不过Shin Yoon-chul称，在现代汽车集团会长郑义宣与英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋于消费电子展期间会面 后，投资者对双方合作的预期已有所升温，认为合作可能突破单纯的芯片供应关系。 来源：环球市场播报 受市场猜测现代汽车或将与英伟达深化合作的影响，该公司股价周三早盘一度大涨14.9%，创下历史新 高，表现远超韩国综合股价指数1.2%的涨幅。 Kiwoom Securities分析师Shin Yoon-chul表示，现代汽车在拉斯维加斯消费电子展上宣布的工厂拟部署 Atlas人形机器人计划，不足以完全解释此次股价大涨。他指出，现代汽车计划到2028年实现约3万台机 器人的产能，且此次展出的阿特拉斯产品仅为静态模型。 Shin Yoon-chul表示，市场似乎已在消化英伟达可能深化与现代汽车集团合作的预期，合作形式或包括 对现代汽车旗下子公司进行投资，这或将为现代汽车及其子公司的股价带来进一步上涨空间。 ...

据林如鹏介绍，广东8所高校及21个学科入选第二轮国家"双一流"建设高校及建设学科名单，高校数比 首轮新增3所，增量全国第一；609个专业入选国家级一流本科专业建设点；16所高职入选第二期国 家"双高计划"，数量全国第二。同时，广东已建成具有法人资格的中外合作、内地与港澳合作办学高校 6所，占全国半数以上。 广东教育经费总投入连续30多年居全国首位 中新网广州1月7日电 (程景伟 马悠楠)广东省人民政府新闻办公室7日在广州举行"'十四五'广东成就"教 育专题新闻发布会。广东省委教育工委书记，省教育厅党组书记、厅长林如鹏表示，广东坚持财政优先 保障教育，全省教育经费总投入连续30多年居全国首位。 截至2025年底，广东各级各类学校36868所(含成人高校、特殊教育学校、专门学校；不含技工学校数 据，下同)，较"十三五"末期增加28所，仅次于河南省，居全国第二；在校生2766.19万人，较"十三 五"末期增加165.56万人，居全国第一；专任教师168.04万人，较"十三五"末期增加15.85万人，居全国 第一；基础教育办学规模约占全国1/10，保障近全国1/5的随迁子女义务教育入学。 编辑：万可义 广告等商务合作 ...

Market Performance - On January 6, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.50% to 4083.67 points, marking a ten-year high [1] - The market's total trading volume exceeded 2.83 trillion yuan, an increase of over 260 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with more than 4100 stocks rising [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index recorded a 13-day consecutive rise, setting a historical record, surpassing the previous 12-day record held for 33 years [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector continued to surge, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including Lushin Investment, which achieved six limit-ups in eight days [1] - The brain-computer interface concept maintained its strong performance, with stocks like Sanbo Brain Science and Meihao Medical achieving consecutive limit-ups [1] - The financial sector collectively rose, with Huayin Securities and Dazhihui hitting the daily limit [1] - The intelligent driving sector also showed strength, with multiple stocks like Wanjitech and Luchang Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The chemical sector saw gains, with stocks such as Zhongtai Chemical and Luhua Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector was active, with companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining reaching historical highs [1] Market Outlook - Factors supporting the current bull market remain unchanged, including policy support and a shift of household savings to the capital market, with increasing foreign investment interest in China's technological innovation [2] - Goldman Sachs has recommended overweighting Chinese stocks for 2026, predicting a 15% to 20% annual increase in the Chinese stock market for 2026 and 2027 due to significant valuation discounts compared to global peers [2] - The market is expected to transition from a cross-year trend to a spring offensive, with increased credit issuance in January likely to bring additional funds into the capital market [3] - The overall sentiment suggests that 2026 will be a year of significant opportunities, with expectations of improved market performance and investor sentiment [3] Policy Environment - Future policies may include more proactive fiscal measures and moderately loose monetary policies, with the Federal Reserve expected to continue its rate-cutting cycle, creating favorable conditions for China's central bank [5] - In a declining interest rate environment, equity assets are likely to perform well, and the renminbi is expected to appreciate, attracting more foreign capital into Chinese assets [5] Investor Sentiment - The spring offensive has begun, and investors are encouraged to maintain confidence and patience, focusing on quality stocks or funds to capitalize on the slow bull market opportunities [6] - The number of new A-share accounts has continued to rise, reflecting the market's vitality, with 27.44 million new accounts opened in 2025, a 9.75% increase from 2024 [6]

Group 1: Market Adjustments - On January 6, the China Securities Index Co., Ltd. announced temporary adjustments to the sample of the CSI 1000 and CSI 500 indices, effective after the market close on January 9 [1][3] - Chip source microelectronics was added to the CSI 500 index, while Mingyue Optical was added to the CSI 1000 index [3] - The stock price of Chip Source Microelectronics rose over 7% during the trading session on January 6, reaching a historical high of 165 CNY per share, and closed at 158.99 CNY, with a market capitalization of 32.1 billion CNY [3] Group 2: Company Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Chip Source Microelectronics reported a revenue of 990 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 10.35%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 10.05 million CNY [3] - The company has a significant amount of inventory and contract liabilities, with 900 million CNY in inventory and 800 million CNY in contract liabilities as of the third quarter of 2025, indicating potential for future growth [4] - The company is focusing on three main areas: photoresist coating and development, single wafer cleaning, and advanced packaging, with strong growth potential supported by its major shareholder [4] Group 3: Market Trends - The A-share market showed increased activity, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 1.5% on January 6, marking a 13-day consecutive increase and reaching a 10-year high [6] - Analysts predict that the A-share market will continue to experience a slow upward trend, supported by domestic liquidity and policy expectations [6][7] - Key sectors to watch include commercial aerospace, artificial intelligence, robotics, and cyclical sectors like oil and non-ferrous metals [8]

Group 1 - The Robot ETF (562500) experienced a decline of 0.38%, showing wide fluctuations during the trading session, currently trading around 1.037 yuan, indicating a potentially attractive entry point for investors [1] - Notable stocks within the ETF include Hongxun Technology, which surged over 10%, and Dazhu Laser, which rose over 4%, while Tianzhun Technology, Huazhong CNC, and Bojie Co. all saw gains exceeding 2%, highlighting active structural opportunities within the sector [1] - The trading volume exceeded 6.65 billion yuan with a turnover rate of 2.48%, indicating robust market activity and liquidity, suggesting that funds may be using this adjustment period for high-low switching and chip exchanges, with a focus on recovery opportunities post-stabilization [1] Group 2 - The Robot ETF (562500) is the only robot-themed ETF in the market with a scale exceeding 20 billion yuan, covering various segments including humanoid robots, industrial robots, and service robots, allowing investors to easily access the entire robot industry chain [2] - Following the adjustment of constituent stocks, the humanoid robot component in the index tracked by the Robot ETF has increased to nearly 70%, successfully removing underperforming stocks and incorporating quality candidates, achieving a "retain the strong, eliminate the weak" strategy [2] Group 3 - Underwater robot technology has high barriers to entry, evolving towards lightweight, integrated, and intelligent designs, with industrial-grade underwater robots facing harsher working environments and diverse task requirements, necessitating higher technical specifications [1] - Consumer-grade underwater robots have similar functional demands but simpler structures, primarily focusing on the integration and lightweight design of components such as propulsion systems, gimbals, lighting, and photography [1]

Core Insights - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang announced the launch of the Rubin platform, consisting of six new chips, and introduced the autonomous driving AI software "Alpamayo," referring to it as a "ChatGPT moment for robotics" [1][2] - Huang expressed optimism about the data center sales forecast, suggesting that recent developments could increase expectations for $500 billion in sales [1][3] - The company is focusing on the growing trend of open-source models, which now account for 25% of AITokens generated, indicating a significant shift in the AI landscape [1][3] Market Outlook - Huang emphasized a $10 trillion modernization of computing, with the labor market potentially reaching $100 trillion, highlighting the transformative impact of technology on the global economy [1][9] - The demand for NVIDIA's products is expected to increase, particularly with the anticipated return to the Chinese market and the contribution of the H200 chip [4][5] Competition and Strategy - Huang acknowledged the strength of Chinese competitors, stating that Chinese entrepreneurs and engineers are among the best globally, while also expressing confidence in NVIDIA's competitive edge [6][7] - The company plans to invest in its ecosystem, focusing on building technologies that do not currently exist and supporting its supply chain partners [11][14] Technological Innovations - The Rubin platform features innovations such as pluggable NVLink switches and power smoothing technology, which significantly reduce assembly time from two hours to five minutes [1][26] - Huang predicted that NVIDIA could become one of the largest CPU manufacturers and storage companies globally, driven by its extensive innovations across the computing stack [21][19] AI and Robotics - Huang stated that true human-level robots could be expected this year, emphasizing that robots will create job opportunities rather than replace human workers [2][40] - The autonomous driving technology, particularly the AlphaMayo system, is designed to operate safely without human intervention, aiming for Level 4 capabilities [27][29] Investment and Growth - NVIDIA is sitting on a substantial cash reserve and is considering various investment avenues, including acquisitions and partnerships to foster AI development [11][12] - The company is committed to maintaining its leadership in the AI industry by continuously innovating and collaborating with various sectors, including healthcare and manufacturing [9][16]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a recent adjustment, with significant movements in major indices and specific stocks, particularly in the semiconductor sector [2][4]. Group 1: Index Adjustments - On January 6, the China Securities Index Co., Ltd. announced temporary adjustments to the sample of the CSI 1000 and CSI 500 indices, effective after the market close on January 9 [2][4]. - Notable adjustments include the inclusion of ChipSource Microelectronics in the CSI 500 index and Mingyue Lens in the CSI 1000 index, while ST Renfu was removed from both the CSI 500 and CSI A500 indices [4]. Group 2: Stock Performance - On January 6, ChipSource Microelectronics saw its stock price rise over 7% during trading, reaching a historical high of 165 CNY per share, and closed at 158.99 CNY, with a market capitalization of 32.1 billion CNY [4]. - Since the start of the current rebound on September 24, 2024, ChipSource Microelectronics' stock has increased by over 170% [4]. Group 3: Company Financials - For the first three quarters of 2025, ChipSource Microelectronics reported a revenue of 990 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 10.35%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 10.05 million CNY, marking a shift from profit to loss [4]. - Analysts from Guojin Securities noted that the company's performance is under short-term pressure due to delays in order acceptance, but a significant increase in inventory and contract liabilities suggests potential for recovery [5]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The A-share market is showing increased activity, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 1.5% on January 6, achieving a 13-day consecutive gain, the longest in history [7]. - Analysts predict that the market will continue to trend upwards, supported by strong liquidity and policy expectations, with a focus on sectors such as commercial aerospace, artificial intelligence, and semiconductor equipment [7][8].

核心结论 本篇报告主要内容： 1、今年（2025 年，下文皆同）岁末年初是否会出现历史上 1 月前后失速下跌的情形？2、 牛市年份春季躁动启动是否要等到 1 月有条件的年报强制披露落 地之后？3、 春季躁动期间行业表现和春季躁动之前的涨跌幅是否有关？4、 当下还有哪些催化可以期待？行业配置关注哪些方向？ 核心要点： 1、 近期市场讨论较多的话题有：明年 1 月是否会出现类似今年及去年 1 月初前后， A 股阶段性失速下跌的情况？我们对 2005 年以来历史情形进行了梳 理：主要在三种情形下会出现：宏观过热下的政策转向/流动性担忧（比如 2008、2010、2011 年的 1 月），情绪低迷的延续叠加放 大效应的冲击（比如 2015、2024 年的 1 月），或者意外事件扰动 。 | 时间区间 | | 全A涨跌幅 | 下跌相关催化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2008/1/15 | 2008/1/31 | -17.6 | 存款准金率上调、某险企巨头再融资引发流动性虹吸的担忧 | | 2008/12/22 | 2008/12/31 | -10.8 | 美国次贷危机影响的余波未散 | ...

Market Overview - The A-share market opened high on January 7, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% to 4095.54 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.35% to 14071.35 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.41% to 3332.74 points, marking a four-year high [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.84 trillion yuan, an increase of 53.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The photolithography concept stocks surged, with Guofeng New Materials hitting the limit up for two consecutive days, and several other stocks like Nanda Optoelectronics and Tongcheng New Materials also reaching the limit up [1] - The controllable nuclear fusion concept showed strong performance, with stocks like Wangzi New Materials and China First Heavy Industries hitting the limit up [1] - The brain-computer interface concept continued its strong trend, with stocks such as Innovation Medical and Nanjing Panda achieving three consecutive limit ups [1] - Semiconductor equipment stocks were actively traded, with stocks like Chip Source Microelectronics and Hengkun New Materials hitting the limit up by 20% [1] - The electric grid equipment sector showed strength, with Sanbian Technology and China West Electric reaching the limit up [1] - In contrast, oil and gas stocks performed poorly, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation experiencing a decline [1] Hot Sectors - The storage chip concept was strong, with stocks like Yingxin Development achieving two consecutive limit ups, and others like Puran Shares and Jiangbolong also rising [2] - The nickel concept stocks saw a rally, with stocks like Greeenmei hitting the limit up, supported by a significant increase in nickel prices [3] - The controllable nuclear fusion concept stocks rose, with breakthroughs in experimental methods reported, indicating long-term growth potential for the industry [4] Institutional Insights - Huaxi Securities noted that the spring market rally has started early, maintaining a bullish outlook, and suggested focusing on emerging growth sectors and anti-involution opportunities [5] - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities emphasized that the spring market structure remains unchanged, with high elasticity in thematic opportunities, particularly in AI and cyclical sectors [5] - Dongfang Securities indicated that the Shanghai Composite Index is approaching the 4100-point mark, predicting a slowdown in upward momentum and potential volatility [6]

Group 1 - The Robot ETF (562500) has shown strong resilience with a 0.10% increase, indicating a recovery after a dip, supported by active trading with a turnover exceeding 4.64 billion [1] - Key holdings in the ETF include companies like Hongxun Technology, which has seen a strong performance, and others such as Dazhong Laser and Bojie Co., which have risen over 3% [1] - The automated driving technology company Mobileye announced a deal to acquire Israeli humanoid robot startup Mentee Robotics for a total value of $900 million, consisting of $612 million in cash and up to 26.23 million shares of Mobileye Class A common stock, expected to close in the first quarter of this year [1] Group 2 - The Robot ETF (562500) is the only robot-themed ETF in the market with a scale exceeding 20 billion, covering various segments including humanoid robots, industrial robots, and service robots, facilitating investors' access to the entire robot industry chain [2]