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香港科技大学教授金刻羽:建议将消费纳入地方政府考核体系,扭转“重投资、轻消费”发展惯性
news flash· 2025-07-30 00:01
对于提振消费,香港科技大学教授、经济学家金刻羽建议,一是提高劳动收入份额,比如与生产率挂钩 的工资;二是将财政支持从企业转向家庭;三是投资于能创造中产阶层就业岗位的服务业,如医疗、教 育、物流等;四是改革税收和转移支付制度,以利于工薪家庭;五是加强社会保障托底。此外,金刻羽 还建议,可以考虑将消费和工资增速纳入地方政府考核体系,这是扭转"重生产、轻生活""重投资、轻 消费"发展惯性的关键制度创新。(智通财经) ...
“苏超”效应显现 江苏快餐营业额增势较好
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-29 23:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive growth in the fast food sector in Jiangsu province, attributed to the "Su Super" effect from local sports events, with overall retail sales showing a steady increase [1] - In the first half of the year, Jiangsu's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 2.39 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, with urban retail sales at 2.14 trillion yuan (up 4.8%) and rural retail sales at 252.06 billion yuan (up 6.8%) [1] - The fast food sector saw significant growth, with beverage and cold drink services increasing by 21.2% and fast food services by 6.2%, contributing to a 1.9 percentage point increase in the overall growth of the catering industry [1] Group 2 - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has effectively boosted retail sales, with related products (automobiles, home appliances, 3C digital products, and home goods) achieving retail sales of 384.7 billion yuan, a 9.4% year-on-year increase [2] - Physical retail stores have shown signs of recovery, with retail sales reaching 695.85 billion yuan, a 7.7% increase, while online retail sales grew by 7.9%, with physical goods online retail sales accounting for 21.9% of total retail sales [2] - The Jiangsu provincial statistics bureau emphasizes the need to continue promoting the "old-for-new" policy to enhance consumer capacity and foster new growth points in consumption [2]
郓城打出提振消费“组合拳”,上半年答卷亮眼
Qi Lu Wan Bao Wang· 2025-07-29 13:17
Core Insights - Yuncheng County achieved a retail sales total of 13.067 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 7.9%, ranking third in the city [1] Policy Support - A consumption promotion leadership group was established at the beginning of the year, comprising various departments, and a comprehensive implementation plan was introduced, focusing on major consumer goods like home appliances and automobiles [3] - The county facilitated the sale of 59,300 units through an old-for-new program, generating sales exceeding 197 million yuan and benefiting over 50,000 residents [3] Event-Driven Consumption - Yuncheng County organized 35 large-scale promotional events, generating over 200 million yuan in consumption, with cultural and tourism activities attracting over 800,000 participants and achieving a sales increase of 200% [5] - Nighttime economy initiatives led to a 30% increase in sales during night hours compared to daytime, establishing new landmarks for evening activities [5] E-commerce Empowerment - The county hosted 28 e-commerce promotional events, integrating online and offline consumption, resulting in a network retail sales figure of 990 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.3% [7] - Live-streaming sales significantly boosted agricultural product sales, with one farmer selling over 300 boxes of cherry tomatoes in a two-hour session [7] Innovative Service Delivery - A "promoting consumption into communities" initiative was launched, delivering various goods and services directly to residents, enhancing the integration of multiple consumption scenarios [9] - Plans for the second half of the year include new promotional activities around key holidays and increased support for small and micro enterprises, with 20 e-commerce training sessions planned [9]
“苏超”效应显现 上半年江苏快餐营业额增势较好
Group 1 - Jiangsu province achieved a total retail sales of consumer goods of 23,949.0 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0%, indicating overall market stability and joint development of urban and rural markets [1] - Urban retail sales reached 21,428.4 billion yuan, growing by 4.8%, while rural retail sales amounted to 2,520.6 billion yuan, increasing by 6.8% [1] - The "Su Chao" effect is beginning to show, with significant growth in fast food sales; in May and June, the combined growth rate of accommodation and catering industries in 18 counties (cities, districts) hosting the "Su Chao" matches accelerated by 1.2 and 1.6 percentage points compared to April [1] Group 2 - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has effectively boosted sales of green and smart products, with related goods (automobiles, home appliances, 3C digital products, home goods) achieving retail sales of 3,847.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [2] - Retail sales from physical stores in Jiangsu reached 6,958.5 billion yuan, growing by 7.7%, while online retail sales increased by 7.9%, with physical goods online retail sales growing by 6.1% [2] - The proportion of physical goods online retail sales in total retail sales of consumer goods reached 21.9%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points compared to the first quarter [2]
上半年财政收支数据出炉 重点领域的支出保障持续加强
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance reported that in the first half of the year, national general public budget revenue decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, while expenditure increased by 3.4%, indicating a focus on supporting key areas such as social security, science and technology, education, and health care. Revenue and Expenditure - National general public budget revenue reached 1.15566 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - National general public budget expenditure was 1.41271 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.4% year-on-year, with significant growth in social security and employment (9.2%), science and technology (9.1%), education (5.9%), and health care (4.3%) [1][6] Tax Revenue Trends - National tax revenue amounted to 929 billion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year, but showed a positive trend with three consecutive months of growth since April [2] - Major tax categories saw stable growth: domestic value-added tax (2.8%), domestic consumption tax (1.7%), and individual income tax (8%) [2] Export Support - Export tax rebates totaled 127 billion yuan, an increase of 13.22 billion yuan compared to the same period last year, supporting foreign trade exports [3] Sector Performance - The equipment manufacturing and modern service industries showed strong tax revenue performance, with specific sectors like railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment seeing tax revenue growth of 32.2%, 9.2%, and 6.3% respectively [3] - The scientific research and technical service industry experienced a tax revenue increase of 13.8%, while the cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors grew by 8.6% [4] Non-Tax Revenue - Non-tax revenue reached 227 billion yuan, growing by 3.7% year-on-year, although the growth rate declined compared to the first quarter [5] - Revenue from state-owned resource usage increased by 4.8%, driven by local governments optimizing asset utilization [5] Local Government Revenue - Local general public budget revenue grew by 1.6%, with 27 out of 31 provinces reporting increases [5] Fiscal Policy Outlook - The Ministry of Finance plans to continue implementing a more proactive fiscal policy, accelerating budget execution and improving fund utilization efficiency to promote economic recovery [8] - The government aims to support consumption through initiatives like trade-in programs and enhance the consumption environment in key cities [8] Special Bonds and Debt Issuance - The issuance of special bonds has accelerated, with a 45% year-on-year increase, and the scope of projects eligible for funding has expanded [9] - The Ministry of Finance plans to issue 46 general bonds and 11 super long-term special bonds in the third quarter, maintaining stability in the bond market [9]
齐心协力唱好下半年消费大戏
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-07-27 15:43
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, along with ten other departments, has released the "Implementation Plan for Promoting Agricultural Product Consumption," which aims to boost consumer spending in the second half of the year, following strong performance in the first half of 2023 [1] Group 1: Consumer Spending Trends - In the first half of 2023, the retail sales of consumer goods showed a steady increase, with the growth rate in the second quarter rising by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter, contributing 52% to economic growth [1] - The average contribution rate of final consumption to China's economic growth over the past four years has been 56.2% [1] Group 2: Policy Measures - The issuance of long-term special government bonds has significantly stimulated consumption, with 162 billion yuan allocated in January and April, leading to a 5% year-on-year increase in retail sales of consumer goods in the first half of the year, surpassing last year's growth by 1.5 percentage points [2] - A third batch of 69 billion yuan in special government bond funds has been allocated to support the replacement of old consumer goods, with an additional 69 billion yuan expected to be released in October [2] Group 3: Supply and Demand Optimization - The consumer market has shown a clear trend towards new products, with upgrades in smart vehicles, smart home appliances, and digital products, indicating a dual push from both supply and demand sides [3] - There is a need to further optimize the supply of consumer goods to align with current market demands, encouraging consumers to spend willingly [3] Group 4: Consumer Environment Improvement - The consumer environment encompasses various aspects such as supply, order, rights protection, and governance, all of which impact consumer confidence [4] - The "Special Action Plan for Boosting Consumption" and the "Three-Year Action Plan for Optimizing the Consumer Environment (2025-2027)" aim to enhance the consumer environment, with a focus on improving product recall systems and addressing unreasonable restrictions on consumer spending [4] - As of June 30, 2023, there have been 6,470 product recalls involving 108 million items, indicating ongoing efforts to improve consumer safety and confidence [4]
上半年税收收入逐步回升,非税收入增幅回落
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-27 13:44
Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure - In the first half of the year, the national general public budget revenue reached 11.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - National general public budget expenditure was 14.13 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [1] - Overall, fiscal operations have remained stable, characterized by a gradual recovery in tax revenue, a decline in non-tax revenue growth, income growth in most regions, and increased fiscal spending in key areas [1] Employment and Social Security - The Ministry of Finance has allocated 667.4 billion yuan in employment support funds, emphasizing social security as a priority area for fiscal spending [2] - Policies include reducing unemployment and work injury insurance rates, increasing unemployment insurance subsidies, and expanding social insurance subsidies to stabilize jobs and support employment for college graduates [2] - The basic pension for retirees has been increased by 2%, and the minimum standard for urban and rural residents' basic pensions has been raised by 20 yuan [2] Healthcare and Public Health - The per capita fiscal subsidy standard for basic public health services has been increased by 5 yuan, reaching 99 yuan per person per year [3] - The per capita fiscal subsidy for urban and rural residents' medical insurance has been raised by 30 yuan, totaling 700 yuan per person per year [3] - A total of 552.2 billion yuan has been allocated for related subsidies this year to enhance medical assistance and reduce the financial burden on vulnerable groups [3] Consumer Spending Initiatives - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has been a key initiative to boost consumer spending, with 1.6 trillion yuan in sales for items like automobiles and home appliances [4] - Retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, cultural office supplies, communication equipment, and furniture have seen year-on-year growth rates of 30.7%, 25.4%, 24.1%, and 22.9% respectively [4] - The Ministry of Finance plans to accelerate the introduction of policies to stimulate consumer spending and improve the consumption environment [4][5]
日子好好过,该省的省、该花的花
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-07-27 05:46
Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes that advocating frugality and encouraging consumption are not contradictory but mutually reinforcing, aimed at better meeting the people's aspirations for a better life [1][2] - Frugality is a traditional virtue in Chinese culture, and the government promotes it to ensure resources are used efficiently, allowing savings to be redirected to social welfare [1][2] - Consumption is a crucial driver of China's economic growth, contributing 68.8% to GDP growth in the first half of the year, with final consumption expenditure accounting for 52% [2] Group 2 - The government is actively implementing measures to boost consumption, such as issuing consumption vouchers and promoting trade-in programs, to address barriers to consumer spending [2] - Encouraging consumption is essential for expanding domestic demand and enhancing the domestic economic cycle, which in turn supports production, industry upgrades, and job creation [2][3] - The relationship between frugality and consumption is framed as a means to allow citizens to obtain higher quality goods and services at lower costs while contributing to sustainable development [3]
【广发宏观吴棋滢】6月财政数据简评
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-07-26 11:34
Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of public finance in the first half of 2025 is stable, with a slight decline in revenue growth, indicating the need for continued improvement in tax and government fund income through PPI and land market enhancements [5][23]. Group 1: Public Finance Revenue - In the first half of 2025, public finance revenue showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 0.3%, slightly lower than the previous year's growth of 1.3% [1][6]. - Tax revenue decreased by 1.2% year-on-year, an improvement compared to last year's decline of 3.4%, while non-tax revenue growth significantly slowed from 25.4% last year to 3.7% this year [1][8]. - The decline in non-tax revenue is attributed to a high base last year and a reduced reliance on non-tax income by the government [1][6]. Group 2: Monthly Performance - In June, tax revenue increased by 1.0% year-on-year, slightly higher than the previous value, while non-tax revenue fell by 3.7%, indicating an expanded decline [2][9]. - Domestic value-added tax and corporate income tax recorded year-on-year increases of 5.0% and 2.7%, respectively, contributing positively to June's fiscal revenue growth [2][11]. - The equipment manufacturing industry, modern services, and cultural sports entertainment sectors showed strong tax performance, reflecting the economic recovery in these areas [2][11]. Group 3: Fiscal Expenditure - Narrow fiscal expenditure in June saw a year-on-year decline of 0.4%, down from 2.6% previously, influenced by a decrease in non-tax revenue and a lull in infrastructure funding [3][12]. - Technology spending led the expenditure categories with an 18.1% year-on-year increase, while infrastructure-related expenditures showed weak performance, particularly in transportation and agriculture [3][14]. - The overall expenditure progress for the first half of the year was at 47.6%, indicating a slower pace compared to previous years, with expectations for acceleration in the second half [3][13]. Group 4: Government Fund Income - Government fund income in the first half of 2025 decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to continued weakness in the land market, with land transfer income down 6.5% [4][19]. - In June, government fund budget revenue surged by 20.8%, marking a significant increase, although July data showed a notable decline, raising questions about the sustainability of this recovery [4][19]. - Government fund budget expenditure rose sharply by 79.2% year-on-year, largely driven by the issuance of special bonds, indicating a significant increase in overall fiscal spending [4][20].
中国财政部官员简介财政政策如何“更加积极”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-25 13:28
(文章来源:中国新闻网) 中新社北京7月25日电 (记者赵建华)今年,中国实施更加积极的财政政策。财政部预算司一级巡视员、 政府债务研究和评估中心主任李大伟25日在北京表示,通过加快预算下达、用好债券资金、保障基本民 生、提振消费、保障地方财力等,财政部加强政策供给和资金拨付管理,确保尽早发挥政策效果,为经 济社会发展提供支撑。 同时,支持提高基本养老保障水平,继续提高基本公共卫生服务经费、城乡居民医保财政补助标准,支 持国家奖助学金提标扩面。快速预拨中央自然灾害救灾资金,支持地方应对重大自然灾害。 同一场发布会上,谈及提振消费时,财政部经济建设司副司长吴盖表示,今年安排3000亿元超长期特别 国债资金支持消费品"以旧换新",持续释放消费潜能。1月和4月,财政部已分两批累计预拨超长期特别 国债资金1620亿元。近期,下达第三批超长期特别国债资金690亿元,剩余资金将在10月份下达。 同时,提高资金政策效能,强化资金监督管理,对资金分配、兑付和使用等情况加大抽查检查力度,严 防资金挤占挪用、骗补套补。吴盖介绍,下一步,将按照《提振消费专项行动方案》部署,加快出台提 振消费增量政策举措,引导地方提升消费环境,优化 ...