Core Viewpoint - Major institutional investors are continuously increasing their holdings in A500 ETF and other broad-based products, bringing stable incremental capital to the market [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The significant net subscription of A500 ETF may be influenced by quarter-end capital inflow, but this factor has a relatively limited impact on the overall funding situation [1] - Following the substantial subscription of A500, financing funds have shown an accelerated net inflow trend [1] - As market learning effects and profit-making effects accumulate, capital may preemptively position for the "spring rally" trend, with incremental funds expected to continue net inflow [1] Group 2: Currency and Foreign Investment - The continuous appreciation of the offshore RMB is likely to facilitate the gradual return of foreign capital to the Chinese market, further improving the funding situation [1] Group 3: Investment Focus - A "cross-year + spring" market trend is anticipated to continue, with a focus on blue-chip indices represented by CSI 300 and SSE 50 [1] - Key sectors to watch include cyclical price-increasing products, with recent price increases concentrated in non-ferrous metals, crude oil, chemicals, new energy supply chains, memory storage, and certain agricultural products [1] - Notable areas of interest include industrial metals, non-bank financials, and hotel aviation [1] - Recommended investment tracks include computing power, commercial aerospace, and controllable nuclear fusion [1]

Core Viewpoint - Overall optimism remains among brokerage strategy analysts, with expectations for a "spring rally" as domestic policies and market conditions align favorably [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market is experiencing a "small rally" as it approaches year-end, with the Shanghai Composite Index recording eight consecutive days of gains [1] - Market liquidity is increasing, with total trading volume in the A-share market exceeding 2 trillion yuan on Friday [1][3] - Analysts suggest that the current market structure may continue, with trading volume being a key indicator of market trends [3] Group 2: Currency Impact - The recent appreciation of the RMB is drawing market attention, with four key implications for industry allocation: 1. Lower import costs benefiting industries reliant on imported raw materials [2] 2. Decreased foreign currency debt costs benefiting industries with significant USD liabilities [2] 3. Enhanced domestic purchasing power benefiting demand-driven and cross-border consumption industries [2] 4. Attraction of foreign capital back to Chinese assets due to RMB appreciation, potentially reinforcing market styles focused on economic trends [2][3] Group 3: Sector Focus - Analysts highlight several sectors for potential investment, including: - High-demand sectors such as military, textiles, and chemicals, which may show signs of recovery [3] - Industries benefiting from policy support, such as domestic substitution, robotics, and commercial aerospace [4] - Growth sectors like advanced manufacturing and technology, which are expected to benefit from economic recovery and policy clarity [5]

当下，可控核聚变正迎来前所未有的政策支持。从《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五 个五年规划的建议》，到国家能源局发布的《加快建设新型能源体系》，再到科技部将其纳入"十五 五"国家科技重大专项并规划超500亿元投资……一系列顶层设计明确将可控核聚变列为需前瞻布局的未 来能源技术，并将其视为新的经济增长点。 近日，北京中岩大地科技股份有限公司（下称"中岩大地"）与四川束研聚创科技有限公司（下 称"束研聚创"）正式签署战略合作协议，通过"投资+合资"的双重模式切入可控核聚变领域。 据悉，中岩大地在岩土工程领域已积累了深厚的技术底蕴和行业口碑。在电力短缺及国家能源自主 安全战略日益重要的大背景下，中岩大地自2023年起便主动将业务视野拓展至能源领域，并于同年正式 确立了"核心技术+核心材料"双轮驱动战略。围绕这一战略方向，公司已逐步聚焦于核电、水利水电等 国家战略关键领域，并在多个标志性项目中验证了该战略的可行性与成效。 战略方向选对了，合作伙伴的选择同样至关重要。中岩大地选择的束研聚创，其核心团队来自核工 业西南物理研究院、中科院等国家级科研机构，在可控核聚变的核心技术研发、关键部件设计及工艺创 新方面积累 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：华金证券 行业配置：明年1 月建议继续均衡配置科技成长、部分周期和消费等行业。（1）当前成长中的电力设 备、传媒等PEG 较低。（2）明年1 月建议继续均衡配置：一是政策和产业趋势向上的机械设备（机器 人）、军工（商业航天）、电新（核聚变、储能）、电子（半导体、AI 硬件）、通信（AI 硬件）、计 算机（AI 应用、卫星互联网）、传媒（AI 应用、游戏）、医药（创新药）等行业；二是可能补涨和基 本面可能边际改善的券商、消费（食品、商贸零售、社服）等行业。 风险提示：历史经验未来不一定适用，政策超预期变化，经济修复不及预期。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编辑：郭栩彤 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：华金证券 复盘历史，春季行情提前启动时A 股1 月表现偏强，主要受政策和外部事件、流动性等因素影响。 （1）春季行情提前启动时A 股1 月表现多偏强。（2）影响1月A 股走势的主要因素是政策和外部事 件、流动性等。一是政策和外部事件是影 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the technology growth and certain cyclical industries in January, indicating a potential for strong performance in these sectors [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the spring market rally is likely to continue into January, driven by favorable policies, external events, and liquidity factors. Historical data shows that when the spring rally starts early, the A-share market tends to perform strongly in January [5][8]. - It emphasizes that the main drivers for January's performance will be proactive policies and external events, with liquidity playing a crucial role. The report notes that a loose liquidity environment can lead to market gains, while tightening can have the opposite effect [5][10]. - The report anticipates that January will see a continuation of weak economic recovery trends, with potential improvements in corporate earnings driven by rising prices in certain cyclical sectors and ongoing demand in technology [17][23]. Summary by Sections Section 1: January Spring Market Continuation - Historical analysis indicates that the A-share market has shown strong performance in January during years when the spring rally starts early, with 6 out of 8 instances since 2010 showing gains [5][7]. - Key factors influencing January's performance include proactive policies, external events, and liquidity conditions, with a focus on the impact of monetary policy and external risks [5][6]. Section 2: Industry Allocation for January - The report suggests that technology growth and certain cyclical industries are likely to outperform in January, supported by upward industry trends and thematic catalysts such as AI and commercial aerospace [8][23]. - Current sectors with low PEG ratios include electric power equipment and media, indicating potential for growth [23]. - A balanced allocation strategy is recommended, focusing on technology growth, cyclical sectors, and consumer industries, with specific mentions of robotics, military, new energy, electronics, and pharmaceuticals [23][24].

Core Insights - The report indicates that significant institutional investors are continuously increasing their holdings in A500 ETF and other broad-based products, providing stable incremental capital to the market. This trend is expected to lead to a "cross-year + spring" market rally as the market's profitability improves and financing capital accelerates its net inflow [1][4][22] - The report emphasizes that the main focus of the market is likely to be on blue-chip indices represented by CSI 300 and SSE 50, while cyclical sectors should be prioritized for investment [1][5][22] Group 1: Recent Capital Flow and ETF Trends - Since the beginning of 2025, the capital flow in stock ETFs has shown distinct phase characteristics and structural differentiation, with significant net subscriptions in A500 ETF since December, reflecting institutional investors' entry into the capital market [6][9][12] - The A500 ETF has seen a substantial net subscription of 810 billion yuan in December, indicating a strong interest from institutional investors, particularly in the context of the upcoming launch of A500 ETF options in 2026 [12][13][17] Group 2: Price Trends in Key Commodities - Recent price increases have been concentrated in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, crude oil, chemicals, and the new energy industry chain, with notable price rises in platinum (+32.92%), silver (+14.38%), and nickel (+9.25%) driven by global liquidity easing and geopolitical tensions [23][24] - The report highlights that the holding volumes of various commodities are at historically high levels, indicating potential supply constraints and speculative exposure in metals like aluminum, lead, and tin [26][27] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - The report notes that the overall A-share market has shown a positive trend, with major indices breaking through key moving averages, supported by a favorable monetary policy environment and improved market liquidity [30][31] - The report also points out that sectors such as non-ferrous metals and defense have performed well due to improved economic expectations and specific market events, while consumer sectors have faced challenges [31][32]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the superconducting magnet segment in the controllable nuclear fusion industry, highlighting it as the segment with the highest value contribution [2][10]. Core Insights - Superconducting magnets are critical components of the Tokamak device, essential for confining plasma at temperatures exceeding one hundred million degrees Celsius [6][15]. - The report emphasizes that controllable nuclear fusion is entering a capital expenditure expansion phase from 2025 to 2028, with significant market opportunities arising for high-temperature superconducting materials [9][10]. - The market for second-generation high-temperature superconducting materials is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 59.3% from 2024 to 2030, reaching a market size of 4.9 billion yuan per year by 2030 [9][10]. Summary by Sections Superconducting Magnets: The Highest Value Segment in Controllable Nuclear Fusion - Superconducting magnets are the core components of Tokamak devices, crucial for maintaining high-temperature plasma confinement [6][15]. - The value contribution of low-temperature and high-temperature superconducting magnets is approximately 30% and 40%, respectively [6][28]. - Low-temperature superconducting technology is relatively mature, while high-temperature superconducting materials offer superior performance and are expected to be used in future Tokamak reactors [6][51]. Low-Temperature Superconducting Materials: Mature Technology and Complete Supply Chain - The low-temperature superconducting route has reached a relatively mature stage, with stable mass production capabilities [6][44]. - The supply chain is well-established, with core processing in the midstream and broad application potential downstream [6][44]. High-Temperature Superconducting Materials: Significant Opportunities from Nuclear Fusion - High-temperature superconducting materials can significantly reduce device size and are expected to become the core development direction for next-generation nuclear fusion devices [6][45]. - The midstream manufacturing of high-temperature superconducting materials is a critical segment, with controllable nuclear fusion being the largest application area [6][45]. Key Companies in the Industry - Shanghai Superconductor is a leading company in high-temperature superconducting materials, expected to play a central role in the commercialization of controllable nuclear fusion [10][10]. - Yongding Co., Ltd. is the controlling shareholder of East Superconductor, which has established close cooperation with multiple fusion reactors [10][10]. - Lianchuang Optoelectronics is positioned in the high-temperature superconducting magnet segment, maintaining stable traditional operations while exploring future growth in nuclear fusion and laser technologies [10][10]. - Xibu Superconductor is recognized as a domestic leader in low-temperature superconductors [10][10]. - Jingda Co., Ltd. is the largest shareholder of Shanghai Superconductor, strategically entering the high-temperature superconducting market [10][10].

Core Viewpoint - The spring market rally is likely to continue in January, with A-shares expected to show a strong upward trend, driven by technology growth and certain cyclical industries [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends and Influences - Historical data indicates that when the spring market rally starts early, A-shares tend to perform strongly in January, influenced by policies, external events, and liquidity [2]. - Key factors affecting A-share performance in January include positive policies and external events, which can lead to an increase in the Shanghai Composite Index, as seen in past instances like the easing of US-China trade tensions in 2019 and the optimization of pandemic policies in 2023 [2]. - Liquidity plays a crucial role in January's A-share performance; a loose liquidity environment may lead to an increase in A-shares, while tight liquidity could result in weaker performance [2]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Outlook - Positive policy expectations are anticipated to rise in January, with potential announcements of provincial "14th Five-Year" plans and consumer stimulus measures [3]. - Global central banks are expected to continue easing, and the relationship between China and the US is likely to remain stable, with limited external risks [3]. - Economic recovery is expected to continue, albeit weakly, with corporate profit growth likely to improve, particularly in technology and cyclical sectors [3]. Group 3: Sector Performance Expectations - Technology growth and certain cyclical industries are expected to outperform in January, driven by upward trends in the technology sector, particularly in artificial intelligence, and demand for non-ferrous metals and chemicals [4]. - Historical analysis shows that when the spring market rally begins early, technology growth sectors tend to perform relatively better in January [4]. - The upcoming themes in January, such as commercial aerospace and controllable nuclear fusion, are expected to catalyze market interest [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - A balanced allocation strategy is recommended for January, focusing on technology growth, cyclical sectors, and consumer industries [5]. - Specific sectors suggested for investment include machinery (robots), military (commercial aerospace), new energy (nuclear fusion, energy storage), electronics (semiconductors, AI hardware), and media (AI applications, gaming) [5]. - There is potential for recovery in brokerage firms and consumer sectors (food, retail, and social services) that may see marginal improvements in fundamentals [5].

"核电作为清洁低碳、稳定可靠的基荷电源，在能源转型与'双碳'目标推进过程中扮演着重要角色。"中 岩大地方面表示，公司在核电领域已积累丰富的行业经验与稳定的客户资源，在企业管理、商务拓展等 方面具备优势。此次战略布局，既是公司依托自身核心能力对可控核聚变产业发展趋势的长期洞察与协 同价值判断，也是为股东创造长期价值的坚定实践。 中证报中证网讯（记者 刘杨）记者12月26日了解到，中岩大地近日与四川束研聚创科技有限公司（以 下简称"束研聚创"）签署战略合作协议。公司计划通过"投资+合资"双重模式战略布局可控核聚变领 域，携手开拓可控核聚变产业新蓝海。 在国家能源转型的大背景下，中岩大地主业聚焦核电、水利水电等领域。公司始终秉持战略前瞻性，积 极探索第二成长曲线，并基于自身核心能力、产业趋势及资源优势，将可控核聚变列为能源领域的重点 战略布局方向之一。 中岩大地表示，未来将与束研聚创携手，积极发挥产业协同优势，以技术创新为核心驱动力，以产业落 地为核心目标，共同助力我国可控核聚变产业实现创新突破。 ...

Group 1 - UBS Wealth Management predicts that the Chinese stock market will continue to have upward potential through 2026, driven by advanced manufacturing and technology as new growth engines [1] - The technology sector, which accounts for about half of the MSCI China Index, is becoming increasingly resilient to external shocks and U.S. economic cycles [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index is expected to see a 37% growth in earnings per share by 2026, with approximately 7 trillion RMB in excess household savings likely to flow into the stock market [1] Group 2 - Barclays anticipates that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in July and December of 2026, influenced by the spring wage negotiation cycle [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of wage negotiations as a key factor in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy and its response to the risk of yen depreciation [2] Group 3 - OANDA reports that multiple factors are driving a historic surge in precious metals, with gold potentially reaching $5,000 per ounce and silver $90 per ounce in the coming year [3] - The report attributes the rise to speculative trading, low liquidity at year-end, expectations of long-term Fed rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and increased geopolitical risks [3] - Platinum and palladium prices have surged due to supply constraints and strong industrial demand, with platinum up approximately 165% and palladium over 90% year-to-date [3] Group 4 - CICC suggests focusing on asset trend changes rather than specific gold price predictions, as current gold prices are above short-term valuation models, indicating potential bubbles [4] - The report anticipates that the gold bull market may not end soon, but volatility is expected to increase as prices deviate from fundamental indicators [4] - CICC maintains an optimistic outlook on Chinese assets, emphasizing the benefits of the AI technology wave and ample liquidity, while suggesting a focus on technology growth in the short term [5][6] Group 5 - CITIC Securities highlights the importance of maintaining macro liquidity stability through tools like reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [6] - The report predicts a 5%-10% increase in the overall A-share market in 2026, with Hong Kong stocks expected to experience a rebound in performance [6] - The outlook for commodities includes expectations for gold to challenge $5,000 per ounce and copper prices to rise to $12,000 per ton due to supply constraints and demand drivers [6] Group 6 - CITIC Securities notes a trend of diminishing focus on quantitative targets by the People's Bank of China, with an emphasis on long-term structural reforms [7] - The report indicates that the central bank's policy may shift towards addressing supply-side issues and reducing financing costs [7] Group 7 - Huatai Securities states that the current appreciation of the RMB is likely to enhance foreign interest in RMB-denominated assets, creating a positive feedback loop for capital inflows [8] - The report suggests that the strengthening of the RMB will continue to support the valuation of both onshore and offshore RMB assets [8] Group 8 - CITIC Jin Investment reports that rising storage costs have begun to impact consumer electronics prices, with several manufacturers increasing product prices by 100-200 RMB [9] - The report indicates that the cost pressures from rising storage prices are likely to lead to a temporary decline in consumer electronics sales [9] Group 9 - Galaxy Securities notes that leading liquor companies are adjusting their strategies for 2026, focusing on maintaining price stability and channel profitability amid cyclical pressures [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of developing new consumer segments and adapting to new consumption trends as part of long-term transformation efforts [10]