丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建材 [Table_Title] 政治局会议定调积极，重视基建链与存量链 ——建材周专题 2025W16 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 政治局会议定调积极财政，重视基建链与存量链 基本面：水泥价格小幅下降，玻璃库存基本持平 重视内需加码下的基建链和存量链，关注非洲链投资机会 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 张佩 李金宝 李浩 董超 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490518080002 SAC：S0490516040002 SAC：S0490520080026 SAC：S0490523030002 SFC：BQK473 SFC：BVZ972 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 政治局会议定调积极，重视基建链与存量链 2] ——建材周专题 2025W16 [Table_Summary2] 政治局会议定调积极，重视基建链与存量链 4 月 25 日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作，在外部冲击影响 加大之下，再谈超常规逆 ...

Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.566 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.51% [8] - The net profit for 2024 was 201 million CNY, showing a significant increase of 173.04% compared to the previous year [8] - In Q1 2025, the revenue reached 349 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 16.41%, and the net profit was 62 million CNY, up by 105.70% [8] Growth Drivers - The growth in revenue was primarily driven by the recovery in consumer electronics demand, expansion into North American markets, and the introduction of new products [2][3] - The company is focusing on high-value products and optimizing its product structure, which has led to an increase in gross margin [3] - New business opportunities in data centers, servers, and smart vehicles are expected to contribute to future growth [11] Market Position and Clientele - The company has established a comprehensive coverage of top clients in the 3C industry, including major players like Samsung, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon [3] - The market share in the consumer electronics sector is anticipated to expand due to the growth of AI terminal devices and ongoing technological innovations [3] International Trade and Strategy - Export revenue accounts for 38.20%, primarily to Southeast Asia, with minimal exposure to the U.S. market [4] - The company has developed strategies to mitigate risks from international trade uncertainties by establishing overseas production bases, particularly in Thailand [5][12] R&D and Innovation - In 2024, the company invested 84.35 million CNY in R&D, which is 5.39% of its revenue, and employs a significant number of technical staff [14] - The focus on high-performance thermal management technologies and new product development is expected to enhance competitive advantage [4][6] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about the growth prospects in AI hardware, smart vehicles, and clean energy sectors, which are expected to drive new product demand [14] - Continuous investment in R&D and innovation is planned to maintain a leading position in the market and meet evolving customer needs [14]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company benefits from good collection quality from both operator and non-operator customers, leading to ample cash on hand and stable free cash flow growth. The dividend per share has been increasing annually, with a payout ratio expected to reach 42% in 2024, indicating significant potential for further increases. The company relies on operators for a stable performance base while capitalizing on the growth in strategic emerging and ACO businesses, maintaining a non-GAAP growth rate of approximately double digits over the past three years, making the current valuation attractive [2][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is backed by China Telecom Group, with the actual controller being the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission. As of the 2024 interim report, China Telecom Group holds 48.99% of the company's shares [5][17]. Business Performance - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with 2022-2024 revenues of 140.7 billion, 148.6 billion, and 150 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 5.04%, 5.59%, and 0.93%. Net profits for the same period were 3.358 billion, 3.584 billion, and 3.607 billion, with growth rates of 6.36%, 6.69%, and 0.63% [22][24]. Strategic Emerging Business Contribution - The company signed new contracts worth approximately 211 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 3%. The strategic emerging business contributed over 78 billion in new contracts, effectively offsetting pressures from other orders. The four main strategic emerging business areas and their respective growth rates for new contracts in 2024 are: digital infrastructure 30%+, green low-carbon 25%+, smart city 40%+, and emergency safety 30%+ [6][57]. Main Business Segments - TIS (Telecom Infrastructure Services) and BPO (Business Process Outsourcing) have maintained steady growth, while ACO (Application, Content, and Other Services) has seen rapid growth, becoming a key driver of the company's performance. In 2024, revenues from TIS, BPO, and ACO were 751.72 billion, 434.59 billion, and 313.69 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -1.27%, -0.21%, and +8.44% [40][75]. Cash Flow and Dividend Policy - The company has a strong cash flow position, with free cash flow steadily increasing. The cash assets on hand are sufficient to cover annual rigid expenditures, including capital expenditures and dividends. The dividend payout ratio is expected to reach 42% in 2024, indicating significant room for further increases [49][54].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6][16] Core Views - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance due to the stabilization of its main business and a positive outlook for downstream demand, particularly in the construction sector [6][8] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.555 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.75% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 96 million yuan, down 40.24% year-on-year [6][9] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 682 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.81%, and a net profit of 24 million yuan, up 15.36% year-on-year [6][9] Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: - 2025: Revenue of 3.839 billion yuan, net profit of 153 million yuan - 2026: Revenue of 4.247 billion yuan, net profit of 204 million yuan - 2027: Revenue of 4.963 billion yuan, net profit of 244 million yuan [6][9][11] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are projected to be 0.35 yuan, 0.47 yuan, and 0.56 yuan respectively [6][9][11] Market and Product Insights - The company has seen a significant increase in the sales volume of high-performance water-reducing agents, with Q1 2025 sales up 27.68% year-on-year [7][8] - The company is expanding its market presence in domestic infrastructure projects and has established overseas subsidiaries in Singapore, the Philippines, and Saudi Arabia, enhancing its international footprint [8][9] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price of 7.92 yuan corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.4 for 2025, 16.8 for 2026, and 14.0 for 2027 [1][6][9] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 3.6% in 2024 to 7.7% in 2027 [9][11][12]

证券研究报告 建筑装饰 | 基础建设 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | 29 | | | | 2025 | 年 | 04 | | 日 | 月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | 8.91 | | | | | 一 年 / 低 | | 最 | 高 | 内 | | | | 9.12/5.19 | | | 最 | | （元） | | | | | | | ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 2.002 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.14% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 0.39 billion, up 39.30% year-on-year [2] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 0.22 billion, reflecting a growth of 20.80% [2] Group 2: Product Performance - The shipment volume of battery chemicals significantly increased, driven by a competitive market for lithium battery materials [2] - The electrolyte business saw a nearly 80% year-on-year increase in shipment volume, although prices experienced a decline [5] - The overseas sales of electrolytes accounted for nearly 20% of total sales in Q1 2025 [6] Group 3: Market Outlook - The demand for fluorinated liquids is expected to grow, particularly due to the increasing installation of wafer fabs [3] - The company anticipates stable growth in the fluorinated liquid market, supported by its unique technological advantages [3] - The emerging industries such as new energy and data centers are expected to drive demand for related fluorine materials [2] Group 4: Project Updates - The Haidefu project showed improved sales performance and reduced losses in Q1 2025, with expectations for better performance than in 2024 [4] - The Malaysian electrolyte project is in the early approval and planning stages, with completion expected within two years [7] - The acquisition of Jiangxi Shilei has resulted in good operational performance, with full production capacity achieved [8] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase R&D investment to expand its product line and enhance market share [3] - The 2023 stock incentive plan is expected to incur expenses of approximately CNY 60-70 million, to be recognized quarterly [8]

Group 1 - The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) is conducting a compliance evaluation of Wuyishan Airport to ensure it meets the operational licensing requirements [1] - The evaluation team employs a "1+N" regulatory model, utilizing data analysis specific to the airport to conduct thorough checks on documentation and actual conditions [1] - The team focuses on addressing safety issues specific to the airport's characteristics, aiming to enhance safety management effectiveness through problem-oriented approaches [1] Group 2 - During a briefing, the evaluation team communicated findings and analysis results to the airport, emphasizing the need to elevate safety management standards [2] - Three key requirements were outlined: enhancing political awareness and integrating party-building with business operations, establishing long-term mechanisms for hazard identification and resolution, and strengthening foundational safety measures [2] - The emphasis is placed on grassroots engagement and leadership involvement to improve risk management capabilities and support high-quality airport development [2]

Core Viewpoint - Longyuan Construction has shown signs of recovery despite the overall downturn in the real estate industry, with a significant reduction in losses and a positive profit in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a potential turnaround [1][6]. External Drivers - The company has enhanced its financing capabilities through strategic cooperation with Hangzhou Transportation Investment Group, which has become the controlling shareholder, providing low-cost financing and stable project resources [2][3]. - The successful acquisition of multiple projects in Hangzhou and the acceleration of local government debt issuance are expected to improve asset quality and provide a safety net for future profit releases [3]. Internal Drivers - Longyuan Construction has adjusted its business structure, increasing its focus on municipal public construction projects, resulting in a 17.82% year-on-year revenue growth in the infrastructure segment [4]. - The green building sector is emerging as a significant growth area, with the company developing BIPV technology and achieving revenue growth of 8.28% in this segment [5]. Conclusion - The dual approach of external empowerment through state-owned capital and internal transformation has allowed Longyuan Construction to navigate the challenges of the real estate downturn, positioning itself for future growth in high-value infrastructure and green technology [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (601186.SH) [4][6] Core Views - Q1 performance remains under pressure due to fluctuating gross margins, with traditional infrastructure investments still needing improvement. The company reported total revenue of 256.8 billion, a year-on-year decline of 6.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion, down 14.5% [1][2] - The company has a substantial backlog of contracts amounting to 78,613 billion, which is 7.4 times the revenue expected for 2024, indicating a strong order book that could stabilize future performance as new funding sources are expected to accelerate project execution [1][2] - New contracts in emerging sectors such as mining and electricity have seen rapid growth, while overseas orders continue to increase significantly. The total new contract amount for Q1 was 492.8 billion, a decrease of 10.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure projects accounting for 85% of the total [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 7.51%, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratio was 4.15%, down 0.07 percentage points, indicating effective cost control [2] - Operating cash flow showed improvement, with a net outflow of 38.95 billion, which is 7.65 billion less than the previous year [2] Contracting and Order Book - The new contract amount for Q1 was 492.8 billion, with infrastructure projects seeing a decline of 13%. However, contracts in emerging sectors like mining and electricity grew significantly, with increases of 66% and 139% respectively [3] - Domestic and overseas contracts were 4,487 billion and 442 billion respectively, with overseas business maintaining rapid growth [3] Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 21.5 billion, 21.6 billion, and 21.9 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.58, 1.59, and 1.61 yuan per share [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Railway Construction Corporation (601186.SH) [4][6] Core Views - The company's Q1 performance remains under pressure due to fluctuating gross margins and a need for improvement in traditional infrastructure investments. However, cash flow has shown some improvement [1][2] - The company has a substantial backlog of contracts, amounting to 78,613 billion, which is 7.4 times the revenue expected for 2024, indicating a strong order book that could stabilize future revenue as new funding sources are deployed [1] - New contracts in emerging sectors such as mining and electricity have seen significant growth, while overseas orders continue to increase [3] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 256.8 billion, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.15 billion, down 14.5% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 7.51%, a decline of 0.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved slightly to 4.15% [2] - The company’s operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 38.95 billion, which is an improvement compared to a larger outflow in the previous year [2] Contract and Order Summary - In Q1 2025, the new contract value was 492.8 billion, down 10.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure projects accounting for 85% of the total new contracts [3] - Emerging engineering orders, particularly in railways, mining, and electricity, have seen substantial increases, with growth rates of 66%, 139%, and 29% respectively [3] - Domestic and overseas new contract values were 448.7 billion and 44.2 billion respectively, showing a year-on-year decline of 13% for domestic contracts but a 30% increase for overseas contracts [3] Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 21.5 billion, 21.6 billion, and 21.9 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.58, 1.59, and 1.61 [4]