房地产投资

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中金:4月一二手房销售边际走弱 房价环比跌幅走阔
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 08:36
中金发布研报称,4月全国新建商品房销售面积和金额同比降幅分别走阔至-2.1%和-6.7%(3月分别-0.9% 和-1.6%);同期高频口径新房销售面积同比转负至-14%(3月同比+2%),各口径新房销售数据均呈走弱态 势。估计4月一、二手房总销量同比增幅已降至个位数水平,叠加挂牌量持续上行(4月末130城二手住宅 挂牌套数较3月末+1.0%)带来的预期影响,挂牌价压力已开始向成交价传导,4月中金同质性二手住宅成 交价格指数环比跌幅走阔至-1.3%(此前6个月环比跌幅均不超过-0.5%)。 中金主要观点如下: 4月新房和二手房成交量均边际走弱,房价环比跌幅走阔 4月全国新建商品房销售面积和金额同比降幅分别走阔至-2.1%和-6.7%(3月分别-0.9%和-1.6%);同期高 频口径新房销售面积同比转负至-14%(3月同比+2%),各口径新房销售数据均呈走弱态势。二手房方 面,4月中介口径80城二手住宅成交量指数同比增幅收窄至+13%(3月同比+45%),备案口径15城二手房 成交面积同比增幅也收窄至+17%(3月同比+32%),整体上二手房交易量表现好于新房,但也已现边际走 弱态势。 中金估计,4月一、二手房总 ...
中金:4月房地产投资和开工承压 需求走弱背景下关注前端土地市场温度变化
news flash· 2025-05-20 00:01
中金研报称,4月房地产投资和开工承压,需求走弱背景下关注前端土地市场温度变化。4月受销售回款 影响,房企到位资金同比跌幅走阔至-5.3%(3月-3.9%),房地产投资同比跌11.3%(3月-10.0%),新开工面 积同比跌22%(3月-18%),竣工面积同比跌28%(3月-12%),4月末施工面积同比跌9.7%(3月末为-9.5%); 在新房销售疲弱背景下,企业投资意愿和能力的边际走弱符合我们此前预期。今年1-4月300城宅地成交 建面和金额分别同比增长5%和34%(2024年分别为-22%和-27%),该表现与头部城市密集推地直接相 关;往前看,我们认为如需求端仍维持走弱态势,需关注土地市场温度边际变化,这对投资端指标有一 定前瞻意义。关注房地产及多元板块投资机会。近期房地产销售量价均边际走弱,但外部环境扰动影响 和需求端支持政策进展仍待观察。 ...
报告:4月份新增发行的1763亿元专项债中,投向房地产相关领域约717亿元
news flash· 2025-05-09 09:35
Core Insights - In April, local governments in China issued a total of 176.3 billion yuan in new special bonds, with 71.7 billion yuan directed towards real estate-related sectors, accounting for 40% of the total, an increase of 8 percentage points from March [1] - The specific allocation for real estate was 33.6 billion yuan, representing a month-on-month increase of 30% [1] - Cumulatively, from January to April, the total issuance of new special bonds reached 1.1 trillion yuan, with 389.1 billion yuan allocated to real estate-related sectors, making up 35% of the total, and 164.6 billion yuan specifically earmarked for real estate, which is 15% of the total [1]
太古地产(01972) - 2022 H2 - 电话会议演示
2025-05-05 11:27
2022 FINAL RESULTS | ANALYST BRIEFING 9TH MARCH 2023 DISCLAIMER This presentation has been prepared by Swire Properties Limited (the "Company", and together with its subsidiaries, the "Group") solely for information purposes and the information contained herein has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, fairness, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions presented h ...
巴菲特股东大会聚焦投资与传承 94岁“股神”分享未来展望
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-04 03:13
Group 1 - The annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting attracted a record attendance of approximately 19,700 shareholders, coinciding with Warren Buffett's 60th anniversary at the helm of the company [1] - Buffett expressed that even a 30% drop in Berkshire's stock price would be viewed as a "very good opportunity," emphasizing the importance of rational judgment over emotional reactions during critical times [1] - The company is adopting a cautious approach towards artificial intelligence, with Buffett stating that they will not place all bets on AI and have appointed Ajit Jain to oversee related decisions [1] Group 2 - Buffett highlighted the challenges of finding high returns due to the company's size, stating that it has become increasingly difficult to identify attractive investment opportunities [2] - In response to concerns about the large cash reserves, Buffett indicated that acting hastily could harm shareholder interests and expressed a willingness to reduce cash levels to $50 billion if better opportunities arise [2] - The meeting also marked a significant transition, as Buffett announced his intention to step down as CEO by the end of the year, with Greg Abel set to take over, signaling the end of an era for the company [2]
官宣年底退休,最后一届“巴菲特股东大会”说了什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-03 18:30
Core Insights - The annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting took place in Omaha, marking Warren Buffett's 60th year at the helm and potentially his last full participation [2][13] - Buffett announced he will step down as CEO by the end of the year, with Greg Abel set to take over, indicating a transition of power within the company [13][14] Trade Policy Discussion - Buffett emphasized that trade should not be used as a weapon and highlighted the importance of balanced trade for global benefit [3][4] - He noted that macroeconomic and geopolitical events, including trade policies, could impact Berkshire's operations in the future [4] Real Estate vs. Stock Market - Buffett stated that real estate is more challenging to navigate compared to the stock market, which offers more opportunities and quicker transactions [4][5] - He pointed out the complexities involved in real estate transactions, contrasting them with the rapid trading environment of the stock market [4] Investment Patience Principle - Buffett discussed the importance of knowing when to act quickly in investments, stating that sometimes it is necessary to break the patience principle to seize opportunities [6][7] - He advised that while patience is important, investors should not hesitate when a favorable opportunity arises [7] Successor Discussion - Buffett confirmed Greg Abel as his successor, highlighting the difficulty of finding exceptional talent in the capital investment industry [8][9] - He emphasized the importance of building a trustworthy team and the challenges associated with it [9] Market Volatility - Buffett reassured investors that recent market fluctuations are normal and should not cause panic, referencing historical market behaviors [9][10] - He encouraged investors to adapt their mindset to the inherent volatility of the stock market [10] Berkshire's Asset Allocation - Abel discussed Berkshire's strong balance sheet and the strategic use of cash reserves for future investments [11][12] - He reiterated that the company will maintain its investment philosophy and risk management strategies consistent with its past practices [12] CEO Transition Announcement - Buffett confirmed his retirement as CEO at the end of the year, while expressing his intention to remain involved in the company [13][14] - He praised Abel's capabilities, indicating confidence in the future leadership of Berkshire Hathaway [13]
巴菲特最新发声:贸易不应该成为武器!高度评价苹果CEO库克
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-03 14:29
"股神"巴菲特在伯克希尔・哈撒韦股东大会上表示,美国应该寻求与其他国家进行贸易,贸易不应该成 为武器。 当地时间5月3日,伯克希尔・哈撒韦年度股东大会在美国奥马哈拉开帷幕。对于备受关注的关税贸易 战, 巴菲特在伯克希尔・哈撒韦股东大会上表示,美国应该寻求与其他国家进行贸易,贸易不应该成 为武器。 部分内容综合自:人民财讯等 巴菲特表示,之所以赚了很多钱,是因为从未全仓投资。重大的交易机会明天出现的可能性非常低,但 在未来五年内并非不可能。 责编:梁秋燕 巴菲特在伯克希尔・哈撒韦股东大会上表示:"我们不会立刻卖掉日本五大综合商社的投资股票,至少 现在没有发生,在以后的十年之中也不会发生。" 巴菲特说,房地产投资比股票投资更耗时,吸引力更小。巴菲特表示:"我觉得房地产是比股票还要更 艰苦。选择股票,每一秒钟都有许多机会,在美国你可以找到不同的股票,而且有更多的机会呈现在这 些股票本身,我想证券市场跟房地产比较还是有更多的机会。" 巴菲特在伯克希尔・哈撒韦股东大会上提到库克,称"很高兴苹果CEO库克先生也到场了,在乔布斯逝 世之后,库克接手苹果同样做得非常出色,没有人能像乔布斯一样,但库克对苹果也有很大建树" 。 ...
2025年伯克希尔股东大会问答直播:巴菲特谈贸易、日本、现金部署
智通财经网· 2025-05-03 14:19
巴菲特补充说,会让贾因来决定伯克希尔未来十年的保险业务。是否用AI将由贾因来选择。 21:43 股东大会第四个问题:全球不确定环境下投资房地产的挑战 投资界的年度盛会——伯克希尔-哈撒韦股东大会在5月2日拉开帷幕,北京时间3日当晚9点,大会问答 环节开始。"股神"巴菲特确定全程参与,携他的CEO接班人——伯克希尔非保险业务的负责人阿贝尔 (Greg Abel)以及保险业务负责人贾因(Ajit Jain)共同回答股东提问。 今年是巴菲特收购伯克希尔公司60周年,也可能是伯克希尔"巴菲特时代"落幕的开始。巴菲特在2月发 布的2024年度股东信中坦言,"要不了多久"阿贝尔就会接班。今年的股东大会问答总时长比去年减少约 一小时,缩短至四个半小时,可能就是为了配合巴菲特的高龄作出妥协。 今年的股东大会被视为史上最重要的一场,可能是巴菲特最后一次全程参与的股东会,投资者要准备为 一个没有巴菲特掌舵的伯克希尔做好准备。 相比往年,投资者将更珍视可能是最后一次巴菲特在伯克希尔平台长时间分享投资理念和经验的机会, 可能更关注伯克希尔管理层的"交班"计划、巴菲特接班人阿贝尔未来在公司的角色和战略方向、巴菲特 描绘的伯克希尔发展蓝 ...
巴菲特称,与股票投资相比 房地产投资更耗时且吸引力更低
news flash· 2025-05-03 13:51
巴菲特在伯克希尔 哈撒韦股东大会上表示,房地产投资比股票投资更耗时,吸引力更小。 ...