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《金融》日报-2025-04-02
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-02 06:03
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided in the reports. Core Views - The reports present daily data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and industrial futures, such as prices, spreads, and related economic indicators, to help investors understand market trends and price movements [1][2][4][7]. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spread - **Price Difference Data**: Provides price differences and their changes for IF, IH, IC, and IM futures, including spot - futures spreads and inter - period spreads, along with historical percentile data [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Presents cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, IC/IF, etc., and their historical percentile data [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread - **Basis and IRR**: Displays basis and IRR data for TS, TF, T, and TL treasury bond futures, along with their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - **Inter - Period Spreads**: Provides inter - period spreads for different maturities of TS, TF, T, and TL futures, and their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Presents cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., and their changes and historical percentiles [2]. Precious Metal Futures and Spot - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Shows domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, and their changes and price change rates for gold and silver [4]. - **Basis and Ratios**: Provides basis data for gold and silver, as well as price ratios such as COMEX gold/silver and SHFE gold/silver, and their historical percentiles [4]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories**: Displays data on 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yields, US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate, and inventory and position data for gold and silver [4]. Industrial Futures and Spot - **Spot Quotes**: Presents spot quotes for shipping companies on the Shanghai - Europe route and their changes and price change rates [7]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Displays settlement price indexes for shipping routes, Shanghai export container freight rates, and their changes and price change rates [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Provides futures prices and their changes and price change rates for EC contracts, as well as basis data for the main contract [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: Includes data on global container shipping capacity supply, Red Sea detour situation, foreign trade - related indicators, overseas economic indicators, and OECD composite leading indicators [7]. Data and Information Calendar - **Overseas Data/Information**: Lists macro - economic data and energy - chemical data for the US, including time, data sources, and economic indicators [9]. - **Domestic Data/Information**: Presents data on energy - chemical, black - nonferrous, and special commodities in China, including time, data sources, and economic indicators [9].
原木期货日报-2025-03-31
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-03-31 07:51
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The supply pressure of logs remains, and the overall demand is under pressure, with spot prices continuously decreasing. The current valuation of the log futures is moderately low, and the possibility of a deep decline is limited. It is expected to fluctuate within the range of 820 - 860 yuan per cubic meter. Attention should be paid to information related to log futures delivery on April 1st [3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures and Spot Prices - Futures prices of log contracts 2507, 2509, and 2511 decreased on March 28th compared to March 27th, with declines of -0.48%, -0.41%, and -0.94% respectively. The basis of 07, 09, and 11 contracts increased, and the spreads between 7 - 9, 9 - 11, and 7 - 11 contracts changed. Spot prices of most log varieties in ports remained stable, while some in Taicang Port decreased [2] - The import theoretical cost increased slightly from 862.94 yuan on March 27th to 863.52 yuan on March 28th, and the RMB - US dollar exchange rate also increased slightly [2] Supply - Monthly port throughput increased by 50.98% from 131.1 million cubic meters on December 31st to 197.9 million cubic meters on February 28th. The number of ships in the port increased by 18.37% from 49 to 58 [2] - Weekly log inventory in major ports increased. As of March 21st, the inventory in China was 364 million cubic meters, a 4.30% increase from March 14th. In Shandong and Jiangsu, the inventories also increased [2][3] Demand - Weekly average daily log出库量 decreased. As of March 21st, the average daily log出库量 in China was 6.42 million cubic meters, a 1% decrease from March 14th. In Shandong, it increased by 2%, while in Jiangsu, it decreased by 2% [2][3]