Core Insights - The new energy industry chain experienced a significant surge, with the ChiNext New Energy ETF (Hua Xia, 159368) rising by 4.19% and key holdings such as Hunan YN Energy increasing over 17% [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) released action plans to support the growth of the new energy sector, particularly focusing on solid-state battery materials and advanced technology research [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext New Energy ETF (Hua Xia, 159368) is the largest ETF tracking the ChiNext New Energy Index, with a scale of 1.009 billion as of September 26, 2025 [1] - The ETF has the highest trading volume, averaging 65.75 million in daily transactions over the past month [1] - The ETF's holdings include 51% in energy storage and 23.6% in solid-state batteries, aligning with current market trends [1] Group 2: Government Initiatives - Eight departments issued the "Nonferrous Metal Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" to accelerate the application verification of high-end products like solid-state batteries [1] - The MIIT also published the "Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry Stabilization Growth Action Plan (2025-2026)" to support foundational research in cutting-edge technologies, including solid-state batteries [1]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The supply of nickel ore in the fourth quarter still has significant room for release, but attention should be paid to possible policy changes in Indonesia [7]. - The stainless - steel industry in the nickel - iron - stainless - steel chain is supported by nickel - iron prices. The supply side actively reduces production to adjust inventory, but overall, it still faces great pressure. Concerns remain about potential inventory accumulation after holidays [7]. - In the new - energy industry chain, the raw material side is supported by tight supply, but the demand increase may be limited [7]. - For primary nickel, domestic production capacity still has a release plan. After de - stocking in the first half of the year due to some demand stimulation, recent inventory accumulation has begun to appear, dragging down nickel prices. In the fourth quarter, the overall supply of nickel ore, premium, and primary nickel inventory should be focused on. If the supply is loose and primary nickel inventory accumulates, the price center will move further down [7]. - The price range for nickel is expected to be between 105,000 - 135,000 yuan/ton [7]. 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1 Price/Base - spread/Spread/Ratio - Nickel price is affected by factors such as nickel - ore premium, cobalt export ban, inventory changes, and macro - sentiment. The price has experienced fluctuations including over - decline, recovery, and weak - range oscillations [13]. - For nickel base - spreads, spreads, and ratios, relevant charts show historical data trends, which can be used to analyze market conditions [15][17][19]. - For stainless - steel prices, ratios, and spreads, relevant charts show the trends of spot premium, contract spreads, and the ratio of nickel to stainless - steel, providing a basis for price analysis [23][25][27]. 3.2 Inventory - **Nickel**: LME nickel inventory has been continuously increasing, exceeding 230,000 tons by the end of September, reaching the highest level in recent years, with significant Chinese brand deliveries. The inventory accumulation of Shanghai nickel is relatively less obvious, with the current social inventory at around 40,000 tons [9][30]. - **Stainless - steel**: The supply side actively reduces production to adjust inventory levels. The current stainless - steel inventory has decreased to around 980,000 tons, with the 300 - series dropping to 620,000 tons [9][33][37]. 3.3 Nickel Ore - **Policy**: Indonesia has strengthened the role of the "government's hand" through systems such as SIMBARA and MOMS, and adjusted nickel - product royalties. The Philippines' plan to ban nickel - ore exports was revoked in mid - June [40][41]. - **Supply and Demand**: From January to August 2025, China's nickel - ore imports increased by 7% year - on - year to 26.1335 million wet tons, and port inventory was about 9.71 million wet tons. By the end of September, the premium of Indonesian nickel ore was 24 - 25 US dollars/wet ton [5][44]. 3.4 Refined Nickel - **Supply**: Refined - nickel production capacity has been continuously expanding, with a monthly production capacity of around 54,000 tons by the end of August. The production using externally sourced raw materials is mostly unprofitable, while integrated MHP production is profitable. From January to August, the cumulative production increased by about 26% year - on - year to 260,000 tons. The cumulative imports increased by 178% year - on - year to 159,000 tons, exports increased by 69% year - on - year to 122,000 tons, and net imports were 37,000 tons [5][47]. - **Demand**: Apparent consumption has increased significantly year - on - year, exports have slowed down, and the domestic electroplating demand has increased relatively obviously [50]. - **Balance**: With the continuous release of production capacity and the weakening of internal - external price differences, the surplus has expanded [9]. 3.5 Nickel - Iron - Stainless - Steel - **Supply**: Affected by the rising nickel - ore prices and average stainless - steel demand, the nickel - iron smelting profit has been squeezed, and the domestic operating rate has continued to decline. From January to August, the cumulative production decreased by 8% year - on - year to 20,000 nickel tons. The nickel - iron production capacity in Indonesia has slightly expanded, and production has been continuously released, with the cumulative production from January to August increasing by 17% year - on - year to 1.113 million nickel tons [5][53]. - **Production and Sales of Stainless - Steel**: From January to August, China's cumulative stainless - steel production increased by 6% year - on - year to 26.33 million tons, and Indonesia's cumulative production increased by 4% year - on - year to 3.23 million tons. From January to August, cumulative imports decreased by 23% year - on - year to 1.02 million tons, cumulative exports increased by 3% year - on - year to 3.36 million tons, and net exports were 2.35 million tons. From January to August, stainless - steel consumption increased by 3% year - on - year to 22.115 million tons [5][6][58]. - **Profit**: Nickel - iron prices first declined and then rose, but generally remained at a low level in the past three years. Chromium - iron prices have strengthened periodically since the beginning of the year, and the theoretical immediate profit has been mostly in the red [61]. 3.6 New Energy - **Raw Materials**: The marginal production scheduling of ternary materials has increased, and the cobalt ban has boosted the demand for MHP, with the spot price strengthening. From January to August, the supply of Indonesian MHP increased by 56% year - on - year to 285,000 nickel tons, and the high - grade nickel matte production decreased by 38% year - on - year to 115,000 nickel tons. From January to August, MHP imports increased by 20% year - on - year to 220,000 nickel tons, and nickel - matte imports decreased by 12% year - on - year to 270,000 tons. From January to August, domestic nickel - sulfate production decreased by 16% year - on - year to 210,000 nickel tons, and imports increased by 7% year - on - year to 160,000 tons [5][10][78]. - **Production**: In 2025, from January to September, the production of ternary precursors was basically flat year - on - year at 620,000 tons; from January to September, the cumulative production of ternary materials increased by 11% year - on - year to 567,000 tons; from January to August, the production of ternary power cells increased by 16% year - on - year to 242 GWh, the production of ternary batteries increased by 15% year - on - year to 255.7 GWh, the installed capacity decreased by 10% year - on - year to 77.3 GWh, and the inventory decreased slightly compared to the beginning of the year to 30.34 GWh [6][10][90].

南华期货镍&不锈钢产业周报 —节前减仓过度，基本面有所松动 2025年9月28日 夏莹莹 投资咨询证号：Z0016569 管城瀚 从业资格证号：F03138675 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 沪镍盘面周内震荡为主，基本面实际调整有限。矿端情绪尚未消散，镍矿方面担忧聚焦在三个层面，政府制 裁采矿企业，企业环保优化后成本抬升，以及配额审批将近，批复数量或不及预期 。新能源方面支撑仍存， 目前九月已过补货节点，下游保存一定成交动向。刚果延长钴出口禁令，并且公布2025，2026出口总配额， 钴价仍有上行空间，带动MHP以及镍盐方面价格有一定上涨，当前市场流通偏紧，库存较低且仍有询单，后 续报价或延续偏强 。镍铁近期价格有所回落，目前价格已经接近不锈钢成本下线，不锈钢进入累库情况下镍 铁需求有所降低，进一步上探动能不足，近期无高价大单成交。不锈钢方面周内反复博弈，盘面一直不温不 火，目前库存重新出现小幅累积，结束连续十周去库；现货端灵活跟随盘面浮动，各种规格优惠试图以现货 成交为前提刺激盘面，但是整体节前现货仍以观望为主，探涨动作无明显成效。周中美元指数下探引领有色 金属一波上行，随后跟随美元指 ...

Group 1 - The domestic energy storage cell prices are on the rise, with major manufacturers increasing product prices, which is beneficial for the new energy industry chain [1] - Zhongrong Electric has made progress in overseas markets, with mass production in Germany and orders for pure electric platforms in Sweden, expanding into the wind and solar storage sector, and high demand expected in the second half of the year [1] - Goldman Sachs trading data shows that the technology sector in the Chinese stock market is leading, with the battery sector rising due to the influence of CATL, and strong demand anticipated [1] Group 2 - GF Securities indicates that the lithium battery industry is seeing a continuous recovery in profitability as leading companies like CATL and BYD reduce their debt ratios through cost and cash flow advantages [2] - Huatai Securities notes that the solar industry is experiencing a rush due to U.S. policy, with solar LCOE being significantly more economical than traditional energy due to technological cost reductions, although rising PPA prices may temporarily weaken competitiveness [2]

Core Viewpoint - Anson Resources has signed a battery-grade lithium carbonate purchase agreement with LG Energy Solution, leading to a nearly 25% increase in its stock price [1][2]. Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement stipulates that Anson Resources will supply 4,000 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate annually to LG Energy Solution starting in 2028 [1]. - This supply represents approximately 40% of the initial annual production capacity of Anson's Paradox Basin project, which is estimated to be around 10,000 tons [2]. - The initial term of the agreement is five years, with an option to extend for an additional five years [2]. Group 2: Market Impact - Following the announcement, Anson Resources' stock price saw a peak increase of 24.7%, marking the strongest single-day gain in over two months, while the ASX 200 index fell by 0.6% during the same period [2]. - The transaction is expected to support Anson Resources' debt financing efforts during the final investment decision phase [2]. Group 3: Industry Context - Lithium, a key raw material for electric vehicle batteries, has faced a prolonged price slump due to slower-than-expected adoption of electric vehicles [2]. - This agreement underscores the importance of battery technology as a critical component within the new energy industry chain [2].

如东地处长三角核心区，毗邻上海，港口条件优越，绿电资源丰富，新能源产业基础扎实。此次签约的 项目涵盖超威(中泽能)储能系统集成制造与综合能源服务基地项目、电芯和便携式储能PACK项目、新 型显示光学材料项目以及锦恒现代物流园项目。其中，储能系统集成制造与综合能源服务基地项目总投 资10亿元，主要投资方为超威电力、国驰智储和中泽能，将新建先进储能集成智能制造生产线，规划生 产移动储能系统1万套，工商业储能系统1万套，PACK及储能模组10万套，全面达产后预计可实现年应 税销售30亿元，延伸如东新能源产业链，推动形成从电芯制造、系统集成到终端应用的完整生态。 本报讯(严磊王军)9月20日，涉及储能集成制造、电芯生产、光学材料与现代物流等领域的4个项目成功 签约落户如东，总投资额超过40亿元，为如东新能源、高端制造与绿色经济产业发展增添新动能。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The fourth meeting of the China-Poland Intergovernmental Cooperation Committee highlighted significant developments, particularly China's decision to relax export restrictions on key minerals and dual-use items, which is expected to enhance Poland's position in the European supply chain [1][3]. Group 1: Key Minerals and Economic Impact - Key minerals such as nickel, lithium, and rare earths are crucial for the new energy vehicle and battery industries, and Poland aims to strengthen its role in the European new energy supply chain [3]. - The relaxation of export restrictions is seen as a breakthrough for Poland, potentially leading to increased trade numbers and domestic processing and employment opportunities [3][5]. - Poland's acquisition of mineral resources is expected to provide it with greater negotiating power within the EU, especially in ongoing disputes over energy and mineral distribution [3][5]. Group 2: China-Poland Cooperation and Strategic Implications - The mineral export relaxation is mutually beneficial, as it stabilizes the China-Europe supply chain and enhances bilateral relations, countering discussions in Europe about reducing dependency on Chinese products [5][19]. - The "China-Europe Railway Express" has become a focal point of cooperation, with Poland's geographical position making it a key transit hub for goods moving from China to Europe [5][9]. - Both parties have agreed to optimize customs efficiency and increase transport capacity, which could alleviate financial pressures on businesses by reducing shipping times [7][9]. Group 3: Geopolitical Context and Security Concerns - The ongoing Ukraine conflict has heightened security concerns for Poland, which is directly affected by the war, leading to discussions on defense capabilities and military technology [11][12]. - Poland views China as a significant player that can maintain communication with Moscow, providing a potential avenue for conflict resolution [14][19]. - The EU's reaction to the China-Poland cooperation indicates concerns about Poland's rising influence within the EU, as it gains strategic resources that could enhance its bargaining power [16][19]. Group 4: Regional Reactions and Future Prospects - Eastern European countries have responded positively to Poland's actions, seeing it as a potential model for their own bilateral engagements with China [19]. - The EU has emphasized that all bilateral cooperation must align with EU rules, reflecting a cautious approach to Poland's growing autonomy in negotiations [19]. - China's strategic choice to highlight its cooperation with Poland serves to position itself as a collaborative partner in Europe, rather than an external disruptor [19].

Group 1: Company Overview and Strategy - Huayun Titanium Industry has over 20 years of experience in the titanium dioxide and fine chemical sectors, focusing on production processes and circular economy operations [2][5] - The company is open to evaluating opportunities for transformation that align with its strategic goals and can create synergies [3] Group 2: Automation and Technology - The company has gradually introduced automation equipment in key production processes to enhance efficiency and ensure safety [4] - Future plans include exploring intelligent equipment applications to achieve higher operational efficiency and sustainability [4] Group 3: Mining and Resource Management - As of September 2025, the company completed the registration for the acquisition of Guangnan Chenxiang Mining, with mining procedures currently in progress [5] - The company is actively advancing exploration work related to its mining assets in Qinghe County, Xinjiang [8] Group 4: Market Position and Financial Performance - The company has not signed any direct orders with Ningde Times as of now [6] - The decline in net profit in the first half of the year is attributed to global economic conditions and intensified market competition, but the company has implemented measures to maintain production and sales growth [8] Group 5: Innovation and Digital Transformation - The company is gradually advancing digital transformation in its sales system to enhance communication with customers and improve operational efficiency [8] - There are currently no holdings in high-tech companies, but the company is focused on leveraging its core business advantages in the upstream materials segment of the new energy industry [7]

期货研究院 新能源产业链日度策略 New Energy Industry Chain daily Report 能源化工团队|有色贵金属与新能源团队 | 作者： | 魏朝明 | | --- | --- | | 从业资格证号： | F3077171 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0015738 | | 联系方式： | 010-68578971 | | 作者： | 胡彬 | | 从业资格证号： | F0289497 | | --- | --- | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0011019 | | 联系方式： | 010-68576697 | 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 成文时间：2025年09月16日星期二 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 摘要 碳酸锂： 【市场逻辑】 现货方面，周二SMM电池级碳酸锂指数价格72835元/吨，环比上 一工作日上涨455元/吨；电池级碳酸锂7.19-7.38万元/吨，均价7. 285万元/吨，环比上一工作日上涨400元/吨；工业级碳酸锂7-7.1 2万元/吨，均价7.06万元/吨，环比上一工作日上涨400元/吨，现 货成交价格重心呈震荡上行态势。 碳酸锂期货 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Rongtai has experienced significant stock price appreciation, with a year-to-date increase of over 382% and a cumulative rise of 735% since the "924" market in 2024, driven by its entry into the humanoid robot sector and strong performance in its core business related to the new energy industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Position - On September 16, Zhejiang Rongtai's stock rose by 2.82%, bringing its total market capitalization to nearly 39 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a remarkable increase of 735% since the "924" market in 2024, indicating strong investor interest [2][3]. - The company has established itself as a key player in the new energy industry, with its main products closely linked to this sector [2]. Group 2: Business Expansion and Acquisitions - Zhejiang Rongtai has made strategic acquisitions, including a 51% stake in Diz Precision and a 15% stake in Jinli Intelligent, to enhance its capabilities in the humanoid robot components market [1][3]. - The establishment of Zhejiang Rongtai Intelligent Robot Co., Ltd. marks the company's commitment to entering the humanoid robot industry [3]. - The company has also been recognized as a supplier to Tesla, which has contributed to its revenue growth [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Zhejiang Rongtai reported revenue of 572 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of nearly 15%, and a net profit of 123 million yuan, up approximately 22.2% [4]. - The second quarter saw revenue of 310 million yuan, reflecting an 8.4% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 60 million yuan, an 18% increase [4]. Group 4: Shareholder Activity - Notable investors, including Zhang Jianping, have increased their stakes in Zhejiang Rongtai, with Zhang holding 10.91 million shares as of the second quarter [6][7]. - Other funds, such as Yongying Advanced Manufacturing and Penghua Carbon Neutrality, have also entered the top shareholders list, indicating strong institutional interest [6][7]. Group 5: Leadership and Company History - The company was founded by Ge Tai Rong and Cao Mei Sheng, who have a background in the woolen sweater business and transitioned into the production of high-temperature resistant insulation materials for the new energy sector [8][9]. - Zhejiang Rongtai has expanded its production bases in various regions, including Hunan, Zhejiang, and Vietnam, and is establishing warehouses in Germany to support its international operations [10].