Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the high-risk, high-intensity trading strategy of ultra-short-term stock index futures trading, emphasizing the need for market sensitivity, strict risk control, and quick decision-making skills. Group 1: Strategy Framework - Time Frame Selection: Focus on 1-minute and 5-minute candlestick charts, utilizing real-time data such as trading volume and order flow to capture opportunities from seconds to hours [4] - Direction Judgment: Use technical analysis (e.g., moving averages, MACD, RSI) to identify short-term trends while considering macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, CPI), policy changes (e.g., central bank interest rate decisions), and sudden events (e.g., geopolitical conflicts) [4] - Trading Logic: Primarily follow the trend with supplementary counter-trend strategies, distinguishing between trending and ranging markets to avoid counter-trend trades [4] Group 2: Technical Tools - Candlestick Patterns: Focus on reversal signals such as hammer, doji, and engulfing patterns, validating their reliability with trading volume [5] - Technical Indicators: - Moving Averages: Use 5-day and 10-day moving averages for short-term trends, and 20-day moving average for medium-term reference [6] - MACD: Monitor the crossover of fast and slow lines, along with changes in histogram color to capture momentum shifts [6] - RSI: Identify overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) conditions for potential reversals, but confirm with other indicators [6] - Order Flow Analysis: Utilize Level-2 data to observe large order flows and distribution of orders to identify main player movements [7] - Volume-Price Relationship: "Price up, volume up" confirms trend continuation, while "Price up, volume down" signals potential top risks [8] Group 3: Risk Management - Position Control: Limit individual trade size to 5%-10% of total capital to avoid heavy bets on single opportunities [9] - Stop-Loss Discipline: Set predefined stop-loss levels (e.g., 1%-2% below entry price) and adhere strictly to them to prevent significant losses [10] - Profit-Taking Strategy: Implement dynamic stop-loss or fixed percentage profit-taking (e.g., exit at 2% profit) to secure gains [11] - Slippage Control: Choose liquid and actively traded contracts (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500 stock index futures) to minimize slippage losses [12] - Capital Curve Management: Establish daily/weekly maximum loss limits (e.g., 3% of total capital) to pause trading when reached, avoiding emotional trading [13] Group 4: Practical Points - Opening Session Strategy: Monitor high volatility during the early session (9:30-10:00) for retracement opportunities after gaps; be cautious during the lunch break (11:00-11:30) and late session (14:30-15:00) to avoid traps [14] - News Response: Reduce positions or pause trading before significant data releases (e.g., non-farm payrolls) or policy announcements to avoid being caught off guard by market reactions [14] - Psychological Control: Maintain composure to avoid chasing prices; set a daily trading limit (e.g., 3-5 trades) to prevent overtrading [15] - Review and Optimization: Keep daily records of trading details (entry points, stop-loss and take-profit levels, risk-reward ratios), conduct regular reviews to identify patterns, and optimize strategies [16]

Group 1 - The Dow Jones 30 is currently flat as traders await the FOMC interest rate decision, with expectations for three interest rate cuts by year-end [1] - The S&P 500 is experiencing choppy trading, with market reactions anticipated based on the Federal Reserve's rate decisions [3] - A significant support level for the S&P 500 is identified at 6500, with expectations for a potential V pattern recovery after any downward movement [4] Group 2 - The market is sensitive to the tone of the FOMC statement, which could influence trader sentiment and market direction [1][3] - A breakdown below the rising wedge pattern could lead to a test of the 45,000 level, a psychologically significant figure [2] - The overall market sentiment remains bullish, despite the anticipated volatility in the hours following the FOMC meeting [4]

1、恆指：至少27000，尾盤補牛仔過夜，收回價26100點，看淡投資者則認為牛證太多向下殺，將即市食完牛，轉熊證過夜了 Simon:指數高見26601點，不過最終收在26438點，高開低走，投資者有些失望。 技術信號總結為"賣出"，支持位在25860點和25385點。上方的阻力位在 26642點和27600點。 恆指 (HSI) 信號總結 賣出信號 買入信號 中立信號 賣品 7 5 9 国商ঙ্গ 恆指(HSI)衍生品回顧 2、攜程集團-S (09961.HK)： 競價抽高了，是否說明還有上升空間？ Simon:過去兩周，攜程的股價穩步上升，今日升幅有4.09%，報597.5元。短線技術信號為"賣出"，稍微偏淡一些。支持位在561元和520元。不過走勢上，仍 有一些水位上升，參考數據系統分析的阻力位在613元。 攜程 (09961) | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 틀出 | O | | 攜程(09961)衍生品回顧 31% 29% 24% 3.46% 3.46% 3.46% 信證認購證 瑞銀牛證 摩通牛證 17796 54461 53690 ...

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group (01810) is showing a strong technical trend, with the stock price reaching a high of 57 HKD and currently at 56.6 HKD, reflecting an increase of 0.8% [1] - The stock has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 56.8 HKD, indicating bullish momentum [1] - Technical indicators such as RSI at 63 suggest a healthy bullish zone, while moving averages (MA10 at 55.02 HKD, MA30 at 53.57 HKD, MA60 at 55.29 HKD) are converging, indicating a search for a clear direction in the short term [1][3] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Xiaomi, with a target price set at 65 HKD [1] - Despite the stochastic indicator showing overbought conditions, MACD and Bollinger Bands are signaling buy opportunities, supporting a bullish outlook [3] - Recent support levels are identified at 54.7 HKD and 53.1 HKD, with resistance at 57.2 HKD; a breakout above this level could target 59.7 HKD [3] Group 3 - Derivative products related to Xiaomi have performed well, with notable gains observed on September 11 when the stock rose by 2.84% [3] - Specific derivatives such as Morgan Stanley's bull certificates (53165) and UBS's bull certificates (57477) recorded increases of 21% and 23% respectively, indicating significant excess returns in a clear upward trend [3] - Investors optimistic about Xiaomi's future can consider specific call options like the Morgan Stanley call (16984) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 7.8 times, or the UBS call (14816) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD and a leverage of 7.7 times [6] Group 4 - For bearish investors, options such as the Bank of China put (17904) or the Societe Generale put (17868) with strike prices around 54 HKD are recommended for short-term trading strategies [6] - In terms of bull and bear certificates, UBS's bull certificate (55351) with a redemption price of 53.5 HKD and a leverage of 15.6 times is highlighted for bullish strategies, while HSBC's bear certificate (59572) is suggested for bearish positions [8]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing high volatility, with prices fluctuating around $3,680 after reaching a peak of $3,703, as investors await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points [1][2]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is ongoing, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the first reduction since November 2024 [2]. - The U.S. Census Bureau reported a 0.6% month-over-month increase in retail sales for August, indicating resilient consumer spending despite economic slowdowns and inflation [2]. Group 2: Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including attacks in Ukraine and military actions in Gaza, are providing safe-haven support for gold prices [2]. - Market caution due to these tensions is limiting further declines in gold prices [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators show signs of upward exhaustion for gold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 81, indicating overbought conditions [3]. - The current price is significantly above all moving averages, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at approximately $3,516, indicating strong bullish momentum [3]. - Short-term support is identified at $3,657, while momentum indicators are showing positive trends, although the RSI is around 70, suggesting a lack of clear direction [3]. Group 4: Price Levels - Key resistance levels for gold prices are identified at $3,700, $3,720, and $3,750, while support levels are at $3,660, $3,630, and $3,600 [4].

的回報。 中芯國際（00981）近期體現強勁技術走勢，股價呈現明確多頭格局。截止14點25分股價報63.1元。盤中最高65元，不過目前轉跌0.47%，未能站穩保力加通 道頂部（65.9元）。 從技術分析來看，中芯RSI讀數69接近超買區域，移動平均線呈現多頭排列，MA10（60.17元）、MA30（55.68元）與MA60（51.06元）形成有力支撐，顯 示中短期趨勢明確向好。MACD和保力加通道均發出買入信號，雖然多條移動平均線信號顯示"強力賣出"，但整體技術面支持看多觀點。 | | | 支持位與阻力位分析顯示，最近支持位在58.1元，第二支持位在53.7元。上方最近阻力位在67元，若突破則下一目標看68.9元。當前股價正逼近關鍵阻力 位，突破與否將成為短期走勢的重要分水嶺。特別值得注意的是，中芯5日振幅達14.4%，顯示該股具備較高的波動性，為短線交易提供充足機會。 回顧近期衍生產品表現，9月8日當中芯股價上漲3.78%時，相關衍生產品表現優異。匯豐牛證（65625）和瑞銀牛證（68668）均錄得22%的漲幅，法興認購 證（19953）和中銀認購證（15022）也分別有15%和14%的可觀回報。這些數據證 ...

Group 1 - Dogecoin (DOGE) has regained market attention as Bitcoin rises above $114,000, leading to a new wave of growth in the cryptocurrency market. DOGE reached $0.251, with a 24-hour increase of 4.2% and a weekly surge of 16.3% [2] - Factors driving this surge include the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in the coming weeks, with an inflation report showing stability in August and a 92% probability of a 25 basis point cut, which may boost the cryptocurrency market [2] - Cleancore holds over 500 million DOGE and plans to buy an additional 1 billion within 30 days, increasing market confidence despite ongoing debates about the future of a DOGE ETF [3] Group 2 - Bullish investors believe the current market atmosphere resembles that of 2021, where DOGE surged by 1500% from $0.04 to its peak, leading to significant profits for investors [5] - Conversely, bearish investors argue that current market valuations are too high, with DOGE's value not aligning with its actual utility, and caution against potential bubble risks in financing rates [5] - Market predictions suggest DOGE could rise to $0.321 by October 6, 2025, representing a potential increase of approximately 27.89%, although a pullback may follow [6] Group 3 - The current 30-day financing rate for DOGE is -0.68%, lower than Bitcoin, indicating cautious trading behavior. Open interest (OI) has reached $4.6 billion, a three-month high, with a $1 billion increase in one week, suggesting a surge in market positions [7] - Despite this, DOGE has not experienced excessive expansion, with an RSI below 70 and an NVT of 14, significantly lower than the peak levels of 25+, indicating that network activity still supports the price and reduces the risk of a long squeeze [7] Group 4 - Trading volume exceeded 1.1 billion during the breakout, approximately three times the average level, indicating significant institutional inflows ahead of the ETF launch. Momentum signals show a triangular flag breakout with higher lows and volume confirmation, suggesting that the late-session decline is more of an adjustment than a trend reversal [10] - Overall, DOGE is at a critical juncture, supported by institutional actions, macroeconomic benefits, and ETF expectations. If it can effectively hold above the key resistance level of $0.25, a new upward trend may commence [10] Group 5 - Technical analysis indicates support levels for DOGE at $0.245-$0.246, with additional support at $0.260 during late-session pullbacks. Resistance is noted at $0.264, with future targets set at $0.29 and $0.50 [11]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) shows a stable technical trend with a slight pullback, indicating potential investment opportunities for conservative investors [1][3]. Technical Analysis - As of 10:17 AM, HKEX's stock price is at 442 HKD, down 0.58% [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55, indicating a healthy bullish zone [1]. - Moving averages (MA10 at 442.32 HKD, MA30 at 438.29 HKD, MA60 at 430.08 HKD) are in a bullish arrangement, providing strong support [1]. - Despite a "sell" signal from technical indicators, multiple oscillators show a neutral pattern, with MACD issuing a buy signal [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 435 HKD and 423 HKD, while resistance levels are at 457 HKD and a potential target of 466 HKD if broken [1]. Derivative Products Performance - On September 8, when HKEX's stock price rose by 1.93%, related derivative products performed well, with notable returns: 29% for the BNP Paribas call option (16781) and 26% for the UBS call option (16698) [3]. - HSBC's bull certificate (53124) and UBS's bull certificate (62570) achieved returns of 22% and 21%, respectively, demonstrating significant excess returns even in a moderate upward trend [3]. Investment Options - Investors are advised to focus on two quality call options: UBS call option (16698) with a strike price of 484.08 HKD offering 14x leverage and HSBC call option (17539) with the same strike price but 14.6x leverage, appealing to bullish investors [6]. - For bearish investors, UBS put option (18808) and Bank of China put option (18983) with a strike price of 368.48 HKD provide approximately 9x leverage, suitable for short positions [6]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Bull certificates from HSBC (65210) and UBS (55128) have a redemption price of 422 HKD, maintaining a safe distance from current prices, with actual leverage of 15.9x and 16.2x, respectively, making them attractive for low-cost leveraged investments [8]. - Bear certificates from UBS (60541) and Societe Generale (60816) have a redemption price of 470 HKD, offering leverage exceeding 16x, but investors are cautioned to manage positions carefully due to potential risks [8].

1、恆指：看好投資者認為明天26600，殺熊證，繼續牛證（收回價26488）；看淡投資自責認為26300已封頂 ，入熊證。 Simon:恆指越升越有，全日突破保力加通道頂部，高位26296元。全日收在26200點。目前技術信號總結為"賣出"，雖然走勢上升但逼近頂部，不排除會有技 術性的調整。阻力位26554點和27100點。如果繼續短期看好的投資者，留意需要挑戰第一個第一個阻力位。擔心回調的話，留意下方支持位在25600點和 25200點。當我們選擇牛熊證的時候，要留意收回機制，選擇產品的時候，要選擇自己認為不會去到的那個價位，相對安全一些。假設要牛證，而支持位在 25600點和25200點，而買牛證當然是看升，需要判斷恆指是否會去到這兩個支持位，如果有機會去到的話，選擇牛證的收回價在25100，比支持位低一點會 更安全一些。選擇收回價氛圍後，再對比不同條款，在同個收回價的產品下。對比輪價或杠杆等。選擇比較擇優的產品。 極指 (HSI) 賣出信號 買入信號 信號總結 中立信號 賣出 9 8 4 3、騰訊控股 (00700.HK)：股價不斷突破，有機會挑戰歷史高位嗎？窩輪市場上，持有認購證。行使價730元。也有 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the spot gold price is continuing its upward trend supported by the EMA50 moving average on the 4-hour chart [1] - The RSI indicator shows a positive trend, reinforcing the possibility of further increases in gold prices [1] - It is expected that the combination of technical momentum and dynamic support will drive gold prices to challenge new highs in the future [1]