Core Viewpoint - Haidilao's performance in the first half of 2025 showed a decline in key financial metrics, prompting the company to explore new growth avenues through multi-brand strategies and an increased focus on takeout services [1][10]. Financial Performance - Haidilao reported a revenue of 20.703 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.754 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with core operating profit at 2.408 billion yuan, all showing a decline compared to the same period last year [1]. - The company closed 33 restaurants while opening 25 self-operated and 3 franchised locations, bringing the total to 1,363 restaurants as of June 30, 2025 [1]. Multi-Brand Strategy - Haidilao has launched 14 sub-brands under its "Pomegranate Plan," generating 597 million yuan in revenue, a 227% increase year-on-year, although this only accounts for 2.9% of total revenue [1][8]. - The sub-brand "Yuanqing Barbecue" has gained traction, opening 46 new locations in the first half of 2025, totaling 70 locations [2]. - The company has introduced four new brands in 2025, including "Haini Beef Spicy Soup" and "Shiwa Baking," focusing on affordable dining options [4][5]. Franchise Development - Haidilao plans to expand its franchise model to sub-brands, with 41 franchised restaurants as of June 30, 2025, a net increase of 40 from the previous year [9]. - Franchise revenue surged from 189,900 yuan in 2024 to 9.084 million yuan in 2025, marking a growth of approximately 47 times, although it still represents a small portion (0.4%) of total revenue [9]. Takeout Business Growth - The takeout segment saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 927 million yuan, a 59.6% increase from 581 million yuan in the previous year [11]. - Takeout now constitutes the second-largest revenue source for Haidilao, driven by offerings like "Single-Serve Hot Pot Dishes," which contributed over 55% of takeout revenue [12][11]. Future Plans - Haidilao aims to enhance its takeout offerings by testing new product categories and establishing dedicated takeout stores in various cities [14]. - The company is also focusing on improving in-store experiences to attract customers back to physical locations, launching themed stores and interactive dining experiences [15]. Conclusion - The first half of 2025 has been a challenging period for Haidilao, but the company's multi-brand expansion and takeout service growth are beginning to show positive results, although converting these efforts into stable growth remains a key challenge [18].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Haidilao's performance in the first half of 2025 shows a decline in customer traffic and restaurant turnover rates due to increased competition and changing consumer demands [1][2] - Haidilao reported a revenue of 20.7 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.76 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a core operating profit of 2.41 billion yuan [1] - The overall table turnover rate for self-operated Haidilao restaurants was 3.8 times per day, with a total customer reception of nearly 190 million people in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, Haidilao operated a total of 1,363 restaurants, including 1,299 self-operated restaurants in mainland China and 23 in Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan, along with 41 franchised restaurants [1] - Haidilao continued to optimize its restaurant network, opening 25 self-operated restaurants and 3 franchised restaurants in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company implemented the "Red Pomegranate Plan" to encourage the incubation and development of new restaurant brands, operating 14 brands with a total of 126 restaurants, including the newly opened 46 "Yanjing Barbecue" restaurants [2] Group 3 - Haidilao's revenue from restaurant operations was 18.58 billion yuan, accounting for 89.8% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, while other restaurant revenues, including "Yanjing Barbecue," reached 597 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 227% [1] - The company's takeaway business saw a nearly 60% increase in revenue in the first half of 2025, with the "one-person meal" concept contributing over 55% of takeaway revenue [2] - Haidilao has been expanding its marketing strategies, collaborating with various IPs, including popular artists and well-known animated series, to attract younger customers and families [2]

Core Insights - Haidilao International Holding Ltd. reported a revenue of 20.703 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.755 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a core operating profit of 2.408 billion yuan [1] - The company served nearly 190 million customers in the first half of the year, achieving an overall table turnover rate of 3.8 times per day [1] Business Innovation - Haidilao continues to promote the "Different Haidilao" initiative, creating diverse dining scenarios such as "Fresh Cut," "Late Night," "Family-Friendly," and "Pet-Friendly" [1] - As of June 30, over 50 Fresh Cut workshop stores and nearly 30 late-night themed stores have been transformed to meet varied dining needs [1] - The takeout business saw a nearly 60% year-on-year increase in revenue, with "single-serving" hot pot dishes contributing over half of this growth [1] Multi-Brand Strategy - Under the "Pomegranate Plan," the multi-brand strategy is accelerating, with a total of 126 second-brand stores opened in the first half of the year [1] - The new brand "Yansheng Barbecue" opened 46 new locations, driving "Other Restaurant Revenue" to 597 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 227% [1] Membership and Future Plans - As of June 30, the total number of Haidilao members surpassed 200 million [1] - The company plans to continue enhancing the dining experience and pursuing a diversified business strategy, including strategically seeking acquisitions of quality assets to enrich its restaurant business and customer base [1]

Core Insights - Haidilao is adapting to the evolving Chinese dining market by introducing lower-priced meal options, such as a 22 yuan self-service lunch, which is significantly less than its traditional hot pot offerings [1][4] - The company is facing challenges with high idle rates during lunch hours, prompting a reevaluation of its operational strategies [4][8] - Haidilao's innovative approach includes transforming employee cafeterias into public dining options, thereby maximizing supply chain efficiency and addressing off-peak dining hours [5][8] Group 1: Business Strategy - The "Red Pomegranate Plan" involves the development of 11 sub-brands, creating a diverse product range from formal dining to fast food, leveraging existing supply chains [7] - Cost control measures are highly effective, with employee meal standards being directly converted into consumer products, optimizing resource utilization [7] - The company is implementing a regional experimentation strategy, allowing for tailored offerings in different locations, such as self-service in Xi'an and boxed meals in Beijing [7][8] Group 2: Market Positioning - Haidilao is addressing the lunch market gap by offering a 22 yuan meal, which has increased table turnover rates to 4.1 times per day, outperforming the industry average by 30% [8] - The company has established a tiered product system, ranging from 97 yuan for formal dining to 1.5 yuan for tea eggs, balancing brand integrity with consumer demand [8] - By granting regional stores pricing autonomy, Haidilao is successfully combining standardized services with personalized products, reshaping the expansion logic of chain restaurants [8] Group 3: Industry Trends - The restaurant industry is shifting towards maximizing existing customer bases rather than solely focusing on growth, as evidenced by Haidilao's strategic pivot [11] - The ongoing "lunch revolution" highlights the need for businesses to adapt to consumer behavior and preferences in a fragmented market [11] - The future of dining is increasingly tied to the real-life movements and needs of consumers, necessitating a balance between premium branding and mass-market accessibility [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic expansion of Haidilao into the bakery sector through its new brand "拾㧚耍· SCHWASUA," highlighting the challenges and opportunities in the retail landscape, particularly in the context of the company's "Red Pomegranate Plan" aimed at overcoming growth bottlenecks in its core hotpot business [4][7][18]. Group 1: Market Context and Brand Launch - During the May Day holiday, Haidilao launched its bakery brand "拾㧚耍· SCHWASUA" in a prime location in Hangzhou, offering high-quality products at competitive prices, which quickly attracted consumer attention [4][6]. - The bakery's pricing strategy features over 60% of products priced below 10 yuan, with the most expensive item not exceeding 30 yuan, significantly lower than similar brands [6][8]. Group 2: Strategic Rationale for Expansion - The Chinese baking market is projected to grow from 561.4 billion yuan in 2023 to over 850 billion yuan by 2029, with an annual growth rate exceeding 9%, making it an attractive sector for Haidilao's diversification [7]. - The "Red Pomegranate Plan" is seen as a strategic extension to address the declining table turnover rate and falling customer spending in Haidilao's core business, allowing the company to reach a broader customer base through multiple brands [7][11]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Haidilao's strong supply chain integration allows for cost optimization across the entire production process, ensuring high-quality products at lower prices compared to traditional bakeries [8][12]. - The company leverages its existing customer base and membership system to drive traffic to its new bakery brand, enhancing customer retention and engagement [7][11]. Group 4: Performance and Challenges - Since the launch of the "Red Pomegranate Plan," Haidilao has opened 74 stores across various food categories, generating a total revenue of 4.83 billion yuan, indicating a mix of successes and challenges in brand performance [11][12]. - Despite some brands achieving market recognition, the rapid expansion poses risks of resource dilution and management challenges, particularly as some sub-brands struggle to achieve profitability [14][18]. Group 5: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The multi-brand strategy is becoming a key approach for leading companies in the restaurant industry to overcome growth challenges, with Haidilao's efforts reflecting broader trends in the sector [16][18]. - The future competition among restaurant giants will focus not only on the number of outlets but also on supply chain resilience, organizational vitality, and strategic consistency [18].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit of 4.7 billion yuan in 2024, exceeding expectations, with total revenue of 42.8 billion yuan (yoy +3%) and core operating profit of 6.2 billion yuan (yoy +19%) [1][3] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of approximately 95% for 2024, which is the highest since its listing, providing attractive shareholder returns with a current annualized dividend yield of about 5% [1] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory with a focus on enhancing customer spending and improving table turnover rates, which are projected to reach 4.1 in 2024, up from 3.8 in 2023 [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 42.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3%, and a net profit of 4.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% growth [1][11] - The core operating profit margin improved by 2 percentage points, with gross margin increasing by approximately 3 percentage points due to enhanced supply chain efficiency and reduced raw material costs [2] Growth Potential - The company is expected to open new stores at a moderate single-digit growth rate in 2025, supported by a high table turnover rate and the introduction of the "Pomegranate Plan" to encourage the development of new restaurant brands [1][3] - The "Pomegranate Plan" aims to foster the growth of new dining brands, which has already resulted in 74 new stores by the end of 2024, enhancing long-term growth potential [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.2 billion yuan, 5.9 billion yuan, and 6.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 13%, and 10% [3][11] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 18, 16, and 14 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, indicating a potential valuation premium due to the company's leading position in the industry [3][11]