格隆汇12月22日丨东土科技(300353.SZ)公布，在国家深入推进关键核心技术自主可控战略的背景下， 工业操作系统作为产业链供应链安全"补短板" 范畴的关键环节，正迎来政策赋能与市场需求双轮驱动 的发展机遇。为进一步优化子公司北京光亚鸿道操作系统有限公司（简称"光亚鸿道"或"目标公司"）的 股权结构，充分借助国家级战略资本的资源优势与产业协同效应，加速工业操作系统业务在关键行业和 重点领域的国产替代进程。公司下属子公司光亚鸿道拟通过增资扩股方式引入战略投资者国风投（北 京）智造转型升级基金（有限合伙）（简称"国风投基金"）。 国风投基金拟以人民币11,000万元对光亚鸿道进行增资，认购光亚鸿道新增注册资本2,875.5485万元， 占本次增资完成后光亚鸿道注册资本的5.8201%。本次增资完成后，光亚鸿道的注册资本由46,531.6030 万元增加至49,407.1515万元。公司及光亚鸿道其他股东北京工智源信息咨询中心（有限合伙）、昆仑北 工（北京）绿色创业投资基金（有限合伙）均放弃本次增资的优先认购权。本次增资完成后，公司持有 光亚鸿道的股权比例下降至70.8400%，光亚鸿道董事会仍由3名董事组成， ...

智通财经APP讯，东土科技(300353.SZ)发布公告，为进一步优化子公司北京光亚鸿道操作系统有限公司 (以下简称"光亚鸿道"或"目标公司")的股权结构，充分借助国家级战略资本的资源优势与产业协同效 应，加速工业操作系统业务在关键行业和重点领域的国产替代进程。公司下属子公司光亚鸿道拟通过增 资扩股方式引入战略投资者国风投(北京)智造转型升级基金(有限合伙)(以下简称"国风投基金")。国风投 基金拟以人民币1.1亿元对光亚鸿道进行增资，认购光亚鸿道新增注册资本2875.5485万元，占本次增资 完成后光亚鸿道注册资本的5.8201%。 ...

活用窩輪牛熊證應對震盪：以中芯國際為例的策略詳解 進入2025年第四季度，全球半導體行業在人工智慧等新興應用的驅動下，市場情緒持續回暖，港股半導體板塊亦備受關注。作為行業龍頭，中芯國際 （00981）股價在12月22日顯著上揚6.15%，報69元，成交額超過54億元，顯示資金活動相當活躍。然而，在急漲之後，股價正逼近關鍵的技術分水嶺，短 線走勢進入敏感時刻。以下將結合最新的技術圖表、市場多空觀點，以及如何運用衍生工具進行策略部署，為投資者提供一份聚焦短線的分析。 技術分析：多空指標交織，30日均線成勝負手 從技術層面審視，中芯國際的股價正處於一個多空力量相互角力的關鍵位置。股價在強勁反彈後，目前已成功收復10天移動平均線（約66.49元），但正挑 戰被視為短期生命線的30天均線（約69.36元）。市場上廣泛存在的觀點是，能否有效企穩於30日均線之上，將是判斷此輪反彈能否升級為一輪升勢的核心 依據。若能站穩，上漲空間將被打開；反之，若得而復失，股價則可能重新向下尋求支撐。根據分析，股價下方的兩級重要支持位分別位於65.1元（第一支 持）和更為關鍵的63.1元（第二支持）。65元一線可以視為短期的首道防線。上行的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of China's chip technology is expected to lead to a "DeepSeek moment" around 2026 or 2027, potentially disrupting Nvidia and its supply chain [4] Group 1: Semiconductor ETFs Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETFs have shown significant daily gains, with the Semiconductor Equipment ETF rising by 4.93% and the Chip Equipment ETF by 4.92% [2] - Year-to-date performance for these ETFs indicates strong growth, with the Semiconductor Equipment ETF up 55% and the Chip Equipment ETF up 56% [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Projections - Chinese chip manufacturers are accelerating their IPOs to secure funding essential for achieving technological self-reliance and competing globally in AI [4] - The semiconductor equipment ETF tracks an index where over 90% of the components are from the equipment, materials, and integrated circuit design sectors [4] - Major holdings in the semiconductor equipment ETFs include leading companies such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, and SMIC, which collectively account for nearly 80% of the index [4] Group 3: Investment Insights - According to招商证券, the domestic storage manufacturers are expected to continue expanding production, benefiting companies with strong market positions and high shares in storage equipment [5] - The equipment sector is currently in an upcycle, driven by increased demand for advanced processes due to AI, with a positive outlook for orders and production from leading equipment companies [5] - The trend towards self-sufficiency in the semiconductor supply chain in China is seen as a core theme with long-term investment value, supported by government policies and strong domestic demand [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its stock performance [5]. Core Insights - The company is well-positioned in the power supply sector, particularly benefiting from the demand for high-power server power supplies driven by the AIDC wave. The expected growth in net profit for 2025-2027 is projected at 326 million, 464 million, and 804 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 69.4, 48.8, and 28.1 [5]. - The company has established itself as a leading supplier of high-power server power supplies in China, with products that meet international high-end standards. It is one of the few suppliers capable of large-scale sales of high-power server power supplies, which positions it to capitalize on opportunities in AI and domestic substitution [5][32]. - The report highlights the company's strategic partnerships with major domestic server manufacturers and its ongoing collaboration with leading internet companies, which enhances its market presence [5]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2,870 million CNY in 2023, 3,798 million CNY in 2024, 4,817 million CNY in 2025, 6,082 million CNY in 2026, and 7,448 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.2%, 32.3%, 26.8%, 26.3%, and 22.5% respectively [4]. - The net profit forecast shows significant growth, with expected figures of 196 million CNY in 2023, 268 million CNY in 2024, 326 million CNY in 2025, 464 million CNY in 2026, and 804 million CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 117.1%, 36.9%, 21.7%, 42.4%, and 73.2% respectively [4][36]. - The company's gross margin is projected to improve, with estimates of 19.7% in 2023, 21.4% in 2024, 21.3% in 2025, 24.0% in 2026, and 26.6% in 2027 [36]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company ranks as the 12th largest power supply manufacturer globally in 2024, with sales of approximately 521 million USD, indicating a strong competitive position in the market [17]. - The report emphasizes the company's ability to meet the growing demand for high-power server power supplies, particularly in the context of the expanding global server market, which is expected to reach a scale of 282.35 billion CNY in China by 2025 [5][30]. - The company is strategically positioned to leverage its global production capabilities in Vietnam and Mexico to meet North American customer demands, enhancing its competitive edge [5].

消息面上，彭博社周一发文称，中国芯片技术发展迅速，有望在2026年或2027年迎来"DeepSeek时刻"，对英伟达及其供应链产生颠覆性影响。 12月22日，三大指数集体高开，芯片产业链多股拉升，存储和上游半导体设备板块表现活跃。半导体设备ETF（561980）高开拉涨3.60%，成交额迅速突破 1.5亿；成分股珂玛科技封涨停板，京仪装备涨超10%，上海新阳、长川科技、联动科技、中科飞测、立昂微等多股涨超8%。 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 年内最大上涨(%) | 年内涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 931865. CSI | 中证半导 | 80. 39 | 54. 82 | | 931743. CSI | 半导体材料设备 | 68. 13 | 47. 70 | | 980017. SZ | 国证芯片 | 71. 64 | 35. 67 | | 990001. CSI | 中华半导体芯片 | 73.01 | 37. 58 | | H30184. CSI | 半导体 | 73.78 | 39. 02 | | H30007.CSI | 芯片产业 | 72. 29 | 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a structural opportunity with significant capital inflow, particularly in the technology and Hainan sectors, indicating a clear direction for investors [1][2]. Market Performance - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 1.36 trillion, with a daily turnover of 18.619 trillion, reflecting increased investor interest [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69% to 3917.36 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index surged by 1.47% to 13332.73 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.23% to 3191.98 points [1]. - In contrast, the Hong Kong market showed minimal movement, with the Hang Seng Index up by only 0.11% [1]. Key Investment Directions - **Technology Growth Sector**: The communication sector led the market with a 4.28% increase, and the electronics sector rose by 2.62%, driven by favorable policies and technological advancements [1][2]. - **Hainan Sector**: The Hainan provincial state-owned enterprise index surged by 10.01%, and the Hainan Free Trade Port index increased by 9.28%, indicating strong market anticipation of policy benefits [2]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with solid policy and technological support, particularly in communications and electronics, while avoiding speculative small-cap stocks [3]. - Long-term outlook remains positive due to continuous foreign capital inflow and government support for technological innovation and consumption recovery [3].

Group 1 - The semiconductor equipment and storage industry continues to show strong performance, with a notable increase in the semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) rising over 4% and a transaction volume reaching 316 million yuan [1] - Key stocks such as Kema Technology and Lianang Micro hit the daily limit, while Shanghai Xinyang surged over 15%, and Ansen Co. increased by over 13% [1] Group 2 - Researchers from Shanghai Jiao Tong University have made a breakthrough in the next-generation optical computing chip field, achieving the first "Light" chip that supports large-scale semantic media generation models, marking China's leading position in the optical chip sector [3] - Bloomberg reported that China's rapid chip technology development may lead to a "DeepSeek moment" by 2026 or 2027, potentially disrupting Nvidia and its supply chain [3] - WSTS has revised its global semiconductor sales forecast for 2026 to $975.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.3%, with 2025 expected to reach $772.2 billion, up 22.5% year-on-year [3] Group 3 - According to Everbright Securities, global semiconductor sales are expected to grow further in 2025, driven by demand from AI computing power, data centers, and smart driving, following a recovery in 2024 [3] - SEMI predicts that global 12-inch wafer monthly production capacity will reach 11.1 million pieces by 2028, corresponding to a CAGR of approximately 7% from 2024 to 2028 [3] - The number of wafer foundries in mainland China is projected to increase from 29 in 2024 to 71 by 2027 [3] Group 4 - The current focus should be on leading companies in semiconductor photoresists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases that have technological accumulation and capacity scale, as well as deep ties with downstream wafer customers [4] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, with over 90% of the index comprising semiconductor equipment, materials, and integrated circuit design, all of which are in the upstream of the chip industry [4] - The index heavily invests in industry leaders such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, Cambrian, SMIC, and Haiguang Information, with a concentration of nearly 80% in the top ten holdings, indicating significant elasticity [4]

12月22日，半导体设备板块表现活跃，拓荆科技等多股创历史新高。半导体设备ETF（561980）收涨 4.22%、全天成交额高达3.5亿元。成份股方面，珂玛科技、立昂微涨停，上海新阳涨近16%，安森股份 涨超18%，联动科技、拓荆科技涨超10%，长川科技、中芯国际、海光信息、南大光电等权重股涨超 5%，北方华创、华海清科跟涨。 | く コ | | | 半导体设备ETF | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 561980.SH 扩 | | | | | | | | 2.026 | | 卧车收 | 1.944 | 十营 | | 1.946 | | +0.082 | 4.22% | 流通盘 | 12.7亿 | 流通值 | | 25.7亿 | | 最 高 | 2.027 | 成交量 | 174.73万 | 换手率 | | 13.80% | | 最 低 | 1.945 | 成交额 | 3.50亿 | 均 价 | | 2.003 | | IOPV | 2.0269 | 溢折率 | -0.04% | 升贴水率 4.43% | | | | 净值走势 招商中证 ...

Group 1 - The electronic and semiconductor industry is currently experiencing an AI-driven storage supercycle, driven by massive demand for storage from AI servers and a supply-demand gap due to leading manufacturers shifting capacity towards high-end products [1] - Demand for HBM, a core component for AI servers, is experiencing explosive growth, with Micron Technology's HBM supply for 2026 already sold out [1] - This cycle differs from previous ones as AI applications are shifting from training to inference and edge computing, leading to rapid growth in HBM and high-performance DDR5, while traditional DDR4 capacity is being reduced [1] Group 2 - AI demand is expected to exceed expectations in Q3 2025, exacerbated by production cuts and upgrades from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, intensifying supply constraints [1] - Storage chip prices are continuously rising, benefiting module segments from inventory appreciation and downstream replenishment demand, with short-term elasticity being prominent [1] - The automotive-grade storage sector is benefiting from the smartization of new energy vehicles, leading to rapid demand growth [1] Group 3 - The Guotai ETF (589100) tracks the Sci-Tech Chip Index (000685), which has a daily price fluctuation limit of 20%, selecting large-cap securities from the semiconductor industry chain, focusing on high-purity domestic alternatives and AI chips [2] - The index reflects the overall performance of chip-related listed companies in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board that possess high technical barriers [2]