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每日市场观-20251211
Caida Securities· 2025-12-11 05:09
Market Overview - On December 10, the market showed a rebound after hitting a low, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.23%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.29%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.02%[3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was less than 1.78 trillion yuan, showing a week-on-week decrease[1] Sector Performance - The leading sectors included precious metals, real estate services, education, commercial retail, real estate development, aviation, and automotive, while sectors like power equipment, banking, photovoltaic equipment, consumer electronics, and wind power equipment saw declines[1] - A total of 2,379 stocks rose, while 2,685 stocks fell, indicating a market with more decliners than gainers[1] Monetary Policy and Market Sentiment - Year-end capital competition is suppressing risk appetite, leading to tighter liquidity in both bond and stock markets[1] - Uncertainty in overseas monetary policy is causing market disturbances, with a cautious trading sentiment prevailing in the A-share market[1] Bond Market Insights - Positive signals emerged in the bond market starting Tuesday, with prices rebounding and yields slightly declining[1] - A potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could boost the domestic bond market, positively impacting stock market liquidity[1] Fund Flows - On December 10, net inflows were recorded at 2.308 billion yuan for the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 4.226 billion yuan for the Shenzhen Stock Exchange[4] - The top three sectors for net inflows were communication equipment, real estate development, and automotive parts, while the top three sectors for outflows were components, photovoltaic equipment, and consumer electronics[4] Economic Indicators - In November, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year but fell by 0.1% month-on-month, with food prices increasing by 0.2% and non-food prices rising by 0.8%[5] - The average CPI for January to November remained flat compared to the same period last year[5] Government Bond Issuance - The Ministry of Finance successfully issued 7 billion yuan of government bonds in Hong Kong on December 10, with a subscription rate of 5.22 times[6][7] - The issuance included 20 billion yuan for 2-year bonds at an interest rate of 1.43%, 30 billion yuan for 3-year bonds at 1.45%, and 20 billion yuan for 5-year bonds at 1.65%[7] Industry Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission proposed to appropriately relax capital space and leverage constraints for quality institutions, potentially reviving the brokerage sector[2] - The 6G network research is progressing, with active sectors including aerospace, communication equipment, and new materials, which investors should monitor[2] Long-term Investment Trends - There has been an acceleration of medium to long-term funds entering the A-share market, enhancing market resilience and promoting value investment transformation[13] - Foreign institutional interest in Chinese assets remains strong, with over 9,000 A-share company investigations conducted this year, leading to a cumulative increase of over 340 billion yuan in northbound capital holdings by the end of Q3[14]
期货市场赋能实体经济,助力打造“中国价格”新锚点
在全球经济格局深度调整、国内产业结构加速转型的背景下,我国期货市场正以品种创新为引擎、以制 度完善为支撑,不仅为实体企业筑起抵御价格波动的"安全网",也为"中国价格"的国际影响力提升与中 国资产的价值重估注入核心动能。 近日,在广州举办的南方财经论坛2025年会上,中国金融期货交易所(下称"中金所")党委委员、副总 经理蔡向辉表示,近年来,中金所以"期货入市服务现货入市"为目标,加力推动中长期资金入市,金融 期货市场展现出新气象,市场承载力、机构化程度与机构参与积极性均有显著提升。 广州期货交易所(下称"广期所")党委委员、副总经理李慕春详细介绍了广期所发展历程、产品体系建 设以及服务实体经济和绿色低碳发展的最新成果成效。 中金所以金融期货引导长期资金入市,广期所通过绿色期货护航产业转型,二者的发展路径共同诠释了 期货市场如何通过与实体经济的双向赋能,为高质量发展提供坚实金融支撑。 服务资本市场和实体经济良性循环 资本市场与实体经济的良性循环,离不开长期稳定资金的赋能。2025年1月,六部门联合印发《关于推 动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》,明确了资金入市的"任务单""时间表"和"路线图",为期货市场服 务实 ...
星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言:从风控创新到“长钱”入市,金融体系加快适配新质生产力发展
中经记者 郝亚娟 夏欣 上海 北京报道 星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言 2025年12月9日,由《中国经营报》主办的"新跨越 新征程——2025中国企业竞争力金融论坛"在北京举 行。 在"金融赋能实体经济与新质生产力发展"圆桌对话中,星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言指出,以科技创新 为核心的企业成长,往往具有研发投入大、回报周期长、路径不确定性较高等特征,客观上要求具备耐 心和长期视角的资本支持。中长期资金的进入,有助于在资金供给端更好地匹配这类企业的融资需求, 为其跨越从研发到产业化的周期提供坚实支撑。 "信用+数据"破解风控瓶颈 最后,中长期资金作用的充分发挥也有赖于资本市场生态体系的持续完善。这不仅要求相关制度安排不 断优化,也需要上市公司进一步提升公司治理水平,通过稳定分红、规范运作和持续价值创造等方式增 强自身吸引力,使中长期资金"愿意进来、留得住、能受益",形成良性循环。 一系列政策引导和助力中长期资金入市。近日,国家金融监督管理总局发布《关于调整保险公司相关业 务风险因子的通知》,对保险公司长期持有特定股票的风险因子进行差异化下调。 薛洪言分析,中长期资金入市,一方面体现了鲜明的政策引导和制度推动;另一方 ...
A500ETF基金(512050)近20日吸金超35亿元!政策引导“耐心资本入市”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-10 06:30
Group 1 - The A-shares market is experiencing adjustments, with the A500 ETF fund (512050) narrowing its intraday decline to 0.34% as of 14:08, and the fund has seen a trading volume exceeding 6.1 billion units [1] - The A500 ETF fund has attracted over 3.5 billion yuan in the past 20 days, indicating significant capital inflow into core assets as the year-end approaches [1] - A new notification regarding the adjustment of risk factors for insurance companies has been released, which is expected to increase the space for insurance capital to enter the market [1] Group 2 - The A500 ETF fund tracks the CSI A500 Index and is considered an efficient investment choice for capturing valuation enhancement opportunities in the A-share market [2] - The index employs a dual strategy of "industry balanced allocation + leading selection," covering industry leaders while balancing value and growth [2] - The fund has three core highlights: low fees (comprehensive fee rate of 0.2%), ample liquidity (average daily trading volume exceeding 6 billion yuan in the past week), and a leading scale (over 20 billion yuan) [2]
26家银行派息落地,险资有望加码红利板块,国企红利ETF(159515)调整蓄势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 02:42
中国银河证券表示,上市银行中期分红力度不减且节奏提前,红利价值日益凸显。与此同时,股东及高 管的增持行为,有助于稳定市场预期。这两大因素共同作用,有望持续吸引中长期资金进行配置。 此外,12月6日,金监总局发布发布《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》,下调股票风险因 子,降低险资配置优质权益资产的资本占用。 招商证券观点认为,近期出台的政策集中在资本市场与消费政策两个领域,结合政策面及资金面来看, 今年1月发布的《推动中长期资金入市工作实施方案》,明确力争大型国有保险公司每年新增保费的 30%投向A股。从过往经验来看,12月末至明年一季度末是险资传统重要配置窗口期,前期调整的红利 板块有望重新获得关注。 国企红利ETF紧密跟踪中证国有企业红利指数,从国有企业中选取现金股息率高、分红比较稳定且有一 定规模及流动性的100只上市公司证券作为指数样本,反映国有企业中高股息率证券的整体表现。 据Wind数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,中证国有企业红利指数前十大权重股分别为中远海控、冀中 能源、潞安环能、山煤国际、南钢股份、鲁西化工、中粮糖业、山西焦煤、农业银行、恒源煤电,前十 大权重股合计占比16.99% ...
资本市场韧性增强预期改善
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-09 22:14
A股总市值首次突破100万亿元、上证指数创10年新高、上半年境外对境内证券投资净流入373亿美 元……今年以来,中国资本市场走出上扬曲线,投资者信心和预期明显改善,市场韧性和抗风险能力明 显增强,有力支持了经济社会高质量发展。 吸引力包容性持续提升 今年初,DeepSeek在全球人工智能领域脱颖而出,让世界对中国科技创新能力有了新认识,也带动了 中国资产价值重估。近一年来,瑞银、高盛、摩根士丹利等外资投行多次发布报告看多中国资产,投资 中国已逐渐成为全球投资者普遍共识。 市场吸引力的增强,离不开科技含量的提升。近年来,资本市场服务科技创新跑出"加速度",新上市企 业中九成以上都是科技企业或者科技含量比较高的企业。目前,A股科技板块市值占比超过四分之一, 已明显高于银行、非银金融、房地产行业市值合计占比。 "科技型企业占比提升,是近年来A股市场发生的深刻结构性变化,从多个维度增强了市场吸引力。"对 外经济贸易大学金融学教授江萍表示,在资产端提升了市场的资产质量;在估值端确立"科技叙事"逻 辑,提升了市场对科创企业的估值;在资金端吸引更多耐心资本,增强了市场内在稳定性。 去年9月份以来,证监会会同相关部门联合印发 ...
中长期资金加速入市 发挥市场“稳定器”与价值“引领者”作用
今年以来,在政策持续引导与市场环境优化的推动下,保险资金、养老金、公募基金等中长期资金加速 进入A股市场,正在成为增强市场韧性、推动价值投资转型的重要力量。 "当前中长期资金入市提速,是资本市场结构优化与高质量发展的重要信号。"中国上市公司学术顾问委 员会委员程凤朝在接受上证报记者采访时表示,这类资金总体持仓稳健、偏向价值投资,能在市场情绪 波动时发挥"顺周期缓冲器"作用,提高市场的整体抗风险能力。这一趋势不仅体现在资金规模的显著增 长上,更反映在投资理念、考核机制与市场结构的深层变革中。 中国证券投资基金业协会数据显示,截至2025年10月底,我国境内公募基金管理机构共165家,管理的 公募基金资产净值合计36.96万亿元,与9月底相比,单月规模增长2182.74亿元,已经连续7个月创下历 史新高。 与公募基金同步增配A股的,还有规模庞大的保险资金。金融监管总局数据显示,截至今年三季度末, 人身险公司和财产险公司投资于股票和证券投资基金的余额合计达5.59万亿元,较年初大幅增长 36.2%,在保险公司资金运用余额中的占比提升至14.92%,创下近年新高。 除国内长期资金外,外资机构也展现出对中国资产的浓厚兴 ...
视频 丨 星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言
0:00 星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言:A股市场的高波动性特征在一定程度上影响了资本市场的资源配置效 率。随着中长期资金稳步入市,市场资金结构有望实现动态均衡,从而促进波动水平逐步回归理性区 间。这一转变将有效提升资本市场服务实体经济的能力,通过更高效的资金配置引导金融活水精准灌 溉,为新质生产力的培育与壮大提供更为坚实的金融支持。 ...
非银板块震荡调整,关注证券保险ETF(512070)、证券ETF易方达(512570)等产品布局机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 10:31
Group 1 - The non-bank sector experienced a pullback after three consecutive days of gains, while the banking sector continued to fluctuate within a narrow range. The China Securities Bank Index fell by 0.1%, the China Securities Company Index dropped by 1.2%, the CSI 300 Non-Bank Financial Index decreased by 1.4%, and the Hong Kong Securities Index declined by 2.0% [1] - Ping An Securities noted that the National Financial Regulatory Administration issued a notice adjusting the risk factors for insurance companies' related business, which lowered the risk factors for long-term holding assets such as the CSI 300, dividend low volatility, and STAR Market. This adjustment is expected to cultivate patient capital and support technological innovation [1] - The implementation of this policy is anticipated to continuously promote the entry of medium to long-term funds into the market, enhancing the equity allocation capability of insurance funds [1] Group 2 - The CSI 300 Non-Bank Financial Index consists of 27 stocks from the CSI 300 Index that belong to the capital market, other financial sectors, and the insurance industry, with the securities industry accounting for nearly 65%, making it one of the indices with the highest proportion of the insurance industry in the market [4] - The Hong Kong Securities ETF tracks the China Securities Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme Index, which reflects the performance of stocks within the asset management, custody banks, investment banking, and brokerage industries in Hong Kong [5][6]
星图金融研究院薛洪言:中长期资金入市已成必然趋势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:48
"2025中国企业竞争力年会"于12月9日至10日在北京举行。星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言在演讲中指 出,在政策导向与居民财富配置规律的双重驱动下,中长期资金入市已成必然趋势,这不仅能为新质生 产力发展提供耐心资本,还将助力优化资本市场生态,实现资金、市场与产业的良性循环。 薛洪言表示,近年来政策端持续发力推动中长期资金入市,通过调整考核周期、设定量化要求等方式引 导资本向长期化、价值化方向倾斜。 专题:2025中国企业竞争力年会 "2025中国企业竞争力年会"于12月9日至10日在北京举行。星图金融研究院副院长薛洪言在演讲中指 出,在政策导向与居民财富配置规律的双重驱动下,中长期资金入市已成必然趋势,这不仅能为新质生 产力发展提供耐心资本,还将助力优化资本市场生态,实现资金、市场与产业的良性循环。 薛洪言表示,近年来政策端持续发力推动中长期资金入市,通过调整考核周期、设定量化要求等方式引 导资本向长期化、价值化方向倾斜。 与此同时,居民财富配置的内在规律也为这一趋势提供了坚实支撑,随着大量财富从地产领域流出,叠 加储蓄存款利率下降,居民对高收益资产的需求日益迫切,权益市场成为资金配置的重要方向,中长期 资金入 ...