][2] - The integration of Gaode's services with Alibaba's existing platforms, such as Taobao, is expected to create synergies between in-store and delivery services, potentially increasing profit margins [2][3] - The report anticipates significant revenue growth for Alibaba, projecting revenues of CNY 1.06 trillion, CNY 1.18 trillion, and CNY 1.30 trillion for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively [3] Financial Summary - Revenue (CNY million): - FY2024A: 941,168 - FY2025A: 996,347 - FY2026E: 1,058,220 - FY2027E: 1,183,302 - FY2028E: 1,304,354 - Year-over-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 8.34%, 5.86%, 6.21%, 11.82%, and 10.23% for FY2024A to FY2028E [1][3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (CNY million): - FY2024A: 79,741 - FY2025A: 129,470 - FY2026E: 107,108 - FY2027E: 137,785 - FY2028E: 167,027 - Year-over-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 9.97%, 62.36%, -17.68%, 28.64%, and 21.22% for FY2024A to FY2028E [1][3] - The report highlights a significant increase in the return on equity (ROE), expected to rise from 8.11% in FY2024A to 12.47% in FY2028E [1][3] Market Position - Gaode's average daily active users (DAU) reached 186 million by July 2025, significantly outperforming competitors [2] - The report suggests that Gaode is on track to become a "super app" in the domestic market, integrating various services such as maps, ride-hailing, reviews, and group buying [2]

Core Insights - Alibaba is re-entering the local services market with a strategic focus on its mapping service, Gaode, which is now equipped with significant financial backing and innovative features aimed at competing with Meituan and Douyin [1][9] - The launch of the "Gaode Street Ranking" aims to redefine consumer trust and engagement by utilizing real user behavior and credit systems, distancing itself from traditional promotional tactics [2][3] Group 1: Alibaba's Strategy - On its 26th anniversary, Alibaba activated Gaode with over 11 billion yuan in subsidies to challenge competitors directly [1] - Gaode is positioned not just as a navigation tool but as a key player in reshaping local consumption and enhancing the physical retail landscape [1][5] - The integration of Gaode with Taobao Flash Purchase is seen as a critical move to create a comprehensive local service ecosystem [6][8] Group 2: Gaode's Innovations - The "Gaode Street Ranking" is based on data from 51.32 million users covering 22.8 billion kilometers, identifying 1.18 million frequently visited stores [3] - Gaode's approach emphasizes authenticity and trust, with a commitment to never commercialize the ranking system, thus fostering a healthier marketplace [2][3] - The initiative includes substantial financial incentives, such as 2 billion yuan in travel and 9.5 billion yuan in transaction vouchers to stimulate market penetration [3][4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competitive dynamics have shifted, with Meituan feeling pressure from both Douyin and Alibaba's renewed efforts in local services [7][9] - Gaode's extensive user base and high-frequency usage scenarios provide a strategic advantage in linking navigation with local consumption [5][6] - The battle for dominance in local services is now focused on capturing critical consumer touchpoints across platforms, with Gaode positioned to influence user decisions significantly [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba is embarking on a "re-entrepreneurship" journey with a focus on driving strong business growth through continuous investment in core businesses, particularly in AI and cloud technology, as well as a large consumer platform [1][16]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the latest quarterly earnings report, Alibaba achieved a steady revenue growth of 10% year-on-year, excluding disposed businesses [1]. - The core Chinese e-commerce business saw customer management revenue increase by 10%, while the cloud intelligence group's revenue growth accelerated to 26%, marking a three-year high [4][10]. Group 2: Cloud and AI Developments - Alibaba Cloud's revenue growth reached 26%, with AI-related product revenue experiencing triple-digit year-on-year growth for eight consecutive quarters, now accounting for over 20% of external commercial revenue [4][10]. - The company plans to invest 380 billion yuan in cloud and AI hardware infrastructure over the next three years, with capital expenditures in the AI and cloud sector reaching a record high of 38.6 billion yuan this quarter [9][10]. Group 3: Consumer Market Strategy - Alibaba is strategically transitioning from an e-commerce platform to a large consumer platform, integrating various services to meet the comprehensive needs of consumers [6][16]. - The launch of "Taobao Flash Purchase" has successfully covered over 300 cities, achieving 300 million monthly active buyers within four months, and driving a 25% year-on-year increase in active users on the Taobao app [4][5]. Group 4: Long-term Vision - The company aims to create a comprehensive consumer platform that caters to the shopping and daily life needs of 1 billion consumers, targeting a market potential of 30 trillion yuan [6][7]. - Alibaba's long-term strategy emphasizes a commitment to "long-termism," focusing on continuous investment in AI and large consumer markets to enhance competitive advantages and drive sustainable growth [16].

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba has reported a comprehensive and better-than-expected financial performance, highlighting significant growth in its core businesses, particularly in AI and cloud services, as well as in its e-commerce segment [5][11]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Alibaba's cloud revenue grew by 26% year-on-year, marking the highest growth rate in three years, driven by AI-related products that have seen triple-digit growth for eight consecutive quarters [5][8]. - The Chinese e-commerce group's revenue increased by 10% to 1.4 trillion yuan, with customer management revenue (CMR) also rising by 10% [5]. - Alibaba's adjusted EBITA for the Chinese e-commerce group decreased by 21%, with profits down by 10.364 billion yuan, yet it managed to achieve significant growth in market share and order volume without overspending compared to competitors [6][10]. Group 2: AI and Cloud Investments - In the second quarter, Alibaba's capital expenditure (capex) for AI and cloud reached 38.6 billion yuan, a 220% increase year-on-year, indicating a strong focus on AI as a core growth driver [8][12]. - The company has launched eight new AI and cloud data centers globally this year to meet increasing domestic and international demand [8]. - Alibaba's AI revenue now accounts for over 20% of external commercial revenue, reflecting the growing importance of AI in its business model [8]. Group 3: E-commerce Growth and Strategy - The daily order peak for Taobao's flash purchase service reached 120 million in August, with monthly active buyers growing by 200% since April [9][10]. - Taobao's monthly active buyers increased by 25% in the first three weeks of August, with flash purchase achieving a monthly active buyer count of 300 million [10]. - The integration of flash purchase has significantly boosted Taobao's daily active users, leading to a 20% increase in August [12][14]. Group 4: Long-term Vision and Market Potential - Alibaba views AI and consumer services as two major strategic opportunities, with plans to invest 380 billion yuan in AI and 50 billion yuan in instant retail [11][13]. - The company aims to create a comprehensive consumer platform that meets the needs of 1 billion consumers, focusing on enhancing shopping and living experiences [15][16]. - Alibaba's long-term goal is to establish itself as a leading player in the 30 trillion yuan consumer market, leveraging its AI capabilities and extensive service offerings [11][12].

Core Insights - Alibaba Group's CEO, Wu Yongming, highlighted two historic strategic opportunities: a technology platform centered on AI and cloud, and a consumer platform integrating shopping and lifestyle services [1][2] - The company aims to drive strong business growth with significant investments of 380 billion yuan in AI and 50 billion yuan in the consumer sector [1] - Alibaba's investment in AI has reached 38.6 billion yuan this quarter, with over 100 billion yuan invested in AI infrastructure and product development over the past four quarters [1] AI and Cloud Strategy - Wu emphasized that the integration of AI technology across all industries and its deep connection with cloud computing represents the largest industry opportunity in the next decade [1] - Alibaba holds the position of the fourth largest cloud provider globally and the largest in Asia, with comprehensive capabilities in AI technology [1] - The company's AI-related revenue has seen triple-digit growth for eight consecutive quarters, with AI revenue now accounting for over 20% of external commercial income [2] Consumer Market Strategy - Alibaba is leveraging China's status as the largest e-commerce market to create a one-stop consumption platform that meets the needs of 1 billion consumers [2] - The integration of near-field consumption and long-distance e-commerce is expected to enhance user experience and facilitate the emergence of an AI-driven consumption assistant [2] - The company reported a 26% growth in Alibaba Cloud, with 300 million monthly active buyers in the instant retail sector, contributing to a 25% increase in monthly active buyers on the Taobao app [2]

在大消费领域，吴泳铭表示，阿里立足于中国这个全球最大的电商市场和最有潜力的服务消费市场，电 商基础设施发达、人口密度高、服务消费需求旺盛，即时零售和电商具备融合的基础条件。近场消费与 远场电商融合，不仅能满足用户的一站式消费需求，也能满足商家多场景服务消费者的需求，更将有助 于AI时代一站式消费助理的诞生。 吴泳铭强调："阿里在即时零售领域的布局，并不是着眼于单一消费品类的竞争，而是满足10亿消费者 的一站式需求，塑造AI时代大消费平台的商业形态。"阿里在大消费领域的长期目标，是满足10亿消费 者的购物与生活消费全场景需求，创造体验最优、消费者数量最多、消费频次最高的大消费平台，引领 未来30万亿元规模的大消费市场。 "未来三年，阿里将以创业心态再出发，以驱动业务强劲增长为核心目标，对核心业务持续投入提升竞 争优势、获得长期增长充满信心。"吴泳铭说。 （编辑 郭之宸） 本报讯 （记者梁傲男）8月29日晚间，在2026财年Q1财报分析师电话会上，阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司 （以下简称"阿里"）CEO吴泳铭表示，以AI+云为核心的科技平台、购物与生活服务融合的大消费平 台，是阿里面临的两大历史性战略机遇。阿里将以驱 ...

Core Insights - Alibaba Group's CEO emphasizes two historic strategic opportunities: AI + Cloud technology platform and a consumer platform integrating shopping and lifestyle services [1][2] - The company plans to invest 380 billion yuan in AI + Cloud and 50 billion yuan in the consumer sector to drive strong business growth [1] - Alibaba Cloud has achieved a 26% growth rate, with AI-related revenue growing at triple digits for eight consecutive quarters, now accounting for over 20% of external commercial revenue [1] Investment in AI + Cloud - In the current quarter, Alibaba's capital expenditure (Capex) investment in AI + Cloud reached 38.6 billion yuan, with over 100 billion yuan invested in AI infrastructure and product development over the past four quarters [1] - The integration of AI technology with cloud computing is seen as the largest industry opportunity in the next decade [1] Consumer Market Strategy - Alibaba is leveraging China's position as the largest e-commerce market to create a one-stop shopping experience that meets the needs of 1 billion consumers [2] - The company aims to shape the commercial landscape of the consumer platform in the AI era, focusing on a comprehensive service that combines near-field consumption with e-commerce [2] - Alibaba's long-term goal in the consumer sector is to create the most optimal shopping experience, with the highest number of consumers and purchase frequency, targeting a market size of 30 trillion yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba has restructured its business into four main groups to enhance operational efficiency and respond to market competition, particularly in the e-commerce and local services sectors [1][5]. Group Summaries Alibaba China E-commerce Group - This group includes platforms such as Taobao, Tmall, Xianyu, Fliggy, Taobao Flash Sale, Ele.me, and 1688 [3][5]. - The integration of Ele.me and Taobao Flash Sale into the new China E-commerce Group is aimed at strengthening core e-commerce capabilities [5][7]. Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group - This group encompasses international platforms like AliExpress, Trendyol, Lazada, Daraz, and Alibaba.com [3][5]. Cloud Intelligence Group - The Cloud Intelligence Group is primarily represented by Alibaba Cloud [5]. Other Businesses - The "Other" category includes DingTalk, Quark, Tongyi, Gaode Map, Cainiao, Youku, Damai Entertainment, Hema, and Alibaba Health [5][6]. - The previously independent Cainiao and Big Entertainment groups are now categorized under "Other," indicating a strategic shift towards supporting core business rather than independent expansion [5][6]. Strategic Context - The restructuring follows the "1+6+N" framework proposed by former CEO Daniel Zhang in March 2023, which aimed to create six independent operational entities while retaining various smaller business units [5][6]. - The focus has shifted towards core e-commerce and AI capabilities, especially after the suspension of IPO plans for Cainiao and Hema [6]. - In November 2024, Alibaba's CEO announced the formation of the Alibaba E-commerce Business Group, consolidating various e-commerce operations to create a comprehensive domestic and international business cluster [6][7]. Market Insights - The local services market in China is projected to grow from CNY 19.5 trillion in 2020 to CNY 35.3 trillion by 2025, with online penetration increasing from 24.3% to 30.8% during the same period [7].

Group 1 - Alibaba has integrated its travel service, Fliggy, into the core of Taobao's platform, indicating a strategic elevation of its travel business [1] - The new membership system allows Taobao members to access Fliggy's travel benefits, enhancing user engagement and cross-platform utility [1] - The travel industry is facing challenges, with hotel revenues declining significantly, indicating a competitive and pressured market environment [2][3] Group 2 - The integration of Fliggy into Taobao provides substantial exposure for travel merchants, potentially increasing transaction volumes despite existing market pressures [4] - Fliggy's positioning as an online travel platform (OTP) allows it to leverage Taobao's user base, particularly the high-value 88VIP members, for enhanced customer acquisition [4][5] - The travel sector is expected to see growth in the coming years, driven by the increasing consumer spending on travel, which is projected to reach 3.15 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025 [7][8] Group 3 - The competitive landscape in the travel industry is intensifying, with major players like Meituan and JD.com also vying for market share, leading to a potential "three-way battle" [9] - The unique nature of travel consumption, characterized by low frequency and high spending, necessitates a long-term strategy focused on product innovation and operational excellence [9][10] - Current market dynamics suggest that players are becoming more cautious, recognizing the need for sustained efforts rather than short-term promotional battles [9][10]