Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is facing challenges of disorderly competition, leading to significant price declines across key segments, with some product prices falling below cash costs for companies [1] Group 1: Industry Challenges - The solar industry has been experiencing severe price drops in the four major segments: silicon materials, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules since the end of 2023 [1] - Companies are urged to maintain a balanced competitive environment to avoid excessive competition while ensuring operational capabilities [1] Group 2: Company Insights - Tongwei Co., Ltd. is the largest silicon material producer globally, with a silicon material capacity exceeding 900,000 tons, solar cell capacity over 150 GW, and module capacity exceeding 90 GW as of mid-2023 [1] - The company emphasizes the need for industry self-discipline and the establishment of a platform company to manage silicon material production and prevent over-competition [1] Group 3: Proposed Solutions - The concept of "silicon material storage" is proposed to regulate supply and demand, akin to a water supply control system, to stabilize product prices and promote healthy industry development [2] - The industry is encouraged to retain some redundant capacity to adapt to dynamic demand changes, with the Chinese Photovoltaic Industry Association playing a crucial role in facilitating this process [2] - The example of OPEC is cited to illustrate how coordinated efforts can lead to stability in production and pricing, with a strong belief in achieving effective high-quality collaborative development in the solar industry over the next 5 to 10 years [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Industrial silicon: Oscillation [1] - Polysilicon: Oscillation [1] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Industrial silicon prices have a clearer lower limit, and it is more cost - effective to go long on dips. Polysilicon is expected to return to a volatile market, with the main contract operating between 51,000 - 56,000 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to range - trading opportunities [3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Industry Chain Prices - The Si2601 contract of industrial silicon decreased by 200 yuan/ton week - on - week to 9020 yuan/ton. The spot price of East China oxygen - blown 553 increased by 50 yuan/ton to 9500 yuan/ton, and the price of Xinjiang 99 remained flat at 8850 yuan/ton. The PS2601 contract of polysilicon increased by 830 yuan/ton to 54045 yuan/ton. The average transaction price of N - type re -投料 of polysilicon remained flat at 53200 yuan/ton [9] 3.2 Organic Silicon "Anti - involution", Silicon Wafer Enterprises Jointly Support Prices - **Industrial Silicon**: The futures main contract of industrial silicon fluctuated weakly. Southwest China may have further furnace shutdowns during the dry season. The social inventory decreased by 0.6 million tons week - on - week, and the sample factory inventory increased by 0.06 million tons. The balance sheet shows a slight inventory build - up in November and a de - stocking of about 1 million tons in December, but "anti - involution" in organic silicon may affect December's de - stocking [11] - **Organic Silicon**: The price of organic silicon increased. The industry reached a consensus on production cut and price support. The overall enterprise start - up rate was 73.62%, the weekly output was 48,700 tons (a 1.67% increase), and the inventory was 42,100 tons (a 3.22% decrease). The success of "anti - involution" depends on production cut implementation [12] - **Polysilicon**: The futures main contract of polysilicon fluctuated. The spot mainly delivered previous orders. Considering the dry season, the production schedule in November is expected to drop to 115,000 tons. As of November 13, the factory inventory was 267,000 tons (an increase of 0.8 million tons). The spot price depends on the game between policy and fundamentals. It is expected to remain flat in November [13] - **Silicon Wafer**: The price of silicon wafers was volatile. After a price cut on Tuesday, several enterprises jointly raised prices on Thursday. The production cut is not obvious, with a production schedule of 57 - 58GW in November. As of November 13, the inventory was 18.42GW (an increase of 0.9GW). The price is expected to fluctuate [14] - **Battery Cell**: The price of battery cells continued to decline. Indian demand shifted, and domestic demand also decreased. As of November 10, the inventory was 5.81GW (an increase of 1.96GW). The production schedule in November is 57.4GW. The price may loosen further [15] - **Component**: The component price was basically stable. Some high - power component quotes increased. The demand declined, and the production schedule in November is expected to be 44.4GW (a decrease of 1GW). There are concerns about a significant decline in December's production schedule [16] 3.3 Investment Suggestions - **Industrial Silicon**: After hedging, short - term price drops are unlikely to cause production cuts. The price needs to break through 10,000 yuan/ton to increase supply. It is more cost - effective to go long on dips [3] - **Polysilicon**: The spot price is expected to remain stable in November. The futures may return to a volatile market, with the main contract operating between 51,000 - 56,000 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to range - trading opportunities [3] 3.4 Hot News Summaries - **Silicon Wafer Enterprises Jointly Support Prices**: Several silicon wafer enterprises jointly raised prices to support "anti - involution" competition. The actual transaction depends on downstream acceptance [18] - **Positive Results in Photovoltaic Industry Self - regulation**: The self - regulation of the photovoltaic industry has achieved positive results. Product prices are gradually stabilizing, and the situation where polysilicon prices are below cost has improved [18] - **Statement on Online False News**: The association is promoting industry self - regulation and "anti - involution" work. Online rumors are false information [19] 3.5 Industry Chain High - frequency Data Tracking - **Industrial Silicon**: It includes data on spot prices, weekly production in different regions, social inventory, and sample factory inventory [21][24][26][28] - **Organic Silicon**: It includes data on DMC spot prices, weekly profits, factory inventory, and weekly production [32][34] - **Polysilicon**: It includes data on spot prices, weekly gross profits, factory weekly inventory, and enterprise weekly production [36][40] - **Silicon Wafer**: It includes data on spot prices, profit calculations, factory weekly inventory, and enterprise weekly production [41][43][44] - **Battery Cell**: It includes data on spot prices, profit calculations, export factory weekly inventory, and enterprise monthly production [49][51][54][55] - **Component**: It includes data on spot prices, profit calculations, finished product inventory, and enterprise monthly production [57][59][60][61]

Core Viewpoint - The solar photovoltaic industry is determined to avoid vicious competition and is committed to promoting self-discipline and "anti-involution" efforts to restore a fair competitive environment for high-quality development [1] Industry Self-Regulation - The industry aims to push for self-regulation and anti-involution through strong guidance from relevant ministries, focusing on both supply and demand to facilitate the orderly exit of backward production capacity [1] - The core purpose of self-regulation and anti-involution is to ensure that trustworthy companies can thrive in the market [1] Market Tracking - The photovoltaic 50 ETF (159864) tracks the photovoltaic industry index (931151), which selects listed companies involved in various segments of the solar photovoltaic supply chain, including silicon materials, solar cells, modules, and inverters [1] - This index focuses on the new energy and environmental protection sectors, effectively tracking the development trends and market dynamics of the photovoltaic industry [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Copper: ★★★, indicating a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Aluminum: ★★★, suggesting a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Alumina: ★★★, showing a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Cast Aluminum Alloy: ★★★, representing a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Zinc: ★☆☆, meaning a bullish/bearish bias, with a driving force for price movement but limited operability on the trading floor [1] - Nickel and Stainless Steel: ★★★, indicating a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Tin: ★★★, suggesting a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Lithium Carbonate: ★★★, showing a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Industrial Silicon: ★★★, representing a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Polysilicon: ★★★, indicating a clearer long - term trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] Report's Core Views - The overall sentiment in the non - ferrous metals market is affected by factors such as the US government's end of the shutdown, expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut, and industry - specific supply - demand and policy situations. Different metals show various price trends and investment opportunities [2][3][5] Summary by Metal Copper - On Thursday, the non - ferrous metals sector showed a rising trend with increased positions. The short - term prices of Shanghai copper and LME copper tested RMB 88,000 and $11,000 respectively. The SMM social inventory increased by 5,200 tons to 201,100 tons this week, and the spot copper price rose to RMB 87,210. The Shanghai copper still had a premium of RMB 50. Short - term attention should be paid to the performance at the upper integer levels [2] Aluminum & Alumina & Aluminum Alloy - Shanghai aluminum continued to rise with increased positions. The spot premiums and discounts in East, Central, and South China showed little change. The macro environment is positive, and the long - term supply - demand situation in the aluminum market is promising, but the short - term fundamentals are stable. The high point of Shanghai aluminum refreshed a three - year high, and the index increased positions by 30,000 lots to 820,000 lots. The price of Baotai ADC12 spot increased by RMB 100 to RMB 21,100. Alumina has an oversupply situation, and its price is expected to be weak with limited rebound space [2] Zinc - The external market remained strong, and the export window for zinc ingots opened. The domestic smelters' production cuts are gradually being implemented, and the spot in East China is tight. The SMM zinc social inventory decreased by 800 tons to 157,900 tons. The price difference between the internal and external markets has limited room for further expansion. The short - term rebound of Shanghai zinc is expected to reach RMB 23,200/ton [3] Aluminum - The new national standard for electric two - wheeled vehicles will be fully implemented on December 1st, which is expected to improve the consumption of lead - acid batteries. The domestic aluminum spot is tight, and there may be hoarding by traders. The SMM aluminum social inventory continued to rise to 34,900 tons, and the futures - spot price difference widened. The price of Shanghai aluminum may face pressure at RMB 17,800/ton, but it is expected to break through the upper space, with the fourth - quarter high expected to reach RMB 18,200 - 18,500/ton [5] Nickel and Stainless Steel - Shanghai nickel declined slightly, and the trading was active with increasing positions. The nickel industry chain was affected by overall overcapacity and showed a dull performance. The mainstream stainless - steel mills cancelled price limits and then lowered the stainless - steel prices. The market was sluggish, and the trading volume was low. The pure nickel inventory increased by 1,000 tons to 49,100 tons, the nickel - iron inventory increased by 500 tons to 29,600 tons, and the stainless - steel inventory decreased by 1,300 tons to 946,000 tons. The nickel price is expected to be weak [6] Tin - The weighted price of Shanghai tin touched the RMB 600,000 integer level, and the trading was active. The spot tin price rose to RMB 296,000, and the real - time discount to the delivery month widened to RMB 1,250. The short - term price may test the integer level again. From a fundamental perspective, a short - long and long - short strategy or the allocation of out - of - the - money call options is recommended [7] Lithium Carbonate - Lithium carbonate fluctuated at a high level, and the trading was active. The downstream battery factory orders increased due to the progress of pure - electric heavy - truck projects, the peak sales season of traditional vehicles, and the high demand for energy - storage batteries. The market inventory decreased by 3,400 tons to 124,000 tons. The short - term trend is expected to be strong with a fluctuating pattern [8] Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon futures declined in the late trading, giving back the intraday gains. The expected production cuts and price increases of silicone monomer enterprises may drag down the demand for industrial silicon. The monthly production of industrial silicon is restricted by the dry season, and the production of downstream polysilicon has also significantly decreased. The short - term price is expected to weaken [9] Polysilicon - The polysilicon futures continued to rise, closing above RMB 54,000/ton. The disclosure of the significant achievements in the self - discipline of the photovoltaic industry by the National Energy Administration boosted market sentiment. The supply - demand situation has limited marginal improvement, but the industry has a strong willingness to support prices. The short - term spot price is expected to be stable, and the futures price will continue to fluctuate [10]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry in China has made significant progress in self-regulation to address issues such as supply-demand imbalance and intense competition [2] - The industry has achieved certain results in creating a fair competitive market, mitigating risks, and promoting high-quality development, leading to a gradual stabilization of photovoltaic product prices [3] Price Trends - From November 2024 to October 2025, 144 tracked bidding projects showed a slight increase in the average price of winning components [6] - During the same period, the average prices of polysilicon, silicon wafers, solar cells, and modules have seen a slight increase [6] - Polysilicon futures prices have risen by nearly 20%, indicating a significant improvement in the situation where polysilicon prices were below cost [6]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector in China has been significantly impacted by rumors regarding the storage of materials, prompting major companies like JA Solar Technology to issue clarifications and reaffirm their commitment to industry self-regulation and high-quality development [1] Group 1: Company Responses - JA Solar Technology released a clarification stating that its board secretary did not make any statements in internal or external meetings regarding the circulating rumors, labeling them as internet misinformation [1] - The company emphasized its support for national policies against excessive competition and its commitment to corporate social responsibility, aiming to collaborate with industry stakeholders to promote effective self-regulation and contribute to the sector's high-quality development [1] Group 2: Industry Association Actions - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued a statement addressing the spread of false information, asserting that the association and industry enterprises are working together to ensure steady progress in their initiatives [1] - The association provided a screenshot in its statement, which allegedly showed someone claiming that JA Solar's board secretary revealed that plans for a silicon material and component alliance had failed [1]

11月12日，受相关传闻影响，光伏板块大跌。 11月12日晚间，晶澳科技发布澄清公告称，近日，网络上流传关于晶澳科技的不实言论，引发部分关注。对此，公司澄清并郑重声明：公司董事会秘书未 在任何内部或外部会议上发表过网传言论。相关内容系网络谣传，严重误导公众认知，损害公司及行业声誉。针对不实言论的传播行为，公司保留通过法 律途径追究相关责任的权利。 同时，晶澳科技相关人士向上海证券报记者表示，晶澳科技坚决拥护国家"反内卷"政策，坚决践行行业自律，积极履行企业社会责任，与行业各方携手推 动"反内卷"和行业自律工作落地见效，为行业高质量发展贡献力量。 稍早前，中国光伏行业协会于11月12日下午在其微信公众号发布《关于网络不实消息的声明》称，网络流传的小道消息均为不实信息，望请各位注意甄 别，慎重决策。 协会表示，协会坚定维护国家利益、行业利益，针对妄图通过造谣抹黑、恶意做空光伏行业牟取利益的恶劣行为，将与之斗争到底。 协会表示，在相关部委的坚强指导下，光伏行业正努力推进行业自律和"反内卷"工作：从供需两端共同发力，市场化、法制化地推动相关工作。当下，协 会和行业内各企业正一道努力，相关工作正在稳步推进。 （文章来源 ...

中国光伏行业协会发布关于网络不实消息的声明。声明称，中国光伏行业协会在相关部委的坚强指导下 努力推进行业自律和"反内卷"工作：从供需两端共同发力，市场化、法制化地推动相关工作。当下，协 会和行业内各企业正一道努力，相关工作正在稳步推进。网络流传的小道消息均为不实信息，望请各位 注意甄别，慎重决策。协会坚定维护国家利益，行业利益，妄图通过造谣抹黑、恶意做空光伏行业牟取 利益的恶劣行为，我们将与之斗争到底。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Photovoltaic Industry Association emphasizes the importance of industry self-discipline and combating unhealthy competition, asserting that false information circulating online should be disregarded [2][5]. Group 1: Industry Self-Discipline - The association is actively promoting self-regulation and "anti-involution" efforts in the photovoltaic industry, aiming to restore a fair competitive environment [2][5]. - The core objective of these efforts is to ensure that trustworthy companies can thrive while discouraging unfair competition practices [5]. Group 2: Response to Misinformation - The association firmly states that any rumors or false information about the industry are untrue and urges stakeholders to verify information before making decisions [2]. - The association is committed to defending national and industry interests against malicious actions aimed at undermining the photovoltaic sector [2].

Core Viewpoint - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association has issued a statement addressing false information circulating online, emphasizing its commitment to industry self-discipline and combating negative narratives against the photovoltaic sector [1]. Group 1 - The association is working under the strong guidance of relevant government departments to promote industry self-regulation and "anti-involution" efforts [1]. - Both supply and demand sides are collaborating to advance market-oriented and legal measures for the industry [1]. - The association and industry enterprises are making steady progress in their efforts to counter misinformation and maintain industry integrity [1]. Group 2 - The association firmly defends national and industry interests against malicious actions aimed at discrediting the photovoltaic sector for profit [1]. - It warns stakeholders to be cautious and discerning regarding unverified information circulating online [1].