研究还发现，时隔约150年，这些地区具备技术培训背景和大学学历的劳动者占比依旧更高，不仅聚集 了生产效率更优的企业，专利申请数量也处于领先水平。 柏林洛克伍德基金会主任、伦敦大学学院教授Christian Dustmann表示："蒸汽机的作用绝不仅是为工厂 提供动力，它还跨越多代人，推动了整个地区的技术革新与技能发展进程。" 尽早布局人工智能或将产生长期积极效应 Dustmann指出，当下各经济体正全力应对人工智能崛起带来的挑战，这项历史研究的结论，能为政策 制定者提供宝贵的借鉴意义。 一项新研究显示，蒸汽机自发明以来的漫长岁月里，至今仍在塑造德国经济格局——早年率先采用这项 技术的地区，如今依旧保有发展优势。这一结论也意味着，尽早布局人工智能技术，或将带来与之类似 的长期红利。 柏林洛克伍德基金会的研究数据显示，19世纪末蒸汽机应用尤为普及的地区，如今的平均薪资仍比其他 地区高出4.3%。该研究报告将于本周三正式发布，相关内容提前交由路透社披露。 柏林洛克伍德基金会的研究数据显示，19世纪末蒸汽机应用尤为普及的地区，如今的平均薪资仍比其他 地区高出4.3%。该研究报告将于本周三正式发布，相关内容提前交由路透 ...

知情人士透露，检方已向美联储发出大陪审团传票，要求提交有关翻修工程的相关内部文件。司法部方面拒绝对此案件细节进行评论，只表示将优先调查任 何滥用纳税人资金的行为。特朗普则选择了一种熟悉的姿态，在接受NBC采访时否认知情，但又反讽道：我不知道调查的情况，但他在美联储的表现并不 好，至少在建楼这件事上没做得很好。这种做法看似否认介入，但却加剧了对鲍威尔的指责。实际上，这早已是美国政治中的一招熟练的操作方式。 在美国的政治体系中，有两个重要机构常被强调不能政治化：一个是司法部，另一个是美联储。可如今，这两个机构正陷入同一场风暴的漩涡中，似乎一切 都变得扑朔迷离。 上周五，华盛顿特区的联邦检察官办公室正式对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔展开了刑事调查。调查的表面理由是：美联储总部的翻修工程 是否存在资金滥用问题，鲍威尔在国会作证时是否有误导立法者的行为。但几乎没有人相信，这只是一次简单的建楼审计。实际上，翻修一栋大楼却引发了 美国政坛最危险的权力冲突。这场调查的发生，调查方式、授权人以及它可能带来的政治后果，都让这起事件看起来更像是一颗直指美联储独立性的实弹。 从大楼翻修到伪证指控，为何一个技术性问题变成了政治武器？调查的 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. economy is projected to experience solid growth this year, with President Trump citing stable inflation data as a key factor in addressing the Republican Party's political weaknesses ahead of the midterm elections [1] - Recent federal data indicates an annualized economic growth rate of 4.3% for Q3 2025, the highest in two years, with low unemployment rates below 5% and wages increasing faster than inflation [1] - Ford Motor Company has recently added a third production shift for the F-150, operating six days a week, indicating strong demand for the product [2] Group 2 - President Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve for larger interest rate cuts, believing it would benefit the economy, while expressing dissatisfaction with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell [3] - Trump plans to unveil more economic proposals, including a housing affordability plan and initiatives to lower healthcare costs, aimed at addressing voter concerns over high prices [4][5] - Proposed measures include preventing large investors from purchasing single-family homes and directing government-backed mortgage companies to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds to lower rates for homebuyers [5]

世界银行周二表示，尽管面对贸易紧张局势升级与政策不确定性加剧的局面，但全球经济仍然展现出显 著的韧性，不过全球增长过度集中在发达经济体，整体增长水平依然偏低，难以有效减少极端贫困。 Gill补充称，2025年全球人均GDP较新冠疫情暴发前高出10%，这是过去60年来主要危机后最快的一次 复苏。但他强调，许多发展中国家正在被甩在后面：约四分之一的发展中国家人均收入仍低于2019年水 平，其中以最贫困国家情况最为严峻。 世界银行预计，新兴市场和发展中经济体的整体增速将在2026年放缓至4.0%，低于2025年的4.2%，但 分别较去年6月的预测上调0.2和0.3个百分点。 欧元区方面，世界银行预计，2026年经济增速将从2025年的1.4%放缓至0.9%，主要受到美国关税政策 的拖累；但随着欧洲国防支出增加，2027年增速有望回升至1.2%。 日本方面，2026年经济增速预计将放缓至0.8%，低于2025年的1.3%。2025年的增长部分得益于日本企 业为规避特朗普关税政策而提前向美国出口商品。世界银行表示，消费和投资放缓将使日本在2027年的 GDP增速维持在0.8%不变。 该机构预计，美国GDP增速将在202 ...

根据法国国家统计和经济研究所最新发布的报告，法国2025年经济增速预计为0.9%，2026年增速为 1%。报告显示，2025年第三季度，法国国内生产总值（GDP）环比增长0.5%，较第二季度明显加快， 显示经济运行动能增强。法国总理勒科尔尼日前表示，法国经济增速、通胀和就业等主要指标整体好于 此前预期。 目前，法国议会仍未正式通过2026年财政预算，法国政府为此通过一项"特别法"草案，允许政府在2026 年财政预算缺席的情况下继续征税和借款，以保障国家机构正常运转。经合组织评估称，市场对法国政 府预算安排和债务政策高度敏感，预算越早明确，政策路径越清晰，越有利于缓解市场观望情绪、提振 经济运行各环节信心。法国经济、财政和工业、能源与数字主权部部长莱斯屈尔表示，政府对经济增长 前景的判断趋于审慎乐观。 （文章来源：人民日报） 来自企业端的调查结果，与宏观数据形成一定印证。法国央行不久前发布的月度商业调查显示，2025年 11月经济活动继续改善，其中工业表现较为突出，相关指标连续第六个月高于长期平均水平，且实际运 行情况好于此前预期。调查指出，计算机、电子和光学产品等行业加快发展，是近期工业改善的重要推 动因素， ...

Core Viewpoint - The President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, Musalem, indicated that the inflation rate is closer to 3% rather than the targeted 2%, but it is expected to decline this year [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - Economic growth is projected to reach or exceed potential levels by 2026 [1] - There is no reason to further loosen monetary policy in the short term [1]

Group 1 - The German defense industry has seen a recruitment surge, with employment increasing by nearly one-third over the past four years, reflecting a significant shift in Germany's defense spending and strategy due to geopolitical changes [1] - As of now, the largest defense companies in Germany employ approximately 83,000 people globally, up from 63,000 before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, marking a 30% increase [1] - The German government has signed weapon contracts worth €207 billion since 2022, with €83 billion signed in the last year alone, significantly higher than the €23 billion in 2021 [2] Group 2 - The German defense budget is set to increase to approximately €108 billion by the end of 2024, with plans to reach €152.8 billion by 2029, which would account for 3.5% of the GDP [2] - Rheinmetall, a key player in the defense sector, has seen its workforce grow from about 15,400 in 2021 to 23,500 currently, with expectations to reach 70,000 in three years [3] - Startups in the German defense sector are also thriving, with companies like Helsing experiencing an 18-fold increase in employees over four years, transitioning from AI software to hardware production [3] Group 3 - Despite the growth in the defense sector, the ability to recruit from the struggling automotive industry has been limited, with companies like Hensoldt and Arx Robotics only hiring a small number of employees from that sector [5] - The German economy is projected to grow by only 0.2% to 0.3% in 2025, indicating challenges in stimulating domestic demand despite increased defense spending [6] - The reliance on exports remains high, with exports accounting for approximately 45% of Germany's GDP, a unique structure among EU member states [6]

克通社12月30日报道，克统计局发布的数据显示，经日历调整后，11月零售消费额环比下降 2.2%，但同比增长1.4%。这是零售消费额连续第32个月同比增长，但增速较上月4.1%有所放缓。与此 同时，食品、饮料和烟草制品零售额下降2.6%，而不包括汽车燃料和润滑油的非食品类零售额则增长 4.1%。今年前11个月，零售贸易额同比增长3.4%。由于消费是GDP的最大组成部分，11月零售额的增 长表明今年第四季度经济将继续保持稳定增长。GDP在第三季度连续第19个季度增长，年增长率为 2.3%。 （原标题：克罗地亚消费连续第32个月增长） ...

Group 1 - The German defense industry has seen a significant increase in employment, with a nearly one-third growth in workforce over the past four years, driven by geopolitical changes and a large-scale defense initiative launched by Germany [1][3] - As of now, the defense sector employs approximately 83,000 people globally, up from 63,000 before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, reflecting a 30% increase [1] - The German government has signed weapon contracts worth €2.07 trillion since 2022, with €83 billion signed in the last year alone, a substantial increase from €23 billion in 2021 [3] Group 2 - The largest employer in the German defense sector is the European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS), which has around 38,000 employees, with over half based in Germany [4] - Rheinmetall, the second-largest employer, has seen its workforce grow from approximately 15,400 in 2021 to 23,500 currently, with expectations to reach 70,000 in three years [4] - Startups in the defense sector are also thriving, with companies like Helsing experiencing an 18-fold increase in employees over the past four years [4] Group 3 - The German Defense Industry Association (BDSV) anticipates accelerated growth in the coming years as procurement processes are expedited, allowing companies to better plan their capacities [5] - Despite the interest from defense manufacturers in hiring from the struggling automotive sector, the data suggests that the defense industry's expansion may not fully compensate for the decline in the automotive industry [6] - The German economy is projected to grow by only 0.9% in 2026, with concerns about the government's focus on defense spending at the expense of social governance and environmental initiatives [7]

Core Insights - Nepal's economy is currently experiencing significant financial stability and growth, with a notable decrease in the consumer price index (CPI) year-on-year to 1.63% as of mid-December 2025, down from 6.05% in the same period last year [1] Economic Indicators - The decline in food prices, particularly an 8.54% drop in vegetable prices, is a major contributing factor to the reduced inflation rate [1] - Foreign exchange reserves have reached a historic high of 32014.7 billion Nepalese Rupees (approximately 2.213 billion USD), sufficient to cover over 18 months of import payments [1] - Remittances from overseas have surged by 35.6% within five months, totaling 8703.1 billion Rupees, becoming a crucial support for foreign exchange reserves [1] - Despite an increase in the trade deficit to 6496.8 billion Rupees, with exports rising by 58.2% and imports by 15.8%, the balance of payments remains healthy with a surplus of 4218.9 billion Rupees [1] Fiscal and Banking Environment - The government is facing a fiscal deficit, with revenues at 4063 billion Rupees and expenditures reaching 5644.6 billion Rupees [1] - The average lending rate of commercial banks has decreased to 7.26%, indicating an improving financing environment [1] - The Nepalese Rupee has depreciated by 5.1% against the US dollar, with the exchange rate reported at 144.37 Rupees per 1 USD as of mid-December [1] Structural Challenges - The current economic situation highlights the need for structural policy responses to address trade imbalances and fiscal spending pressures, despite the positive growth in remittances and inflation control providing some buffer for the economy [1]