Group 1 - The A-share market has reached a new high, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing above 4100 points and trading volume hitting 3.15 trillion yuan, marking the fifth instance in history of such high trading volume, which typically indicates a peak in the market [1] - Investors are advised to consider two key factors when deciding whether to hold or sell stocks that have not seen significant gains: alignment with the main market trend and the presence of capital support. Stocks in strong sectors like commercial aerospace may be worth holding, while those in weaker sectors with declining trading volume should be reduced [1] Group 2 - The commercial aerospace sector, currently showing a 52% index increase, is still considered to have potential for further growth, despite historical patterns where major themes have seen around 70% gains before adjustments [2] - Investors are encouraged to focus on core stocks with orders and technological barriers, avoiding purely speculative plays. The recent interest in AI marketing is seen as a response from funds looking to capitalize on divergences in the commercial aerospace sector [2]

Core Viewpoints - The latest strategies from top brokerages indicate a bullish sentiment in the A-share market, with a focus on sectors like technology, traditional manufacturing, and resource pricing power [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14] Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market is experiencing a "rally" phase, with significant trading volume and a risk appetite resurgence, as evidenced by the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points [4][6] - The market is expected to maintain its upward trajectory until the Spring Festival, driven by favorable macroeconomic indicators and increased participation from institutional investors [3][4][11][13] Group 2: Sector Focus - Brokerages recommend focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI applications, commercial aerospace, and robotics, which are anticipated to benefit from policy support and market trends [3][7][12][14] - Traditional manufacturing and resource sectors are highlighted for their potential in pricing power enhancement, with suggestions to increase allocations in non-bank financials [2][4][8] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies emphasize a balanced approach, suggesting a mix of growth-oriented and cyclical sectors, with a focus on themes like "anti-involution" and price recovery in industries such as chemicals and metals [7][8][14] - The importance of monitoring market sentiment and performance metrics is stressed, particularly as the market enters a period of earnings announcements and potential volatility [12][13]

Report Overview - The report is a weekly strategy report on overseas equity (Hong Kong and US stocks) by Guotai Junan Futures, dated January 11, 2026 [1][2] 1. Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report 2. Core Views - For US stocks, maintain an optimistic outlook, continue with the technology + cyclical allocation strategy, and expect a more balanced market style in 2026 with a "shrinking circle" structure in the technology sector [3] - For Chinese stocks, in the short term, A-shares have better profit - making effects than Hong Kong stocks, and attention should be paid to the subsequent catch - up opportunities in Hong Kong stocks. In the medium term, Hong Kong stocks maintain a barbell strategy [4][7] 3. Summary by Sections US Stocks - **Market Performance and Outlook**: This week, cyclical sectors led the rise in US stocks, and the technology sector continued its "shrinking circle" structure. Next week, the US stock market will face earnings season and inflation data. The outlook remains optimistic, and the technology + cyclical allocation strategy continues [3] - **2026 Allocation Ideas**: The market style will be more balanced, and the K - shaped divergence between technology and non - technology, large - cap and small - cap stocks is expected to converge. Focus on AI technology, healthcare, utilities, finance, materials, and consumer sectors. Prioritize upstream infrastructure in AI technology over downstream software, and pay attention to theme investment opportunities in physical AI [3] - **Valuation**: US stock valuations are still relatively high overall [14] - **AI Bubble**: It is a local rather than a systematic bubble. The market is punishing individual companies with aggressive capital expenditures. Currently, it may be close to the 1997 position from the perspective of the technology industry's ROIC. Monitor the "ROIC - WACC" convergence trend and the divergence between "financing growth" and "profit growth" [20][22] Chinese Stocks - **Market Performance and Outlook**: This week, A - shares outperformed Hong Kong stocks. A - shares' performance was strong in some sectors with high performance certainty and theme - concept sectors. Southbound funds' entry momentum increased, and the pattern may be A - shares leading and Hong Kong stocks catching up. February is the month with the highest winning rate for A - shares historically [4][6][7] - **Short - term Allocation**: Defensively allocate sectors with high performance certainty (AI hardware, new energy leaders, and non - ferrous metals), and offensively allocate valuation - driven sectors (Hang Seng Technology, Hong Kong innovative drugs, commercial aerospace, and robotics) [7] - **Medium - term Allocation for Hong Kong Stocks**: Adopt a barbell strategy, focusing on technology assets with clear industrial trends supported by policies, some new energy sectors with supply - side clearance and demand - side improvement, and non - ferrous sectors benefiting from supply shortages, strong structural demand, and interest rate cuts [7] Odds Analysis - **Hong Kong Stocks**: The forward PE of the Hang Seng Index is 11.8 times, approaching the mean + 1STD since 2015. The forward PE of the Hang Seng Tech Index is 21.4 times, approaching the mean of the past 5 years. The Hang Seng Index ERP is 4.9%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index ERP is 1.1% [9][10]

Group 1 - Jia Mei Packaging announced that its stock will resume trading on January 12, 2026, after a price increase of 230.48% from December 17, 2025, to January 6, 2026 [2][16] - Guosheng Technology also stated that its stock will resume trading on January 12, 2026, with a cumulative price increase of 370.20% from October 31, 2025, to January 6, 2026 [2][17] - Tianpu Co. announced its stock will resume trading on January 12, 2026, after a significant price increase of 718.39% from August 22, 2025, to December 30, 2025 [2][18] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce held a national business work conference on January 10-11, 2026, focusing on optimizing the consumption upgrade policy for 2026 [4] - The conference emphasized eight key areas of work, including boosting consumption, enhancing the modern market system, and promoting trade innovation [4] - The conference aims to align actions with the central government's economic strategies and enhance international trade cooperation [4] Group 3 - The U.S. Supreme Court announced on January 9, 2026, that it would not make a ruling on the tariff case initiated by the Trump administration [5] - The tariffs were implemented without congressional approval under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act [5] Group 4 - The U.S. Labor Department reported a non-farm employment increase of 50,000 in December 2025, below the expected 73,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.4% [6] - The report suggests that the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain interest rates unchanged in January [6] Group 5 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) and the Ministry of Finance announced new regulations increasing the whistleblower reward for securities and futures violations to a maximum of 1 million yuan [8] - The reward structure has been significantly enhanced, with the maximum for major violations raised from 100,000 yuan to 500,000 yuan [8] Group 6 - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) reported that central enterprises achieved over 11 trillion yuan in revenue in strategic emerging industries by November 2025 [11] - The SASAC also noted that 116 strategic reorganizations involving 229 first-level enterprises have been initiated [11] Group 7 - Shanghai's government released a three-year action plan (2026-2028) to support the transformation and upgrading of advanced manufacturing [13] - The plan includes initiatives for low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, and humanoid robots, aiming to overcome development bottlenecks in these sectors [13] Group 8 - The Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange launched a rare earth price index to provide timely and accurate price references for the industry [14] - The index is based on trading data and aims to reflect the overall price trends of rare earth products [14] Group 9 - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of VAT export rebates for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026 [15] - The VAT export rebate rate for battery products will be reduced from 9% to 6% during 2026, with a complete cancellation planned for 2027 [15]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China is enhancing its stability by expanding domestic demand and providing support to the global economy through high-quality growth and high-level openness amid rising global economic uncertainties [1][2]. - China is not relying on short-term stimulus but is focusing on upgrading consumption structures, with significant growth in sectors such as new energy vehicles, cultural products, health industries, and high-quality services [2]. - The continuous upgrade of consumer demand is driving the adjustment and transformation of the supply system, with a shift from "scale + cost" advantages to "innovation + efficiency" advantages in fields like artificial intelligence, semiconductors, robotics, green energy, and biotechnology [2]. Group 2 - China is maintaining a high level of openness, which includes further relaxation of market access, institutional openness, and comprehensive improvement of the business environment, making it easier for foreign enterprises to understand Chinese demand and integrate into regional value chains [2]. - The development of companies like Tesla and Schneider Electric in China illustrates how aligning with China's focus on electric vehicles, digitalization, advanced manufacturing, and energy transition has led to rapid business growth and positioned China as a global hub for innovation and production [2]. - China's contributions to the world economy are not only in terms of growth momentum but also in structural transformation and green development, significantly lowering the cost barriers for global green technologies through investments in new energy, energy storage, and electric vehicles [3].

中泰证券发布研究报告称，短期内市场或延续上行趋势，遇震荡行情，投资者可把握逢低布局机遇，抓 住春节前的重要窗口期配置价值。从板块配置角度看，机器人方向在本轮拉升过程中持续获得资金净流 入，板块上涨并未出现明显资金背离，趋势尚未结束，仍是当前阶段最重点建议关注的主线方向。商业 航天板块资金流入态势同样强劲，但当前交易拥挤度已处于历史高位，板块运行或由前期主升阶段逐步 转向第二阶段的"主题扩散"行情，操作上需更加注重节奏与分化。此外，可控核聚变、体育与消费者服 务、有色金属等方向亦出现资金持续流入迹象，若1月中旬市场局部出现震荡调整，上述板块有望成为 值得重点布局的结构性方向。 ...

Group 1 - The macroeconomic environment is improving, with December 2025 PMI and inflation data showing a seasonal rebound, indicating better demand and supply conditions [9][12][24] - Various commodity prices have shown signs of recovery from their lows since mid-December 2025, with non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and black raw materials leading the recovery [9][12] - The micro-funding environment remains ample, with institutional funds providing incremental support, and trading funds expected to gradually recover, enhancing market liquidity [12][24] Group 2 - The thematic market is very active, with potential for further index uplift if the themes can expand into relatively low sectors [16][24] - Future thematic allocations should focus on sectors with price increase expectations supported by performance, such as non-ferrous metals, power battery supply chains, and chemicals [17][24] - Other areas of interest include themes that may see policy or unexpected technological breakthroughs, such as AI applications and tourism consumption [17][24] Group 3 - The report suggests that the current market conditions may favor a bullish sentiment, with the potential for a spring market rebound if the thematic trends continue to spread [8][16] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of various sectors and themes, particularly those that are expected to benefit from policy support and technological advancements [17][24] - The report emphasizes the need for caution regarding potential volatility in the short term, especially in high-demand technology themes like commercial aerospace and satellite internet [17][24]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes China's ongoing high-level opening-up, which injects momentum into global trade and allows multinational companies to share in the benefits [1] - The CEO of Deutsche Post DHL Group highlights that China's advancements in automation, robotics, and artificial intelligence are significantly impacting the global logistics industry, making China a key player in industry transformation [1] - China is recognized not just as a manufacturing base but as a global innovation center, particularly in industrial automation and smart logistics [1] Group 2 - Deutsche Post DHL Group plans to increase investments and strategic layout in China, particularly in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, enhancing logistics infrastructure and international express network capabilities [2] - The expansion of the DHL Express Shenzhen hub is expected to be operational this year, providing more direct cargo flights to major cities in the Asia-Pacific and globally [2] - The company has established a dedicated China business center at its headquarters in Germany to support Chinese enterprises expanding into Europe, offering local distribution solutions [2] Group 3 - Deutsche Post DHL Group employs over 600,000 people across more than 200 countries and regions, leveraging a comprehensive air, sea, and land transport network [2] - The company's recent "2030 Strategy" focuses on green low-carbon initiatives, digitalization, life sciences, and new energy, aligning closely with China's long-term development goals [2] - The Belt and Road Initiative is seen as a catalyst for global trade cooperation, providing new development opportunities for logistics companies like Deutsche Post DHL Group [2]

Group 1 - The crisis regarding the loss of freedom of the chairman of Mahe Co., Ltd. has been resolved with the announcement of the lifting of the detention measures against Wang Jinping, allowing him to resume his duties as chairman [1][3] - Following the announcement of Wang Jinping's detention, Mahe Co., Ltd. experienced a significant drop in stock price, closing down 7.42% on November 17, 2025, at 23.34 yuan per share, and later adjusting to 20.46 yuan [3] - The company was founded in 2010 and specializes in high-end intelligent equipment systems and smart IoT systems, focusing on research, design, manufacturing integration, sales, and smart operation and maintenance services [4] Group 2 - For the first three quarters of 2025, Mahe Co., Ltd. reported operating revenue of 856.7 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.78%, while net profit reached 98.42 million yuan, an increase of 46.87% [5] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -2.42 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 102.9% [5]

Market Overview - The market is expected to face a technical test on January 8, with the index deviating from the 5-day moving average, indicating a potential need for a pullback or consolidation [1] - The market may attempt to test resistance around 4098 points, but caution is advised as a quick rise could lead to a pullback [3] - Key support levels to watch are around 4071 points and 4056 points, indicating a current state of consolidation [3] Sector Focus - **Commercial Aerospace**: Driven by SpaceX's ambitious plans to scale production, the domestic industry is seeing advancements in reusable rocket technology and increased visibility of orders. Key companies include Zhongguang Fanglong and Aerospace Development [5] - **Semiconductors**: The demand for high-performance storage chips is rising due to AI applications, with companies like SanDisk experiencing significant stock price increases. The advanced packaging market is also growing rapidly, particularly in China [7][8] - **Industrial AI**: Supported by government initiatives, the integration of AI in manufacturing processes is expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs. Companies like Hand Information and Baoxin Software are positioned well in this sector [10] - **Robotics**: The open-source movement led by NVIDIA is accelerating the development of robots, particularly humanoid robots, making them more accessible for various applications. The global humanoid robot market is projected to grow over 26% annually [12] Investment Opportunities - The market is in a phase of sector rotation, with a focus on commercial aerospace, semiconductors, industrial AI, and robotics as key areas for potential investment. These sectors align with global trends and domestic policy support [13]