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LPG早报-20251120
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:04
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The PG main contract is running strongly. The domestic chemical industry is firm, and there are expectations for the civilian sector to strengthen during the peak season, but the market valuation is high. The international propane market pattern is loose. Attention should be paid to the weather and the situation of cold snaps in the United States [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Daily Changes - On Wednesday, for civil gas, the price in East China was 4325 (-10), in Shandong was 4370 (-10), and in South China was 4345 (+0). The price of etherified C4 was 4590 (+0). The lowest delivery location was East China, with a basis of -60 (-62), and the 12 - 01 month spread was 81 (+20). FEI was 502 (-10) and CP was 486 (+14) dollars per ton [4] Weekly Views - The PG main contract showed a strong trend. The basis was 1 (-101), and the 12 - 01 month spread was 93 (+21). The cheapest delivery products were civil gas in East China at 4364 (-10), in Shandong at 4440 (+60), and in South China at 4460 (+10); etherified C4 was 4630 (+130). The overseas paper goods prices rose, the oil - gas ratio weakened slightly, the month spread strengthened, the domestic - foreign price difference weakened, PG - CP reached 128 (-9), and PG - FEI reached 111 (-2). The discount strengthened. The arrival discount of propane in East China was 78 (+8), and the FOB discounts of propane in AFEI, the Middle East, and the United States were -2.75 dollars (+3.75), 22 dollars (+13), and 39 dollars (+13) respectively. The freight weakened slightly. The FEI - MOPJ spread narrowed to -66 (+7). The naphtha crack spread changed little and remained at a relatively high level this year. The profit of propylene production from PDH in Shandong improved slightly, the profit of alkylation units deteriorated, the MTBE production profit fluctuated, and the export profit remained good. Domestic production decreased slightly, the arrival volume was limited, factory inventories decreased slightly, and port inventories decreased. The PDH operating rate was 71.74% (-3.71), Donghua Zhangjiagang restarted, and Juzhengyuan and Haiwei stopped for maintenance [4]
合成橡胶早报-20251120
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 00:52
Report Overview - Report Title: Synthetic Rubber Morning Report [2] - Report Date: November 20, 2025 [3] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [3] Key Data Summary BR (Cis - Polybutadiene Rubber) - **Futures Data**: The closing price of the BR main contract (12) on November 19 was 10,705, up 200 from the previous day and 225 from the previous week. The open interest was 71,378, down 643 from the previous day and 4,987 from the previous week. The trading volume was 120,480, down 20,666 from the previous day but up 20,847 from the previous week. The warrant quantity was 12,030, down 220 from the previous day and 480 from the previous week. The long - short ratio was 29.67, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 1. [4] - **Basis/Spread Data**: The cis - polybutadiene basis was - 100 on November 19 compared to the previous day and - 75 compared to the previous week. The styrene - butadiene basis was - 200 on November 19 compared to the previous day and - 75 compared to the previous week. The 12 - 01 spread was - 40 on November 19, down 45 from the previous day and 40 from the previous week. The 01 - 02 spread was 15 on November 19, down 5 from the previous day but up 10 from the previous week. The RU - BR spread was 4,735 on November 19, down 55 from the previous day and 175 from the previous week. The NR - BR spread was 1,775 on November 19, down 65 from the previous day and 145 from the previous week. [4] - **Spot Data**: The Shandong market price was 10,650 on November 19, up 100 from the previous day and 150 from the previous week. The Transfar market price was 10,450 on November 19, up 50 from the previous day and 30 from the previous week. The Qilu ex - factory price was 10,500 on November 19, with no daily change but up 200 from the previous week. The CFR Northeast Asia price was 1,350 on November 19, with no daily change but down 50 from the previous week. The CFR Southeast Asia price was 1,640 on November 19, with no daily change but down 45 from the previous week. [4] - **Profit Data**: The spot processing profit was 800 on November 19, down 104 from the previous day and 207 from the previous week. The import profit was - 699 on November 19, up 102 from the previous day and 532 from the previous week. The export profit was 1,744 on November 19, down 89 from the previous day and 431 from the previous week. [4] BD (Butadiene) - **Spot Data**: The Shandong market price was 7,500 on November 19, up 200 from the previous day and 350 from the previous week. The Jiangsu market price was 7,225 on November 19, up 175 from the previous day and 275 from the previous week. The Yangzi ex - factory price was 7,200 on November 19, up 200 from the previous day and 200 from the previous week. The CFR China price was 770 on November 19, with no daily change but down 20 from the previous week. [4] - **Profit Data**: The ethylene cracking profit was N/A on November 19. The carbon - four extraction profit was N/A on November 19. The butadiene oxidative dehydrogenation profit was - 1,589 on November 19, up 175 from the previous day and 135 from the previous week. The import profit was 890 on November 19, up 176 from the previous day and 425 from the previous week. The export profit was - 1,460 on November 19, down 295 from the previous day. The styrene - butadiene production profit was 1,400 on November 19, down 50 from the previous day but up 200 from the previous week. The ABS production profit was N/A on November 19. The SBS production profit was - 360 on November 19, down 140 from the previous day and 200 from the previous week. [4] Data Sources - The data in the report is sourced from Mysteel and Wind [8]
甲醇日评20251119:短期供需压力难解,关注预期变动-20251119
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 13:54
| | | 甲醇日评20251119: 短期供需压力难解,关注预期变动 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 单位 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/17 | 变化值 | 变化值 | | | | | | | | (绝对值) | (相对值) | | | | MA01 | 元/吨 | 2030.00 | 2029.00 | 1.00 | 0.05% | | | 甲醇期货价格 | MA05 | 元/吨 | 2153.00 | 2145.00 | 8.00 | 0.37% | | | (收盘价) | MA09 | 元/吨 | 2204.00 | 2200.00 | 4.00 | 0.18% | | | | 太仓 | 元/吨 | 2002.50 | 2015.00 | -12.50 | -0.62% | | | | 山东 | 元/吨 | 2170.00 | 2170.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | | 期现价格 | | 广东 | 元/吨 | 2010.00 | 2025.00 | -15.00 ...
银河期货甲醇日报-20251119
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 09:37
研究所 能源化工研发报告 甲醇日报 2025 年 11 月 19 日 甲醇日报 【市场回顾】 1、期货市场:期货盘面弱势震荡,最终报收 2013(-10/-0.49%)。 2、现货市场:生产地,内蒙南线报价 1920 元/吨,北线报价 1960 元/吨。关中地区 报价 1880 元/吨,榆林地区报价 1910 元/吨,山西地区报价 1970 元/吨,河南地区报价 2000 元/吨。消费地,鲁南地区市场报价 2070 元/吨,鲁北报价 2160 元/吨,河北地区 报价 2070 元/吨。 西南地区,川渝地区市场报价 1980 元/吨,云贵报价 2040 元/吨。港 口,太仓市场报价 1990 元/吨,宁波报价 1970 元/吨,广州报价 1970 元/吨。 【重要资讯】 截至 2025 年 11 月 19 日,中国甲醇港口库存总量在 147.93 万吨,较上一期数据减 少 6.43 万吨。其中,华东去库 3.86 万吨;华南地区去库,库存减少 2.57 万吨。 【逻辑分析】 供应端,煤制甲醇利润在 320 元/吨附近,甲醇开工率高位稳定,国内供应持续宽 松。进口端,美金价格持续下跌,进口维持顺挂,伊朗全部正常, ...
真正的“取经之路”
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 09:35
Core Views - The wisdom of trading lies in "planning before action", seeing the overall situation, being patient and waiting for the right opportunity to strike [2] - Successful trading requires strategic vision and systematic thinking, paying attention to fundamental evolution, macro - economic cycles, and industrial policy orientation [3] - Traders should establish a trading system with fundamental trends as the anchor, technical analysis as the ruler, and risk control as the shield, and wait patiently for high - probability and high - profit - loss - ratio opportunities [4] - In trading, one should reconcile with the market and oneself, admit mistakes, conduct calm reviews, and correct strategies [4] Summary Based on Related Ideas - The story of Zheng庄公's brother's failure in the "Digging the Ground to See His Mother" is similar to traders who are over - confident due to small gains in the early stage of the trend and end up in a fiasco when the market reverses, emphasizing the importance of not being blinded by small profits and seeing the overall situation [2] - The author's own experience of almost losing all account funds due to greed and luck in early trading shows that market risks come from cognitive blind spots and emotional out - of - control, and traders need to control their desires and abide by rules [3] - The story of Guan Zhong assisting Duke Huan of Qi to dominate the world shows that successful trading requires strategic vision and systematic thinking, not just focusing on K - line fluctuations [3] - The stories of Lin Xiangru and Lian Po in "The Complete Return of the Jade to Zhao" and "Lian Po Carrying Thorns to Apologize" reflect the power of "harmony" in trading, that is, reconciling with the market and oneself [4]
碳酸锂期货,盘中突破10万元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 05:29
11月18日,广期所公告,自11月20日交易时起,碳酸锂期货LC2601合约的交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之一点二,日内平今仓交易手续费标准 调整为成交金额的万分之一点二。 来源:Wind 11月19日,碳酸锂期货主力合约再度走强,盘中涨幅一度超5%,突破10万元/吨,创2024年6月以来新高。Wind数据显示,截至11:10,碳酸锂期货LC2601 合约报9.81万元/吨,涨3.70%。 | ( 日 | | | 碳酸锂2601 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | LC2601.GFE | | | | | 98100 | | 昨结 | 94600 | 十一 93800 | | 万得 | | +3500 | +3.70% | 总手 | 121.04万 | 现手 22 | | 盘口 | | 最高价 | 100080 | 持 仓 | 52.27万 | Ar | | 60.85万 | | 最低价 | 93640 | 墙 仓 | 3.83万 | 内 | | 60.19万 | | 分时 | 五日 | EK | 居K | 月K ■名 ...
碳酸锂期货,突破10万元大关
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-11-19 03:49
11月18日,广期所公告,自2025年11月20日交易时起,碳酸锂期货LC2601合约的交易手续费标准调整 为成交金额的万分之一点二,日内平今仓交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之一点二。 编辑丨瑜见 11月19日,碳酸锂期货主力合约再度走强,盘中涨幅一度超5%,突破10万元/吨,创2024年6月以来新 高。 ...
碳酸锂期货,突破10万元大关
第一财经· 2025-11-19 02:53
11月19日,碳酸锂期货主力合约再度走强,盘中涨幅一度超5%,突破10万元/吨,创2024年6月以来新高。 编辑丨瑜见 11月18日,广期所公告,自2025年11月20日交易时起,碳酸锂期货LC2601合约的交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之一点二,日内平今仓交易 手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之一点二。 ...
碳酸锂期货主力合约日内涨超4%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-19 02:47
Core Viewpoint - Lithium carbonate futures main contract increased by over 4% in a single day [1] Group 1 - The rise in lithium carbonate futures indicates a growing demand and potential bullish sentiment in the lithium market [1]
碳酸锂期货主力合约日内涨3%,现报97440元/吨
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-19 02:42
(责任编辑:宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 格隆汇11月19日|碳酸锂期货主力合约日内涨3%,现报97440元/吨。 ...