周二（5月6日）北美时段，现货黄金价格上涨靠近3400美元关口，创下近期新高，市场分析显示黄金多头似乎已重新 掌控价格走势。全球地缘政治紧张局势持续推动市场对避险资产的需求，同时本周三美联储利率决议将成为影响金价 的关键因素。数据显示，当前市场参与者预期美联储将维持利率不变的概率高达98.1%。因此，市场关注重点转向美联 储声明以及鲍威尔随后的新闻发布会。若美联储采取更为"鸽派"的立场，暗示近期可能降息，将可能对美元形成压 力，同时可能支撑贵金属价格走高。另一方面，如果美联储表示愿意继续维持利率不变，可能会对金价产生相反影 响，美元可能走强而黄金价格承压。 操作方面，目前行情突破到3400美元，技术面日线两连阳之后多头仍将进一步延续，因此操作上继续保持做多看涨， 下方有在3202上方做多单的可继续持有，目前短线支撑上移至3386一线，3386是前期阻力突破后转为支撑，早盘行情 回踩3386之上可逢低做多，继续看3430-3450一线。 本文由江沐洋供稿，以上内容属于个人建议，由于网络推送延迟性，因网络发文有时效性，文中建议仅供参考，据此 操作风险自担，转载请注明出处。 金价2025年以来一直保持稳健上升通道， ...

换资前言： 我还是那个一直走在市场一线的金晟富，不论你曾经多么辉煌，不论你曾经多么失败，但那都将成为过 去，一时失败应该是去找问题，而不是气馁，成功往往需要历练磨合，不论你是新手，还是老手，或者 是常胜将军，我相信每个人都需要学习帮助，往往成功的人是虚心好学的，拿出你的姿态，去完善自 己，这个市场想盈利不难，但是想持续盈利，我想需要花大量时间。在其职，谋其事，我一直孜孜不倦 的劝导，希望你们在这个市场能少走一点弯路，少错一单。即使我苦口婆心，但是投资的路还是要自己 走，学无止境，学到了经验才是你的财富。我很喜欢一句话，佛渡有缘人。我希望遇到能跟我一路走下 去的是有默契的人！ 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势？后市黄金多空该如何研判？ 黄金小时线图来看，亚盘符合一波续涨猛攻，午后调整至10均线3350企稳，欧盘又慢阳走高逼近亚盘高 点，这种形态依然很强，今晚大概率还有二次拉升； 以10均线3370之上作为首要支撑继续看涨，随着 每根收线，均线支撑会慢慢上移，需自己去参考；只要它不有效破位，则维持逼空拉升，3400突破也随 时会发生，冲破就容易继续猛攻至3420之上，若后半夜冲高回落，失守10均线，那么调整至中轨 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious approach towards investment, suggesting a neutral stance on the industry performance relative to the benchmark index [15]. Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's March FOMC meeting maintained interest rates, signaling a shift in policy focus from inflation to employment, which is interpreted as a dovish signal by the market [1][4]. - The Fed plans to slow down its balance sheet reduction starting in April, decreasing monthly Treasury redemptions from $250 billion to $50 billion, while keeping MBS redemptions unchanged [4][5]. - The Fed's economic growth forecast for Q4 2025 has been downgraded from 2.1% to 1.7%, while the unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.3% to 4.4% [4][6]. - Inflation expectations have been revised upward, with the PCE inflation forecast for Q4 2025 increased from 2.5% to 2.7% and core PCE from 2.5% to 2.8% [4][6]. - The market anticipates a higher likelihood of rate cuts, with futures indicating expectations for three rate cuts this year, despite the Fed's guidance suggesting only two [4][9]. Summary by Sections Federal Reserve Policy Changes - The Fed's recent policy shift emphasizes employment over inflation, reflecting a more cautious approach to monetary policy [1][4]. - The removal of language indicating a balance of risks between employment and inflation suggests a heightened focus on employment risks [4]. Economic Forecast Adjustments - The Fed has lowered its GDP growth forecast for 2025 while raising inflation expectations, indicating concerns about potential stagflation [4][6]. - The adjustments in forecasts highlight the Fed's ongoing challenges in balancing economic growth and inflation control [4]. Market Reactions - Following the Fed's announcements, there was a notable increase in both short-term stock and bond markets, reflecting investor optimism about the dovish signals [4][5]. - The market's reaction underscores the sensitivity of investors to changes in Fed policy and economic outlook [4].