中新网海口1月24日电 (记者王子谦)记者23日从海南省统计局获悉，根据地区生产总值统一核算结果， 2025年，海南省地区生产总值8108.85亿元，按不变价格计算，比上年增长4.0%。 从固定资产投资来看，2025年，海南全省固定资产投资同比下降16.5%。大规模设备更新政策持续发力 显效，全省设备工器具购置投资增长9.0%，拉动投资增长1.1个百分点。 分产业来看，第一产业增加值1642.55亿元，增长4.4%；第二产业增加值1463.86亿元，增长1.0%；第三 产业增加值5002.44亿元，增长4.6%。 农业生产形势良好，2025年，海南省农林牧渔业总产值2631.86亿元，同比增长4.7%。工业发展提速升 级，全省规模以上工业增加值同比增长9.9%。从门类看，装备制造业和高技术制造业增加值延续高增 长态势，分别增长103.1%和28.1%，快于全部规模以上工业93.2和18.2个百分点，动能转换步伐不断加 快。 2025年，海南全省服务业(第三产业)增加值同比增长4.6%。旅游市场持续升温，大型演艺、体育赛事和 节庆活动引流效果显现，全年接待游客10607.48万人次，旅游总花费2254.32亿元 ...

转自：邯郸发布 根据地区生产总值统一核算结果，河北省全年地区生产总值49305.2亿元，按不变价格计算，比上年增 长5.6%。分产业看，第一产业增加值4514.5亿元，增长3.4%；第二产业增加值17622.4亿元，增长 5.4%；第三产业增加值27168.3亿元，增长6.1%。 2025年河北省 城镇就业和居民收入 稳步增长 1月22日下午 河北省人民政府新闻办公室举行 2025年河北经济运行情况新闻发布会 会上公布 2025年河北省地区生产总值 全年城镇新增就业人员90.0万人，完成全年计划的104.6%。 全年居民人均可支配收入36439元，比上年增长5.1%。按常住地分，城镇居民人均可支配收入47544 元，增长4.2%；农村居民人均可支配收入23319元，增长5.9%。城乡居民收入差距进一步缩小，城乡居 民收入比值为2.04，比上年缩小0.03。 全年居民人均消费支出25464元，比上年增长5.0%。按常住地分，城镇居民人均消费支出30522元，增 长4.1%；农村居民人均消费支出19488元，增长5.8%。 ...

居民收入上，2025年，西宁市全体居民人均可支配收入38727元，同比增长4.8%，比全省平均增速低0.3 个百分点。其中，农村居民人均可支配收入19369元，增长6.0%，与全省平均增速持平；城镇居民人均 可支配收入45605元，增长4.1%，比全省平均增速高0.1个百分点。西宁市全体居民人均消费支出25951 元，同比增长3.8%。其中，农村居民人均消费支出16193元，增长7.3%；城镇居民人均消费支出29418 元，增长2.8%。 同时，2025年，西宁市居民消费价格指数（CPI）比上年同期下降0.2%。分类别来看，CPI所调查的八 大类商品及服务价格同比呈"六涨两降"态势。其中，其他用品及服务类价格上涨10.1%，教育文化娱乐 类价格上涨2.1%，衣着类价格上涨0.8%，生活用品及服务类价格上涨0.5%，居住类价格上涨0.4%，医 疗保健类价格上涨0.2%；交通通信类价格下降2.3%，食品烟酒类价格下降1.8%。 2025年，西宁粮食总产量稳中有升，总产量24.1万吨，比上年增加0.6万吨，增长2.6%。粮食播种面积 91.5万亩，比上年减少0.1万亩，下降0.1%。粮食综合每亩单产263.2公斤， ...

▲1月21日，北京市人民政府新闻办公室举行2025年北京经济运行情况新闻发布会。市统计局，国家统计局北京调查总队相关负责同志介绍情况并回答记 者提问。北京市委宣传部对外新闻处处长叶昶主持。 记者提问 2025年，我市居民消费价格总体低位平稳运行。从月度同比指数看，呈现"前低后高"态势。前三季度，除1月份受春节因素带动同比上涨0.3%以外，各月 同比均为下降；四季度，在翘尾减弱以及季节性因素影响下，CPI转为上涨，涨幅逐月扩大，12月份上涨至1.0%。 我市CPI运行结构性特征较为明显，食品方面，价格保持降势。2025年，我市持续通过强化产销对接、加强政府储备等措施，做好老百姓生活必需品的保 供稳价工作，食品价格同比下降2.0%，下拉CPI 0.28个百分点。主要食品中，鲜菜供应充足，价格走势以降为主，全年同比下降4.2%；受季节性因素影 响，鲜果价格上涨0.4%；鸡蛋、猪肉产能充足，价格分别下降7.3%和6.8%。 工业消费品方面，价格由上年下降0.1%转为上涨0.4%。一方面，国际大宗商品价格变动对金饰品和能源价格变化影响较大。其中，国际金价持续冲高， 带动金饰品价格上涨45.0%；国际市场原油价格下降，汽 ...

2025年度四川民生调查主要数据出炉 1月19日，国家统计局四川调查总队召开2025年度四川民生调查数据新闻发布会。记者从会上获悉， 2025年，四川坚持稳中求进工作总基调，深入实施"四化同步、城乡融合、五区共兴"发展战略，民生经 济运行稳中有进。 粮食稳定增产 各地压实耕地保护和粮食安全责任，以建设新时代更高水平"天府粮仓"为引领，坚持稳面积、增单产两 手发力，全年粮食稳定增产。全年全省粮食总产量3662.5万吨，比上年增加28.7万吨，增长0.8%；粮食 播种面积9618.5万亩，比上年增加9.7万亩，增长0.1%；粮食单产380.8公斤/亩，比上年提高2.6公斤/ 亩，增长0.7%。 全年全省猪牛羊禽肉总产量666.9万吨，比上年增加21.1万吨，增长3.3%。其中，猪肉产量502.0万吨， 增长4.7%；牛肉产量39.0万吨，增长5.1%；羊肉产量20.8万吨，下降9.4%；禽肉产量105.1万吨，下降 1.1%。全年全省生猪出栏6248.0万头，比上年增长1.6%；年末生猪存栏3582.1万头，比上年下降1.7%。 居民收入持续增长 全年全省居民人均可支配收入36120元，比上年名义增长5.2%，扣 ...

(经济观察)"暖"数据传递中国民生保障温度 中新社北京1月19日电 (记者 刘亮)19日发布的统计数据显示，2025年中国国内生产总值(GDP)比上年增 长5%。在这份来之不易的"成绩单"背后，就业、收入等领域的关键数据传递出中国民生保障温度。 一是就业形势总体稳定，城镇调查失业率平稳。 2025年，中国城镇调查失业率平均值为5.2%，低于5.5%左右的预期目标。全年31个大城市失业率平均 值为5.1%，与上年持平，较全国城镇整体水平低0.1个百分点。大城市失业率走势平稳，峰值较上年下 降0.1个百分点，全年保持在5.0%至5.3%之间。 主体劳动力失业率保持较低水平。2025年，城镇30—59岁劳动力失业率平均值为4.0%，低于全国城镇 整体水平1.2个百分点，30—59岁劳动力占中国城镇劳动力总量比重近八成，相关人群就业稳是保障整 体就业形势平稳的重要基础。农民工就业也保持平稳，城镇外来农业户籍劳动力失业率年平均值为 4.7%，11、12月降至4.4%的年内最低水平，与上年同期相比分别为持平、下降0.1个百分点。 就业市场的总体稳定，离不开政策有力引导。国家统计局人口和就业统计司司长王萍萍介绍，2025年 ...

Core Insights - The next five years are expected to be a historic phase for the rapid expansion and quality improvement of service consumption in China, with a focus on enhancing the proportion of service consumption and improving its quality through various measures [1] Group 1: Service Consumption Growth - The conditions for mature service consumption are accumulating, with China's per capita GDP expected to rise from over $10,000 in 2019 to $14,300 by 2025, leading to an increase in service consumption expenditure [2] - By 2024, per capita service consumption expenditure is projected to reach 46.1%, indicating significant growth potential compared to countries like the US (68.5%) and the UK (59.1%) [2] - The middle-income group in China is expected to exceed 800 million in the next decade, indicating a substantial increase in the consumer base with payment capacity [2] Group 2: Government Initiatives - Recent government policies aimed at promoting high-quality service consumption include the issuance of several action plans and financial support measures, such as a 500 billion yuan loan for service consumption and pension [3] - The introduction of new technologies like AI, 6G, and the metaverse is creating diverse new service consumption scenarios, enhancing both online and offline consumption experiences [3] Group 3: Challenges in Service Consumption - Despite growth potential, challenges remain, including a slowdown in disposable income growth, with an average annual increase of 5.5% from 2014 to 2024, and a widening income gap as indicated by a Gini coefficient above 0.42 [4][5] - The income distribution is highly unequal, with the top 10% holding about 40% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% only holds 15% [4] - Structural issues in income sources, such as a decline in property income growth, and significant disparities in income between urban and rural residents, pose additional challenges [4][5] Group 4: Supply-Side Bottlenecks - There is a mismatch in supply and demand, with a saturation of traditional services but a shortage of high-quality, personalized services, particularly in sectors like elderly care and education [6] - The low standardization and quality of services hinder consumer confidence, with issues such as inconsistent service quality and risks associated with prepaid services [6] - Market entry barriers and a rigid regulatory framework limit innovation and competition in various service sectors, affecting service efficiency and business model innovation [6] Group 5: Recommendations for Improvement - To enhance service consumption, measures should be taken to improve residents' income through employment stabilization and social security reforms, which can boost consumer confidence [7] - Policy innovations should focus on enriching high-quality service supply by supporting infrastructure development in sectors like culture, tourism, and healthcare, and attracting foreign investment [8] - Expanding new service consumption scenarios through cultural and community initiatives can help integrate various consumption experiences and enhance service accessibility [9] - Establishing a comprehensive service consumption standard system and improving consumer protection mechanisms are essential for building trust and enhancing service quality [10] - Adapting service consumption strategies to demographic changes, such as the aging population and childcare needs, will be crucial for future growth [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of industrial production, construction, and demand trends in China, highlighting weak performance in various sectors while noting some marginal improvements in construction and consumer activity. Industrial Production - The operating rate of blast furnaces continues to decline, with a week-on-week decrease of 1.1% to 81.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.8 percentage points [2] - Steel apparent consumption has also decreased, with a week-on-week decline of 2.68% and a year-on-year drop of 2.4 percentage points to 1.2% [2] - Social inventory of steel continues to decline, down 2.9% week-on-week [2] Construction Industry - Cement production and demand show marginal improvement, with the national grinding operating rate increasing by 0.5% week-on-week to 38.9% [23] - Cement shipment rates decreased by 0.8% week-on-week to 44.4%, with a year-on-year decline of 2.1% [23] - Cement inventory ratio continues to decline, down 1.9% week-on-week [23] Demand Trends - The average daily transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities decreased by 24% week-on-week and 20.8 percentage points year-on-year [46] - The migration scale index remains stable, with a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points to 19.8% [58] - Movie attendance and box office revenue saw significant increases, with attendance up 322.0% year-on-year and revenue up 313.9% [64] Price Trends - Agricultural product prices are generally rising, with vegetable prices increasing by 2.1% week-on-week, while pork prices fell by 0.7% [88] - The South China industrial product price index rose by 1% week-on-week, with energy prices up 0.3% and metal prices up 1.7% [100]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of industrial production, construction, and demand trends in China, highlighting a mixed performance across various sectors, with some showing signs of recovery while others remain weak. Industrial Production Tracking - The operating rate of blast furnaces has significantly declined, with a week-on-week decrease of 3% to 81.7%, and a year-on-year drop of 3.3 percentage points [2][6] - Steel apparent consumption has increased by 2.7% week-on-week and returned to positive territory year-on-year, up 2.9 percentage points to 2.8% [2][8] - Social inventory continues to decline, down 2.1% week-on-week [2] Construction Industry Insights - Cement production and demand have shown slight improvement but remain weaker than the same period last year, with a grinding operating rate up 1% to 46.3% week-on-week and a year-on-year increase of 2.8 percentage points [24][25] - Cement shipment rates increased by 0.8% week-on-week but are down 8.8% year-on-year [24][28] - The cement inventory ratio continues to rise, up 2.3% week-on-week [24][31] Demand Tracking - The transaction volume of commercial housing continues to decline, with a week-on-week drop of 11.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 4.3 percentage points to -25% [47][48] - The average daily transaction area in 30 major cities has seen significant declines, particularly in first-tier cities, which experienced a year-on-year drop of 20.1 percentage points [47][51] - Port cargo throughput has rebounded significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 16.5% [57][64] Price Trends - Agricultural product prices are showing mixed performance, with vegetable prices rising by 8.1% week-on-week, while pork and egg prices have decreased by 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively [99][100] - The overall industrial product prices are on the rise, with the South China Industrial Product Price Index increasing by 1.8% week-on-week [111][112]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Outlook - The report highlights that both the US and China are entering critical years, with global investment driven by three and a half engines: AI investment, defense spending, and industrial restructuring [1][14] - The nominal GDP growth rate is expected to recover, with a focus on domestic demand and technology as key policy areas [1][2] - The transition from old to new economic drivers in China is anticipated to gain momentum, leading to a rebalancing of supply and demand [2][11] Group 2: Policy Environment - The "15th Five-Year Plan" sets a supportive policy tone, with monetary policy expected to remain accommodative, albeit with less room than in the current year [3][15] - Fiscal policy is projected to maintain a certain level of expansion, with total tools estimated at 15.7 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan from this year [3][15] - The report emphasizes the importance of structural tools and the coordination between monetary and fiscal policies to support various sectors [3][15] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The narrative of "asset scarcity" in the bond market is expected to weaken, with a focus on the verification of corporate profits and capacity utilization [4][18] - The report notes that government bond supply is likely to increase, but market pressure will be manageable due to central bank support [4][18] - Institutional behavior is identified as a major source of market volatility, with a reduction in stable funding leading to increased market fluctuations [4][18] Group 4: Bond Market Strategy - The bond market is expected to maintain a "low interest rate + high volatility" characteristic, with the central rate likely remaining stable or slightly increasing [5][18] - The report suggests a strategy of segment trading, coupon strategies, and equity exposure as priorities over duration adjustment and credit downgrading [5][18] - The ten-year government bond yield is projected to fluctuate between 1.6% and 2.1%, with a widening of term spreads anticipated [5][18]