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PS:出口增量趋势或稳定 但结构差异仍存
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 06:50
近五年来,苯乙烯及下游产业链的盈利先扬后抑;供需增速不匹配的背景下PS行业盈利能力由强转 弱,2024年下半年开始因供应端的阶段性收紧呈现窄幅修复的现象。2020-2021年产业链利润总体良 好,尤其2020年出口红利作用支撑其上升至近年来最高水平。随着产业链供需矛盾逐步显现,至2023年 产业链利润率累加值转负。从利润分布来看,过去五年产业链的利润从覆盖各个产品向下游转移,而随 着下游三S行业供大于求矛盾凸显,行业的盈利能力再度转弱。从PS行业的盈利状况来看,2020-2024 年,中国PS行业的总体盈利能力由强震荡转弱。受益于出口红利,2020年中国PS行业盈利达到近年来 的峰值,GPPS行业毛利均值1722元/吨;HIPS行业毛利均值3200元/吨。自2021年以来,国内PS新项目 陆续投产,供需增速不匹配的背景下,行业的盈利能力逐步下降,GPPS与HIPS行业全年平均陷入窄幅 亏损态势。2024年-2025年行业盈利情况在供应端给与价格阶段性支撑的背景下有所修复。 【导语】近年来,在利润驱动、下游需求增长及一体化项目延伸等多因素支撑下,中国PS行业产能体 量不断扩大,2019年以来产能复合增长率超13 ...
华虹公司20250611
2025-06-11 15:49
Summary of the Conference Call for Huahong Company Industry and Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Huahong Company, which operates in the semiconductor industry, specifically focusing on 12-inch wafer manufacturing and related products [2][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments Capacity Expansion and Production - Huahong's 12-inch wafer factory has rapidly expanded capacity, with the first factory producing over 100,000 wafers, and another factory ramping up to a target of 83,000 wafers per month by 2026 [2][3]. - The company reported a 100% utilization rate across all platforms, with strong performance in industrial semiconductors, IGBT, and AI power management products [2][3]. Pricing Strategy and Gross Margin Improvement - The company has implemented a price increase strategy aiming for at least a 10% price hike in 2025, with a goal to achieve a gross margin of 40% by 2027 [2][5]. - The overall gross margin is expected to turn positive and gradually increase to 10% [5]. Market Demand and Stability - Demand in the consumer electronics sector is stable, while the industrial sector is recovering, and automotive electronics remain stable [6]. - The renewable energy sector, including wind and solar storage and electric vehicles, is stable but recovering slower than the industrial sector [7]. International Orders and Collaborations - Orders from overseas clients, particularly from Europe and the U.S., remain stable, with a notable collaboration with STMicroelectronics for 40nm MCU production expected to start mass production in Q4 2025 [8]. - The company is also in discussions with other large enterprises like IBM for potential collaborations [8]. Competitive Landscape - Huahong is aware of the rapid expansion of competitors like Chipone Integrated Circuit-U but remains focused on its development strategy, emphasizing technological advancement and efficiency [9][10]. - The company does not view Chipone's low-price strategy as a threat due to its technological superiority and plans to continue innovating in the information technology sector [10]. Acquisition and Future Plans - The acquisition of Huahong's fifth factory is progressing as planned, with expectations to complete it within a year [11]. - The company plans to invest $2 billion in equipment procurement in 2025 and an additional $1 billion in 2026 to complete the overall planning of the 12-inch wafer factory [4][14]. Product Pricing Trends - The price of 8-inch wafers has decreased, while the price of 12-inch wafers has increased, with a comprehensive price increase of approximately 10% planned for 2025 [15]. Future Product Development - The company is focusing on developing 28nm and 22nm technologies, with a strong emphasis on advancing its product offerings in the MCU segment [17]. - The 40nm MCU project, in collaboration with STMicroelectronics, is expected to enter mass production in Q4 2025, significantly enhancing revenue from the European market [17]. Market Demand for Specific Products - The demand for high-voltage IGBT is recovering well and is expected to continue growing [20]. - The analog and power management business has shown strong performance, particularly in the North American market, with expectations for sustained growth in the second quarter and the latter half of the year [18]. Additional Important Information - The company is not locking in any customers for new production capacity but has seen significant demand from new products and clients [13]. - The gross margin target for 8-inch products is also set to increase to 40%, primarily through price increases and product mix optimization [19].
纯碱仍有下行空间
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-06-10 23:25
综合来看,2025年纯碱生产成本较2024年年底下降170~200元/吨,纯碱的价格支撑下移至1100~1150 元/吨,价格压力下移至1400~1450元/吨。从上市公司年报可知,2023年开始,国内纯碱企业或采取 技改降低能耗,或扩大产能降低单位成本,或精简人员降低人工成本,行业下行周期成本也趋于下行, 纯碱价格重心持续下移。展望后市,当前250元/吨的原盐价格,中期仍有50~80元/吨的压缩空间, 620元/吨的动力煤价格仍有100元/吨的潜在下跌空间,纯碱生产成本理论上有100~150元/吨的下跌 空间,中长期纯碱价格极值或出现在950~1000元/吨。 下游依旧承压,需求疲软难改 除产能扩张带来的压力外,近一年纯碱价格加速下跌还受到终端需求疲软的拖累。2024年下半年开始, 纯碱价格跌破氨碱成本支撑,主要是受浮法玻璃和光伏玻璃用碱需求下降影响。2024年6月底,国内浮 法玻璃和光伏玻璃日熔量之和一度升至286875T/D,创历史新高,但2024年7月开始该数据快速下降, 2025年2月浮法和光伏日熔量之和仅237415T/D,较高位下降近50000T/D,折合纯碱日需求量下降10000 吨。受光伏行 ...
天山铝业:20万吨电解铝富余指标拟开始建设,达产后产量增量21%-20250610
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-10 05:23
公司报告 | 公司点评 天山铝业(002532) 证券研究报告 20 万吨电解铝富余指标拟开始建设,达产后产量增量 21% 事件:6 月 6 日公司发布公告,拟对公司 140 万吨电解铝产能进行绿色低 碳能效提升改造。项目完工后,公司电解铝产量将提升至 140 万吨/年左右, 铝液综合交流电耗将达到行业领先水平。 项目概况:1)建设期:暂定 10 个月,按照目前时间点推算,项目将于 26 年 4 月投产/达产;2)项目投资:约 22.31 亿元;3)场地:石河子厂区东 侧预留场地;4)技术路线:本项目采用全石墨化阴极炭块和新式节能阴 极结构技术,具有内衬寿命高、电阻率低、钠膨胀率低、抗热冲击性好、 电阻率低、运行稳定性和电流效率高等诸多优点;5)项目进度:项目已 获得相关政府部门的备案及批复,议案已获得公司董事会审议通过。 电解铝产能 120 万吨→140 万吨,达产后产量增量 21% 公司拥有 140 万吨电解铝产能指标,目前已建成 120 万吨电解铝产能, 实际年产量约 116 万吨左右(25 年经营计划原铝产量 116 万吨),尚余 24 万吨产能待建,预计该项目建成后形成 24 万吨产量净增量,增幅 ...
建霖家居:泰国建霖拟建设三期厂房扩大海外产能
news flash· 2025-06-09 07:58
建霖家居(603408)公告,公司计划对建霖工业(泰国)有限公司进行增资扩产,建设第三期厂房,以扩 大海外产能,项目投资总额为3.19亿元。此次投资由泰国建霖各股东按股权比例出资。公司拟不超过 4300万美元增资全资子公司新加坡建霖用于对泰国建霖进行增资。 ...
研判2025!中国环氧乙烷行业产业链图谱、市场现状、进出口及发展趋势分析:国内环氧乙烷产量超500万吨,行业出口市场加速扩容[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-09 01:56
内容概要:环氧乙烷,Ethylene Oxide,简称EO,又称氧化乙烯,是一种重要的有机化工原料和中间 体,也乙烯工业衍生物中仅次于聚乙烯和聚氯乙烯的有机化工原料。数据显示,2010年我国环氧乙烷产 能约为126万吨,伴随乙烯工业体系快速扩张及炼化一体化项目落地,至2019年产能激增至479万吨,实 现年均复合增长率16%的快速发展。其后,在乙烯炼化一体化装置持续扩产推动下,我国环氧乙烷产能 扩张趋势得以延续,2020-2023年间保持14%以上的增速。至2024年,我国环氧乙烷产能达到944万吨, 同比增长8.51%,增速虽有所放缓但仍保持稳健增长。而在生产方面,随着聚羧酸减水剂单体、非离子 表面活性剂等下游市场发展,近年来我国环氧乙烷行业产量整体呈现上升态势,据统计,2024年已从 2019年的384.7万吨增长至524万吨。 相关上市企业:中国石化(600028);中国石油(601857);中国三江化工(02198);红墙股份 (002809);奥克股份(300082);卫星化学(002648);联泓新科(003022)等 相关企业:中国石化海南炼油化工有限公司;盛虹控股集团有限公司;恒力石化(大连) ...
亚钾国际监事被立案调查 公司董事长此前被留置
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-06-06 03:43
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 6月5日晚,亚钾国际(000893.SZ)发布公告称,公司监事彭志云于近日收到中国证监会出具的《立案告知书》,因涉嫌内幕交易被立案调查。 亚钾国际表示,本次立案调查是针对彭志云个人的调查,与公司日常经营管理和业务活动无关,目前公司经营一切正常。彭志云已向公司申请辞去公司第八 届监事会监事职务,其辞职后在公司及子公司中不担任任何职务,其辞职需在公司股东大会选举产生新任监事后方可生效。 亚钾国际2024年年报显示,彭志云1969年9月出生,现年55岁,中国国籍,无永久境外居留权,中欧国际工商学院EMBA,曾任上海劲邦股权投资管理有限 公司总裁、执行合伙人,现任上海劲邦劲德股权投资合伙企业(有限合伙)执行事务合伙人委派代表以及公司监事。 彭志云2020年1月10日起任亚钾国际监事,2024年从公司获得的税前报酬总额为6万元,在公司关联方亦获取报酬。 1月17日,亚钾国际发布的公告显示,公司董事长郭柏春先生被宁夏回族自治区监察委员会实施留置。亚钾国际称,本次留置事项系针对董事长郭柏春先生 个人,与公司无关。截至本公告披露日,公司控制权未发生变化,公司董事会运作正常,日 ...
中矿资源20250605
2025-06-06 02:37
中矿资源 20250605 摘要 中矿资源计划对 2.5 万吨冶炼产线进行技改,预计耗时四个月,完成后 产能将提升至 3 万吨,加工费略有下降,预计年底投产。同时,矿山端 浮选厂维持每月约 3 万吨精矿的正常生产,并计划年底前落地 1 万吨硫 酸锂产线以降低成本。 公司主营业务预计四季度投产活法产线,纳米比亚铜冶炼厂因亏损将于 三季度停产,人员分流至锗冶炼厂。赞比亚铜矿项目按计划推进,预计 2026 年下半年投产,争取年底前完成爬坡,2027 年满负荷生产。 比基塔锂灰石含运费 CIF 成本约 500 美元,冶炼费约 1.7 万-1.8 万元。 公司通过预处理矿石、建设硫酸锂工厂和技改等措施降低成本,目标是 将完全成本降至含税 6 万元以内。 当前碳酸锂价格已跌至公司目标完全成本水平,公司需持续降本以应对 市场波动。行业价格和成本线接近,甚至低于成本线,但成本仍有下降 空间。短期内不排除价格进一步下跌,但长期来看,需求旺盛将推动价 格调整。 Q&A 今年中矿资源的生产和销售情况如何? 今年(2025 年)一季度,中矿资源的出货量为 9,000 吨,二季度前两个月出 货量约为 5,000 至 6,000 吨。全 ...
中科电气拟80亿投建阿曼项目 净利连续6季增长加速海外布局
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-06-05 23:31
Core Viewpoint - The company Zhongke Electric is accelerating its overseas capacity expansion in the lithium battery sector, with a significant investment in an integrated anode material production base in Oman while delaying a similar project in Morocco [1][2]. Group 1: Project Investments - Zhongke Electric plans to invest up to 8 billion yuan in an integrated anode material production base in Oman, with an annual capacity of 200,000 tons, divided into two phases of 100,000 tons each, expected to take 36 months for construction [2]. - The company has decided to delay the construction of its Morocco project, which has a total investment of up to 5 billion yuan and is also planned for an annual capacity of 100,000 tons [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhongke Electric achieved a revenue of 5.581 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.72%, and a net profit of 303 million yuan, which is a significant increase of 626.56% [3]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.598 billion yuan in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 49.92%, with a net profit of 134 million yuan, up 465.8% [3][4]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - Zhongke Electric is positioned as a leading anode material manufacturer, supplying major battery manufacturers such as CATL, BYD, and LGES, and ranks third in the lithium battery anode material industry in terms of shipment volume [3]. - The company is focusing on differentiated competitive advantages by targeting the fast-charging and energy storage anode material markets, despite facing industry challenges such as price declines and increased competition [3][4]. Group 4: Research and Development - Zhongke Electric has maintained R&D expenses above 200 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, with Q1 2025 R&D expenses reaching 73.1587 million yuan, nearly doubling year-on-year [4]. - The company is developing new technologies in silicon-carbon and lithium metal anodes, with pilot production lines for silicon-carbon anodes already established and products undergoing evaluation by multiple clients [4].
爱旭股份拟7.5亿元加码风电项目 产能扩张首季营收增超6成
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-06-05 20:13
爱旭股份的产能扩张以N型ABC电池组件为核心,其技术路线与产能规划已形成"效率领先—订单爆发 —产能跟进"的闭环。 爱旭股份在业绩说明会上表示,N型ABC组件量产交付效率高达24.6%,在叠加满屏技术之后交付效率 更可达到25%以上。公司将继续深耕N型BC技术路线,通过满屏技术、半片钝化等各项储备黑科技提效 手段,保持对其他N型技术6%-10%的效率优势,为客户创造更多产品价值。 截至2025年一季度,爱旭股份已形成三大ABC电池组件生产基地:珠海基地10GW产能(已投产),聚焦 高端海外市场;义乌基地15GW产能(8GW满产,7GW调试中),服务国内分布式市场;济南基地10GW 产能(在建,2025年上半年电池投产),定位第三代ABC制造基地,目标实现单位资本开支降低20%、生 产成本接近TOPCon。 根据规划,2025年底公司ABC组件产能将达35GW,中远期产能目标超100GW。这一扩张速度远超行业 平均水平,直指全球组件企业前三甲。 尽管光伏行业整体仍处于周期底部,但爱旭股份通过技术溢价与成本管控,实现经营业绩的显著改善。 2025年一季度,公司实现营收41.36亿元,同比增长64.53%;经营活动 ...