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中央经济工作会议最新信号
第一财经· 2025-12-11 12:57
其中关于2026年货币政策延续适度宽松的基调,显示出宏观政策保持很强的连续性、稳定性。除了 总量政策提出运用降准降息外,会议还要求畅通货币政策传导机制,引导金融机构加力支持扩大内 需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域。 2025.12. 11 本文字数:769,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 杜川 12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京举行。会议分析当前经济形势,部署2026年经济工 作。 第 一 财 经 持 续 追 踪 财 经 热 点 。 若 您 掌 握 公 司 动 态 、 行 业 趋 势 、 金 融 事 件 等 有 价 值 的 线 索 , 欢 迎 提 供 。 专 用 邮 箱 : bianjibu@yicai.com (注:我们会对线索进行核实。您的隐私将严格保密。) 推荐阅读 史上最大的IPO要来了? 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为,着眼于做好"五篇大文章",引导金融资源更多支持科技创新、 制造业转型升级、绿色发展、小微企业,以及促消费稳外贸等国民经济重点领域和薄弱环节,2026 年央行将优化用好各类结构性货币政策工具,总体上是"加量降价",即结构性货币政策工具额度总 体上会增加,操作利率则会 ...
中央经济工作会议最新信号 结构性货币政策工具“加量降价”可期
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 12:49
12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京举行。会议分析当前经济形势,部署2026年经济工作。 招联首席研究员董希淼也表示,接下来央行将针对结构性矛盾,坚持聚焦重点、有进有退的原则,科学 使用、适时创设结构性货币政策工具,逐步淡化对数量目标的关注,更加注重引导金融资源更多地配置 到科技创新、提振消费、绿色低碳等重点领域和薄弱环节,做好金融"五篇大文章",增强政策的精准性 和有效性。 其中关于2026年货币政策延续适度宽松的基调,显示出宏观政策保持很强的连续性、稳定性。除了总量 政策提出运用降准降息外,会议还要求畅通货币政策传导机制,引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技 创新、中小微企业等重点领域。 (文章来源:第一财经) 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为,着眼于做好"五篇大文章",引导金融资源更多支持科技创新、制造 业转型升级、绿色发展、小微企业,以及促消费稳外贸等国民经济重点领域和薄弱环节,2026年央行将 优化用好各类结构性货币政策工具,总体上是"加量降价",即结构性货币政策工具额度总体上会增加, 操作利率则会跟进降息适度下调。结构性货币政策工具发力,除了推动新旧增长动能转换、助力高质量 发展外,也会起到以 ...
聚焦中央经济工作会议|对降准降息等政策工具首提“灵活高效”,有何考量?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 12:24
(大众新闻·风口财经记者 刘晓) 编辑:刘晓 "从货币政策看,为继续保持适度宽松的基调,并配合财政政策发力,预计2026年货币政策将有进一步 加大实施力度的空间和可能。"招联首席研究员董希淼对风口财经记者表示。 会议强调,"灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具"。董希淼指出,对降准降息等工具运用的要求 是"灵活高效",是新的提法。"灵活",表明将根据内外部环境变化和经济发展需要,适时运用货币政策 工具,该出手时就出手;"高效",表明运用降准降息等工具时,要更多考虑政策有效性和针对性,既要 加大力度支持经济增长,也要加强防范重点领域风险。 董希淼预计,2026年存款利率和政策利率将进一步下降,贷款市场报价利率(LPR)有望稳中有降,并 更加注重发挥结构性货币政策工具作用,引导金融资源更多流向科技创新、绿色发展、提振消费。未来 一段时间,货币政策将更加注重把握和处理好短期与长期、稳增长与防风险、内部与外部三方面的关 系。 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议提出,"要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策。把促进 经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量,灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具,保持 流动性 ...
中央经济工作会议最新信号,结构性货币政策工具“加量降价”可期
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 12:11
招联首席研究员董希淼也表示,接下来央行将针对结构性矛盾,坚持聚焦重点、有进有退的原则,科学 使用、适时创设结构性货币政策工具,逐步淡化对数量目标的关注,更加注重引导金融资源更多地配置 到科技创新、提振消费、绿色低碳等重点领域和薄弱环节,做好金融"五篇大文章",增强政策的精准性 和有效性。 结构性货币政策工具额度总体上会增加,操作利率则会跟进降息适度下调。 12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京举行。会议分析当前经济形势,部署2026年经济工作。 其中关于2026年货币政策延续适度宽松的基调,显示出宏观政策保持很强的连续性、稳定性。除了总量 政策提出运用降准降息外,会议还要求畅通货币政策传导机制,引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技 创新、中小微企业等重点领域。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为,着眼于做好"五篇大文章",引导金融资源更多支持科技创新、制造 业转型升级、绿色发展、小微企业,以及促消费稳外贸等国民经济重点领域和薄弱环节,2026年央行将 优化用好各类结构性货币政策工具,总体上是"加量降价",即结构性货币政策工具额度总体上会增加, 操作利率则会跟进降息适度下调。结构性货币政策工具发力,除了推动新旧 ...
招联首席研究员董希淼:预计2026年存款利率和政策利率将进一步下降
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 11:50
(文章来源:第一财经) 招联首席研究员董希淼认为,从货币政策看,为继续保持适度宽松的基调,并配合财政政策发力,预计 2026年存款利率和政策利率将进一步下降,可能实施降准降息一至两次,并且更加注重发挥结构性货币 政策工具作用,引导金融资源更多流向科技创新、绿色发展、提振消费。但货币政策不会"大水漫灌", 将注重把握和处理好短期与长期、稳增长与防风险、内部与外部三方面的关系。 12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京举行。此次会议部署2026年经济工作,在部署明年货币政策 时,会议称,要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,并提出"灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具"。具体 而言,会议提出,要把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量。灵活高效运用降准 降息等多种政策工具,保持流动性充裕,畅通货币政策传导机制,引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科 技创新、中小微企业等重点领域。 ...
甘肃年均社会融资规模增量超2400亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 00:13
Group 1 - The core achievement of Gansu's financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is the steady growth of social financing, with an average annual increase of over 240 billion yuan, totaling more than 1.2 trillion yuan, significantly supporting the development of the real economy [1] - By the end of Q3 this year, the balance of deposits and loans in Gansu exceeded 3 trillion yuan, representing a growth of 47% and 36% respectively compared to the end of 2020 [1] - Gansu's bond market financing has expanded, with over 150 billion yuan issued in the interbank market during the "14th Five-Year Plan," marking a 3% increase from the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [1] Group 2 - Financing costs have steadily decreased, with the average interest rates for new corporate loans and personal housing loans in September being 3.04% and 3.26%, down by 2.2 and 1.99 percentage points from December 2020 [2] - The reduction in interest expenses has benefited over 900,000 households, saving approximately 2.9 billion yuan annually [2] - A total of 109.5 million small and micro enterprises and individual businesses in Gansu have received a cumulative reduction of 2.97 billion yuan in payment fees during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 3 - The credit structure has been continuously adjusted, with a total of 375 billion yuan allocated for agricultural and small business loans, which is 145 billion yuan more than during the "13th Five-Year Plan" [3] - Loans to small and micro enterprises have grown at an average annual rate of 11.8%, surpassing the growth rate of large enterprises by 6.8 percentage points [3] - Gansu has implemented over 40 measures to facilitate cross-border trade financing, with 87 compliant enterprises benefiting from expedited foreign exchange settlement processes totaling 6.04 billion USD [3]
甘肃跨境结算迈入“分钟时代” 诚信企业享高效服务
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-09 13:59
Core Insights - Gansu Province has become the first in Western China to implement a facilitation policy for foreign exchange receipts and payments for quality enterprises, allowing 87 compliant companies to enjoy efficient cross-border trade settlement services with a cumulative amount of $60.4 billion [1][2] Group 1: Policy Implementation and Benefits - The People's Bank of China Gansu Branch has introduced over 40 measures to facilitate cross-border trade financing since the 14th Five-Year Plan, creating a business environment where "the more honest, the more convenient" [2] - The new policy significantly reduces the time required for cross-border trade payment processing from several days to just minutes for eligible enterprises, requiring only a single payment instruction instead of multiple documents [2] - Online processing has been enhanced, with 65 foreign exchange administrative licensing items now available online, leading to a 72% online business ratio and a 61% same-day completion rate [2] Group 2: Financial Growth and Support - Gansu's social financing scale has seen an average annual increase of over 240 billion yuan, with total new financing exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan since the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - The loan scale has surpassed 3 trillion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 6.4%, outpacing the growth of regional GDP [3] - Structural monetary policy tools have been effectively utilized, with 375 billion yuan allocated for agricultural and small business loans, marking an increase of 145 billion yuan compared to the previous five-year period [3] Group 3: Cost Reduction and Risk Management - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in Gansu was 3.04% in September, a decrease of 2.2 percentage points from December 2020, representing a historical low [3] - Financial risk management mechanisms have been established to ensure early identification, warning, and resolution of risks, alongside accelerated reforms in small and medium-sized banks [3] Group 4: Infrastructure and Accessibility Improvements - Gansu has developed a "2+1" payment facilitation service system at key aviation ports to ease payment processes for foreign visitors [4] - 96% of bank branches in the province are equipped with barrier-free facilities, and all mobile banking apps and ATMs have undergone accessibility upgrades [4]
2026年货币政策定调
第一财经· 2025-12-08 15:28
2025.12. 08 本文字数:1284,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 杜川 2026年的货币政策基调已经明确。 中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议,分析研究2026年经济工作。会议指出,明年经济工作要坚持稳 中求进、提质增效,继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,发挥存量政策和增量政策 集成效应,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,切实提升宏观经济治理效能。 货币政策延续了过去一段时间的提法,即"适度宽松"、"加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度"。与7月召开 的政治局会议相比,表述出现微调:删去"保持流动性充裕"、"促进社会综合融资成本下行",并新 增了加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度的表述。 实际上,不久前,央行发布的2025年第三季度中国货币政策执行报告中就提到,下阶段,做好逆周 期和跨周期调节,提升宏观经济治理效能,持续稳增长、稳就业、稳预期。 近一段时间,货币政策不断发力,央行先后下调7天期逆回购、LPR(贷款市场报价利率)、SLF (常备借贷便利)、MLF(中期借贷便利)利率,创设临时隔夜正逆回购,MLF的政策利率色彩淡 化,7天期逆回购操作利率将发挥基准政策利率功能,新的调控框架已基本成型。 从2 ...
适度宽松的货币政策持续发力显效
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-12-08 02:10
在重庆友强高分子材料股份有限公司(以下简称"友强高分子")的生产车间里,聚碳酸酯原料正沿着传 送带匀速下行,机器运转的轰鸣声交织成一片。"这笔钱到账第二天,我们就结清了原料货款,现在生 产线全力运转,订单量涨了10%,今年产值冲1.3亿元稳了。"该公司负责人指着堆积如山的原料库介 绍。而就在几个月前,这家专注于新能源汽车改性材料的高新技术企业,被抵押物耗尽、融资无门的难 题困住了手脚。 随着新能源汽车市场的爆发式增长,友强高分子把大部分资金投入新材料研发,急需资金扩产却遭 遇"成长烦恼"——厂房、设备早已抵押,在传统贷款模式下屡屡碰壁。"能押的都押了,就像跑步时被 绑住了腿。"该公司负责人的回忆道出了不少科技型企业的共性困境。转机来自中国人民银行重庆市分 行的"百亿元级"货币政策支持计划,重庆三峡银行江津支行通过"长江渝融通"大数据系统捕捉到企业需 求,依托全国中小微企业资金流信用信息共享平台调取营收、订单、纳税等数据,用大数据模型给企 业"信用画像",在再贷款政策的激励下,最终以2.8%的优惠利率为该公司发放了250万元信用贷款,不 仅利率比一年期贷款市场报价利率(LPR)低20个基点,审批时间也从20天压 ...
东方金诚债市早报-20251205
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-12-05 08:21
Core Insights - The report highlights a continuation of a loose monetary policy in China, with the People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducting a 3-month reverse repurchase agreement to maintain liquidity in the banking system [4][5] - The bond market is experiencing a downward trend, with yields on major government bonds rising across the board, indicating market panic and selling pressure [12][13] - Several companies, including Vanke and Country Garden, are facing significant challenges, with Vanke's bonds experiencing steep declines and Country Garden's restructuring plans being approved [15][16] Domestic News - The PBOC announced a fixed amount of 1 trillion yuan for a 3-month reverse repurchase operation to ensure ample liquidity in the banking system, effectively rolling over the same amount that is maturing [4] - PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng emphasized the need to enhance the role of policy interest rates and improve the transmission mechanism of interest rates in the economy [5][6] - Foreign institutions, including OECD and Goldman Sachs, have raised their GDP growth forecasts for China, with projections for 2025 increased from 4.9% to 5.0% [6] International News - In the U.S., planned layoffs in November decreased significantly, but the total number of layoffs for the year remains at a high level, indicating a cautious labor market [7] - The global economic environment is characterized by uncertainty, affecting hiring intentions among employers [7] Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market has seen a significant sell-off, with the yield on the 10-year government bond rising to 1.8500%, reflecting market fears [13] - The report notes that several bonds from Vanke have seen drastic price declines, with some bonds dropping over 82% [15][16] Credit Bond Events - Country Garden's bond restructuring proposal was approved, allowing for a debt reduction of approximately $1.17 billion [16] - Other companies, such as Peng Bo Shi, have reported difficulties in meeting debt obligations, with outstanding bonds totaling around $218.54 million [16] Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market is also experiencing a downturn, with major indices declining and a significant number of individual bonds falling in value [16][17] - The report mentions specific convertible bonds that have seen notable price movements, with some increasing by over 9% while others have decreased significantly [18][19]