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金价守住3200美元关口,或延续震荡格局
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 08:41
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced fluctuations but managed to stabilize and close slightly higher, maintaining the $3200 per ounce level, although the path to recovery remains unclear [1][2] Economic Indicators - The U.S. April CPI data released was slightly below market expectations, indicating no abnormal rise in inflation, which supports the U.S. government's pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates [1] - The market's risk appetite has improved due to substantial progress in U.S.-China trade talks [1] Market Dynamics - The dollar index fell rapidly from a high of 102, and if it continues to decline, it could provide stronger support for gold prices in the short term [1] - Ongoing regional conflicts continue to drive strong long-term safe-haven buying for gold [2] Technical Analysis - Gold prices are expected to remain within the $3150-$3450 range in May, with $3400 and above acting as a major resistance zone [2] - Currently, gold is in the lower-middle part of the fluctuation range, and if it confirms support at the $3200 level, the chances of an upward movement will increase [2] - The daily chart shows gold maintaining near the 30-day moving average, indicating signs of stabilization, but it needs to break through resistance to confirm a recovery trend [2] Short-term Outlook - The focus for gold prices is on the $3225-$3265 range; a breakout above this could lead to a challenge of the $3300 resistance, while a breakdown could test the $3200 support again [2]