在竞争激烈的储能赛道上，江苏无锡跑出了一匹估值60亿的"准独角兽"。近日，年收入冲上10亿元，成立仅6年的储能系统集成 商果下科技二次递表港交所。 21世纪经济报道记者发现，在果下科技的股东和资金流向背景中，不乏凯博资本的身影。 其最大的客户与供应商中创新航为果下科技引入了投资人凯博鸿成。在果下科技提供贷款的对象中，行业参与者K、L、M由一 个有限合伙基金间接控制，该基金的有限合伙人包括中创新航，普通合伙人包括凯博私募。 据无锡日报，值得注意的是，这是一家名副其实的"江大系"企业：果下科技创始人冯立正毕业于江南大学机械工程及自动化专 业，总经理张晰和执行总裁刘子叶毕业于江南大学过程装备与控制工程专业。企业发展初期的天使轮投资人亦是江南大学校友 陈俊德。 储能赛道价格博弈激烈 尽管今年前三季度全国新型储能装机量达32.8GW，同比激增178%，但低价竞争难以扭转。国内储能系统中标均价从2022年1.6 元/Wh跌至2025年0.65元/Wh乃至更低。 不止于此，激烈的价格竞争已从国内蔓延至海外。在近日的公开场合，宁德时代（300750）董事长曾毓群直言："行业内的玩家 不仅'卷'国内，还'卷'到国外，欧美和中东 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape of the energy storage sector, highlighting the emergence of Guoxia Technology as a "quasi-unicorn" with a valuation of 6 billion yuan and annual revenue reaching 1 billion yuan within six years of establishment. The company is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, backed by significant investments from Kaibo Capital and other industry players [1][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Guoxia Technology, founded by alumni of Jiangnan University, has rapidly expanded its revenue from 142 million yuan in 2022 to 691 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking nearly a fivefold increase in three and a half years [6][10]. - The company operates under a light asset model, focusing on system integration and operational services without heavy capital investments in manufacturing or project financing [10][12]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The energy storage sector is experiencing intense price competition, with the average bidding price for domestic storage systems dropping from 1.6 yuan/Wh in 2022 to as low as 0.65 yuan/Wh by 2025 [8]. - Despite a significant increase in new energy storage installations, the industry's profitability is under pressure, as evidenced by Guoxia Technology's gross margin declining from 25.1% in 2022 to an estimated 12.5% in the first half of 2025 [10][17]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Guoxia Technology's net profit growth has lagged behind revenue growth, with net profits of 24.3 million yuan in 2022 and only 5.6 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a net profit growth rate of just 13.5% [10][11]. - The company's sales volume of large storage systems surged from 58.0 MWh in 2022 to 1146.0 MWh in the first half of 2025, indicating strong market demand despite pricing pressures [10]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships - Guoxia Technology's operational model is supported by partnerships with listed companies like Keli Yuan and Zhong Chuang Xin Hang, which provide essential resources and funding through a dedicated energy storage innovation fund [12][13]. - The collaboration allows Guoxia Technology to focus on integration while leveraging the strengths of its partners in project development and core resource acquisition [12]. Group 5: Competitive Strategies - The article outlines three distinct business models in the energy storage sector: Guoxia Technology's light asset model, Haibo Sichuang's hybrid model combining light and heavy assets, and Ningde Times' full industry chain approach [16][17]. - Each model represents different strategies to navigate the low-price environment, with Guoxia Technology relying heavily on ecosystem partnerships, while Haibo Sichuang and Ningde Times explore financial and operational efficiencies [16][17].

在万象系购物中心同店增长和规模扩张下，公司经营杠杆效应增强，商管运营的利润率有望继续提升。 在单个购物中心项目层面，大部分成本相对固定，或随通胀同步增长，因此同店租金的稳健增长能够带 来NOIMargin的增长；在公司层面，随着母公司不断新建购物中心，总部的招商和营销人员可以管理更 多项目，且经验与模式也能够适当迁移，劳动效率提升拉动利润率上行。 机构：东方证券 研究员：赵旭翔/刘洋/孙怡萱 核心观点 核心看点：母公司重资产持有大体量优质商场，华润万象轻资产商管享有空间卡位和规模优势，对商户 具备强定价权，同店和规模成长驱动经营杠杆效用提升，未来商管业务的收入与盈利增长确定性强。 市场部分人习惯将万象系商场直接与龙湖集团的龙湖天街、新城控股的吾悦广场类比。虽然三者同为内 资购物中心，但后两家开发持有和运营集中于同一主体，享有租金收入的同时需承担前期庞大资金沉 淀、较长回报周期，以及苛刻的财务回报条件。而万象系商场由母公司华润置地开发持有，商管环节则 被拆分出来由华润万象生活运营。因此，公司轻资产模式无需庞大的资本投入，却可享母公司大体量且 优质项目的运营红利，风险低、盈利能力高，经测算证明盈利向上弹性更强。 ...

Core Viewpoint - CIFI Group announced the suspension of seven corporate bonds starting December 3, due to the approval of a debt restructuring plan by bondholders [1] Group 1: Bond Suspension - The suspended bonds include HPR CIFI 1, H20 CIFI 2, H20 CIFI 3, H21 CIFI 1, H21 CIFI 2, H21 CIFI 3, and H22 CIFI 1 [1] - The suspension is a result of the bondholders' meeting where the restructuring proposal was approved [1] Group 2: Debt Restructuring Plan - The company plans to initiate a bond buyback within three months following the approval of the restructuring plan [1] - CIFI Group commits to completing the payment of buyback funds within one month after the announcement of the buyback results [1] Group 3: Financial Stability and Market Confidence - This move is a critical step for CIFI Group in mitigating domestic debt risks [1] - The restructuring aims to balance the demands of different creditors, creating stable conditions for the company's "second entrepreneurship" and transition to a light asset model [1] - The successful execution of fund payments and the advancement of restructuring options will directly impact the recovery of the company's balance sheet and the rebuilding of market confidence [1]

12月1日，有媒体报道，海博思创计划2026年借助金融租赁实现50GWh独立储能电站投资，这是企业以创新金融工具破解资金瓶 颈、在低价竞争中求量的典型探索。 此前一个月，成立仅6年的"凯博系"公司果下科技二次递表港交所，其参与的"大储能生态联合体"将储能轻资产模式推向公众视 野。 行业发展似乎正在发生改变，轻资产玩法究竟能否突破低价之困？ 价格博弈仍激烈 尽管今年前三季度全国新型储能装机量达32.8GW，同比激增178%，但低价竞争难以扭转。国内储能系统中标均价从2022年1.6 元/Wh跌至2025年0.65元/Wh乃至更低。 不止于此，激烈的价格竞争已从国内蔓延至海外。在近日的公开场合，宁德时代董事长曾毓群直言："行业内的玩家不仅'卷'国 内，还'卷'到国外，欧美和中东GWh级大项目中，部分企业降价30%且承诺寿命增加50%。" 尽管远期需求提振资本市场，价格战冲击直观可见。表面上，随着机制电价落地，精细化管理带来优质项目，但大部分地区的 商业模式不明朗，海外市场依赖价格与售后竞争等继续影响行业"外热内冷"的表现。 在此背景下，储能系统集成环节的企业创新不断涌现，而这，也是低价压力下用商业模式创新对冲规模 ...

21世纪经济报道记者 唐唯珂 报道 海南入境游，是复星旅文轻资产模式转型的重要机遇。 "海南的入境游不是简单复苏，而是进入了'爆发增长期'。我们丽江项目国际游客占比达20%，亚特兰蒂 斯国际游客量同比涨了140%，这就是市场给我们的信号。"在三亚亚特兰蒂斯"复星旅文2026产品观"大 会上，复星旅文首席执行官鲍将军向包括21世纪经济报道在内的记者表示。 （原标题：轻资产模式，复星旅文抢滩海南入境游） "（公司）私有化后轻松不少。"鲍将军也表示，"退市以后给我们带来了一个更好的环境，特别是在整 个战略调整上面，在整个的公司的战略架构上，包括未来多元化护城河的环境。"此外，他透露，复星 旅文私有化后现金流非常好，债务结构会调得更合理，关于三亚亚特兰蒂斯的REIT（Real Estate Investment Trust，不动产投资信托基金）上市计划还在推进。 "三亚亚特兰蒂斯如果上市成功，我们会有非常大的现金流，负债率也会下降，现在还是进行得非常顺 利的"。此外他表示，目前的房产可售物业会在2026年完全出清。鲍将军进一步指出，"我们原来上市的 时候是地产，现在肯定剥离掉。" "做海南入境游，不能再走'重资产拿地 ...

智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，首次覆盖，给予华住集团-S(01179)"优于大市"评级，对应目 标价41港元。华住集团是中国连锁酒店市场领导者，受益于酒店行业连锁化率提升，公司间夜量排名稳 居第一梯队。公司采取多品牌矩阵+会员体系的商业模式，以高效的团队执行力，持续有市占率提升。 其次，中端酒店占比大，韧性强，中高端酒店比例提升，进一步助力整体Revpar提升。多品牌多层次有 助于向差异化商圈和用户布局。同时公司向高利润率、轻资产特性的特许经营模式转型，关闭低质量门 店，未来利润率有望持续提高。 海通国际主要观点如下： 第三季度，公司新开业酒店750家，储备酒店达2748家。其中，中高端酒店数量同比增长25%，超过了 整体7%的增长率。管理层对全年开业超过2300家酒店充满信心。管理层将继续升级其现有酒店矩阵， 并对新酒店开业采取更严格的标准。该行预测第四季度将净增234家酒店，到2025年总酒店数将达到 12,814家;从中长期看，公司坚定推进2030年2万家店的发展目标，期望15%的市占率。 会员体系与持续赋能 华住运营着全球贡献度最高的会员体系及业内规模最大、韧性最强的供应链，会员总数超3亿， ...

Core Insights - The outdoor sports category experienced explosive growth during the recent "Double 11" shopping festival, leading all categories with a sales growth coefficient of 268% [2] - PELLIOT, a leading brand in the outdoor category, is pursuing an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showcasing a compound annual growth rate of over 116% in recent years [2][5] - The company's revenue and net profit have seen significant increases, with 2023 revenue reaching 908 million yuan, a 140% increase from 2022, and net profit soaring by 525% to 152 million yuan [5] Financial Performance - In 2022, PELLIOT reported revenue of 378 million yuan and a net profit of 24.31 million yuan, which grew to 908 million yuan and 152 million yuan in 2023, respectively [5] - For 2024, revenue is projected to reach 1.766 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 94.5%, with net profit expected to rise by 86.3% to 283 million yuan [5] - The company's gross margin has been steadily increasing, reaching 59.6% in 2024 and 64.2% in the first half of 2025 [5][6] Business Model and Market Concerns - PELLIOT's business model heavily relies on e-commerce platforms, with online sales accounting for over 75% of total revenue, although this percentage is gradually declining [8] - The company has faced scrutiny regarding its reliance on marketing over research and development, with sales and distribution expenses significantly outpacing R&D investments [8] - PELLIOT is expanding its offline Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) channels, with revenue from this segment increasing from 0.07 million yuan in 2022 to 1.74 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing 19% of total revenue [10] Operational Challenges - The company's "light asset" model, which relies on third-party manufacturers, raises concerns about quality control and product performance, as it cannot directly oversee production [11] - There have been over 700 consumer complaints regarding product quality, including issues with durability and manufacturing defects [11] - A trademark dispute has emerged, potentially impacting brand value and market perception, as the company relies heavily on its single brand for over 98% of its revenue [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Vientiane Life [1] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from its light asset management model, which allows it to enjoy operational benefits without significant capital investment, leading to lower risk and higher profit margins [5][24] - The company's strong bargaining power with merchants is supported by its parent company's stable growth and large-scale quality shopping centers, enhancing its ability to achieve long-term same-store growth [8][9] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 14,767 million HKD in 2023 to 22,596 million HKD in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.1% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 2,929 million HKD in 2023 to 5,572 million HKD in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 15.3% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 and 2026 is adjusted to 1.73 HKD and 2.12 HKD, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 2.44 HKD [6][12] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company operates under a light asset model, which allows it to leverage the parent company's extensive resources without the burden of heavy capital investment, thus maintaining a competitive edge in the market [18][24] - The parent company, China Resources Land, has a significant number of shopping centers, with 92 operational centers and 35 under construction, providing a stable and growing contract base for the company [41][42] - The company's ability to secure prime locations in high-tier cities enhances its market position and operational performance, leading to a strong upward trend in rental income [30][36] Growth Drivers - Key growth drivers include same-store sales growth exceeding expectations, new third-party contracts, and accelerated monetization of membership programs [11] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the industry’s Matthew effect, where leading players gain more market share and operational advantages [10][36]

Group 1: Macro Strategy and Industry Selection - In 2026, AI is expected to significantly drive growth in the computer industry, resonating with high-growth sectors such as domestic production, quantum technology, financial IT, and intelligent driving [2] - The rapid iteration of models and high demand for computing power may accelerate commercialization [2] - The advancement of industrial software into a "deep water zone" is anticipated to support the strategy of becoming a manufacturing powerhouse [2] - These dynamics could collectively promote both performance and valuation recovery in the industry [2] Group 2: Real Estate Strategy for 2026 - The real estate sector is projected to transition from "scale expansion" to a new phase of "quality efficiency" in 2026 [5] - Policy tools are expected to achieve a "bottom line + quality improvement" dual drive through affordable housing and urban renewal [5] - Core cities' improved residential properties may become new anchors for capital amidst differentiated demand [5] - Following supply clearance, the increase in industry concentration is likely to reshape the competitive landscape of real estate companies [5] - REITs and light asset models are anticipated to initiate a new investment logic characterized by "low volatility and stable returns" [5] Group 3: Oil and Gas Outlook for 2026 - The article discusses when the oversupply of oil may reach an inflection point and the marginal shifts in supply and demand expected next year, along with the equilibrium price of oil [7] - A global LNG expansion wave is anticipated, with ongoing interest in gas turbines, presenting opportunities in the European and American natural gas markets [7] Group 4: AI and Market Strategy - The article explores concerns regarding the AI bubble and how traditional macro strategy frameworks may fail to capture AI's impact [9] - Beyond the "bubble theory," the debt-driven growth associated with AI is expected to create various opportunities [9]