1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China's economy shows mixed trends with some indicators like GDP growth having slight fluctuations while trade maintains an upward - positive momentum [1][2] - The global commodity market is influenced by multiple factors such as central bank policies, supply - demand dynamics, and geopolitical situations, leading to different trends in various commodities [4][5][9] - The financial market presents complex characteristics including bond market fluctuations, exchange rate changes, and the potential of capital market support for科创 enterprises [19][24][17] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data Overview - In Q2 2025, GDP grew 5.2% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter [1] - In July 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, and the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.1%, both showing a decline compared to the previous month [1] - In June 2025, social financing scale, M0, M1, M2, and financial institution RMB loans all had different trends compared to the previous month and the same period last year [1] - In June 2025, CPI increased 0.1% year - on - year, and PPI decreased 3.6% year - on - year [1] - In June 2025, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) increased 2.8% year - to - date, and the cumulative year - on - year growth of total retail sales of consumer goods was 5% [1] - In July 2025, export and import values showed year - on - year growth, with exports growing 7.2% and imports growing 4.1% [1] 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - China's trade in July 2025 maintained growth, with exports (in RMB) up 8% and imports up 4.8%, and a trade surplus of 7051 billion yuan [2] - The July 2025 China warehousing index was 50.1%, indicating continued expansion but at a slower pace, and new orders for bulk commodity warehousing increased [2] - S&P maintained China's sovereign credit rating at "A+" with a "stable" outlook, and China's macro - policies will continue to strengthen in the second half of the year [3] - There are differences within the Fed regarding interest - rate policies, increasing the uncertainty of monetary policy [3] 3.2.2 Metals - China's central bank increased its gold reserves in July 2025 for the 9th consecutive month, and global central banks' gold purchases are an important support for gold demand [4] - China's July 2025 rare - earth exports decreased 23% month - on - month, while soybean imports reached a record high and coal imports rebounded [5] - The SPDR Gold Trust's gold holdings increased 0.66% to 959.09 tons as of August 7 [5][6] - Dutch International Bank raised its 2025 average gold price forecast to $3250 per ounce [5] - London Metal Exchange inventory data on August 6 showed different trends for various metals [6] 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - In late July 2025, the steel inventory of key steel enterprises decreased compared to the previous ten - day period [7] - In the first 7 months of 2025, China's imports of some commodities like iron ore decreased in quantity and price, while others like crude oil had different trends [7] - On August 7, stainless - steel and nickel futures prices rose, boosting market confidence [8] 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - On August 7, international oil prices continued to decline due to OPEC+ production increase plans, weak US economic data, and other factors [9] - A German energy company plans to purchase more natural gas from the US in the future [9] - Citi predicts that Brent crude oil prices will fall below $60 per barrel by the end of the year [9] - Chevron's oil tankers will load oil in Venezuela later this month [9] - Germany's natural gas storage is lower than last year but replenishment is ongoing [9] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - The Philippines will suspend rice imports for 60 days starting September 1, which may affect global rice prices [10] - Most listed pig - raising companies had a decrease in pig sales volume in July 2025 compared to June, and pig and pork prices remained at a low level [10][11] 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On August 7, the central bank conducted 1607 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1225 billion yuan [12] - On August 8, the central bank will conduct 7000 billion yuan of 3 - month买断式 reverse repurchase operations, and analysts expect the central bank to maintain market liquidity through various tools [12] 3.3.2 Important News and Information - S&P maintained China's sovereign credit rating and outlook, and China's macro - policies will continue to support the economy in the second half of the year [13] - The trading association strengthened the self - regulation of bond underwriting quotes [14] - As of the end of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves decreased, while gold reserves increased for the 9th consecutive month [14] - In July 2025, China's foreign trade reached a new high for the year, with exports and imports both growing [14] - The mechanism to support small - and micro - enterprise financing has achieved certain results [15] - The government will strengthen the governance of prominent issues in enterprise - related fines and increase supervision of government credit in enterprise - related matters [15] - In July 2025, the real - estate industry's bond financing increased significantly, and the average financing interest rate decreased [16] - The capital market will strengthen support for science - and technology innovation enterprises [17] - Hong Kong plans to strengthen the regulation of licensed money - lenders [17] - There were various events in the bond market including self - regulation, bondholder meetings, and credit rating adjustments [18] 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The bond market showed a generally volatile and slightly stronger trend, with yields of major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market mostly declining [19] - In the exchange - traded bond market, some bonds rose while others fell [20] - The convertible bond index decreased slightly, with some bonds having significant gains or losses [20] - On August 7, money - market interest rates showed different trends, and Shibor short - end rates mostly decreased [21] - Bank - to - bank and inter - bank repurchase fixed - rate showed different trends, and some bond - issuing and trading operations had specific results [22] - European and US bond yields had different trends [22][23] 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market Express - On August 7, the on - shore and offshore RMB exchange rates against the US dollar rose, and the US dollar index fell [24] 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Shenwan Hongyuan's fixed - income research expects the convertible bond market to follow the positive trend of the underlying stocks in August [25] - CITIC Securities believes that the economic fundamentals have limited risks, and it is recommended to maintain a balanced allocation of stocks and bonds in the short term [25] - Western Securities' fixed - income research shows that bond funds increased leverage in Q2 2025, and the duration of most types of bond funds reached a historical high [25] - Shenwan Hongyuan's fixed - income research predicts the 10 - year Treasury bond's trading range from August to October and points out potential risks [26] - CICC believes that the US economy improved in July 2025, and there are potential impacts on the US stock market and bond yields in the short term, but risk assets have long - term potential [26] - CICC's fixed - income research expects the bond market to continue to fluctuate, and credit spreads may follow interest - rate fluctuations [27] 3.3.6 Today's Reminders - On August 8, 227 bonds will be listed, 127 bonds will be issued, 151 bonds will be paid, and 186 bonds will have principal and interest repaid [28] 3.4 Stock Market Important News - On August 7, the A - share market showed a trend of rising and then falling, with some sectors performing strongly and others weakly [29] - The Hong Kong stock market rose, and real - estate and non - ferrous metals led the gains [29] - MSCI adjusted its global index, adding and removing some stocks [29] - The National Healthcare Security Administration held meetings on "healthcare insurance support for innovative medical devices" with participation from many top - tier institutions [29]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported the financial market operations for June 2025, highlighting a bond market custody balance of 188.5 trillion yuan as of the end of June [1][2]. Bond Market Issuance - In June, the bond market issued a total of 87,939.5 billion yuan in various bonds, including 15,903.9 billion yuan in government bonds, 11,753.2 billion yuan in local government bonds, 10,738.7 billion yuan in financial bonds, 14,257.3 billion yuan in corporate credit bonds, 247.2 billion yuan in credit asset-backed securities, and 34,569.3 billion yuan in interbank certificates of deposit [2]. Bond Market Operations - The interbank bond market saw a total transaction volume of 34.3 trillion yuan in June, with an average daily transaction of 1.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.2% but a month-on-month increase of 6.2% [3]. Foreign Participation in Bond Market - As of the end of June, foreign institutions held a custody balance of 4.3 trillion yuan in the Chinese bond market, accounting for 2.3% of the total custody balance [4]. Money Market Operations - The interbank lending market recorded a transaction volume of 8.4 trillion yuan in June, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a month-on-month increase of 26.0% [5]. Commercial Paper Market - In June, the acceptance amount of commercial bills reached 3.5 trillion yuan, while the discount amount was 2.8 trillion yuan, with small and micro enterprises accounting for 93.2% of all bill issuers [6]. Stock Market Performance - By the end of June, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,444.4 points, up 96.9 points or 2.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose to 10,465.1 points, an increase of 424.5 points or 4.2% [7]. Holder Structure in Interbank Bond Market - As of the end of June, there were 3,989 institutional members in the interbank bond market, all of which were financial institutions, with the top 50 investors in corporate credit bonds holding 48.0% of the total [9].

Market Overview - In June, the average daily trading volume in the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 510.4 billion yuan, an increase of 8.6% month-on-month; the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's average daily trading volume was 796.9 billion yuan, up 11.5% month-on-month [1][7] Bond Market Issuance - In June, the bond market issued a total of 87,939.5 billion yuan in various bonds, including 15,903.9 billion yuan in government bonds, 11,753.2 billion yuan in local government bonds, 10,738.7 billion yuan in financial bonds, 14,257.3 billion yuan in corporate credit bonds, 247.2 billion yuan in credit asset-backed securities, and 34,569.3 billion yuan in interbank certificates of deposit [2] Bond Market Operation - In June, the interbank bond market had a total transaction volume of 34.3 trillion yuan, with an average daily transaction of 1.7 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.2% but a month-on-month increase of 6.2% [3] Foreign Participation in Bond Market - As of the end of June, the custody balance of foreign institutions in the Chinese bond market was 4.3 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.3% of the total custody balance [4] Money Market Activity - In June, the interbank lending market had a transaction volume of 8.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a month-on-month increase of 26.0% [5] Commercial Paper Market - In June, the acceptance amount of commercial bills was 3.5 trillion yuan, and the discount amount was 2.8 trillion yuan [6] Stock Market Performance - By the end of June, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,444.4 points, an increase of 96.9 points or 2.9% month-on-month; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,465.1 points, up 424.5 points or 4.2% month-on-month [7]

Bond Market Issuance - In June 2025, the total issuance of various bonds in the bond market reached 87,939.5 billion yuan, including 15,903.9 billion yuan of government bonds, 11,753.2 billion yuan of local government bonds, 10,738.7 billion yuan of financial bonds, 14,257.3 billion yuan of corporate credit bonds, 247.2 billion yuan of credit asset-backed securities, and 34,569.3 billion yuan of interbank certificates of deposit [3] Bond Market Custody Balance - As of the end of June, the custody balance of the bond market was 188.5 trillion yuan, with 166.7 trillion yuan in the interbank market and 21.9 trillion yuan in the exchange market. The custody balances by bond type included 37.2 trillion yuan of government bonds, 51.7 trillion yuan of local government bonds, 42.7 trillion yuan of financial bonds, 33.7 trillion yuan of corporate credit bonds, 1.0 trillion yuan of credit asset-backed securities, and 21.1 trillion yuan of interbank certificates of deposit [3] Bond Market Trading Activity - In June, the interbank bond market saw a total transaction volume of 34.3 trillion yuan, with an average daily transaction of 1.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.2% but a month-on-month increase of 6.2%. The exchange bond market recorded a transaction volume of 3.8 trillion yuan, with an average daily transaction of 190.5 billion yuan [4] Foreign Participation in Bond Market - By the end of June, the custody balance of foreign institutions in the Chinese bond market was 4.3 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.3% of the total custody balance. Foreign institutions held 2.1 trillion yuan of government bonds, 1.2 trillion yuan of interbank certificates of deposit, and 0.8 trillion yuan of policy bank bonds [5] Money Market Activity - In June, the interbank lending market recorded a transaction volume of 8.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a month-on-month increase of 26.0%. The bond repurchase transactions totaled 156.3 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.7% and a month-on-month increase of 20.4% [6] Commercial Paper Market - In June, the acceptance amount of commercial bills was 3.5 trillion yuan, and the discount amount was 2.8 trillion yuan. By the end of June, the acceptance balance of commercial bills was 19.3 trillion yuan, and the discount balance was 14.8 trillion yuan. Small and micro enterprises accounted for 93.2% of the total bill issuers and 69.8% of the total bill issuance amount [7] Stock Market Performance - At the end of June, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,444.4 points, up 96.9 points or 2.9% from the previous month. The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,465.1 points, up 424.5 points or 4.2%. The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai market was 510.4 billion yuan, an increase of 8.6% month-on-month, while the Shenzhen market's average daily trading volume was 796.9 billion yuan, an increase of 11.5% month-on-month [9] Bond Market Holder Structure - As of the end of June, there were 3,989 institutional members in the interbank bond market, all of which were financial institutions. The top 50 investors in corporate credit bonds held 48.0% of the total, primarily concentrated in public funds, state-owned commercial banks, and insurance financial institutions [10]

Group 1 - The Japanese market is closed today due to Ocean Day, while the South Korean KOSPI index opened with slight fluctuations at 3191.11 [1]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks traded mostly lower, with the Dow Jones index dropping over 250 points, down 0.60% to 44,382.58, while the NASDAQ rose slightly by 0.06% to 20,643.06, and the S&P 500 fell 0.23% to 6,266.23 [1] - European shares were lower, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 dipping 1.07%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index falling 0.99%, London's FTSE 100 down 0.47%, Germany's DAX 40 slipping 0.81%, and France's CAC 40 declining 0.94% [5] - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei down 0.19%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng up 0.46%, China's Shanghai Composite gaining 0.01%, and India's BSE Sensex falling 0.83% [6] Company Earnings - WD-40 Co. (WDFC) reported better-than-expected earnings for its third quarter, although sales missed estimates. The company raised its FY2025 EPS guidance but narrowed its sales forecast [2] Stock Movements - MiNK Therapeutics, Inc. (INKT) shares surged 526% to $48.40 following a publication in Oncogene [8] - Ruanyun Edai Technology Inc. (RYET) shares increased by 19% to $18.37 after signing a strategic partnership with Confucius Institute at Prince Sultan University [8] - Signing Day Sports, Inc. (SGN) shares rose 98% to $2.4350 due to advancements in its business combination with One BlockchAIn [8] - Milestone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (MIST) shares dropped 41% to $1.5050 after announcing a public offering [8] - Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) shares fell 11% to $175.20 following the announcement of the departure of its Chief Financial Officer [8] - TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) shares decreased by 10% to $112.93 [8] Commodities - In commodity news, oil prices increased by 2.6% to $68.28, gold rose by 1.5% to $3,375.80, silver gained 4.1% to $38.830, while copper fell by 0.9% to $5.5425 [4]

Group 1 - The US stock market opened with all three major indices declining, with the Dow Jones down 0.54%, Nasdaq down 0.32%, and S&P 500 down 0.43% [2][3] - Chinese concept stocks showed mixed performance, with Futu Holdings rising over 1.5% and Beike falling over 2% [2][3] - Major tech companies mostly declined, with Google down over 0.5% as it plans to offer cloud service discounts to the US government [2][3] Group 2 - US stock index futures were all down before the market opened, with Dow futures down 0.62%, S&P 500 futures down 0.55%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.46% [4][5] - European major indices also experienced declines, with France's CAC40 down 0.81%, Germany's DAX down 0.73%, and the UK's FTSE 100 down 0.35% [6][7] Group 3 - Spot gold saw an intraday increase of 1%, currently priced at $3357.84 per ounce [8] - Canada's employment numbers for June increased by 83,100, with the unemployment rate at 6.9%, down from the previous 7.0% [9]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices experienced slight gains, with the Dow Jones up 0.43%, S&P 500 up 0.27%, and Nasdaq up 0.09% [1] - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Tesla rising over 4%, Nvidia up 0.75%, Apple up 0.6%, Google up 0.57%, while Amazon fell 0.13%, Microsoft down 0.4%, and Facebook down 0.76% [1] - Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with ZTO Express up over 9%, Beike up over 6%, Daqo New Energy up over 6%, NIO up over 6%, and Pony.ai up over 6%. In contrast, Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics fell over 4%, Century Internet down over 2%, Kingsoft Cloud down over 2%, and NetEase down over 2% [1] - European stock indices closed mixed, with Germany's DAX down 0.38%, France's CAC40 up 0.3%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 1.23% [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.36% at $3333.00 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 2.72% at $37.63 per ounce [1] - International oil prices weakened, with the main U.S. oil contract down 2.21% at $66.87 per barrel and Brent crude down 1.91% at $68.85 per barrel [1] Currency and Bond Markets - At the New York close, the U.S. dollar index rose 0.10% to 97.59, while the offshore RMB against the U.S. dollar increased by 70 basis points to 7.1783 [1] - U.S. Treasury yields collectively rose, with the 2-year yield up 3.13 basis points to 3.870%, 3-year yield up 2.78 basis points to 3.836%, 5-year yield up 3.15 basis points to 3.932%, 10-year yield up 1.78 basis points to 4.348%, and 30-year yield up 0.30 basis points to 4.868% [1] - European bond yields mostly increased, with the UK 10-year yield down 1.6 basis points to 4.593%, while France's 10-year yield rose 3.7 basis points to 3.395%, Germany's 10-year yield up 3.2 basis points to 2.702%, Italy's 10-year yield up 3.5 basis points to 3.557%, and Spain's 10-year yield up 2.6 basis points to 3.316% [1]

Market Overview - On July 4, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.32% to close at 3472.32 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 10508.76 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.36% to 2156.23 points[2] - The total trading volume in both markets exceeded 1.4 trillion CNY, amounting to 14,285.45 billion CNY[2][4] Sector Performance - The banking sector led gains with an increase of 1.84%, followed by media at 0.91% and comprehensive services at 0.71%[5] - The beauty and personal care sector experienced the largest decline at -1.87%, followed by non-ferrous metals at -1.60% and basic chemicals at -1.22%[5] Market Sentiment - A total of 1,169 stocks rose, while 4,118 stocks declined, indicating a market breadth of 21.37% for advancing stocks[4] - The net inflow of funds into the banking sector was significant, contributing to its positive performance[6] Risk Factors - The report highlights potential risks from international market fluctuations that could impact domestic performance[3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - In the period from June 20 to June 27, 2025, the central bank conducted a total of 116.28 billion yuan in reverse repurchase operations, with 117.52 billion yuan in reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1.24 billion yuan. The inter - bank funds prices were differentiated, with DR001 down 0.59BP to 1.3683% and DR007 up 20.27BP to 1.6968%. The primary market for interest - rate bonds issued 86.764 billion yuan, with a total repayment of 8.6988 billion yuan for maturing bonds, and a net financing of 78.0652 billion yuan. The yields of 1 - year and 3 - year Treasury bonds decreased, while those of 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year Treasury bonds increased, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread widened from 28.44BP to 30.10BP [1]. - From June 23 to June 29, 2025, in the primary market for credit bonds, 1,049 new bonds (including inter - bank certificates of deposit) were issued, with a total issuance scale of 120.9212 billion yuan, a decrease of 48.8649 billion yuan compared with the previous period. The total repayment of credit bonds was 157.2077 billion yuan, with a net financing of - 36.2865 billion yuan. Most of the credit bond yields at maturity increased. Asset - backed securities had the largest proportion in terms of the number of issuances, and the financial industry had the largest number of bond issuances [2]. - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the three major US stock indexes rose, with the Dow up 3.82%, the S&P 500 up 3.44%, and the Nasdaq up 4.25%. European stock indexes also generally rose. The yields of US Treasury bonds decreased overall, the US dollar index fell 1.52%, and non - US currencies strengthened. The prices of crude oil and gold declined during the week [3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Interest - rate Bonds 3.1.1 Liquidity Observation - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the central bank had a net withdrawal of funds, and the inter - bank funds prices were differentiated, with DR001 down and DR007 up. The exchange funds prices generally increased [15]. 3.1.2 Primary Market Issuance - From June 23 to June 29, 2025, the primary market for interest - rate bonds had an increase in net financing, and the issuance of local government bonds increased. The total issuance was 86.764 billion yuan, with a net financing of 78.0652 billion yuan [27]. 3.1.3 Secondary Market Trading - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the yields of Treasury bonds and policy - bank bonds were differentiated, and the term spreads widened. For Treasury bonds, the 10Y - 1Y term spread widened from 28.44BP to 30.10BP; for policy - bank bonds, it widened from 19.20BP to 20.50BP [37]. 3.2 Credit Bonds 3.2.1 Primary Market Issuance - From June 23 to June 29, 2025, the issuance of credit bonds decreased compared with the previous period. Asset - backed securities had the largest proportion in terms of the number of issuances, and the financial industry had the largest number of bond issuances. The AAA - rated bonds accounted for 61.35% of the total issuance scale, and the issuance was mainly in the 3 - 5 - year term [48]. 3.2.2 Secondary Market Trading - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, most of the yields of urban investment bonds at maturity increased, and the yields of medium - and short - term notes were differentiated [58]. 3.2.3 One - week Credit Default Event Review - From June 23 to June 29, 2025, one enterprise's credit bonds defaulted [60]. 3.3 Observation of Major Asset Classes 3.3.1 Rise of European and American Stock Indexes - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the three major US stock indexes and European stock indexes generally rose, and some Asian - Pacific stock indexes also increased [62]. 3.3.2 Decline of US Treasury Bond Yields - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the yields of US Treasury bonds decreased overall, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread changed to 32.00BP [64]. 3.3.3 Weakening of the US Dollar Index and Strengthening of Non - US Currencies - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the US dollar index fell 1.52%, and non - US currencies strengthened [68]. 3.3.4 Decline of Crude Oil and Gold Prices - From June 20 to June 27, 2025, the prices of crude oil and gold declined. The COMEX gold futures price fell 2.79%, and the Brent crude oil price fell 12.00% [70]. 3.4 Investment Suggestions - The bond market in July may show a pattern of strong fluctuations. The central bank's second - quarter regular meeting signaled continued easing, flexible adjustment, and structural efforts in monetary policy. It is recommended to adopt a riding strategy for interest - rate bonds and a strategy of extending the duration of high - grade bonds for credit bonds [4].