居民消费

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业内预计:4月份CPI或温和波动 服务价格持续复苏
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-05-07 16:12
5月7日,《证券日报》记者采访了多位业内人士,前瞻4月份居民消费价格指数(CPI)与工业生产者出厂 价格指数(PPI)走势。受访专家普遍认为,基于已公布的4月份各项商品的高频数据来看,4月份CPI同比 有望温和波动;受外部不确定因素影响,大宗商品价格承压,4月份PPI同比跌幅或有所扩大。 在CPI方面,中信证券首席经济学家明明对《证券日报》记者表示,预计4月份CPI同比增长0.25%,环 比涨幅为0.46%。中金研报显示,4月份CPI同比或从-0.1%温和回升至0.1%。但西部证券(002673)首 席宏观分析师边泉水与民生银行首席经济学家温彬持相对谨慎态度,前者预计4月份CPI同比下降 0.2%,跌幅较3月份扩大0.1个百分点,后者则预测4月份CPI环比下降0.2%,同比下降0.3%。 能源与耐用品价格承压,服务消费成亮点。中金研报认为,以旧换新政策持续发力或将支撑非食品消费 品价格,服务价格或持续温和复苏。 温彬表示,综合影响下,能源价格跌幅扩大。受国际因素影响,国内成品油价格呈现"大起大落"走势。 其他能源方面,煤炭价格持续走低,天然气价格微降。4月份耐用消费品价格承压。一方面,新车集中 上市带动技术升 ...
中金:一文看懂五一假期数据
中金点睛· 2025-05-05 23:42
中金研究 五一消费恢复环比提速,看好居民消费需求持续释放 据商务部,五一假期全国重点零售和餐饮企业销售额同比增长6.3%,增速相较24年国庆(4.5%)、25年春节(5.4%)呈环比提速;各省市及线上平台发 布的消费数据显示,长线游、出入境游均有亮眼表现,同时品类上以旧换新备受欢迎,演唱会、潮玩等体验型消费亦表现较好。展望后续,我们继续看好 消费提振政策逐步显效,全年居民消费需求持续释放。 1、五一期间商圈客流及消费延续回暖。 根据各省市数据,高线城市重点商圈客流较火热,北京60个重点商圈(+8.3%)、上海35个重点商圈 (+12.9%)、长沙五一商圈(峰值+22.2%)同比增幅明显,显示假期外出客流及消费意愿高涨。消费意愿方面,5月1至5日境内微信支付总消费订单同增 10%,显示出较好的消费热情。分地区看,根据各省市商务局披露,南京、上海、杭州等重点旅游城市消费数据(具体口径详见下方图表)分别同增 8.7%/13.1%/9.0%。 2、出入境游"双向奔赴",品质游、长线游表现优。 交通运输部预计5月1日至5日全社会跨区域人员流动量约14.7亿人次,日均同比增长约8.0%,好于春 节及去年国庆;据飞猪统计, ...
农村绿皮书:以旧换新政策激发农村居民消费潜能
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 04:22
深圳商报·读创客户端驻京记者 宋华 文/图 中国社会科学院农村发展研究所与社会科学文献出版4月30日社共同发布《农村绿皮书:中国农村经济 形势分析与预测(2024~2025)》。绿皮书指出,随着县域商业网络设施不断完善,物流效率持续提 升,促消费政策效果不断显现,农村居民消费潜力持续释放,农村居民消费支出增速快于全国居民。 2024年农村居民人均消费支出19280元,名义增长6.1%,扣除价格因素,实际增长5.8%,名义增速和实 际增速分别较全国居民快0.8个和0.7个百分点。 2024年,农村居民人均食品烟酒支出占生活消费支出比重(恩格尔系数)为32.3%,比上年下降0.1个百 分点,农村居民消费结构持续改善,以衣食住等基本需求为主的生存型消费占比回落,教育文化娱乐、 交通通信等发展和改善型消费支出比重提升。食品烟酒、衣着、居住等生存型消费支出占消费支出比重 为57.0%,比上年下降0.7个百分点,教育文化娱乐、交通通信和其他用品及服务所占比重上升0.8个百 分点。 服务性消费支出潜能释放 随着乡村振兴战略不断推进,城乡进一步融合发展,服务消费场景持续拓展,农村居民服务消费潜力不 断释放。农村居民人均服务性 ...
一季度成绩单出炉!中山GDP同比增长4.2%
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-04-29 10:52
4月29日,中山市统计局公布今年一季度经济运行简况。公报称,一季度,中山坚持稳中求进工作总基 调,着力推动高质量发展,全市经济运行平稳开局。 来源:中山统计 工业生产稳步增长。一季度,全市规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.6%。分门类看,制造业增长6.2%, 电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业下降5.9%。分行业看,在产的34个工业行业中,增长面为64.7%, 其中,电气机械和器材制造业增长7.1%;计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业增长14.5%;医药制造业 增长23.2%。按现代产业看,先进制造业增长7.9%,占规上工业的比重为52.4%;高技术制造业增长 14.3%,占比为18.0%。 服务业回升向好。一季度,全市服务业增加值同比增长3.4%。其中,信息传输、软件和信息技术服务 业增加值增长9.0%;租赁与商务服务业增加值增长7.5%;住宿餐饮业增加值增长5.6%。规模以上服务 业加快恢复,1-2月营业收入增长6.3%,其中信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业增长9.0%;租赁和商务 服务业增长7.2%;交通运输、仓储和邮政业增长6.9%。 物价水平总体稳定。一季度,中山居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比增长0.1%;其 ...
一季度湖北GDP为13543.49亿元 同比增长6.3%
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-04-28 06:47
Economic Overview - In the first quarter, the province achieved a GDP of 13,543.49 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.3% [1] - The primary industry added value was 828.69 billion yuan, growing by 3.2%; the secondary industry added value was 5,344.85 billion yuan, growing by 6.4%; and the tertiary industry added value was 7,369.95 billion yuan, growing by 6.5% [1] Agriculture - The agricultural sector's added value was 876.42 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.4% [1] - Key agricultural products showed stable production, with pork output at 968,400 tons, increasing by 6.2% [1] - Vegetable production reached 10,076,000 tons, growing by 3.8%, while fruit production increased by 10.1% to 284,500 tons [1] Industrial Production - The added value of large-scale industrial enterprises grew by 8.1%, accelerating by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - High-tech manufacturing saw a significant increase of 21.4%, contributing 36.4% to the growth of large-scale industry [1] - Major industries such as electrical, computer communication electronics, and chemicals experienced substantial growth rates, with electrical industry growing by 22.8% [1] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 6.5%, with transportation and warehousing increasing by 13.7% [3] - The revenue of large-scale service enterprises reached 2,129.54 billion yuan, growing by 13.8% [3] - Financial institutions reported a deposit balance of 99,630.54 billion yuan, increasing by 8.7% year-on-year [3] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) grew by 6.6%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 12.1% [4] - Infrastructure investment rose by 4.4%, while real estate development investment declined by 5.5% [4] - High-tech industry investment increased by 12.8%, with aerospace and computer equipment manufacturing seeing significant growth [4] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 6,887.19 billion yuan, growing by 7.3% [5] - Sales of home appliances and furniture saw substantial increases, with growth rates of 21.1% and 26.3% respectively [5] - Online retail sales grew by 24.3%, indicating a strong shift towards e-commerce [6] Trade and Exports - The province's total import and export volume reached 1,743.1 billion yuan, with exports growing by 22.4% [7] - General trade accounted for 80.9% of the total trade volume, indicating a robust trade structure [7] - Machinery and electrical products exports increased by 19.2%, making up 54.7% of total exports [7] Employment and Income - The urban unemployment rate averaged 5.4%, remaining stable compared to the previous year [9] - The per capita disposable income for residents was 11,075 yuan, growing by 5.4% [10] - The income gap between urban and rural residents narrowed, with the ratio decreasing to 2.06 [10]
一季度青海GDP为963.58亿元 同比增长4.6%
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-04-28 06:03
Economic Overview - The total GDP of Qinghai Province reached 96.358 billion yuan in the first quarter, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.6% [1] - The primary industry added value was 2.814 billion yuan, growing by 5.4%; the secondary industry added value was 40.006 billion yuan, growing by 5.3%; and the tertiary industry added value was 53.538 billion yuan, growing by 3.9% [1] Agricultural Production - The production of vegetables and edible fungi increased by 4.2% year-on-year, while fruit production surged by 30.1% [2] - Livestock output saw significant growth, with cattle up by 9.7%, sheep by 7.4%, and overall meat production increasing by 1.7%, alongside a remarkable 35.8% rise in egg production [2] Industrial Production - The added value of large-scale industries grew by 6.4% year-on-year, an increase of 5.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] - Manufacturing saw an 8.2% increase, mining increased by 12.3%, while the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water decreased by 1.0% [3] - Notable growth in specific sectors included chemical manufacturing at 10.6%, non-ferrous metal smelting at 15.9%, and a dramatic 48.1% increase in non-metallic mineral mining [3] - Key product outputs included a 69.3% increase in pig iron, 61.5% in crude steel, and a 65.8% rise in steel products [3] Service Sector - The added value of the service sector grew by 3.9%, accounting for 55.6% of the total GDP, with a 1.6 percentage point acceleration compared to the previous year [4] - Significant growth was observed in information transmission and software services at 11.1%, leasing and business services at 34.0%, and transportation and storage at 11.7% [4] - The total volume of express delivery services increased by 30.0%, with revenue rising by 15.0% [4] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 22.147 billion yuan, marking a 0.6% increase year-on-year, the first growth since 2024 [5] - Notable increases in specific categories included wearable smart devices at 2.3 times, home appliances at 26.8%, and new energy vehicles at 48.5% [5] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment grew by 5.6% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment showing a robust increase of 63.4% [6] - Investment in transportation and postal services surged by 80.0%, while real estate development investment decreased by 24.5% [6] Employment and Prices - The average urban unemployment rate was 5.7%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The consumer price index (CPI) remained stable, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% in March [7] Resident Income and Expenditure - The per capita disposable income reached 8,051 yuan, reflecting a 5.8% increase year-on-year [8] - Per capita consumption expenditure was 6,035 yuan, growing by 3.6% [8]
一季度西藏GDP为717.21亿元 同比增长7.9%
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-04-28 06:03
中国经济网4月28日讯据西藏自治区统计局消息,根据地区生产总值统一核算结果,2025年一季度,全 区实现生产总值717.21亿元,按不变价格计算,同比增长7.9%。分产业看,第一产业增加值19.67亿 元,同比增长10.7%;第二产业增加值287.05亿元,增长12.4%;第三产业增加值410.49亿元,增长 5.4%。 一、农业生产持续稳固。农林牧渔业总产值26.2亿元,同比增长10.5%。蔬菜产量7.15万吨,增长 21.2%。肉蛋奶产量9.78万吨,增长23.1%。猪牛羊肉产量2.35万吨,增长19.4%。3月末,猪牛羊存栏 1807.17万头(只),较上年同期增长1.6%。 十一、居民消费价格保持平稳。居民消费价格同比上涨0.1%,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI上涨 0.3%。 六、旅游市场持续活跃。接待国内外游客471.89万人次,同比增长11.7%,其中,接待国内游客469.80 万人次,增长11.6%。实现旅游总花费42.75亿元,增长11.1%。 七、货物进出口持续增长。货物贸易进出口23.08亿元,同比增长5.9%。其中,出口19.5亿元,与上年 同期基本持平;进口3.58亿元,增长56.7 ...
2025年一季度居民收入和消费支出情况
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-04-16 02:01
一、居民收入情况 一季度,全国居民人均可支配收入12179元,比上年同期名义增长5.5%,扣除价格因素,实际增长5.6%。分城乡看,城镇居民人均可支配收入15887元,增 长(以下如无特别说明,均为同比名义增长)4.9%,扣除价格因素,实际增长5.0%;农村居民人均可支配收入7003元,增长6.2%,扣除价格因素,实际增 长6.5%。 按收入来源分,一季度,全国居民人均工资性收入6976元,增长5.9%,占可支配收入的比重为57.3%;人均经营净收入2071元,增长5.7%,占可支配收入的 比重为17.0%;人均财产净收入1015元,增长2.7%,占可支配收入的比重为8.3%;人均转移净收入2117元,增长5.5%,占可支配收入的比重为17.4%。 一季度,全国居民人均可支配收入中位数9939元,增长5.0%,中位数是平均数的81.6%。其中,城镇居民人均可支配收入中位数13450元,增长4.5%,中位 数是平均数的84.7%;农村居民人均可支配收入中位数5575元,增长6.3%,中位数是平均数的79.6%。 图1 2025年一季度全国及分城乡居民人均可支配收入 二、居民消费支出情况 一季度,全国居民人均消费 ...
3月广东CPI同比、环比降幅均收窄 八大类商品(服务)价格同比“4涨4降”
Nan Fang Ri Bao Wang Luo Ban· 2025-04-14 08:49
4月11日,国家统计局广东调查总队发布3月居民消费价格等数据。3月,广东居民消费价格指数 (CPI)同比、环比降幅均收窄。1—3月平均,广东居民消费价格较上年同期下降0.4%。工业生产者出 厂价格指数(PPI)同比下降1.3%。 PPI同比下降1.3% 3月,广东工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)同比下降1.3%,降幅比2月扩大0.6个百分点;环比下降 0.4%;工业生产者购进价格指数(IPI)同比下降2.2%,环比持平。 从同比来看,工业生产者出厂价格中,生产资料价格下降2.0%,降幅比2月扩大0.8个百分点,影响总指 数下降1.32个百分点。其中,采掘工业价格下降4.5%,原材料工业价格下降2.6%,加工工业价格下降 1.9%;生活资料价格由2月上涨0.3%转为下降0.1%,影响总指数下降0.02个百分点。 工业生产者购进价格中,有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨9.6%,纺织原料类价格上涨0.5%;燃料、动 力类价格下降9.7%,黑色金属材料类价格下降8.3%,建筑材料及非金属类价格下降3.8%,农副产品类 价格下降3.8%。 从环比来看,工业生产者出厂价格中,生产资料价格由2月上涨0.3%转为下降0.5%,影 ...
3月南京居民消费价格同比下降0.3%,鲜菜量足质优价格实惠
Yang Zi Wan Bao Wang· 2025-04-10 05:44
3月,南京居民消费价格环比下降0.3%,八大类价格环比"二涨一平五降":衣着、生活用品及服务价格上涨,其他用品及服务价格持平,食品烟酒、居 住、交通通信、教育文化娱乐、医疗保健分别下跌。食品价格环比下降1.1%,降幅较上月扩大0.8个百分点。鲜活食品价格环比下降1.6%,其中,鲜菜、 猪肉、鸡蛋价格分别下降5.3%、3.5%、3.1%;淡水鱼、虾蟹类价格分别上涨1.7%、1.3%。非食品价格环比下降0.2%,其中汽油、柴油价格降幅明显,假 期效应过去,电影及演出票、旅行社收费、宾馆住宿价格也有较大幅度下降,金饰品价格则上涨1.8%。 3月南京居民消费价格同比下降0.3%,八大类价格同比"五涨三降":衣着、生活用品及服务、教育文化娱乐、医疗保健、其他用品及服务价格分别上涨, 食品烟酒、居住、交通通信价格分别下降。食品价格同比下降0.9%,其中,鲜菜、虾蟹类分别下降9.5%、1.8%;猪肉、淡水鱼、鸡蛋、鲜果分别上涨 6.7%、5.9%、0.3%、0.8%。非食品价格同比下降0.1%,降幅较上月收窄0.4个百分点,其中工业消费品价格下降0.7%,服务价格由上月下降1.0%转为持 平。 扬子晚报网4月10日讯(记者 ...