投顾发展 | 投顾晨报 震荡有韵，结构为舟 朝闻道 20251229 市场策略 区间震荡保持定力，踩好节拍精细择时 风格策略 年末注意优选结构，中期择时中盘蓝筹 行业策略 公用事业：电力商品属性的定价有望为行业提估值 主题策略 智能驾驶：产业链暖风频吹，投资者心花渐开 风险提示 全球地缘政治的不确定性、宏观经济波动导致投资不及预期、原材料价格上涨拖累企业盈利、海外贸易摩 擦加剧、海外贸易摩擦加剧等风险 ⚫ 指数连阳反弹，再次站上 3900 点。自 8 月下旬以来，上涨指数围绕 3900 上下 100 多点震荡的格局较为清晰。微观筹码看，指数上有压力，下有半年线附近的支撑。 在指数未突破区间上下沿之前，保持震荡思维和轮动思路，以小周期的择时节奏把 握区间超额。 ⚫ 相关 ETF：沪深 300ETF（510300） ⚫ 立足中期视角，兼顾短期择时，在估值适中、机构低配、波动率收敛的板块和行业 中选择景气边际改善的中盘蓝筹品种，关注全球供给重塑及金融属性加持的周期 品、能以业绩验证预期的先进制造以及筹码结构得以优化的电子行业。 ⚫ 相关 ETF：中证现金流 ETF（159235）、有色 ETF（159980）、黄金 ...

公司质地持续优化是提升资本市场活跃度的关键。华安证券研报认为，价格改善将推升名义GDP，进而 带动企业盈利持续修复，这将成为市场强有力的基本面支撑。据该机构测算，全部A股在2026年盈利增 速有望从2025年的8.2%提升至10.3%。而创业板和科创板受益于新一轮产业周期，预计将维持高增速水 平。其中，创业板2026年盈利增速有望达到31.7%，科创板盈利增速预计为34.3%。 展望2026年，中金公司研报表示，全球资金再平衡有望带来海外增量资金。弱美元周期带动全球经济共 振修复，将对包括A股在内的新兴市场权益盈利、估值和流动性带来提振。在新的科技和地缘叙事下， 叠加白宫"大重置"推动全球资金再平衡，过去几年来持续被低估和低配的A股资产可能重获全球资金青 睐。 基于盈利全面改善的判断，兴业证券在研报中称，2026年A股市场的行业配置将不再局限于少数板块 的"淘汰赛"，而是转为更广泛的"竞速赛"。建议聚焦AI、新能源、军工和创新药等行业，同时关注红利 资产。在盈利弹性恢复的背景下，配置思路应从单纯的"稳定红利"转向兼具分红与成长潜力的"自由现 金流"方向。（记者 严晓菲） 转自：上海证券报 年末最后一个交易日的 ...

近日，中邮保险增持四川路桥，完成中邮保险年内的第四次举牌，险资"长钱"加速入市。 随着中邮保险的举牌成功，今年险资的举牌次数达到39次，仅次于2015年的62次，为历史第二高。回顾 2025年险资举牌行为，呈现出举牌热情高涨、单一标的获多次举牌、举牌标的集中于H股等特点。业内 人士分析认为，预计2026年这一趋势仍将延续。从举牌资产所属板块来看，传统板块仍具有压舱石地 位，但科技板块的比重有望增加。 H股成险资举牌重地 险资举牌热潮或将延续 12月18日晚间，四川路桥披露的信息显示，中邮保险对其累计持股达4.35亿股，占公司总股本5.00%， 正式完成举牌。 这并非是中邮保险首次出手，此前它已经相继布局东航物流、绿色动力环保H股及中国通号H股。 类似的举牌动作近期并不鲜见。12月初，瑞众人寿就公告称，12月5日买入青岛啤酒H股20万股，累计 持有青岛啤酒H股3276.4万股，占该上市公司H股股本的5%，由此触发举牌。 而在11月26日，泰康人寿也发布了举牌复宏汉霖H股的相关信息，披露其通过受托人泰康资产管理（香 港）有限公司（以下简称"泰康资产香港"）管理的账户，于11月20日在二级市场买入复宏汉霖H股51. ...

◎记者 严晓菲 年末最后一个交易日的钟声尚未敲响，A股市场已经提前宣告一项历史纪录的诞生——年度成交额首次 突破400万亿元。这一里程碑式的数字，不仅标志着A股市场交易活跃度明显提升，也体现出中国资本 市场的吸引力正在逐步增强。 基于盈利全面改善的判断，兴业证券在研报中称，2026年A股市场的行业配置将不再局限于少数板块 的"淘汰赛"，而是转为更广泛的"竞速赛"。建议聚焦AI、新能源、军工和创新药等行业，同时关注红利 资产。在盈利弹性恢复的背景下，配置思路应从单纯的"稳定红利"转向兼具分红与成长潜力的"自由现 金流"方向。 Choice数据显示，截至12月23日收盘，年内A股市场总成交额已超407万亿元，刷新年度成交额历史纪 录。此外，截至目前，年内市场有4次单日成交额冲过3万亿元大关，分别为8月25日的3.18万亿元、8月 27日的3.20万亿元、8月28日的3.00万亿元，以及9月18日的3.17万亿元。 公司质地持续优化是提升资本市场活跃度的关键。华安证券研报认为，价格改善将推升名义GDP，进而 带动企业盈利持续修复，这将成为市场强有力的基本面支撑。据该机构测算，全部A股在2026年盈利增 速有望从20 ...

近日，中邮保险增持四川路桥，完成中邮保险年内的第四次举牌，险资"长钱"加速入市。 随着中邮保险的举牌成功，今年险资的举牌次数达到39次，仅次于2015年的62次，为历史第二高。回顾 2025年险资举牌行为，呈现出举牌热情高涨、单一标的获多次举牌、举牌标的集中于H股等特点。业内 人士分析认为，预计2026年这一趋势仍将延续。从举牌资产所属板块来看，传统板块仍具有压舱石地 位，但科技板块的比重有望增加。 H股成险资举牌重地 12月18日晚间，四川路桥披露的信息显示，中邮保险对其累计持股达4.35亿股，占公司总股本5.00%， 正式完成举牌。 这并非是中邮保险首次出手，此前它已经相继布局东航物流、绿色动力环保H股及中国通号H股。 类似的举牌动作近期并不鲜见。12月初，瑞众人寿就公告称，12月5日买入青岛啤酒H股20万股，累计 持有青岛啤酒H股3276.4万股，占该上市公司H股股本的5%，由此触发举牌。 华创证券分析师陈海椰表示，近年险资举牌热情持续升温，今年举牌次数显著高于往年，仅次于2015年 的62次，这一现象或可体现出险资对优质股权投资价值的深度挖掘。从行业分布来看，若不考虑后续增 持情况，险资举牌标的主要集 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a pullback on December 23, with the major indices turning negative, while the Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) closed flat with a 0.00% change, indicating stability amidst market fluctuations [1][9]. Trading Performance - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) had a closing price of 1.173, with a trading volume of 5.10 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.92% on December 23 [2][10]. - Over the past 20 trading days, the ETF accumulated a total trading volume of 12.602 billion CNY, averaging 630 million CNY per day. Year-to-date, the total trading volume reached 114.068 billion CNY, averaging 481 million CNY per day [3][10]. Fund Flows - The ETF has seen significant net inflows, with 1.15 billion CNY over the last 5 trading days, 1.59 billion CNY over the last 10 days, and 5.9 billion CNY over the last 60 days, indicating strong investor interest [3][10]. Market Outlook - Multiple institutions have expressed views on the market outlook. Zhongtai Securities highlighted the increasing value of high-dividend, strong cash flow assets in a low-interest-rate environment, driven by long-term capital inflows [5][12]. - CICC noted that dividend assets may exhibit defensive value as the market approaches the end of December, with the CSI 300 index's dynamic P/E ratio nearing historical averages, suggesting potential for further expansion [5][13]. - Caixin Securities emphasized the sustainability of high-dividend strategies, predicting continued institutional allocation towards dividend assets, particularly in sectors like home appliances, banking, gas, publishing, cement, and telecommunications, which generally have stable earnings and high dividend yields [5][13]. Historical Performance - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) has shown a solid historical performance since its inception in December 2018, with a total return of 134.48%, outperforming its benchmark and ranking 78th among 502 products [8][15].

作者 | RAYYYY 编辑 | 小白 回顾2025年，A股市场在AI、半导体与高端制造等新兴产业带动下整体走强，中小盘风格显著，中证 2000指数涨幅超过30%。 与此同时，黄金价格持续攀升，12月22日，现货黄金9999日内涨超1.7%，再创历史新高。 而相比之下，红利资产在全年科技主导的行情中表现相对平淡。 | | 各大指数今年以来涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | | 指数名称 今年以来涨跌幅(%) | | | 北证50 | 37.96 | | 中证2000 | 30. 58 | | 中证500 | 24. 02 | | 中证1000 | 22. 07 | | 沪深300 | 15. 7 | | 上证指数 | 15. 65 | | 红利低波 | 1.04 | （来源：Choice数据，市值风云APP制表） 然而，股市激进的上涨总会告一段落，在即将到来的2026年，进攻的矛头也许正藏在当前估值优势显 著且受益于新"国九条"政策的红利资产之中。 红利资产投资价值分析 期待风格反转。 （一）红利资产具有独特的收益价值 今年以来，部分红利低波指数的涨幅表现或许不尽如人意，然而，红利资产在2025年的"黯淡 ...

MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：石秀珍 SF183 华宝基金 Hwabao WP Fund 红利日报 2025年 12/23 最新股息率 4.85% 标普A股红利ETF华宝 562060 · 穿越周期·「长红」之选 · 跟踪标普中国A股红利机会指数- 联接A 501029 红利基金LOF (近1周) 近1月 近1年 近1年 近一日 指數涨跌幅 指数涨跌幅 指数涨跌幅 指数涨跌幅 年化波动率 -0.32% 0.58% 1.89% 11.35% 12.11% 载至2025.12.22 (VS 上证指数 上证指数 上证指数 上证指数 上证指数 1.28% 2.15% 16.31% 11.76% 0.69% T+0 最新股息率 5.51% 港股通红利低波ETF华宝 159220 _ 吉阳自红十信『出战17』 "同权屈佩伯目 | 佗尼灯| " -跟踪标普港股通低波红利指数 - 联接A 022887 (近1月) 近1年 (近1周) 近1年 近一日 指數涨跌幅 指數涨跌幅 年化波动率 指数涨跌幅 指数涨跌幅 12.41% 0.05% -1.31% 26.14% -0.45% 板至2025.12.27 VS ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, emphasizing high dividends and capital operations as dual engines for growth [1]. Core Insights - The transportation sector has shown mixed performance, with the overall industry ranking 8th among 31 sectors in terms of growth, having increased by 1.68% from December 1 to December 19, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.76 percentage points [12][13]. - The report highlights that the dividend yield for major segments within the transportation sector, including highways, railways, and ports, remains in the 3%-4% range, with coal and banking sectors leading in yield [27][21]. - The report identifies several high-dividend stocks in the A and H-share markets, recommending companies such as Sichuan Chengyu Expressway (6.0% yield) and China Merchants Port (5.8% yield) as attractive investment opportunities [21][22]. Monthly Market Performance - The report notes that the performance of dividend assets in December 2025 was generally underwhelming, with highway, railway, and port segments showing cumulative changes of -1.45%, +1.12%, and +1.21%, respectively [13][11]. - The average daily transaction volume for ports increased by 26.7% year-on-year, while highway and railway transaction volumes decreased by 5.5% and 34.8%, respectively [26][23]. - The report indicates that the low interest rate environment continues to support the market, with the 10-year government bond yield remaining stable around 1.83% [25][23]. Capital Operations - Sichuan Chengyu plans to acquire 85% of Hubei Jingyi Expressway for 2.409 billion yuan in cash, shifting from a stock issuance to a cash purchase to avoid equity dilution [32]. - Ninghu Expressway is increasing its investment in the Jiangsu Longtan Bridge project by 3.26964 billion yuan, enhancing its stake in the project [34]. - Qingdao Port has terminated its cash acquisition of the Rizhao Port oil terminal due to potential business impacts from legal issues, prioritizing shareholder interests [35]. Highway Sector Tracking - In October 2025, highway passenger traffic was reported at 975 million, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, while freight traffic showed a slight increase of 0.1% [36]. - The report highlights the revenue performance of key companies, such as Gansu Expressway, which reported a slight decline in toll revenue for November 2025 [44]. Railway Sector Tracking - Railway passenger volume reached 410 million in October 2025, marking a 10.1% increase year-on-year, while freight volume showed a modest increase of 0.6% [52]. - The report notes that the Daqin Railway achieved a freight volume of 37.22 million tons in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.75% [59]. Port Sector Tracking - The report indicates that monitored port cargo throughput reached 1.078 billion tons over four weeks, with a year-on-year growth of 2.6% [63]. - Container throughput for the year-to-date reached 31.0469 million TEUs, reflecting a 7.7% increase compared to the previous year [63].

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index (HSHYLV.HI) has shown a slight decline of 0.23%, with notable movements in key stocks, indicating a mixed performance in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Key stocks such as Shougang Resources, Yancoal Australia, and Yanzhou Coal Mining experienced declines of 0.7%, 0.4%, and 0.6% respectively, while companies like VTech and Hang Seng Bank saw slight increases of 0.7% and 0.1% [1] - The index's performance reflects a broader trend in the market, with certain sectors like shipping and healthcare showing positive movements, including China Merchants Port up by 1.4% and COSCO Shipping Ports up by 2.6% [1] Group 2: Fund Inflows - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159545) has attracted significant capital, with net inflows exceeding 690 million in the last 10 days and over 2 billion in the last 20 days [1] - Over the past 60 days, the fund has seen net inflows of more than 3.3 billion, indicating strong investor interest in dividend-focused assets [1] Group 3: Fund Structure and Strategy - The fund is designed to evaluate its excess return against the benchmark index quarterly, with a distribution mechanism that enhances cash yield stability for investors [3] - The EasyOne Dividend Index series, which includes the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility ETF, aims to provide monthly dividends, catering to investors' cash flow needs [4]