Market Overview - US stock market indices, including the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000, reached both intraday and closing historical highs on Thursday, driven by signals from the Federal Reserve indicating an upcoming interest rate cut cycle [1][3] - The Dow Jones increased by 124.10 points (0.27%) to 46,142.42, the Nasdaq rose by 209.40 points (0.94%) to 22,470.73, the S&P 500 gained 31.61 points (0.48%) to 6,631.96, and the Russell 2000 surged by 59.317 points (2.46%) to 2,466.662 [3] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, with two additional cuts anticipated this year, boosting investor sentiment regarding economic growth [3][4] - Initial jobless claims in the US decreased by 33,000 to 231,000, marking the largest drop in nearly four years, aligning with low layoff levels in the economy [5] Company Highlights - Intel's stock surged approximately 26% following Nvidia's announcement of a $5 billion investment to co-develop data center and personal computer chips, which also led to a more than 3% increase in Nvidia's stock [3][6] - Palantir secured a $750 million contract to expand its presence in the UK market [6] - Tesla received an order for 10,000 units of its Optimus 3+ humanoid robots [6] - TSMC's stock rose amid reports that Apple has secured over half of the 2nm production capacity for next year [6] Sector Performance - Small-cap companies, represented by the Russell 2000, are expected to benefit more from low interest rates due to their reliance on external funding for operations and growth [3] - Semiconductor stocks experienced a rally, driven by Intel's performance and Nvidia's investment announcement [6] - Quantum computing stocks saw a broad increase, continuing the upward trend from the previous day [6]

期货公司营业部作为期货公司与客户直接接触的"前沿阵地"，通过长期深耕区域市场，精准捕捉客户需 求，多样化服务，为产业链各环节注入金融动能。 新湖期货陆家嘴营业部、国投期货北京分公司与华泰期货郑州营业部在产业服务中展现出了鲜明特色， 其经验做法为期货行业服务实体经济提供了有益借鉴。 聚焦实际需求产业服务彰显成效 构建完善体系打造立体服务网络 在走访中期货日报记者了解到，上述三家营业部立足于所服务的产业领域特点，结合总部资源与区域优 势，构建起各具特色的服务框架，为服务的深化推进奠定了坚实基础。 新湖期货上海陆家嘴营业部总经理许斌表示，新湖期货构建的"1+6"服务模式为营业部服务产业提供了 坚实框架。 华泰期货郑州营业部依托地域贴近性、服务深耕性和资源整合力三大优势，深入产业聚集区掌握企业动 态，熟悉区域产业特点，联动地方政府、协会提供 "期货+现货"综合解决方案，选派专业人员组成专家 小组，定期驻点重点企业嵌入其日常经营，实时提供专业建议。 国投期货北京分公司总经理周博介绍，公司聚酯纺织业务团队深耕产业链，对企业经营模式、采购销售 习惯、成本结构、风险敞口有着深刻理解，能与客户快速建立合作；同时，贴近客户提供及 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%-4.25% as a risk management measure to address economic slowdown and cooling labor market, while also aiming to guide inflation back to target [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP growth for the first half of the year was 1.5%, which is below expectations, indicating pressures from slowing consumer growth, recovering business investment, and a sluggish real estate market [1] - The unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%, with new job additions falling to a three-month average of 29,000, highlighting a dual decline in labor market supply and demand, with a faster contraction in supply [1] - Core PCE inflation remains above target at 2.9% year-on-year, despite a decline from previous highs, complicating the inflation outlook due to a rebound in commodity prices and increasing divergence in service sector inflation [1] Group 2: Interest Rate Dynamics - Short-term Treasury yields (1 year and below) fell sharply after the announcement, with 3-month and 1-year yields closing at 3.97% and 3.62% respectively, reflecting strong market expectations for further Fed easing [2] - The 2-year and 5-year yields also declined but to a lesser extent, consistent with historical patterns where short-term rates react more quickly to rate cuts [2] - Long-term Treasury yields (10 years and above) exhibited complex movements post-rate cut, initially declining but then rebounding, with 20-year and 30-year yields closing at 4.65% and 4.68% respectively, indicating a "short drop, long stability/rise" phenomenon [2] Group 3: Historical Context - Historically, short-term capital gains are significant but limited in the early stages of rate cuts, while long-term yields tend to show considerable gains due to duration advantages, influenced by actual interest rate expectations, term premiums, and global liquidity [3] - Short-term rates (1-3 years) are highly sensitive to changes in the federal funds rate, often reacting ahead of formal rate cuts, while long-term rates are more influenced by economic outlook and inflation expectations [3] - The overall behavior of the yield curve during rate cut cycles is dynamic, with short-term rates responding quickly and long-term rates exhibiting more complex fluctuations, emphasizing the importance of Fed communication on long-term rate trends [3]

Group 1 - The U.S. labor department reported that initial jobless claims for the week ending September 13 were 231,000, a decrease of 33,000 from the previous week, and below the Dow Jones estimate of 240,000 [3] - The increase in jobless claims the previous week was attributed to a temporary spike in Texas, indicating no broader issues in the labor market [3] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the recent interest rate cut was a "risk management" decision, dampening expectations for long-term rate cuts [3] Group 2 - In Europe, bond yields rose, with the 10-year German bond yield increasing by 3.3 basis points to 2.71% and the 10-year Italian bond yield rising by 4.2 basis points to 3.54% [4] - The European Central Bank is facing challenges in balancing economic growth prospects and inflation concerns, leading to a decision to maintain interest rates [4] - The Bank of England voted 7-2 to keep rates unchanged at 4%, with two members advocating for a 25 basis point cut [4] Group 3 - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate around 0.5%, with no significant impact anticipated from the Federal Reserve's rate cut [5] - Japanese bond yields mostly rose, with the 2-year yield increasing by 0.7 basis points to 0.885% [7] - The U.S. Treasury plans to issue $204 billion in bonds, including $100 billion in 4-week and $85 billion in 8-week short-term bonds [7]

Core Insights - The insurance capital is increasingly favoring S funds due to their alignment with long-term investment strategies and the need for stable returns in a low-interest-rate environment [1][2] - The investment scale of S funds in China reached 33.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a significant increase of 95.9% compared to 17.1 billion yuan in the same period of 2024, indicating a growing market interest [1] Group 1: Reasons for Insurance Capital's Preference for S Funds - S funds match the long duration of insurance liabilities, effectively mitigating duration mismatch risks [2][3] - They provide stable, cross-cycle returns by holding non-liquid assets, which is appealing for insurance capital seeking sustainable long-term returns [2] - S funds enhance portfolio diversification and volatility resistance, serving as an alternative asset allocation path [2][3] Group 2: Characteristics of S Funds - S funds invest in funds with clear underlying assets, avoiding the "blind pool risk" associated with traditional private equity funds, thus enhancing safety [3] - The underlying project information is relatively complete, facilitating due diligence and compliance with regulatory requirements [3] - Many existing funds are in the exit phase, providing clear cash return schedules that align with insurance capital's liability needs [3] Group 3: Selection Criteria for S Funds - Insurance capital focuses on asset quality and GP (General Partner) capabilities when selecting S funds [4] - Evaluation criteria include management capabilities, exit success rates, and post-investment management efficiency [5] - Preference is given to projects with clear exit paths, such as IPOs or acquisitions, and those with established revenue and profit [4][5] Group 4: Challenges in S Fund Investment - Valuation difficulties arise due to the diverse nature of underlying assets and information asymmetry between buyers and sellers [6][7] - Conducting thorough due diligence is complicated by the opacity of some underlying projects and potential restrictions in sensitive industries [6] - The complexity of multi-layered structures and the subjective nature of valuations pose additional challenges [6][7] Group 5: Recommendations for Market Improvement - Establishing long-term assessment mechanisms is suggested to align with the nature of S funds as mid-to-long-term equity investment tools [7] - Maintaining policy continuity and developing a robust equity share trading market are recommended to enhance the S fund investment environment [7] Group 6: Future Trends for S Funds - An increase in structured transactions is anticipated, with debt-like structures seeking high certainty and equity-like structures targeting high growth potential [8] - The rise of active management strategies is expected, as buyers with pricing and project selection capabilities will take a more proactive approach [8] - M&A exits are projected to become a significant option, shifting from the traditional reliance on IPOs, necessitating GPs to have M&A experience and resources [8]

转自：新华信用 大商所产融基地通过培训、调研等活动，搭建银期合作平台，通过产融基地示范带动作用，推动产业链相关企业认识 和加强期现结合提升风险管理能力，服务实体经济助力产业生态优化。 活动期间，国家粮油信息中心齐驰名提出，当前国际玉米供需格局复杂，企业需强化数据研判能力；大连商品交易所 张鹏远推介期转现业务功能，为期货市场引入新的协商交易机制，便利交割、降低成本、提升市场效率；吉林省农发 粮食集团米清介绍了"国有企业风险管理实务与案例解析"；国泰君安期货汪欣茹分享了"期权工具原理及在玉米产业中 的应用实例"。 此外，京粮集团、厦门国贸等企业代表就期现结合实操展开深入探讨，一致认为金融赋能将加速农业产业从传统经营 向高质量发展转型。未来将以产融基地为纽带，扩大合作覆盖面，推动更多企业参与期货市场，为国家粮食安全与乡 村振兴注入更强动能。 编辑：穆皓 9月17日，由吉林省农发粮食集团、国泰君安期货、国泰海通证券吉林分公司主办，大连商品交易所特别支持的"DCE· 产业行-产融基地2025年玉米产业培训活动"在长春圆满收官。活动以"模式创新，期现联动，管控风险，稳定经营"为 主题，强调金融工具赋能农业实体的重要作用， ...

Core Viewpoint - The current market situation is described as the "calm before the storm," with uncertainty surrounding potential future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could impact market performance and earnings [1][3][20]. Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve's recent dot plot suggests three potential rate cuts, while the market is pricing in two and a half, indicating a weaker economic outlook than previously communicated [2][3]. - Concerns about the labor market and unemployment are rising, with suggestions to focus on the unemployment rate rather than job creation as a more accurate economic indicator [5]. Market Reactions - The market's reaction to the Fed's rate cut has been mixed, with some viewing it as easing valuation pressures, particularly for high-profile stocks like the MAG 7, while others are using options to hedge against potential downturns [9][11]. - There has been a notable spike in put options, indicating that traders are preparing for downside risks despite the rate cut [10][11]. Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to consider diversification across various asset classes, including equities and bonds, with a particular focus on sectors that may be undervalued or less favored [12][14]. - The bond market is highlighted as a potentially attractive area for investment, especially given the current economic conditions and the Fed's actions [18]. Market Sentiment - There is a sense of euphoria in the market following the Fed's announcement, with futures showing positive movement, but this sentiment may be short-lived as the next earnings cycle approaches [19][21].

他提到，亚洲在全球衍生产品市场中一直备受瞩目，其所占的市场份额正不断攀升，增长持续亮眼：根 据美国期货业协会的数据，亚洲在全球衍生产品市场的份额已由2021年的49%急升至2024年的 82%，三 年间合约成交量激增4.5倍至1692亿张。相比之下，其他两个主要地区的市场份额于同期有所下滑。亚 洲市场的表现优于其他地区的因素众多，其中包括印度等一些新兴市场于近年高速发展，以及投资者以 衍生产品作对冲的需求日渐殷切。 梁仲贤还表示，作为首个针对衍生产品的互联互通机制，互换通的推出具有里程碑意义。随着海外投资 者对内地债券市场的投资稳步增加，于2023年5月开通的互换通利便投资者参与在岸人民币利率互换市 场。互换通提供了一个崭新渠道，让投资者可以在香港对冲内地债券持仓的风险。 智通财经APP获悉，9月17日，香港证监会市场监察部执行董事梁仲贤先生在2025年期货期权世界 (FOW)Trading Asia会议上发表主题演说时称，经历数十载的蓬勃发展，香港的衍生产品市场不仅已成 为本地金融体系的重要组成部分，更是亚洲市场的主要增长来源。值得注意的是，香港已跻身亚洲最大 的场外衍生产品市场之列，特别是在人民币外汇和利 ...

美国市场出现分歧：金融和工业指数支撑道琼斯指数，但增长/科技疲软打压纳斯达克指数和标准普尔指数。 波动性和收益率 美国主要指数 美联储降息25个基点至4.00%-4.25%的目标区间，为2025年首次降息。鲍威尔将其描述为应对劳动力市场疲软迹象的"风险管理"举措。 • VIX：▼ -3.91% 15.72 美元。美联储政策没有意外后波动性下降 AvaTrade爱华每日市场报告 2025-09-18，全球金融市场在美联储自2025年以来的首次降息后呈现出复杂走势。尽管美联储将利率下调25个基点至 4.00%-4.25%的区间，并将其定位为应对经济风险的"风险管理"举措，但市场反应却出现显著分化。美股涨跌互现，道指在金融和工业股支撑下收涨，而标 普500指数和纳斯达克100指数则受科技股拖累小幅回调，后者部分源于对中国限制采购高端人工智能芯片的担忧。与此同时，欧洲市场基本持平，英国高于 预期的通胀数据则强化了其对利率维持高位的预期。 | 4 | Today: Sep 18 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Date | 8:28am | | Cur ...

Group 1 - The largest gold ETF, iShares Silver Trust, reported a holding of 975.66 tons of gold as of September 17, a decrease of 4.29 tons from the previous trading day [1] - As of September 17, the spot gold price closed at $3659.55 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.82%, with an intraday high of $3707.40 and a low of $3645.85 [1] Group 2 - The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, lowering the federal funds target rate range to 4.00%-4.25%, signaling a dovish stance for monetary policy in the fourth quarter [3] - Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming economic data, including initial jobless claims expected to be 240,000 and UK retail sales data for August, which is forecasted to increase by 0.3% month-over-month and 0.6% year-over-year [3]