Group 1 - The central government has implemented a series of fiscal, monetary, and industrial policies aimed at stabilizing employment, which has shown foundational and critical effects in promoting job stability [2][3] - In the first half of the year, 6.95 million new urban jobs were created, achieving 58% of the annual target, supported by measures such as increased unemployment insurance and social insurance subsidies [4][5] - The State Council has issued a notice with 19 policy measures to further enhance employment support, focusing on increasing unemployment insurance returns, deferring social insurance payments, and strengthening skills training [4][5] Group 2 - Local governments have accelerated the implementation of employment stabilization measures, with specific plans in cities like Beijing and Guizhou to create new job opportunities in emerging sectors [6] - Experts predict that the employment situation is likely to improve further due to ongoing economic recovery and the release of policy effectiveness, particularly in the service and manufacturing sectors [6] - There is a call for increased investment in education and training to address structural employment issues and support high-quality employment in the future [7]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures on September 1st, 2025, including股指期货 (shock consolidation), 白银期货 (shock - strong and hitting a new high), etc. [2][3] - The A - share market has shown positive trends recently, with major indices rising in August. Multiple factors are expected to support its long - term positive development, and sectors such as technology, consumption, and dividend assets are favored [22][23][27] - The prices of international commodities are affected by various factors such as supply - demand relationships, economic data, and policies. For example, US crude oil production hitting a new high has pressured oil prices [17] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market Forecast (1) Stock Index Futures - On September 1st, 2025, 股指期货 will shock and consolidate and accumulate strength for an upward attack. Specific contracts have corresponding support and resistance levels. For example, IF2509 has resistance at 4550 and 4600 points and support at 4500 and 4475 points [2] - In September 2025, IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts are expected to be shock - strong [30][31] (2) Bond Futures - On September 1st, 2025, the ten - year treasury bond futures main contract T2512 will likely have a wide - range shock, with support at 107.66 and 107.53 yuan and resistance at 107.91 and 108.04 yuan. The thirty - year treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 will also likely have a wide - range shock, with support at 116.0 and 115.3 yuan and resistance at 116.8 and 117.4 yuan [2][3] (3) Precious Metal Futures - On September 1st, 2025, the gold futures main contract AU2510 will likely be strong - shock and attack resistance levels of 794.9 and 796.3 yuan/gram, with support at 785.4 and 783.6 yuan/gram. The silver futures main contract AG2510 will likely be shock - strong, attack resistance levels of 9650 and 9700 yuan/kg, and hit a new high since listing, with support at 9386 and 9347 yuan/kg [2][3] (4) Base Metal Futures - On September 1st, 2025, copper, zinc, and nickel futures will likely be strong - shock; aluminum, alumina, tin, and industrial silicon futures will likely be weak - shock; and lead futures' trend is not specifically mentioned in this part of the prediction [3][4] (5) Energy and Chemical Futures - On September 1st, 2025, crude oil, glass, and soda ash futures will likely be weak - shock; PTA, PVC, and methanol futures will also likely be weak - shock [6][7] (6) Agricultural Product Futures - On September 1st, 2025, soybean meal futures will likely be strong - shock; soybean oil, palm oil, and cotton futures will likely be weak - shock [7] 2. Macro - Information and Trading Tips - The State Council held a meeting to study element market - oriented reform pilot projects, deploy county - level high - school revitalization, and review relevant medical plans [8] - Multiple departments have introduced policies to promote employment, support private enterprises, and develop inclusive childcare services [8][9] - The economic data shows that the business revenue of state - owned enterprises is flat, and the manufacturing and non - manufacturing PMIs have rebounded [9] - International events include Sino - US economic and trade exchanges, and the development of Sino - Russian economic cooperation [9][11] 3. A - Share Market Analysis - On August 29th, the A - share market had most major indices rising, with 3300 stocks falling, and some sectors such as lithium - battery, rare - earth, and CRO concepts leading the gains [22] - In August, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 7.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 15.32%, and the ChiNext Index rose 24.13% [23] - In the future, the A - share market is expected to maintain a long - term positive trend, supported by factors such as policy support and economic improvement [27] 4. International Stock and Bond Markets - On August 29th, US stocks closed down due to factors such as technology stock corrections, tariff concerns, and inflation data. European stocks also closed down, affected by geopolitical risks and other factors [29][30] - On August 29th, US bond yields showed different trends, with long - term yields rising and short - term yields fluctuating greatly [56]

Core Points - The article emphasizes the importance of supporting college graduates in securing employment, particularly focusing on those who have not found jobs after graduation [1] - Various initiatives are being implemented by educational departments to assist unemployed graduates, including job fairs and transitional positions [1][5] Group 1: Employment Support Initiatives - The Ministry of Education, in collaboration with relevant departments, is organizing job fairs specifically for the 2025 graduating class, with over 17,000 job openings available [1] - Educational institutions are creating management and teaching assistant positions to provide transitional opportunities for unemployed graduates [1][3] - The implementation of employment internships and vocational training programs is aimed at ensuring a safety net for unemployed graduates [5] Group 2: Continuous Employment Services - Continuous support services for graduates have been established, with universities enhancing their assistance through targeted help for job-seeking students [6] - At Anhui University, a team of 22 counselors and corporate recruitment consultants is available to provide professional guidance to students facing job search challenges [6] - The university has successfully helped over 720 unemployed graduates secure jobs through ongoing support and follow-up services [10] Group 3: Customized Employment Solutions - Jin Hua Vocational and Technical University has developed a "Golden Years" smart platform that generates detailed employment profiles for each student [12] - A team of mentors, including employment, professional, and corporate mentors, provides tailored guidance to students based on their academic performance and job preferences [12][14] - The platform collects and analyzes data on students' academic achievements and personality tests to facilitate job matching, with efforts ongoing to assist remaining unemployed students [14]

本文转载自："人力资源和社会保障部"官微；智通财经编辑：陈筱亦。 会议强调，要全面抓好各项稳就业政策落实，及早释放稳岗扩岗效力。抓紧细化配套政策，尽快明确稳 就业政策对象清单，管好用好补贴资金，切实优化服务举措。要全力促进高校毕业生等青年就业，摸清 底数开展分类帮扶，深挖潜力开发专门岗位，加力组织专项服务活动，加强帮扶长期失业青年。要扎实 推进农民工特别是脱贫人口稳就业，强化服务、培训、产业"三个协同"，更好健全输出地输入地对接机 制，全力稳定务工规模。要精心实施公共就业服务能力提升示范项目，加强分类指导，有序推进项目实 施，切实发挥引领带动作用。要创新开展就业政策宣传月活动，着力提高政策知晓度落实率，切实营造 良好就业氛围。 国家发展改革委、财政部有关司局负责同志作了部署发言。各省、自治区、直辖市及新疆生产建设兵团 相关部门负责同志在分会场参会。 8月28日，人力资源社会保障部、国家发展改革委、财政部召开进一步加大稳就业政策落实力度视频会 议。会议深入贯彻党中央、国务院关于稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期决策部署，总结前期工作，分 析研判当前总体形势，部署推进稳就业政策落实，突出做好青年群体、农民工就业工作， ...

Group 1: Public Health Initiatives - Wuxi has initiated a comprehensive cancer prevention and control action, becoming the first city in the province to implement such a program, which includes cancer screening as a key project for three consecutive years [3] - A total of 1.1619 million residents have participated in cancer screenings, with 274,400 high-risk individuals assessed, leading to the diagnosis of 3,323 cases of precancerous lesions and "five cancers" [3] - The standardized cancer mortality rate in Wuxi has decreased from 95.34 per 100,000 in 2020 to 80.80 per 100,000 in 2024, significantly lower than the national average [3] Group 2: Elderly Care Services - Wuxi has 150 elderly care institutions with approximately 40,000 beds, over 80% of which are nursing beds, addressing the needs of the aging population [4] - The "Xixin Medical and Nursing" community home-based service initiative has been implemented, providing integrated medical and nursing services to the elderly [4] - The city has established 157 meal assistance centers and 709 community meal service facilities, with differentiated subsidies linked to service performance [4] Group 3: Employment and Economic Stability - Jiangyin City has maintained stable employment, with 18,200 new urban jobs created by the end of July this year [5] - Various measures have been taken to stabilize employment, including providing over 44,000 job opportunities and issuing 2.3 million yuan in entrepreneurial subsidies [5] - The city has established 66 talent recruitment stations and introduced 10,200 new college graduates into the workforce [5] Group 4: Urban Environment Improvement - Wuxi's urban management department has launched 1,319 special improvement projects across 151 areas, focusing on enhancing public spaces and facilities [6] - Initiatives include upgrading street scenery, waste collection systems, and public restrooms, aiming for significant improvements with minimal investment [6] - The city has supported the establishment of 432 seasonal fruit and vegetable stalls, enhancing local commerce while maintaining ecological aesthetics [6] Group 5: Education Resource Expansion - Wuxi has achieved a high school enrollment rate of 68.23% and is expanding educational resources through various initiatives [9] - New high school branches have been established, and transportation services have been improved with 117 customized bus routes for students [9] - The city is focused on promoting educational equity and quality through infrastructure development and resource allocation [9] Group 6: Cultural Enrichment - Wuxi is developing cultural facilities, including a new art museum and concert hall, with the art museum expected to open by the end of this year [10] - The city has hosted over 1,200 cultural events and is promoting grassroots cultural engagement through various programs [10] - The upcoming "Taihu Cultural Arts Season" will feature nearly 160 events, expected to benefit over one million residents [10]

Group 1 - Employment is viewed as a barometer of economic development and a stabilizer for society, with policies focusing on job stability and improving livelihoods [1] - The collaboration between government and banks has created a financial support system for job seekers, enhancing economic resilience [1] Group 2 - The number of delivery riders in China has exceeded 10 million, highlighting the growing demand for gig economy jobs [2] - Delivery riders prioritize timely salary payments, which poses financial challenges for service providers who often need to advance funds [2][3] Group 3 - Financial institutions like Industrial Bank have developed tailored loan products such as "Xing Su Dai" to address the cash flow needs of delivery platforms, with a total of 1 billion yuan disbursed to support over 10,000 riders [3] - Other banks have introduced specialized financial services to alleviate payroll pressures for small and medium enterprises [3] Group 4 - New farmers and young entrepreneurs are crucial for the growth of the private economy, with many returning to rural areas to start businesses [4] - Financial support from banks, such as Jiangsu Bank's customized services, has enabled these entrepreneurs to overcome initial funding challenges [4] Group 5 - Local governments in Ningbo have implemented various support measures, including loans and subsidies, to assist new entrepreneurs [5] - Several banks have launched targeted credit support policies for new farmers and young entrepreneurs, enhancing their access to funding [6] Group 6 - Banks are actively participating in job fairs and providing personalized financing solutions to job seekers, addressing the information gap between employers and potential employees [7] - Initiatives like the "Thousand Jobs, Ten Thousand Families" program by China Bank aim to facilitate employment through various activities and platforms [7]

Core Insights - Chengdu's urban employment increased by 193,700 from January to July this year, showing a year-on-year increase of 3,600, or 1.87% [1][2] - The local government is focusing on expanding employment opportunities through various initiatives, including the "Skills Illuminate the Future" training program aimed at addressing structural employment issues [1][2] Employment Growth - The total urban employment in Chengdu reached 193,700, with a year-on-year increase of 3,600, reflecting a growth rate of 1.87% [1][2] - The city aims to enhance job opportunities in key sectors, industries, and among small and micro enterprises [2] Employment Initiatives - Chengdu's employment system has implemented actions to promote employment in advanced manufacturing and cross-border e-commerce, among other sectors [1] - The city has created over 300,000 market-oriented job positions to support employment growth [1] Training Programs - The "Skills Illuminate the Future" training initiative has been launched to address employment capacity in advanced manufacturing, modern services, and new professions [1] - A total of 53,500 training sessions have been conducted, with an online training platform providing 4.1607 million online training opportunities for job seekers [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On August 26, 2025, the yields of treasury bond cash bonds strengthened collectively, and treasury bond futures also strengthened. The domestic fundamental data showed some weaknesses, while overseas, the market bet on the Fed's interest - rate cut in September. As bond yields approach the high point in mid - March this year, the allocation value has significantly increased, and the sensitivity of the bond market to external factors may decrease marginally. If the capital and fundamental fluctuations are limited, the suppression of the bond market by the strengthening of the equity market is expected to be limited, and the bond market pricing is expected to gradually return to the rational range dominated by fundamentals. However, the interest - rate center lacks the motivation to decline further. It is recommended to pay attention to the trading opportunities brought by the phased repair of treasury bond futures [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - T, TF, TS, and TL main contract closing prices increased by 0.06%, 0.04%, 0.01%, and 0.47% respectively. The trading volumes of T, TF, and TS main contracts increased by 7896, 15736, and 12209 respectively, while the trading volume of TL main contract decreased by 5603 [2]. 3.2 Futures Spreads - Multiple futures spreads showed changes, such as the TL2512 - 2509 spread increasing by 0.12 to - 0.39, and the T12 - TL12 spread decreasing by 0.53 to - 8.85 [2]. 3.3 Futures Positions - The positions of T, TF, TS, and TL main contracts all increased, by 2635, 1227, 1543, and 1901 respectively. The net short positions of T and TL top 20 increased, while those of TF and TS top 20 decreased [2]. 3.4 Top Two CTD (Clean Prices) - The clean prices of multiple bonds increased, such as 220025.IB increasing by 0.0703 to 107.302, and 220017.IB increasing by 0.0315 to 99.0955 [2]. 3.5 Active Treasury Bond Yields - The yields of 1y, 3y, 5y, 7y, and 10y active treasury bonds decreased by 1.25bp, 0.50bp, 1.75bp, 2.50bp, and 2.15bp respectively [2]. 3.6 Short - term Interest Rates - Silver - pledged overnight interest rate increased by 3.44bp to 1.3644%, while Shibor overnight decreased by 3.90bp to 1.3170%. Other short - term interest rates also showed different changes [2]. 3.7 LPR Rates - The 1y and 5y LPR rates remained unchanged at 3.00% and 3.5% respectively [2]. 3.8 Open Market Operations - The issuance scale was 405.8 billion yuan, the maturity scale was 580.3 billion yuan, and the interest rate was 1.4% for 7 - day reverse repurchase, with a net withdrawal of 174.5 billion yuan [2]. 3.9 Industry News - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority launched the optimization arrangement for offshore RMB bond repurchase business. Shanghai optimized real - estate policies. The National Development and Reform Commission held a corporate symposium to listen to opinions on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment [2]. 3.10 Key Points of Attention - On August 28 at 17:00, the Eurozone's industrial sentiment index for August will be released. On August 29 at 20:30, the annual rate of the US core PCE price index for July will be released [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The main contract of Shanghai copper fluctuated and declined, with increasing open interest, spot premium, and strengthening basis. The copper ore market remains firm, supporting copper prices. Domestic refined copper supply is expected to increase slightly, while downstream demand is currently weak but is expected to improve as the peak season approaches. Overall, the fundamentals of Shanghai copper may show a slight increase in supply, stable current demand with positive expectations, and industry inventories remaining in the medium - low range. The options market sentiment is bullish, and the implied volatility has slightly decreased. Technically, the 60 - minute MACD shows the double - line above the 0 - axis with a shrinking red bar. It is recommended to conduct short - term long trades on dips with light positions and pay attention to controlling the rhythm and trading risks [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract of Shanghai copper was 79,190 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan; the price of LME 3 - month copper was 9,802.50 dollars/ton, up 6 dollars. The spread between the main contract and the next - month contract was 10 yuan/ton, unchanged. The open interest of the main contract of Shanghai copper was 175,488 lots, up 64,228 lots. The net position of the top 20 futures holders of Shanghai copper was - 1,913 lots, up 1,702 lots. LME copper inventory was 156,350 tons, up 375 tons; the Shanghai Futures Exchange inventory of cathode copper was 81,698 tons, down 4,663 tons; the Shanghai Futures Exchange warrant of cathode copper was 22,917 tons, down 2,856 tons [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The price of SMM 1 copper spot was 79,585 yuan/ton, up 190 yuan; the price of Yangtze River Non - Ferrous Market 1 copper spot was 79,685 yuan/ton, up 300 yuan. The CIF (bill of lading) price of Shanghai electrolytic copper was 57 dollars/ton, unchanged; the average premium of Yangshan copper was 52.50 dollars/ton, up 2.5 dollars. The basis of the CU main contract was 395 yuan/ton, up 690 yuan; the LME copper cash - to - 3 - month spread was - 78.38 dollars/ton, up 2.63 dollars [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The import volume of copper ore and concentrates was 256.01 million tons, up 21.05 million tons. The TC of domestic copper smelters was - 41.15 dollars/thousand tons, down 3.47 dollars. The price of copper concentrates in Jiangxi was 69,990 yuan/metal ton, up 290 yuan; the price of copper concentrates in Yunnan was 70,690 yuan/metal ton, up 290 yuan. The processing fee of blister copper in the south was 800 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan; the processing fee of blister copper in the north was 750 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The output of refined copper was 127 million tons, down 3.2 million tons. The import volume of unwrought copper and copper products was 480,000 tons, up 20,000 tons. The social inventory of copper was 41.82 million tons, up 0.43 million tons. The price of 1 bright copper wire scrap in Shanghai was 55,590 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan; the price of 2 copper scrap (94 - 96%) in Shanghai was 68,200 yuan/ton, up 350 yuan. The ex - factory price of 98% sulfuric acid of Jiangxi Copper was 640 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.5 Downstream and Application - The output of copper products was 216.94 million tons, down 4.51 million tons. The cumulative completed investment in power grid infrastructure was 331.5 billion yuan, up 40.434 billion yuan. The cumulative completed investment in real estate development was 53,579.77 billion yuan, up 692.221 billion yuan. The monthly output of integrated circuits was 4,689,220,700 pieces, up 183,435,300 pieces [2] 3.6 Option Situation - The 20 - day historical volatility of Shanghai copper was 8.11%, up 0.32%; the 40 - day historical volatility of Shanghai copper was 9.29%, down 0.21%. The implied volatility of the at - the - money option in the current month was 10.5%, down 0.0039. The call - to - put ratio of at - the - money option positions was 1.27, up 0.0973 [2] 3.7 Industry News - The National Development and Reform Commission held a symposium to collect opinions on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment for the "15th Five - Year Plan". Moody's said that the downside risks of the US economy are intensifying, with about one - third of US states in or likely to enter a recession, one - third stagnant, and one - third still expanding, and the probability of the US economy entering a recession in the next 12 months is 49%. The General Administration of Customs said that since the "14th Five - Year Plan", China has added and opened 40 ports, with a total of 311 ports, and the customs has an average annual supervision of 52 billion tons of import and export goods worth 41.5 trillion yuan. The Shanghai Housing and Urban - Rural Development Commission and other 6 departments issued a notice to optimize and adjust real estate policies, including reducing purchase restrictions, adjusting housing provident funds, housing credit, and property tax [2]

Market Analysis - In July, the global economic data remained resilient. China's official manufacturing PMI in July dropped to 49.3, while the non - manufacturing sector stayed in expansion. China's exports in July increased by 7.2% year - on - year in dollar terms, higher than expected. Financial data showed that money supply exceeded expectations, but financing and loan data were still weak. Investment data faced significant pressure [2]. - The State Council emphasized measures to stabilize the real - estate market. The central bank conducted 600 billion yuan of Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) operations, with a net MLF injection of 300 billion yuan in August, and a total net medium - term liquidity injection of 600 billion yuan [2]. - A - shares had a significant increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching 3900 points and the trading volume reaching 3.14 trillion yuan. AI hardware stocks soared, and sectors like real estate and liquor rose. In the bond market, treasury bond futures went up, with the 30 - year main contract rising over 0.7%. Domestic commodity futures all increased, led by coking coal and coke. The RMB central parity rate was raised by 160 points [2]. - In the US, the July non - farm payroll data was lower than expected, but the August PMI continued to improve. The "Big Beautiful" Act might support subsequent consumption [2]. Policy and Tariff News - On July 31, the White House re - set "reciprocal tariff" rates for some countries. On August 19, the US Commerce Department added 407 product categories to the steel and aluminum tariff list with a 50% tariff rate. Trump said he would announce semiconductor tariffs within two weeks, with a possible rate of 300% [3]. - On August 22, Powell's speech at the global central bank annual meeting showed a dovish turn, suggesting a possible policy adjustment due to increased downside risks to employment. This cleared the way for a Fed rate cut in September [3]. Commodity Analysis - The black and new - energy metal sectors are most sensitive to domestic supply - side factors. The energy and non - ferrous sectors benefit significantly from overseas inflation expectations. The black sector is still dragged down by downstream demand expectations, and the non - ferrous sector's supply constraints remain unrelieved [3]. - The government will regulate the photovoltaic industry to prevent low - price competition. By 2027, industries with relatively stable carbon emissions will be subject to quota - based total control. OPEC+ accelerated production, increasing by 548,000 barrels per day in August, higher than expected [3]. - In the chemical sector, the "anti - involution" space of products like methanol, PVC, caustic soda, and urea is worth attention. Agricultural products are currently driven by tariffs and inflation expectations but need fundamental signals [3]. Strategy - For commodities and stock index futures, it is recommended to go long on industrial products on dips [4]. To - do List - This week, 2.077 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases in the Chinese central bank's open market will mature, and there will also be 300 billion yuan of MLF and 90 billion yuan of term reverse repurchases maturing [5]. - On August 25, the National Development and Reform Commission held a corporate symposium to listen to opinions on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment [5]. - The Shanghai Composite Index continued to reach a new high in more than a decade, approaching 3900 points. Over 3300 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets rose, and the trading volume exceeded 3 trillion yuan [5]. - On August 25, the Ukrainian president announced that Ukraine and the US would hold talks this weekend to discuss the possibility of peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia [3][5].