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飞天茅台“飞下”2000大关、股价持续下探,贵州茅台何去何从?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-15 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. has declined, with the price of its flagship product, Feitian Moutai, dropping below 2000 yuan per bottle, attributed to factors such as seasonal consumption decline, "ban on alcohol" policies, and e-commerce promotions [1][4][9]. Price Trends - As of June 14, 2025, the market price of Feitian Moutai has fallen to 1960 yuan per bottle, down from 1990 yuan on June 11 and significantly lower than the 2700 yuan high from the previous year [2][4]. - E-commerce platforms have been selling Feitian Moutai at prices as low as 1880 yuan per bottle, marking a significant decrease compared to the 2200 yuan price before the Spring Festival [2][4]. Market Dynamics - The price decline of Feitian Moutai is influenced by aggressive promotional activities from major e-commerce platforms during the "618" shopping festival, which has increased market supply [4]. - The overall trend shows that not only Feitian Moutai but also other products under Kweichow Moutai are experiencing price declines, with Moutai 15 years old dropping from 4750 yuan to 4570 yuan over the past month [5][8]. Industry Context - The white liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with a reported 1.8% decrease in production among major enterprises in 2024, despite a 5.3% increase in sales revenue [7][8]. - The recent "ban on alcohol" policy has further reduced demand for high-end liquor in official settings, exacerbating sales challenges for Kweichow Moutai [9]. Company Response - Kweichow Moutai is attempting to mitigate the situation by introducing smaller bottle sizes and lower alcohol content products to target niche markets, as well as expanding its overseas market presence [9][10]. - The company reported an increase in the number of foreign distributors to 109, with a double-digit growth in revenue to approximately 1.12 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [10][11].
国泰海通·对话专家|地产:当前地产市场现状解读及趋势展望
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-11 14:48
Group 1 - The relationship between new and second-hand housing markets is currently under discussion, particularly regarding the smoothness of the replacement chain and the impact of the launch of fourth-generation residential properties on the second-hand market [1] - The phenomenon of second-hand housing prices being lower than new housing prices in some hot cities raises questions about the divergence in price trends between the two markets and whether this indicates a potential crisis in the second-hand market [1] - In Shanghai's land market during the first quarter of this year, several high-premium plots were observed, prompting an analysis of common characteristics among these plots and their potential impact on the new housing market [1] Group 2 - The luxury housing market in Shanghai remains robust, leading to inquiries about the sustainability of this trend and whether future urban renewal in core areas will reignite the luxury market [1] - Predictions regarding the future price trends in Shanghai's housing market suggest potential differentiation among various segments, including first-time buyers, upgrades, and different urban rings [1] - Key factors influencing homebuyers' decisions are identified, with a focus on whether first-time buyers should consider purchasing during a price decline and how to assess if prices in their city have reached a bottom [1]
动力电池回收行业困局待解 期待政策破冰
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-05-27 17:57
Core Insights - The current state of the used power battery recycling industry is characterized by a mismatch between supply and demand, leading to a seller's market and pressure on profitability [1][4][5] - The anticipated "retirement wave" of power batteries is expected to occur in 4-5 years, which may alleviate some supply-demand pressures, but the industry still requires better guidance and regulation [1][3][6] Industry Overview - The rapid growth of the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry has led to a surge in the power battery recycling sector, with over 172,000 battery recycling-related companies in China, more than 60% of which were established within the last three years [2] - Despite the expansion, the actual utilization rate of the industry's nominal capacity is only 15.5%, with a significant gap between the expected and actual retirement of batteries [2][3] Market Dynamics - The recycling market is currently facing high acquisition prices for retired batteries, while the selling prices of recycled products do not cover raw material costs, resulting in a "cost inversion" scenario [4] - Informal recycling operations without environmental and safety certifications are exacerbating the situation by offering higher prices for retired batteries, further straining the profitability of legitimate companies [4] Future Projections - While the recycling volume of lithium-ion batteries is projected to exceed 4 million tons by 2030, the lack of regulatory guidance may lead to continued supply-demand imbalances [3] - The price of lithium carbonate is expected to decline, which could lead to long-term cost inversion for recycling companies, shifting their revenue model towards service fees for waste management rather than product sales [5] Regulatory Developments - Recent regulations, such as the "Interim Measures for the Recycling and Utilization of Waste Power Batteries for New Energy Vehicles" in Sichuan, aim to standardize the recycling process and ensure retired batteries enter formal channels [6] - The national government is working on revising the existing regulations to enhance industry oversight and promote sustainable development, with new guidelines expected to be released within the year [6]
“这是一种背叛”,锦江酒店如何向2亿会员交代?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-05-08 12:52
Core Viewpoint - Jinjiang Hotel Group is facing a trust crisis due to "price inversion" issues, where prices on its official platform are significantly higher than those on third-party platforms [1][3][4]. Group 1: Price Inversion Issues - Investigations revealed that some Jinjiang franchise hotels set prices on the Jinjiang Hui app five times higher than on third-party platforms [1][2]. - During the May Day holiday, certain hotels showed full bookings on the official platform while being available on OTA platforms [2][4]. - Jinjiang's official platform has been reported to have higher prices compared to OTA platforms multiple times in recent months, indicating a systemic issue [5][9]. Group 2: Franchise and Group Dynamics - The "price inversion" reflects a growing conflict between franchise hotels and the Jinjiang Group over profit-sharing and visibility on booking platforms [3][4]. - Franchise hotels are increasingly favoring OTA platforms due to higher traffic and visibility, leading to a weakening of the official booking channels [3][11]. - The lack of effective price monitoring and management by Jinjiang has contributed to these issues, as franchisees feel empowered to prioritize their own revenue [8][11]. Group 3: Membership and Revenue Challenges - Despite having over 200 million members, Jinjiang's occupancy and repurchase rates are lower than competitors like Huazhu and Atour, indicating a lack of attractive member benefits [9][11]. - Jinjiang's net profit for 2024 was only 9.11 billion RMB, a decline of 9.06% year-on-year, highlighting a disparity in performance compared to other hotel groups [9][11]. - The company plans to enhance its membership system to improve member engagement and loyalty, but the effectiveness of these measures remains uncertain [11][12].
电池回收“黑洞”:大锤砸出致癌物,小作坊吞下7成市场
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-05-01 11:26
中国经营报《等深线》记者陈茂利北京报道 广州的白名单回收厂里,机械臂正井然有序地拆解着退役电池。与此同时,200多公里外东莞村落的一 工厂内,散落一地的废旧电池,正在被工作人员借着昏暗的光线撬开,更有人抡着大锤拆解着。 两种场景,共同承接着汹涌而来的电池"退役潮"。有机构预计,2025年,我国动力电池退役量将达到82 万吨,2028年后则会达到260万吨。 "大概七成的退役电池被小作坊以更高的价格收走,流入非正规渠道,这些企业对废旧动力电池进行简 单修复包装,或粗暴破碎后再次流入市场。"一家动力电池上市公司人士告诉《等深线》记者。 锂电池含有不少有害物质,其正极材料镍化合物,被国际癌症研究机构(IARC)列为1类致癌物,长期 接触可导致鼻癌、肺癌;负极材料石墨长期吸入可导致尘肺病;而电解液中的六氟磷酸锂,遇水分解为 氟化氢,后者具有强腐蚀性,可灼伤皮肤、眼睛,吸入后损伤肺部…… 然而吞下七成退役电池的小作坊,往往既无环评许可,也无安全生产资质,更遑论正规拆解执照,有的 甚至没有进行工商登记。反观仅吸收三成退役电池的白名单企业,却要遵循《新能源汽车废旧动力电池 综合利用行业规范条件(2024年本)》的严格标准: ...
整顿终端价格 加码宴席市场 金沙酒业与价格倒挂背水一战
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-03-25 10:37
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges faced by Jinsha Liquor Industry due to price inversion and the company's strategies to manage pricing and enhance sales through banquet and group purchase channels [1][10]. Pricing Management - Jinsha Liquor Industry is establishing a National Pricing Management Committee to oversee product pricing and address execution gaps [3][4]. - The company has previously implemented measures to control prices, including a recovery initiative for low-priced products sold online [5][6]. Financial Performance - According to the 2024 financial report from China Resources Beer, Jinsha Liquor achieved revenue of 2.149 billion yuan, a 4% year-on-year increase, while the sales volume of its flagship product "Summary" grew by 35% [8]. - Despite the revenue growth, the company's profitability only increased by 0.37%, falling short of its initial target of 40% growth for the year [8][9]. Market Position and Competition - Jinsha Liquor's revenue growth has lagged behind competitors, with a significant gap widening between its performance and that of other brands like Zhenjiu [9]. - The company is facing challenges in the rationalizing market for liquor, where only top brands are expected to thrive, making it difficult for Jinsha to enhance its market share in the short term [9]. Strategic Focus - To counteract the effects of price inversion, Jinsha Liquor is focusing on banquet and group purchase markets, implementing five key initiatives to boost sales [10][11]. - The company aims to leverage its strengths in these areas to improve market competitiveness and drive sales growth [10].