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AIDC:算力稀缺性凸显,产业或迈入结构性扩张新周期:计算机行业重大事项点评
Huachuang Securities· 2026-02-02 08:11
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [18]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant growth in global AIDC demand, with major cloud service providers increasing capital expenditures and adjusting pricing strategies. For instance, Meta raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $125 billion, a 73% year-on-year increase [2]. - The report emphasizes that the AIDC industry is entering a new structural expansion cycle, driven by the scarcity of computing power and rising costs in the supply chain, including a forecasted 12% CAGR growth in the global cloud computing market from approximately $1.29 trillion in 2025 to about $2.28 trillion by 2030 [7]. - The competition in the AI model space is intensifying, with companies like Alibaba and Tencent rapidly advancing their AI capabilities, which is expected to drive backend demand for computing resources [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The AIDC market is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.5%, shifting the industry's core barriers from capital investment to technology integration and operational efficiency [7]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the demand for AIDC is being fueled by the rapid evolution of AI models, which necessitates significant computational resources. This shift is prompting cloud service providers to raise prices, breaking a long-standing trend of price reductions in the industry [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on several key players across different segments: 1. Cloud Computing: Alibaba, NET, Shenxinfu, Kingsoft Cloud, New Idea Network Group, and UCloud [7] 2. AIDC: Runze Technology, Baoxin Software, Data Port, Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, and Yunsai Zhili [7] 3. Computing Services: Xiechuang Data, Hongjing Technology, Dazhi Technology, Youfang Technology, Litong Electronics, and Zhiwei Intelligent [7] 4. CDN: Wangsu Technology [7] 5. Chips: Haiguang Information, Cambrian, Muxi Shares, Tianshu Zhixin, Moer Thread, and Longxin Zhongke [7] 6. Large Models: Minimax, Zhipu, and iFlytek [7].
未知机构:电新周观点更新好看太空光伏储能锂钠电锂电全国容量电-20260202
未知机构· 2026-02-02 02:05
Industry and Company Analysis Summary Industry Overview Lithium Battery and Energy Storage - The national capacity electricity price policy has been implemented, expected to increase the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for energy storage by over 3% [1] - In February, lithium battery production is projected to decrease by over 10%, indicating a strong production season despite being traditionally off-peak [1] - Sodium batteries are undergoing winter tests with multiple automotive companies, with expectations for mass shipments in Q2 [1] Key Segments Ranking - The preferred segments in the energy storage industry are ranked as follows: - Energy storage cells (Penghui) - Iron lithium cathodes - Energy storage integration (Haibo) - Separators (Enjie) - Copper and aluminum foils (Nord and Dingsheng) [1] Sodium Battery Sector - The lithium carbonate market is expected to undergo adjustments, with a new upward trend anticipated next week, maintaining a long-term positive outlook [2] - Recent price drops are not due to fundamental factors; downstream procurement has increased, with significant spot transactions indicating acceptance of the 150,000 yuan price for lithium [2] - February is expected to see price increases due to strong battery production and ongoing maintenance at lithium salt plants [2] Wind Power Sector - Recent earnings forecasts in the wind power sector have largely fallen short of expectations, primarily due to a decline in Q4 shipments and year-end impairments [2] - The main machine segment has cleared out low-priced orders, indicating a confirmed bottom, with expectations for overall gross margin recovery starting in Q1 2026 [2] - Recommended stocks in this sector include Jinlei Co., Daikin Heavy Industries, and major machine manufacturers (Goldwind, SANY, Yunda, Mingyang) [2] Photovoltaic Sector - Positive outlook for space photovoltaic technology and silver-free solutions [2] - SpaceX has applied to the FCC to deploy 1 million satellites, enhancing the logic behind space photovoltaic initiatives [2] - High silver prices and technological breakthroughs have led to a reduction in costs for copper-based batteries by an average of 0.15 yuan/W, indicating a potential explosion in silver-free industrialization [2] AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) Sector - A new round of bidding is emerging in the domestic supply chain [2] - ByteDance is shifting its bidding towards high-voltage direct current solutions, while NVIDIA's GB300 liquid cooling certification is tightening, potentially redirecting investments towards core components and ASIC overflow [2] - The production capacity of Yingwei QD is expected to increase by 20 times in Q1, closely integrating with the NVIDIA ecosystem [2]
电力设备行业跟踪周报:容量电价政策出台,储能锂电优质龙头利好
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-02 00:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The introduction of a national capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to benefit leading lithium battery companies significantly [4] - The report highlights a strong growth forecast for energy storage, with an expected increase of over 60% in 2026, driven by high demand and supportive policies [4][8] - The report emphasizes the potential of solid-state batteries and the space photovoltaic sector, indicating a promising outlook for these technologies [4][8] Industry Trends - Energy Storage: The national capacity pricing mechanism has been released, marking a significant policy shift. The National Energy Administration has reported an addition of 62.24 GW/183 GWh of new energy storage capacity by 2025 [4] - Electric Vehicles: The report anticipates a recovery in electric vehicle sales, with a projected increase of 5-10% in domestic sales for 2026 [4] - Lithium Battery Market: The report notes a significant increase in lithium battery shipments, with a forecast of 1100 GWh globally in 2026, representing a 72% year-on-year growth [4] Company Insights - CATL (宁德时代) is highlighted as a global leader in power and energy storage batteries, with a low valuation and confirmed growth trajectory [7] - Other companies such as 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power Supply), 固德威 (GoodWe), and 比亚迪 (BYD) are also recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [7] - The report mentions specific financial forecasts for various companies, indicating expected profitability improvements and revenue growth in the coming years [4][7] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a strong push for large-scale energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with a focus on leading companies that are expected to benefit from policy changes and market demand [4][8] - It recommends investing in companies with strong technological advantages and overseas market expansion capabilities, particularly in the robotics and automation sectors [4][8]
晶科科技:公司将进一步扩大各类储能项目建设规模
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-01-30 15:10
Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar (601778) is focusing on its energy storage business as a key emerging area for development, with plans to expand project scale based on policy and market dynamics [1] Group 1: Energy Storage Business - The company has over 10 GWh of energy storage projects under construction and in reserve, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [1] - Future expansion of energy storage projects is anticipated to create a new growth engine for the company [1] Group 2: Financial Health and Strategic Plans - The company currently has a strong cash flow and ample cash reserves [1] - A valuation enhancement plan was announced for early 2025, aimed at optimizing resource allocation and creating new competitive advantages [1] - The company is exploring investment and acquisition opportunities in the renewable energy sector and emerging business areas through various methods, including equity mergers and establishing industrial funds [1]
算力缺口重塑电力红利,AIDC供应商集体奔赴“A+H”双通道
Core Insights - The rise of Artificial Intelligence Data Centers (AIDC) is transforming the energy landscape, making electricity a critical resource for computing power limits [1][2] - AIDC companies are rapidly crossing capital boundaries, initiating a new era of dual financing platforms, referred to as "A+H" [3] - The shift from "selling computing power" to "controlling energy" reflects a deep transformation in industry logic, with companies racing to secure funding before global energy shortages become a consensus [4] Company Developments - Jinpan Technology, a leading supplier of AIDC power equipment, reported a staggering 603.68% year-on-year increase in data center orders for 2024 [7] - The company is expanding its R&D into high-voltage direct current (HVDC) and solid-state transformers (SST), with expected revenue of approximately 5.194 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.25% [7] - DeYe Co., a leader in household energy storage inverters, is set to submit its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in January 2026, focusing on SST and smart cloud platforms [7] - Unisplendour is leveraging its high market share in networking to address communication latency issues in AI clusters [7] Market Trends - The collective move to the Hong Kong market is not merely a financing action but a strategic effort to anchor global supply chains and enhance liquidity premiums [8] - The AIDC industry is undergoing a systemic reconstruction, transitioning from a focus on computing chips to comprehensive infrastructure [11] - The demand for efficient power supply systems is increasing, with traditional AC power being replaced by more efficient 800V HVDC systems [12] Policy and Future Outlook - Recent government policies indicate a shift from "computing power infrastructure" to "industrial deep integration," emphasizing the need for enhanced AI computing supply [18] - The focus on "artificial intelligence+" actions highlights the importance of iterative technological breakthroughs driven by application demands [19] - The anticipated growth in capital expenditures from North American AI giants and Chinese internet companies signals a robust demand for AIDC infrastructure [20]
研报掘金丨国海证券:首予动力新科“增持”评级,AIDC电源用发动机提供盈利弹性
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-29 07:33
国海证券研报指出,动力新科是国内具备兆瓦级能力的厂商之一,AIDC电源用发动机有望助力公司实 现较快增长。公司拥有菱重发动机与上柴动力双品牌覆盖。菱重发动机2025年H1净利润约1亿元,2026 年产量或持续快速增长。并表的上柴动力兆瓦级vk16已投产,2026年销量或明显增长,且单台盈利能力 较强。菱重发动机与上柴动力的AIDC电源用兆瓦级发动机有望助力公司实现较快增长。新科动力具备 AIDC电源用发动机能力,相关业务有望带动公司快速增长;上汽红岩出表,公司财务表现预计有显著 改善;新领导层上任,"十五五"目标双倍增,公司有望向社会资源战略进一步转向,并优化提升产品结 构与经营效率。首次覆盖,给予"增持"评级。 ...
麦格米特:加大投入ALLINAI,26年业绩有望拐点加速向上-20260129
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-29 07:25
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·其他电源设备Ⅱ 麦格米特(002851) 2025 年业绩预告点评:加大投入 ALL IN AI, 26 年业绩有望拐点加速向上 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书:S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 司鑫尧 执业证书:S0600524120002 sixy@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -24% -7% 10% 27% 44% 61% 78% 95% 112% 129% 146% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 麦格米特 沪深300 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 6,754 | 8,172 | 8,683 | 12,220 | 16,613 | | 同比(%) | 23.30 | 21.00 | 6.25 | 40.72 ...
麦格米特(002851):加大投入ALLINAI,26年业绩有望拐点加速向上
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-29 06:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to increase its investment in AI, with a potential turning point in performance anticipated in 2026 [1] - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to be 8.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.25% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is forecasted to be 133.47 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 69.40% year-on-year [1] - The company is positioned as the only supplier of AI server power supplies for Nvidia in mainland China, with expectations for increased orders and market share [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 6.75 billion yuan - 2024: 8.17 billion yuan - 2025: 8.68 billion yuan - 2026: 12.22 billion yuan - 2027: 16.61 billion yuan [1][8] - Net profit projections are: - 2023: 629.32 million yuan - 2024: 436.12 million yuan - 2025: 133.47 million yuan - 2026: 800.61 million yuan - 2027: 1.72 billion yuan [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is: - 2023: 1.14 yuan - 2024: 0.79 yuan - 2025: 0.24 yuan - 2026: 1.46 yuan - 2027: 3.12 yuan [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 139.18 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 76.56 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently 121.65, projected to rise to 573.63 in 2025 before decreasing to 44.54 by 2027 [1][5]
动力新科(600841):公司深度研究:上汽红岩出表后轻装上阵,AIDC电源用发动机提供盈利弹性
Guohai Securities· 2026-01-28 11:25
2026 年 01 月 28 日 公司研究 评级:增持(首次覆盖) 研究所: 证券分析师: 徐鸣爽 S0350525120002 xums@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师: 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 上汽红岩出表后轻装上阵,AIDC 电源用发动机 提供盈利弹性 ——动力新科(600841)公司深度研究 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2026/01/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 动力新科 | 48.2% | 43.7% | 99.8% | | 沪深 300 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 23.6% | | 市场数据 | | | 2026/01/28 | | 当前价格(元) | | | 9.01 | | 52 周价格区间(元) | | | 4.22-9.48 | | 总市值(百万) | | | 12,504.27 | | 流通市值(百万) | | | 9,397.65 | | 总股本(万股) | | | 138,782.18 | | ...
开源证券:重视通信涨价方向 AIDC、算力租赁及光纤光缆等环节有望受益
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 02:33
2026年1月23日,全球云计算巨头亚马逊云科技宣布对其面向大模型训练的EC2机器学习容量块实施约 15%的价格上调,这是AWS长达约二十年首次打破"只降不涨"的定价传统。机器学习容量块是AWS为 应对高性能GPU等稀缺计算资源供需失衡所推出的定制化服务模式,用户可提前预订指定型号的GPU实 例,确保关键算力资源的稳定供给。全球AI发展如火如荼,该行认为AWS作为亚马逊核心的公有云平 台,此次涨价一方面再次确认了全球AI算力需求端的高景气度,另外一方面从供给角度来看,AI云产 业链资源稀缺性或日益凸显。 英伟达向CoreWeave追加20亿美元投资,AI算力租赁需求旺盛 开源证券发布研报称,亚马逊AWS近二十年来首次涨价,上调AI训练实例价格约15%。英伟达向算力 租赁商CoreWeave追加20亿美元投资。同时,Meta与康宁签订60亿美元光纤采购长单,以支持其AI数据 中心建设。这些事件共同印证了全球AI发展正持续推高对底层算力与网络设施的需求,AIDC、算力租 赁及光纤光缆等环节有望受益。 开源证券主要观点如下: 亚马逊AWS宣布涨价,AI云基础设施稀缺性或日益凸显 根据华尔街见闻公开新闻,Meta已与 ...