美国经济数据

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提醒:北京时间22:00,将公布美国6月ISM非制造业指数、美国5月工厂订单数据、美国5月耐用品订单环比终值。
news flash· 2025-07-03 13:55
Group 1 - The article highlights the upcoming release of key economic indicators, including the US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for June, Factory Orders data for May, and the final value of Durable Goods Orders for May [1]
市场风险偏好回升,黄金承压下挫
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-29 13:01
周度报告-黄金 市场风险偏好回升,黄金承压下挫 | [Table_Rank] 走势评级: | 黄金:看跌 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期: | 2025 | 年 | 6 | 月 | 29 | 日 | [Table_Summary] ★市场综述: 伦敦金跌 2.8%至 3274 美元/盎司。10 年期美债收益率 4.28%,通胀 预期 2.3%,实际利率降至 1.97%,美元指数跌 1.32%至 97.4,标普 500 指数涨 3.44%,离岸人民币小幅升值,内外价差窄幅波动。 金价回调,一方面是地缘政治风险降温,美国打击伊朗核设施后 加快了伊朗和以色列的停火进程,美国没有朝着深陷战争泥潭的 方向发展,伊朗的回应也非常克制,原油价格基本回吐涨幅,减 少了美国通胀上行风险。一方面是美国经济尚未衰退,美联储维 持按兵不动暂停降息的状态,市场缺乏增量利多,鲍威尔在国会 就半年度货币政策报告作证词,表态鹰派,关税带来的不确定性 和通胀上行风险导致美联储对降息较为谨慎,同时美联储内部的 分歧也在增加,沃勒和鲍曼先后表态支持最快 ...
贵金属数据日报-20250627
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-27 08:00
ITC国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 E 突期货有限公司 流的衍生品综合服务商 D'AVE 市 市 官 方 网 站 服 热 线 客 需 有 译 风 400-8888-598 www.itf.com.cn 慎 险 2017 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITC国贸期货 贵金属数据日报 | | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号:Z0013700 | | | 2025/6/27 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 宏观金融研究中心 白素娜 | | 人业资格号:F3023916 | | | | | 内外盘金 | | 日期 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | COMEX白银 | AU2508 | AG2508 | AU (T+D) | AG (T+D) | | 银15点价 | | | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (美元/盎司) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | (元/克) | (元/千克) | | 格厨房 | ...
黄金ETF持仓量报告解读(2025-6-27)美元美债收益率承压金价回升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 04:15
Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust's holdings remain stable at 953.39 tons of gold, reflecting a cautious market sentiment amid fluctuating economic indicators and geopolitical tensions [2][7]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of June 26, the SPDR Gold Trust holds 953.39 tons of gold, unchanged from the previous trading day [2][7]. - The overall trend in gold ETF holdings shows fluctuations, with the latest data indicating a stable position [3][4]. Group 2: Market Conditions - On June 26, spot gold prices fluctuated, reaching a high of $3,350.31 per ounce and a low of $3,309.51, ultimately closing at $3,327.68, down $4.24 or 0.13% [7]. - Economic data from the U.S. shows mixed signals, with a 0.5% contraction in Q1 GDP and an increase in the trade deficit, alongside a rise in unemployment claims to a three-and-a-half-year high [7][8]. Group 3: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Market speculation suggests two potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with the first possibly in September, while the probability of a July cut remains at 20% [7][8]. - Divergent views among Federal Reserve officials regarding tariffs and inflation are influencing market expectations and gold prices [7][8]. Group 4: Technical Analysis of Gold - The technical indicators for gold are currently neutral, suggesting a consolidation phase, with key support at $3,300 and resistance at $3,350 [8]. - If gold prices break below $3,300, the next support level is around $3,245, while a breakthrough above $3,350 could lead to resistance at $3,380 and $3,400 [8].
关键数据,黄金箭在弦上!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 09:38
Group 1 - Gold prices showed a slight increase, closing at $3332.02, up 0.27%, after hitting a two-week low [1] - In the European market, gold is trading around $3340 [1] Group 2 - U.S. stock indices had mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.25% at 42982.43, the Nasdaq up 0.31% at 19973.55, and the S&P 500 at 6092.16 [2] - President Trump is considering undermining Fed Chairman Powell, expressing frustration over the Fed's slow rate cuts [5] Group 3 - Potential candidates to replace Powell include Kevin Walsh, Kevin Hassett, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, and Fed Governor Christopher Waller [6] - The market's future direction will depend on who is appointed as the next Fed Chair, with varying implications for market performance [6] Group 4 - Morgan Stanley predicts the Fed will cut rates seven times by 2026, starting in March, with a final rate of 2.5% to 2.75% [7] - Swap markets have increased the probability of a July rate cut to 40%, with total expected cuts for the remaining meetings of the year rising from 45 basis points to 60 basis points [7] Group 5 - Deutsche Bank reports that internal divisions within the Fed are at a ten-year high, complicating the future rate cut path [9] Group 6 - Investors are focusing on key economic data releases, including Q1 GDP, durable goods orders, and initial jobless claims, which could influence the dollar and gold prices [10] - If GDP data falls short of expectations, it may lead to a weaker dollar, benefiting non-dollar currencies and gold [10] Group 7 - There is a notable shift in investment focus, with firms rapidly selling European assets and reallocating to U.S. markets, particularly large tech stocks [12] - Major U.S. exchanges are in discussions with the SEC to relax listing regulations to attract more high-valuation startups [12]
欧元区6月消费者信心指数初值、美国5月谘商会领先指标月率将于十分钟后公布。
news flash· 2025-06-20 13:55
欧元区6月消费者信心指数初值、美国5月谘商会领先指标月率将于十分钟后公布。 ...
大越期货贵金属早报-20250618
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 08:14
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 贵金属早报—— 2025年6月18日 大越期货投资咨询部 项唯一 从业资格证号: F3051846 投资咨询证号: Z0015764 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 5 今日关注 基本面数据 持仓数据 黄金 1、基本面:特朗普引发中东冲突升级担忧,金价先下后上;美国三大股指全线收 跌,欧洲三大股指收盘全线下跌;美元指数涨0.69%报98.8,离岸人民币对美元小幅 贬值报7.1923;美债收益率集体下跌,10年期美债收益率跌6.92个基点报4.377%; COMEX黄金期货跌0.32%报3406.50美元/盎司;中性 6、预期:今日关注2025陆家嘴论坛、美联储利率决议,美国5月新屋开工和营建许 可、英国5月CPI、欧央行官员密集讲话。特朗普引发中东冲突升级担忧,金价再度 先下后上但依旧收跌。沪金溢价收敛至0元/ ...
特朗普加码施压鲍威尔:笨蛋!再不降息,不得不“采取一些强制措施”
华尔街见闻· 2025-06-13 09:53
特朗普表示,如果降息一个百分点,支付的利息就会少那么多;如果降息两个百分点,利息就会支付得 更少。我们有大量的短期债务,我希望债务成本长期性地偏低。他说, 降低2个百分点的利率每年可以 为美国节省6000亿美元,但我们没法让这个人这么做: 我们每年将花掉6000亿美元,就因为一个笨蛋坐在那里说,我现在看不出降息的理由。 特朗普补充说,如果通胀上升,他不反对美联储加息,但通胀现在是在下降,可能得被迫采取一些措 施: 我们叫他太迟先生,对吧? 如果通胀回归,美联储完全可以再次加息。假设出现了通胀,一年后你再加息。我不介意,加息吧, 我完全支持。到时候我会打电话给你。不过他到时候也会太迟了。 但通胀现在是在下降,我可能得被迫采取一些强制措施。 周四,美国总统特朗普就降息问题加大力度施压美联储。他严厉批评美联储主席鲍威尔,称其为"笨 蛋"。 上周五,美国非农就业数据公布后,特朗普说,美联储的"太迟先生"是场灾难!欧洲已经降息10次, 我们一次都没有。直接降一整个百分点,火箭燃料!若通胀卷土重来,加息应对就好。 本周三,美国CPI报告公布后,特朗普说,美国消费者价格指数(CPI)最新数据表现理想,呼吁美联 储将利率下调 ...
金价1020元!2025年6月12日各大金店黄金价格多少钱一克?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-12 07:47
Price Trends - Domestic gold prices continue to rise, with an overall increase of 11 CNY per gram, and the highest price reported by Chow Sang Sang at 1020 CNY per gram [1][4] - The price difference among various gold retailers has widened to 51 CNY per gram, indicating a growing disparity in pricing [1] Gold Retail Prices - The latest gold prices from major retailers are as follows: - Lao Miao: 1013 CNY per gram, up by 10 CNY - Liufuk: 1017 CNY per gram, up by 11 CNY - Chow Tai Fook: 1017 CNY per gram, up by 11 CNY - Zhou Liufu: 997 CNY per gram, up by 11 CNY - Jin Zun: 1017 CNY per gram, up by 11 CNY - Lao Feng Xiang: 1016 CNY per gram, up by 10 CNY - Chao Hong Ji: 1017 CNY per gram, up by 11 CNY - Cai Bai: 990 CNY per gram, up by 5 CNY - Shanghai China Gold: 969 CNY per gram, unchanged [1][3][4] Platinum Prices - Platinum prices have also seen an increase, with Chow Sang Sang reporting a rise of 16 CNY per gram, now priced at 512 CNY per gram [4] Gold Recovery Prices - The gold recovery prices have increased by 7.6 CNY per gram, with the following recovery prices noted: - Chow Sang Sang: 767.10 CNY per gram - Chow Tai Fook: 770.50 CNY per gram - Lao Feng Xiang: 776.10 CNY per gram - Cai Bai: 768.40 CNY per gram [4][5][6] International Gold Market - The spot gold price reached a peak of 3360.44 USD per ounce, closing at 3355.02 USD per ounce, reflecting a 0.95% increase [8] - As of the latest update, spot gold is trading at 3370.58 USD per ounce, with a 0.46% increase [8] - Geopolitical tensions and weak U.S. economic data are contributing to rising gold prices, with market participants showing increased risk aversion [8]