Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [8] Core Views - The company has shown resilience against oil price fluctuations, with natural gas volume and price both increasing [1] - The upstream performance has significantly outperformed oil price volatility, with domestic crude oil production up 0.6% year-on-year and natural gas production up 4.7% [2] - The refining and sales segment is actively optimizing its structure due to the peak issue of refined oil products, with gasoline and diesel production down 4.3% and 0.7% respectively, while ethylene production increased by 5.3% [3] - The natural gas sales segment reported a profit increase, with sales volume reaching 1,515 billion cubic meters, up 2.9% year-on-year [4] - Capital expenditures have decreased to 642 billion, down 147 billion year-on-year, primarily from oil and gas and new energy sectors [5] Financial Data and Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company is adjusted to 150.9 billion for 2025, with 2026 and 2027 maintained at 169.2 billion and 174.1 billion respectively [5] - The corresponding P/E ratios for A-shares are projected at 10.5, 9.3, and 9.1 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, while H-shares are at 7.5, 6.7, and 6.5 [5] - The company is expected to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 52%, resulting in a dividend yield of 5% for A-shares and 7% for H-shares [5] Financial Metrics - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected at 3,011,012 million, with a growth rate of -5.54% [6] - The EBITDA for 2025 is estimated at 463,092.51 million, with a decline from previous years [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is forecasted at 150,854.99 million, reflecting an 8.39% decrease [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.82 [6] - The company’s asset-liability ratio is projected to decrease to 36.23% by 2025 [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net profit growth of over 20% year on year for H1 2025, indicating strong financial performance [2][4]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Drilling Services segment experienced growth in both volume and price, with a 28% year-on-year increase in daily rates for jackup drilling rigs [5][8]. - The Well Services segment saw a decline in revenue by approximately $400 million and a profit decrease of about $110 million to $130 million, attributed to a reduced customer base and increased competition [6][14]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company operates 13 drilling rigs overseas, with contracts secured until 2029 or 2030 in regions like Norway and the Middle East, suggesting stability in overseas operations [5][11]. - The oil price is forecasted to remain stable at around USD 65 to USD 70, which is considered a reasonable level for the industry [5][10]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become an internationally first-rate oilfield service provider, focusing on technological leadership and innovation [33][34]. - There is a clear goal to broaden the customer base and enhance innovation capabilities, with significant investments in technology [35][36]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining daily rates due to secured contracts and a stable operational environment despite macroeconomic uncertainties [12][20]. - The company plans to control costs and increase revenue, emphasizing the importance of operational efficiency [17][20]. Other Important Information - The company completed a loan repayment of $1 billion, utilizing both self-owned capital and borrowed funds to optimize its debt structure [15][16]. - The company is focusing on developing made-in-China drilling rigs, which are expected to provide cost-effective solutions in a low to medium oil price environment [26][27]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about Drilling Services segment and daily rate stability - Management indicated that the daily rates for drilling services are expected to remain stable due to secured contracts and a favorable market outlook [5][10]. Question: Reasons for decline in Well Services segment - The decline was attributed to a reduced customer base in China and increased competition, leading to changes in the charging model [6][14]. Question: CapEx adjustments and fund utilization - Management confirmed that the decline in revenue was more pronounced overseas, particularly in Southeast Asia, and discussed the repayment of debts using self-owned capital [13][15]. Question: Future plans for old and new vessels - The company is optimizing its vessel fleet and has made progress in this area, focusing on both the disposal of older vessels and the development of new ones [25][30].

Core Viewpoint - The new round of fuel price adjustments in China will take effect on August 26, with gasoline and diesel prices decreasing by 180 yuan/ton and 175 yuan/ton respectively, reflecting fluctuations in international oil prices during the adjustment period [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - From August 26, the price of 92 gasoline will decrease by 0.14 yuan per liter, saving consumers approximately 7 yuan for a full tank of 50 liters [1][4]. - The price of 95 gasoline will decrease by 0.15 yuan per liter, and the price of 0 diesel will also decrease by 0.15 yuan per liter [4]. Group 2: International Oil Price Trends - During the adjustment period from August 12 to August 25, international oil prices experienced a decline followed by an increase, with the average price level being lower than the previous adjustment cycle [2]. - The International Energy Agency has revised down its global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 while significantly raising the global oil supply growth forecast by 400,000 barrels per day to 2.5 million barrels per day [2]. - The U.S. Energy Information Administration anticipates that U.S. crude oil production will reach a record high of 13.41 million barrels per day in 2025, with a substantial increase in U.S. crude oil inventories expected in the fourth quarter [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict, have contributed to fluctuations in oil prices, with market sentiment shifting from optimism to a stalemate [2]. - As the summer driving season comes to an end, oil demand is expected to gradually decline, compounded by increased production from OPEC+ and rising U.S. oil output, leading to a continued oversupply in the global oil market [2].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in domestic fuel prices in China, highlighting a significant drop in prices and the factors influencing these changes in the international oil market. Group 1: Price Fluctuations - In early 2025, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window opened 16 times, with 6 instances of price drops and 6 instances of increases, reflecting a volatile market [1] - A notable price drop occurred on March 19, where prices decreased by 0.23 CNY per liter, leading to long queues at gas stations as consumers rushed to take advantage of the lower prices [1] - By August, prices stagnated around 7.25 CNY per liter, but a new round of price reductions was anticipated due to declining international oil prices [1] Group 2: Regional Price Variations - Gasoline prices vary significantly across regions, with 98-octane gasoline reaching 10.06 CNY per liter in Hainan and 9.71 CNY in Jiangsu, while prices in Tibet and Shaanxi also remained high [2] - The recent drop in international oil prices has triggered expectations for a reduction of at least 0.19 CNY per liter for 92-octane gasoline, potentially saving consumers nearly 10 CNY for a full tank [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The fluctuations in oil prices are influenced by various factors, including speculation on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and OPEC's plans to increase production by 547,000 barrels per day [4] - Predictions suggest that the current price drop could lead to a reduction of up to 300 CNY per ton, potentially bringing 92-octane gasoline prices back to the 6 CNY range, marking the largest single drop since 2025 [4] Group 4: Cautionary Notes - Despite the current price drop, the international oil market remains unpredictable, and the sustainability of this trend is uncertain due to various influencing factors [6]

Core Viewpoint - Recent discussions between the U.S. and European countries, including Ukraine, regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict have been optimistic, but no direct talks between Russia and Ukraine have occurred, leading to a lack of progress on a ceasefire agreement [1] Group 1 - The oil prices are maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations due to the current geopolitical situation [1] - 卓创资讯 anticipates that direct talks between Russia and Ukraine may occur under U.S. mediation in the future [1] - Market participants are awaiting the results of these negotiations, with all parties leveraging battlefield advantages to enhance their negotiation positions [1]

Report Information - Report Title: Crude Oil Weekly Report: Increase in US Crude Oil Inventory and Decline in International Oil Prices [1] - Report Date: August 17, 2025 [1] - Chief Analyst: Chen Shuxian [1] - Analyst: Zhou Shaowen [1] Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - This week, the weekly average prices of Brent/WTI crude oil futures were $66.2/$63.3 per barrel, down $1.0/$1.4 per barrel from last week. The total US crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.3/4.3/4.0/0.2 billion barrels, with a week-on-week increase of 3.26/3.04/0.23/0.05 million barrels respectively. The US crude oil production was 13.33 million barrels per day, up 40,000 barrels per day week-on-week. The number of active US crude oil rigs this week was 412, an increase of 1 from the previous week. The number of active US fracturing fleets this week was 163, an increase of 4 from the previous week. The US refinery crude oil processing volume was 17.18 million barrels per day, up 60,000 barrels per day week-on-week, and the US refinery crude oil operating rate was 96.4%, down 0.5 pct week-on-week [2]. - The weekly average prices of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel were $87/$95/$90 per barrel, down $0.3/$0.9/$4.1 per barrel week-on-week. The spreads with crude oil were $21/$29/$24 per barrel, up $1.1/$0.4/ -$2.7 per barrel week-on-week. The US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene inventories were 2.3/1.1/0.4 billion barrels, with a week-on-week change of -0.79/+0.71/ -0.62 million barrels respectively. The US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene production were 9.81/5.14/1.97 million barrels per day, with a week-on-week change of +10,000/+30,000/ -20,000 barrels per day respectively. The US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene consumption were 9.00/3.70/1.83 million barrels per day, with a week-on-week change of -40,000/ -20,000/+120,000 barrels per day respectively. The net exports of US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene were 0.58/1.33/0.23 million barrels per day, with a week-on-week change of -0.25/ -0.13/+0.09 million barrels per day respectively [2]. - Recommended companies include CNOOC Limited (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec Corporation (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Oilfield Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), and CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (600968.SH). Companies to be noted include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China National Petroleum Corporation Engineering Co., Ltd. (600339.SH), and Sinopec Mechanical Engineering Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3] Summary by Directory 1. Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - Upstream Key Company Price Changes: Among the upstream key companies, the Hong Kong - listed shares of some companies such as China National Offshore Oil Corporation and PetroChina Company Limited showed an upward trend in the near - week, near - month, and near - three - month periods, while some A - shares showed a downward trend [9] - Key Company Valuations: The report provides the total market capitalization,归母净利润, PE, and PB of key companies from 2024A to 2027E [9] - Crude Oil Sector: The weekly average prices of Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO crude oils were $66.2, $63.3, $61.9, and $62.8 per barrel respectively, all showing a week - on - week decline. The US dollar index was 97.8, down 1.0 week - on - week. The LME copper spot price was $9,165.0 per ton, down $411.5 week - on - week [9] - Inventory Sector: The US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory all increased week - on - week [9] - Production Sector: The US crude oil production, the number of crude oil rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets all increased week - on - week [9] - Refinery Sector: The US refinery crude oil processing volume increased week - on - week, while the operating rate decreased. The operating rates of Chinese local refineries and major refineries showed different trends [9] - Import and Export Sector: The US crude oil net imports increased week - on - week [9] 2. This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance: No specific performance data provided, only the topic is mentioned [14] - Sector Listed Company Performance: The report lists the latest prices, total market capitalizations, and price changes in different time periods of multiple listed companies in the petroleum and petrochemical sector, as well as their valuations [26][28] 3. Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - Crude Oil Price: It involves the price and spread relationships between different types of crude oils such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO, as well as the relationships between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price [32][41][42] - Crude Oil Inventory: It shows the historical data and trends of the US commercial crude oil inventory, total crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory, as well as their correlations with oil prices [49][54][63] - Crude Oil Supply: The US crude oil production, the number of crude oil rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets are tracked [68] - Crude Oil Demand: The US refinery crude oil processing volume, operating rate, and the operating rates of Chinese local and major refineries are presented [76][79][83] - Crude Oil Import and Export: The US crude oil import, export, and net import volumes are tracked [87][91] 4. Refined Oil Product Sector Data Tracking - Refined Oil Product Price: When the international crude oil price is above $80 per barrel, the increase in domestic gasoline and diesel prices slows down. The report also shows the price and spread relationships between crude oil and refined oil products in different regions such as China, the US, Europe, and Singapore [97][124][130] - Refined Oil Product Inventory: The inventories of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US and Singapore are tracked, along with their week - on - week and year - on - year changes [138][144][149] - Refined Oil Product Supply: The productions of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US are presented [157][158] - Refined Oil Product Demand: The consumptions of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US are tracked, along with the number of US airport passenger security checks [161][162] - Refined Oil Product Import and Export: The import, export, and net export volumes of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US are tracked [175][179][180] 5. Oilfield Service Sector Data Tracking - The report provides the weekly average, monthly average, quarterly average, and year - to - date average daily fees of self - elevating drilling platforms and semi - submersible drilling platforms [10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The demand improvement of asphalt is weak, and the market sentiment is cautious. The supply - demand pattern of asphalt remains weak, and the price may follow the decline of oil prices. The meeting between the US and Russian presidents and changes in US sanctions policies may bring additional volatility risks to the crude oil and asphalt markets [1][2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - On August 14, the closing price of the main asphalt futures contract BU2510 in the afternoon session was 3,472 yuan/ton, down 19 yuan/ton or 0.54% from the previous settlement price. The open interest was 224,823 lots, a decrease of 176 lots from the previous day, and the trading volume was 153,819 lots, an increase of 30,630 lots from the previous day [2] - The spot settlement prices of heavy - traffic asphalt from Zhuochuang Information are as follows: Northeast 3,880 - 4,086 yuan/ton; Shandong 3,520 - 3,870 yuan/ton; South China 3,520 - 3,550 yuan/ton; East China 3,600 - 3,800 yuan/ton. The spot price of asphalt in the North China market increased yesterday, while other regions remained stable. Due to the weak oil price trend and poor asphalt demand, the spot market sentiment is cautious [2] - The supply - demand pattern of asphalt remains weak. Affected by typhoon weather, the demand improvement is still weak. Considering the low inventory, there is no prominent contradiction in the market currently. However, if the oil price continues to fall, the asphalt market price will also decline further [2] Strategy - Unilateral: Oscillating weakly; Cross - period: None; Cross - variety: None; Futures - spot: None; Options: None [3]

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices experienced a notable increase in the overnight market but turned to decline on the 7th, closing lower [1] Group 1: Price Movements - As of the close, the price of light crude oil futures for September delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by $0.47, settling at $63.88 per barrel, a decrease of 0.73% [1] - The price of Brent crude oil futures for October delivery decreased by $0.46, closing at $66.43 per barrel, a decline of 0.69% [1] Group 2: Market Influences - Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch & Associates, indicated that the increase in supply from OPEC+ countries is a dominant bearish factor in the market [1] - Due to tight supply and strong demand, Saudi Arabia raised the price of crude oil sold to Asia for September, marking the second consecutive month of price increases [1]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Research indicates that both oil prices and supply issues are exerting a dual short-term pressure on the profitability of PetroChina and CNOOC, with expected declines in net profit for the second quarter of 22% to 23% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - HSBC expects PetroChina's net profit to decline by 22% to 23% year-on-year for the second quarter due to weak oil prices and demand [1] - CNOOC is also projected to experience a similar decline in net profit, reflecting the broader industry challenges [1] - Despite the expected profit drop, PetroChina may be less affected due to improvements in its natural gas business, which includes expanded domestic sales and reduced mixed gas import costs [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - HSBC maintains a "Buy" rating for both PetroChina and CNOOC, indicating a positive outlook despite the anticipated profit declines [1] - Sinopec is rated as "Hold" due to pressure on its cash flow, suggesting a more cautious stance on its investment potential [1] - The report emphasizes the increasing importance of cash flow for maintaining dividend distributions in the current market environment [1]

Research Views Crude Oil - On Tuesday, the price center of oil continued to decline. The September contract of WTI closed down $1.13 to $65.16 per barrel, a decrease of 1.7%. The October contract of Brent closed down $1.12 to $67.64 per barrel, a decrease of 1.63%. The SC2509 closed at 502.5 yuan per barrel, down 6.6 yuan per barrel, a decrease of 1.3% [1]. - API data showed that last week, US crude oil and gasoline inventories decreased, while distillate inventories increased. As of the week ending August 1, crude oil inventories decreased by 4.2 million barrels, gasoline inventories decreased by 860,000 barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 1.6 million barrels [1]. - Cargo tracking data showed that Russia's seaborne crude oil exports in July dropped to a five - month low. The crude oil shipped from Russian ports in July reached 3.46 million barrels per day, slightly lower than 3.47 million barrels per day in June and the lowest level since March [1]. - Russia's exports to India in July increased by 5% month - on - month to 1.72 million barrels per day. India started to purchase oil from the US and Canada. It is reported that Indian Oil Corporation bought crude oil from the US, Canada, and the Middle East through tender, scheduled to arrive in September [1]. - The market's concern about oversupply is significant, and the price center of oil continues to decline. The view is "volatile and weak" [1]. Fuel Oil - On Tuesday, the main fuel oil contract FU2509 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed down 0.94% at 2,842 yuan per ton; the main low - sulfur fuel oil contract LU2510 closed down 0.78% at 3,560 yuan per ton [1]. - In August, the supply of high - and low - sulfur fuel oil remains sufficient, and demand may show signs of weakening. The fundamental support from the supply - demand side has declined. The view is "volatile and weak" [1][3]. Asphalt - On Tuesday, the main asphalt contract BU2509 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed down 1.58% at 3,544 yuan per ton [3]. - In August, some refineries in Shandong have maintenance plans, and asphalt supply is expected to decrease. Refinery inventories are generally controllable, and North China's main refineries may continue low - production in the short term to deliver previous contracts, with limited supply growth. In the southern market, rainfall has decreased, demand is expected to improve, and terminal construction after the rainy season has positive support. The demand for modified asphalt in Shandong's highway projects has been released intensively, driving an increase in terminal capacity utilization [3]. - In the short term, the asphalt market is supported by low supply and inventory, and spot prices are relatively firm. The risk lies in the fluctuation of crude oil prices at the cost end. Short - term long positions can be considered after the oil price stabilizes. The view is "volatile" [3]. Polyester - TA509 closed at 4,682 yuan per ton yesterday, down 0.34%; the spot offer was at a discount of 13 yuan per ton to the 09 contract. EG2509 closed at 4,399 yuan per ton yesterday, up 0.23%, with the basis increasing by 3 yuan per ton to 83 yuan per ton, and the spot price was 4,463 yuan per ton. The main PX futures contract 509 closed at 6,734 yuan per ton, down 0.3%. The spot negotiation price was $839 per ton, equivalent to 6,901 yuan per ton in RMB, and the basis widened by 58 yuan per ton to 179 yuan per ton [3]. - The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang were generally light, with an average sales estimate of about 30%. A 1.2 - million - ton PTA plant in East China is preparing to restart, and its 1.5 - million - ton PTA plant is expected to shut down for maintenance soon. A 750,000 - ton/year ethylene glycol plant in Malaysia shut down due to an accident recently, with an initial estimated shutdown time of about one week [3]. - OPEC+ continues to over - produce, the cost - end oil price is further pressured, downstream demand has resilience support, and the terminal operating load is at a low level in the off - season. TA prices are under pressure. The view is "volatile and weak" [3][5]. Rubber - On Tuesday, as of the day - session close, the main Shanghai rubber contract RU2509 rose 180 yuan per ton to 14,545 yuan per ton, the main NR contract rose 140 yuan per ton to 12,300 yuan per ton, and the main butadiene rubber BR contract rose 120 yuan per ton to 11,515 yuan per ton [5]. - The weather in rubber - producing areas is currently good, and raw material prices have loosened. Downstream demand is stable domestically and weak externally, and exports will decline, while domestic demand has stable growth. Fundamentally, rubber supply increases while demand is stable. With the peak season gradually materializing, there is pressure on the upside of rubber prices. The view is "volatile" [5]. Methanol - On Tuesday, the spot price in Taicang was 2,373 yuan per ton, the price in Inner Mongolia's northern line was 2,085 yuan per ton, the CFR China price was $269 - 273 per ton, and the CFR Southeast Asia price was $331 - 336 per ton. In the downstream, the formaldehyde price in Shandong was 1,045 yuan per ton, the acetic acid price in Jiangsu was 2,280 - 2,350 yuan per ton, and the MTBE price in Shandong was 5,050 yuan per ton [5]. - Overall, there is still an expectation of inventory accumulation in August, but the expected increase in imports in August is not large, and demand changes little. Although inventory increases month - on - month, it will not increase significantly year - on - year, and the total inventory level is relatively low year - on - year. It is expected that methanol prices will maintain a volatile trend [5]. Polyolefins - On Tuesday, the mainstream price of East China拉丝 was 6,970 - 7,200 yuan per ton. The profit of oil - based PP production was - 306.75 yuan per ton, the profit of coal - based PP production was 476.87 yuan per ton, the profit of methanol - based PP production was - 751.33 yuan per ton, the profit of propane - dehydrogenation - based PP production was - 229.24 yuan per ton, and the profit of externally - purchased propylene - based PP production was 70.67 yuan per ton. For PE, the price of HDPE film was 7,956 yuan per ton, the price of LDPE film was 9,514 yuan per ton, and the price of LLDPE film was 7,403 yuan per ton. In terms of profit, the profit of oil - based polyethylene production was - 362 yuan per ton, and the profit of coal - based polyethylene production was 970 yuan per ton [6]. - In August, both supply and demand will start to recover, inventory will gradually transfer from society to downstream, and there are not many fundamental contradictions. Without a significant increase in the cost end, the overall upside space is limited. The view is "volatile" [6]. Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) - On Tuesday, the price in the East China PVC market fluctuated slightly. The price of calcium - carbide - based type 5 material was 4,840 - 4,910 yuan per ton, and the mainstream reference price of ethylene - based material was about 5,000 - 5,300 yuan per ton. In the North China PVC market, prices rose and fell. The mainstream reference price of calcium - carbide - based type 5 material was about 4,760 - 4,950 yuan per ton, and the mainstream reference price of ethylene - based material was 5,060 - 5,210 yuan per ton. In the South China PVC market, prices increased. The mainstream reference price of calcium - carbide - based type 5 material was about 4,900 - 4,970 yuan per ton, and the mainstream offer price of ethylene - based material was 5,020 - 5,100 yuan per ton [6]. - In August, the fundamental pressure on PVC has eased, and inventory is slowly decreasing. It is expected that the market will gradually return to fundamental trading after the supply - side reform trading. The main contract will switch to V2501, which is in the off - season of consumption. It is expected that prices will be volatile and weak, and the basis and monthly spread will gradually strengthen [6]. Daily Data Monitoring - The report provides the basis data of various energy - chemical products on August 6, 2025, including spot prices, futures prices, basis, basis rates, price changes, basis changes, and the percentile of the latest basis rate in historical data for products such as crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas, asphalt, high - sulfur fuel oil, etc [7]. Market News - API data showed that last week, US crude oil and gasoline inventories decreased, while distillate inventories increased. As of the week ending August 1, crude oil inventories decreased by 4.2 million barrels, gasoline inventories decreased by 860,000 barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 1.6 million barrels. Analysts previously expected a decrease of about 600,000 barrels in crude oil inventories, a decrease of about 400,000 barrels in gasoline inventories, and an increase of about 800,000 barrels in distillate inventories [11]. - Cargo tracking data showed that Russia's seaborne crude oil exports in July dropped to a five - month low. The crude oil shipped from Russian ports in July reached 3.46 million barrels per day, slightly lower than 3.47 million barrels per day in June and the lowest level since March. Russia's exports to India in July increased by 5% month - on - month to 1.72 million barrels per day [11]. - Fed's Daly said that the time for interest - rate cuts is approaching, and two interest - rate cuts this year are still an appropriate adjustment. It is also possible that there will not be two interest - rate cuts this year, but it is more likely that more cuts will be needed [11]. - US President Trump said that he will meet with Russia tomorrow. He will "wait and see" regarding tariffs on Russia and "quite possibly" impose a 100% tariff on Russian oil [11]. Chart Analysis Main Contract Prices - The report presents the closing price charts of main contracts of various energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, LPG, PTA, ethylene glycol, etc [13][15][17]. Main Contract Basis - The report shows the basis charts of main contracts of various energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, ethylene glycol, etc [27][29][33]. Inter - Contract Spreads - The report provides the spread charts of different contracts of various energy - chemical products, such as fuel oil (01 - 05, 09 - 01), asphalt (main and sub - main contracts), PTA (01 - 05, 05 - 09), etc [41][43][46]. Inter - Commodity Spreads - The report shows the spread and ratio charts between different energy - chemical products, such as crude oil's internal - external spread, B - W spread, fuel oil's high - low - sulfur spread, fuel oil/asphalt ratio, etc [59][62][65]. Production Profits - The report presents the production profit charts of various energy - chemical products, such as ethylene - based ethylene glycol cash flow, PP production profit, LLDPE production profit, etc [69][70][72]. Team Member Introduction - The research team includes members such as Zhong Meiyan (Assistant Director and Energy - Chemical Director), Du Bingqin (Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Fuel Oil, Asphalt, and Shipping Analyst), Di Yilin (Natural Rubber/Polyester Analyst), and Peng Haibo (Methanol/PE/PP/PVC Analyst), with their respective educational backgrounds, honors, and work experiences introduced [74][75][76].