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海底捞(06862):2024全年业绩点评:客单价企稳回升,红石榴计划开启二次成长曲线
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-03-30 13:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit of 4.7 billion yuan in 2024, exceeding expectations, with total revenue of 42.8 billion yuan (yoy +3%) and core operating profit of 6.2 billion yuan (yoy +19%) [1][3] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of approximately 95% for 2024, which is the highest since its listing, providing attractive shareholder returns with a current annualized dividend yield of about 5% [1] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with a focus on enhancing customer spending and improving table turnover rates, which are projected to reach 4.1 in 2024, up from 3.8 in 2023 [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 42.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3%, and a net profit of 4.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% growth [1][11] - The core operating profit margin improved by 2 percentage points, with gross margin increasing by approximately 3 percentage points due to enhanced supply chain efficiency and reduced raw material costs [2] Growth Potential - The company is expected to open new stores at a moderate single-digit growth rate in 2025, supported by a high table turnover rate and the introduction of the "Pomegranate Plan" to encourage the development of new restaurant brands [1][3] - The "Pomegranate Plan" aims to foster the growth of new dining brands, which has already resulted in 74 new stores by the end of 2024, enhancing long-term growth potential [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.2 billion yuan, 5.9 billion yuan, and 6.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 13%, and 10% [3][11] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 18, 16, and 14 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, indicating a potential valuation premium due to the company's leading position in the industry [3][11]
一位县城中产的春节
投资界· 2025-02-09 08:14
以下文章来源于每日人物 ,作者每人作者 每日人物 . 轻商业,懂生活。 过年消费记录。 ▲过年期间还在值班。图/访谈者提供 作者 | 李康提 编辑 | 张轻松 运营 | 泡芙 来源 | 每日人物 (ID:meirirenwu) 过年花费,去海南是大头 总花费:2万余元 内陆人对海是有执念的。天气一冷,我们这儿条件差不多一点的家庭都会去海南越冬。 尤其是过年,忘记这是从什么时候开始留下来的传统,总之过年亲友一相聚,缺席的那 户若是去海南了,必然是令人羡慕的。被羡慕等级在三亚依次从南向北递减。如此算 来,我们家是在鄙视链的底端——在东岸刚爬上及格线的海南文昌小县城,有一处过冬 的房产。 每年年节最大的开销,就是去海南的往来路费及在琼花费。往年我们是开车去,有了孩 子后不适合2000多公里的长途奔波,只好选择更贵的飞机。去年他们是12月26日出发 的,老公带着婆婆、两个孩子、阿姨和小姨一起去,单程路费总共花了5300元。据老公 描述,那趟航班上全是老人孩子,抱在怀里的婴儿竟然多达七八个,整个旅程孩子的哭 声此起彼伏。由此可见内陆老百姓对于去海南过冬的热情。 当然,这趟远行也不是纯享受,台风吹塌了海南家的窗户要整修、 ...