「2025.06.27」 工业硅多晶硅市场周报 光伏治沙拉高需求，双硅乐观情绪蔓延 研究员:王福辉 期货从业资格号F03123381 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0019878 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 业 务 咨 询 添 加 客 服 目录 目录 瑞达期货研究院 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 「 周度要点小结」 3 u 行情回顾： 本周工业硅上涨8.66%，本周工业硅市场情绪有所回暖，开始反弹，上半周表现平平，市场并没有太多利 好，周四受到光伏治沙消息后，盘面开始反馈需求增加预期，整体价格开始大幅上行，多晶硅方面本周上涨5.95%，和 工业硅相同，受到光伏治沙消息影响，盘面开始交易未来预期增加，价格开始上行，周线级别出现阳包阴技术形态。 u 行情展望：工业硅方面，从供应端来看，本期工业硅现货价格弱稳运行，西南地区电价下调，大厂接下来存在开工预 期，同时临近7月，西南电价会进一步降低，中小企业也有复产计划，但数量有限，西北新疆伊犁地区，政府继续补贴 生产企业，接下来会进行相应的电价补贴，供应端会持续宽松。需求端看，工业硅的下游主要集中在有机 ...

Group 1 - JinkoSolar's global vice president shared China's experience in photovoltaic desertification control at the 2025 Summer Davos Forum, attracting international interest [2] - JinkoSolar supplied a total of 1.75GW of photovoltaic components for two major projects in Saudi Arabia and is involved in a 1.8GW project in Abu Dhabi, showcasing China's solutions for energy transition and desertification prevention [2] - The company aims to shift from global sales to global production and investment, exporting technology, systems, standards, talent, and experience to help local industries establish their own supply chains [2] Group 2 - China has the most severe desertification in the world, with 2.57 million square kilometers of desertified land, accounting for 26.81% of its territory [3] - Through large-scale greening projects, China has effectively managed 53% of its desertifiable land, achieving "zero growth" in land degradation [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the construction of large-scale wind and photovoltaic bases in desert areas, with a target of 455 million kilowatts of installed capacity by 2030 [3] Group 3 - The State Grid Corporation of China plans to integrate large-scale renewable energy into the grid, transmitting power from desert regions over distances of 2,000 to 3,000 kilometers [5] - By the end of 2024, the first batch of 50 large-scale wind and photovoltaic base projects will be completed, with an installed capacity exceeding 90 million kilowatts [5] - Continuous technological innovation has led to increased global recognition of JinkoSolar's products, with over 50% of orders coming from overseas clients [5] Group 4 - The systematic development approach of photovoltaic desertification control in China is seen as a model for other countries [5] - Building large-scale renewable energy bases in desert areas is an effective solution for integrating renewable energy generation with desertification control and ecological restoration [5][6] - This approach not only promotes green energy development but also creates economic growth points in desert regions through ecological restoration and energy industry integration [6]

证券代码：301162 证券简称：国能日新 国能日新科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-010 答：根据国家能源局发布的最新数据，2025年1-5月份光伏新增装机规 模达197.85GW，同比增速近150%；风电新增装机规模达46.28GW，同 比增速134%。依据全国能源工作会议精神，全年新能源装机规模的发 展将维持良好运行态势。整体而言，新能源新增装机市场的持续扩容将 使得公司功率预测、并网控制等传统产品具备较高的市场景气度。此外， 公司坚持通过技术创新、提升服务运维质量及具有性价比的产品价格， 持续提升在存量市场的替换力度，积极推进公司在新能源服务规模方面 的提升。 5、在电力交易领域，公司如何对售电公司主体进行赋能？ 答：伴随着我国电力现货市场的持续深化运行，传统的售电公司在运营 过程中即将面临诸如市场交易规则、价格波动、交易主体多元化、用户 2 | | 用电行为改变等诸多挑战，行业竞争加剧使得运营能力较弱的售电公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 生存空间持续收窄，售电行业将迎来洗牌。面对当前售电公司所面临的 | | | | | 诸多痛点， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the explosive growth in photovoltaic installations in the first five months of 2025 has likely overdrawn demand for the second half of the year, with a significant increase in installations leading to a pessimistic outlook for the third quarter [1][2] - In the first five months of 2025, the domestic photovoltaic installations reached 197.85 GW, a year-on-year increase of 149.97%, with May alone contributing 92.92 GW, marking a historical high [1] - The shift in domestic distributed photovoltaic policies and new energy market entry policies has led to a "rush installation" effect before the policy changes, resulting in a surge in installations from March to May [1][2] Group 2 - Following the end of the installation rush in June, there is a noticeable vacuum in terminal demand, with industry forecasts predicting a total annual installation of 215-255 GW, which seems unrealistic given the current pace [2] - The supply-demand imbalance is evident, with the current number of polysilicon producers at 11, operating at reduced capacity, and expectations of production adjustments amid a declining price environment [3] - The market for polysilicon is under pressure, with significant reductions in orders for distributed projects and limited support from centralized projects, leading to a downturn in production across the supply chain [3] Group 3 - The market outlook for polysilicon prices indicates a sustained low-level operation, with current prices under pressure due to reduced demand and increased inventory levels [3][4] - The first quarter saw polysilicon prices remain high due to strong demand, but subsequent months have seen a decline in prices due to external pressures and reduced installation windows [4] - Strategies for downstream crystal pulling enterprises include buying near market lows to lock in procurement costs, while polysilicon producers may consider selling futures to hedge against profit volatility [4]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-27 消息扰动较多，工业硅多晶硅盘面反弹 工业硅： 市场分析 2025-06-26，工业硅期货价格偏强运行，主力合约2509开于7600元/吨，最后收于7720元/吨，较前一日结算变化（200） 元/吨，变化（2.66）%。截止收盘，2509主力合约持仓321342手，2025-06-27仓单总数为53234手，较前一日变化 -29手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8100-8300（50）元/吨；421#硅在8400-9000 （0）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格7500-7700（0）元/吨，99硅价格在7500-7700（0）元/吨。 SMM统计6月26日工业硅主要地区社会库存共计54.2万吨，较上周环比减少1.7万吨。其中社会普通仓库12.8万吨， 较上周环比减少0.3万吨，社会交割仓库41.4万吨（含未注册成仓单及现货部分），较上周环比减少1.4万吨。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价10300-10600（0）元/吨。有机硅价格暂时企稳，刚需成交为主。 策略 近几日盘面偏强运行，昨日大幅上涨，一方面受到焦煤等上涨情绪 ...

2025 年 06 月 27 日 工业硅：减产消息扰动，关注上方空间 多晶硅：市场情绪发酵，亦关注上方空间 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2509收盘价（元/吨） | 7,720 | 165 | 250 | 110 | | | | Si2509成交量（手） | 1,087,621 | 583,502 | 658,538 | 811,610 | | | | Si2509持仓量（手） | 321,342 | 14,698 | 10,985 | 115,130 | | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | PS2508收盘价（元/吨） | 31,715 | 1,090 | -1,005 | - | | | | PS2508成交量（手） | 225,035 | 78,894 | 167,655 | - | | | | PS2508持仓量（手） | 77,132 | -2,975 | 49,519 | - | | | | 工业硅：近月合约对 ...

消息面上，国家能源局6月23日发布数据显示，截至5月底，全国太阳能发电装机容量达10.8亿千瓦，同 比增长56.9%，光伏装机持续高速增长。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 东方财富证券指出，电力设备行业整体处于周期底部，板块分化延续，部分环节如电池、负极出现盈利 拐点，后续关注旺季排产及价格修复。光伏设备方面，全球装机需求增速换挡，供给相对过剩常态化， 效率及成本技术创新为破卷唯一路径，BC电池大规模推广及铜浆工艺量产导入或成行业破局关键。储 能设备领域，海外新市场、AIDC新场景需求高增，家电企业加速布局储能，具备客户和渠道优势。以 固态电池为代表的新技术加速突破，有望带动板块情绪及增量投资机会。 光伏50ETF跟踪的是光伏产业指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从沪深市场中选取涉及光伏产业 链上下游 ...

祁玉蓉（F03100031, Z0021060），联系电话：010-8229 5006 | 工业硅&多晶硅日评20250627：供给端扰动，价格低位反弹 | 单位 | 今值 | 变动 | 近期趋势 | 2025/6/27 | 指标 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 元/吨 | 不通氧553#（华东）平均价格 | 8,100.00 | 0.00% | 工业硅期现价格 | 元/吨 | 7,720.00 | 2.18% | 期货主力合约收盘价 | | 元/吨 | 380.00 | -165.00 | 基差（华东553#-期货主力） | 元/千克 | 33.50 | 0.00% | N型多晶硅料 | | | 多晶硅期现价格 | 元/吨 | 31,715.00 | 3.56% | 期货主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 1,785.00 | -1,090.00 | 基差 | | 元/吨 | 不通氧553#（华东）平均价格 | 8,100.00 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | 不通氧553#（黄埔港）平均价格 | 8,150.00 ...

Company Overview - Zhejiang Sunoren Solar Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as "the company") is a clean energy service provider focused on distributed photovoltaic systems, including investment and operation of distributed photovoltaic power plants, EPC services, photovoltaic product manufacturing and sales, energy storage, and charging station investment and operation [12][13]. Bond Issuance Details - The company issued 8.8 million convertible bonds with a face value of 100 RMB each, totaling 880 million RMB, approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission on April 2023 [1][2]. - The net proceeds from the bond issuance, after deducting underwriting and other fees, amounted to 869.56 million RMB [1][2]. - The bonds will be listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange starting November 24, 2023, under the name "芯能转债" and code "113679" [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of December 31, 2024, the company's total assets were approximately 4.3 billion RMB, with a slight decrease of 1.22% compared to the previous year [13]. - The company's operating revenue for 2024 was approximately 688.86 million RMB, reflecting a 0.39% increase year-on-year [13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.36% compared to the previous year, with basic earnings per share at 0.39 RMB [13][14]. Use of Proceeds - The proceeds from the bond issuance are allocated to various projects, including the construction of distributed photovoltaic power plants, with a total investment of approximately 104.25 million RMB [1][14]. - The company has adjusted the investment amounts for certain projects while maintaining the overall funding for the distributed photovoltaic power plant construction project [14]. Bond Terms and Conditions - The convertible bonds have a term of 6 years, with an interest rate that increases progressively from 0.30% in the first year to 2.50% in the sixth year [2][7]. - The initial conversion price is set at 13.10 RMB per share, with provisions for adjustments based on various corporate actions [2][3]. - The company has the right to redeem the bonds at 115% of the face value after maturity if they remain unconverted [7][8]. Credit Rating - The company's credit rating is AA- with a stable outlook, as assessed by Zhongjian Pengyuan Credit Rating Co., Ltd. [15][16].

英杰电气 20260626 摘要 英杰电器科研院所板块收入超亿元，涉足可控核聚变业务，产品包括回 旋管电源、磁场电源等，已应用于多个科研项目，并与合肥中科院等离 子体物理研究所等建立合作关系。 英杰电气作为光伏和半导体设备电源龙头企业，2020 年起发展光伏业 务，2023 年加速突破半导体设备电源市场，并有望通过可控核聚变领 域打开第三成长曲线。 英杰电气在大功率电源领域具有技术积累，尤其在光伏和多晶硅还原炉 电源方面，正积极对接客户，抓住可控核聚变市场机遇，产品已覆盖国 内重点项目。 可控核聚变市场对英杰电气的大功率电源需求巨大，占项目投资的 5%- 10%，公司在磁场、电流波动控制等方面具有优势，可提供稳定直流供 给强磁场约束等离子体。 英杰电气具备柔性化生产能力，可应对大规模量产需求，生产工人和工 艺调试人员能够适应不同类型产品的生产，从而保持产能优势。 可控核聚变市场对英杰电气有哪些具体需求？ 可控核聚变市场对英杰电气的需求主要集中在大功率电源上。这些电源占整个 项目投资的比例约为 5%至 10%。对于百亿级以上的项目，这意味着对大功率 电源的需求量非常大。此外，还涉及储能、电流波动控制等多种类型的 ...