我问你个问题：比特币现在涨得这么猛，你心里踏实吗？ 讲真，我这两天盯着行情，心里直发毛。不是因为它涨，而是因为没人敢说真话了。你去翻翻朋友圈、微博、财经博主的推送，全是一堆 全球共识机构涌入牛市信号这类空话，真有人站出来问一句：这轮上涨，是谁在最后接盘吗？ 我查了下，比特币从年初到涨了快90%，高点冲破7万美元。这涨幅背后发生了什么？美联储的表态说得再明白不过：利率可能年底前降， 但也不急，通胀没稳住呢。那凭什么比特币能这么涨？你说美国机构看好，那我就问你：看好是因为价值，还是因为看准了谁会来接？ 这点从美联储的态度就看得出。鲍威尔在5月的讲话里说：虚拟资产不构成系统性金融风险。我看这话是说给两个对象听的：一是美国散 户，别怕，可以玩；二是全球投资者，放心，不会出事。你觉得一个国家会对自己无法掌控的资产说没风险？那是准备把风险甩出去的时 候。 这事儿，其实不新鲜。我突然想到一个老段子，天珠你听过吗？那玩意儿当年在藏区被炒到上亿，真有人拿房抵押去买，最后掉坑里，收 场的主儿之一还是李亚鹏。你看，文化泡沫都能玩到这种程度，金融泡沫当然也不差。一个虚拟币，连公司主体都没有，靠的就是一个全 球认知游戏，谁信就上车，谁 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the Southeast Asian fintech sector [8] Core Insights - Southeast Asia's fintech industry has significant growth potential, driven by a robust macroeconomic environment, improving infrastructure, and a friendly policy landscape [13][16] - The four main areas of fintech development are digital payments, internet lending, insurtech, and virtual assets [17][20] - The region's GDP growth is approximately 5%, with a population of 630 million, predominantly under 40 years old, providing a strong consumer base [22][23] Digital Payments - Digital payment penetration is expected to increase, with 44% of transactions still conducted in cash as of 2024, compared to 5.8% in China [39][40] - The COVID-19 pandemic has shifted consumer habits towards online payments, with 33% of consumers using e-wallets for the first time during the pandemic [40] - The main digital payment methods are card payments and e-wallets, with a competitive landscape lacking a dominant player like Alipay or WeChat Pay in China [38][50] Internet Lending - The internet lending market in Southeast Asia is projected to grow from $48 billion in 2022 to $71 billion in 2024, with a penetration rate of only 1.8% [4][14] - The lending market is characterized by high pricing limits (18-180%), small loan amounts (average $18), and short durations, providing substantial profit margins [4][14] - The risk profile is relatively stable, with SeaMoney's 90-day overdue rate at 1.1%, lower than domestic platforms in China [14][16] Insurtech - The insurtech market in Southeast Asia is in its early stages, with a market size of approximately $2.4 billion in 2024, expected to reach $7.5 billion by 2030 [5][14] - The penetration rate of insurtech is low, at about 1.5-3.1%, compared to 8.8% in China [5][14] - Three main business models exist: insurtech platforms, full-stack insurtechs, and insurtech enablers, with the latter focusing on B2B solutions [5][14] Virtual Assets - Southeast Asia shows high interest in virtual assets, with six countries ranking in the top 20 for global cryptocurrency adoption, and Indonesia ranked third [6][14] - The regulatory environment is generally supportive, with governments encouraging the development of the virtual asset market while managing risks [6][14] - Indonesia's cryptocurrency transaction volume reached $157.1 billion from July 2023 to June 2024, the highest in the region [6][14]

Group 1: Southbound Capital Flow - On May 29, southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 4.382 billion HKD [1] - Notable net purchases included Meituan at 1.044 billion HKD, ZhongAn Online at 756 million HKD, and CSPC Pharmaceutical at 365 million HKD [1] - Continuous selling pressure was observed on Alibaba, with net sales totaling 5.021 billion HKD over 8 consecutive days [1] Group 2: Meituan Performance - Meituan's flash sale for liquor on May 29 reported over 18 times year-on-year growth in overall sales within the first 24 hours [3] - The first 12 hours of white liquor sales exceeded 300 million HKD, marking a year-on-year increase of over 70 times [3] - Sales of beer reached nearly 10 million bottles on the first day, with trendy alcoholic beverages seeing over triple-digit year-on-year growth [3] Group 3: ZhongAn Online Developments - Hong Kong's Legislative Council passed the Stablecoin Bill, allowing institutions to apply for compliance as stablecoin issuers by the end of the year [3] - ZhongAn Online holds a 43.43% stake in ZhongAn Bank, which is positioned to benefit from the stablecoin issuance services [3] - Guotai Junan Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for ZhongAn Online due to its deep involvement in virtual asset business [3] Group 4: Pop Mart Outlook - Jianyin International initiated coverage on Pop Mart with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of 256 HKD, implying a future P/E ratio of about 50 times [4] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 38% in revenue and 44% in profit from 2025 to 2027 [4][5] - Pop Mart has opened over 35 stores and 20 unmanned stores this year, aiming to reach 100 overseas stores by year-end [5]

Group 1: Core Insights - EVIDENT Group, a Hong Kong fintech company, is expanding its operations in the UAE by partnering with Zand Bank to integrate product data [1][3] - The UAE is undergoing significant transformation, focusing on building digital infrastructure based on cryptocurrencies and blockchain systems [1][2] - The importance of establishing strong relationships with local government and partners is emphasized for fintech companies entering the Middle East market [2][7] Group 2: Company Activities - EVIDENT provides a digital platform for alternative investment opportunities, including private equity, infrastructure investments, and private credit [3] - CertiK HK, another company involved in the UAE visit, offers security compliance services for virtual assets and has established a friendly regulatory framework in the region [4][5] - OneInfinity has successfully captured 40% of the market share in the UAE by providing digital asset security products [8] Group 3: Cultural and Regulatory Considerations - Understanding local culture and regulations is crucial for fintech companies, as certain financial products may not be suitable for the UAE market [10][11] - The complexity of local laws requires foreign companies to obtain various licenses from different regulatory bodies to conduct onshore business [11] - The UAE's strategy aims to enhance its economic strength through high-value services, positioning itself as a global hub connecting East and West [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the recent approval of the stablecoin bill by the Hong Kong government has opened up new opportunities for ZhongAn Online and its subsidiary ZA Bank, leading to a significant increase in the company's stock price by over 40% [1] - The Hong Kong government has established a licensing system for fiat-backed stablecoin issuers, marking a significant step towards regulatory compliance in the virtual asset market, which is expected to boost market activity [2] - ZA Bank has positioned itself as a leader in the Web3 space by providing reserve banking services for stablecoin issuers and has already partnered with key players in the industry, indicating strong growth potential [3][4] Group 2 - ZhongAn Insurance has shown continuous improvement in its fundamentals, with total premiums exceeding RMB 10 billion in the first four months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 13%, outperforming the overall growth rate of the property insurance industry [5] - The company has achieved underwriting profitability for four consecutive years, with a combined ratio of 96.9% in 2024, which is better than the industry average, and is projected to exceed RMB 1 billion in net profit for 2025 [5][9] - ZA Bank has become the first digital bank in Hong Kong to achieve monthly profitability, with a net income of HKD 548 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.6% [6] Group 3 - Despite the recent stock price increase, ZhongAn Online's price-to-book (PB) ratio remains at a historically low level of 1, indicating significant room for valuation recovery compared to peers [7][8] - Investment banks have recognized the potential in ZhongAn Online, with DBS reiterating a "buy" rating and setting a 12-month target price of HKD 20, citing the company's low valuation and the expected rise in performance and valuation due to its digital transformation [8] - Guotai Junan Securities has also recommended buying ZhongAn Online, predicting a 50% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, driven by improvements in underwriting and investment [9]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Legislative Council has passed the Stablecoin Regulation Bill, allowing institutions to apply to become compliant stablecoin issuers by the end of this year, which is expected to benefit ZA Bank's virtual asset business [1] - ZA Bank is the first digital bank in Hong Kong to provide reserve banking services for stablecoin issuers, having partnered with Round Coin Innovation Technology, one of the first sandbox participants approved by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority [1][3] - ZA Bank has already provided commercial banking services to over 80 Web3 companies and is a banking partner for local licensed virtual asset trading platforms HashKey and OSL [1] Group 2 - In November 2024, ZA Bank will launch cryptocurrency trading services for retail users in Hong Kong, allowing users to trade popular cryptocurrencies directly through the ZA Bank App with simplified processes [2] - The fee structure includes a commission of USD 1.99/HKD 15 per transaction and a platform fee of 1.5% of the transaction amount, with promotional zero-commission offers for the first three months [2] - The current user base of ZA Bank has exceeded 800,000 [2] Group 3 - ZA Bank is closely connected with digital asset exchanges and stablecoin issuers, with expectations for further collaborations in the future [3] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has introduced a sandbox arrangement to facilitate discussions on regulatory requirements for stablecoin issuers, with ZA Bank's associated company included in the first batch of sandbox participants [3] - The company is projected to experience significant net profit growth in 2025, particularly in the first half of the year, with a current PB valuation of 0.74X, suggesting a low-position investment opportunity [3]

Group 1 - Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST) welcomes international students from Harvard University, offering unconditional admission and support for transfer students amid changes in the global academic environment [4][5] - The International Mediation Institute will establish its headquarters in Hong Kong, enhancing the city's status as a global mediation hub and attracting more international organizations [5][6] - The New Capital Investor Immigration Scheme has received 1,257 applications, expected to bring over HKD 37 billion in investments to Hong Kong, reinforcing its position as a top international investment hub [6][8] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Legislative Council passed the Stablecoin Bill, establishing a licensing system for fiat-backed stablecoin issuers to enhance the regulatory framework for virtual asset activities [7][8] - Hong Kong Investment Company has invested in over 100 projects, with several companies planning IPOs, indicating a focus on AI and innovative technologies [8][9] - The Hong Kong government plans to provide tax incentives for eligible commodity trading activities, aiming to establish a commodity trading ecosystem [9][10] Group 3 - Major state-owned banks in China have lowered three- and five-year deposit rates by 25 basis points, with the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) also reduced by 10 basis points, reflecting a shift in monetary policy [10][11] - The People's Bank of China announced a MLF operation of CNY 500 billion to maintain liquidity in the banking system, indicating ongoing support for the economy [12][13] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange is working on a draft to improve cross-border fund management for domestic companies listing abroad, aiming to enhance financing convenience [13][14] Group 4 - The European Union proposed a €2 fee on small parcels, primarily targeting e-commerce shipments from China, which accounted for over 90% of such imports [15][16] - The U.S. Congress passed a significant tax reform bill under the Trump administration, which includes various tax cuts and spending increases, potentially impacting the economy and federal debt [21][22] - Bitcoin reached a historic high of $110,000, driven by macroeconomic policies and structural factors, positioning it as the fifth-largest asset globally by market capitalization [26]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1%, down 235 points, closing at 23,366 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.32% [1] - The early trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 127.7 billion [1] Group 2: Airline Sector - Airline stocks continued their recent upward trend, with April civil aviation demand growth significantly improving compared to Q1, leading to expected profitability improvements in Q2 [1] - China National Airlines (00753) rose by 5.76%, Southern Airlines (01055) increased by 4.36%, and Eastern Airlines (00670) gained 1.85% [1] Group 3: Nuclear Energy Sector - The signing of the nuclear energy "revitalization order" by Trump indicates a clear trend towards nuclear power development, resulting in significant gains for nuclear stocks [1] - China General Nuclear Power (01164) increased by 5.63%, and China General Nuclear Power Electric (01816) rose by 3.92% [1][3] Group 4: Technology and AI Sector - Fubo Group (03738) surged over 6%, with Q1 total revenue growing approximately 23% year-on-year as the company accelerates its AI ecosystem layout [1] - Tencent Music (01698) rose over 4%, with Q1 ARPPU improving beyond expectations and stable growth in online music services [1] - Kangnate Optical (02276) increased by over 5%, with AI glasses expected to see rapid growth as the company advances both domestic and international sales [1] Group 5: Cryptocurrency and Virtual Assets - Zhong An Online (06060) surged over 13% following the Hong Kong legislation allowing stablecoins, as Zhong An Bank deepens its layout in virtual asset business [1][2] Group 6: Other Notable Stocks - Chaoyun Group (06601) rose over 8% due to strong growth in the pet consumption market as the company enters the emerging pet sector [1] - Xianjian Technology (01302) increased by over 5% after receiving formal registration approval from the National Medical Products Administration for its aortic arch stent system [1] - Rongchang Bio (09995) fell over 5% after raising approximately HKD 800 million through a recent placement, which is expected to strengthen its cash position [4]

2025.05. 26 本文字数：3734，阅读时长大约6分钟 作者 | 第一财经 周艾琳 近日，香港特区政府表示，欢迎立法会通过《稳定币条例草案》，以在中国香港设立法币稳定币发行 人的发牌制度，完善对虚拟资产活动在香港的监管框架，以保持金融稳定，同时推动金融创新。 就在同一期间，美国的稳定币法案推出在即。《引导和建立美国稳定币国家创新法案》(GENIUS法 案)目前以66票对32票通过了美国参议院的程序性投票，标志着该法案在参议院取得了重要进展。后 续，法案将进入参议院全体表决阶段。如果参议院最终通过，法案还需送交众议院审议并通过，最后 由总统签署生效。 事实上，从三年前起香港特区政府就开始关注稳定币。究竟港元稳定币背后的考量是什么？哪些机构 有资格获得牌照？对此，第一财经独家采访了金融科技集团Hashkey代币化高级经理李炼炫，此前他 负责牵头国内头部公募基金金在香港推出的第一批比特币ETF设计。在他看来，明确监管框架是主要 意图，特别是2022年TerraUSD的崩盘事件后（稳定币一周内价值归零），各地监管机构都开始意识 到，稳定币市场的有序发展需要清晰且明确的监管框架。同时，这也有助于维持香港的国际金 ...

香港财经事务及库务局局长许正宇表示，条例秉持"相同活动、相同风险、相同监管"的原则，着重风险 为本，致力缔造稳健的监管环境，不仅符合国际监管要求，亦为香港的虚拟资产市场提供稳定的基础， 推动行业的可持续发展，保障用户的权益，巩固香港作为国际金融中心的地位。 香港金融管理局总裁余伟文表示，条例建立了一个风险为本、务实和灵活的监管制度。相信稳健和适切 的监管环境可以缔造有利条件，支持香港稳定币以至数码资产生态圈的健康、负责任和可持续发展。 香港政府表示，会继续支持虚拟资产业界发展。随着虚拟资产交易平台及稳定币发行人监管制度的落 实，政府接下来将就虚拟资产场外交易及托管服务展开咨询，并将发表第二份发展虚拟资产政策宣言。 智通财经APP获悉，5月21日，香港立法会今日通过《稳定币条例草案》，以在香港设立法币稳定币发 行人的发牌制度，完善对虚拟资产活动在香港的监管框架。条例预计将在今年内生效，让业界有足够时 间了解发牌制度下的要求。发牌制度亦设有过渡期安排，以便业界能按照条例的要求申领牌照及作出适 当的业务安排。 《稳定币条例》实施后，任何人如在业务过程中在香港发行法币稳定币，或在香港或以外发行宣称锚定 港元价值的法币 ...