Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company shows an upward trend in single-store performance and is advancing mergers and acquisitions to release production capacity [5][6] - The company reported a total revenue of 835 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a 9% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 132 million yuan, up 18% year-on-year [4] - The gross margin improved by 2 percentage points to 28.23% in Q2 2025, driven by cost optimization and scale effects [5] - The company has successfully integrated the supply chain for the "Manxiangren" brand and is deepening market penetration in East China [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, total revenue reached 465 million yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising by 31% to 94 million yuan [4][5] - The company’s EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.21, 1.32, and 1.42 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 17, and 16 times [9] Business Development - The company’s food revenue in Q2 2025 was 421 million yuan, with significant growth in customized filling products [6] - The franchise sales revenue reached 348 million yuan in Q2 2025, marking a 10% increase year-on-year, with a total of 5,685 franchise stores by the end of Q2 2025 [6] Market Strategy - The company is enhancing cooperation with major clients, achieving a 26% increase in group meal revenue to 106 million yuan in Q2 2025 [7] - Retail sales through channels like Hema and Tmall saw substantial growth, with increases of approximately 187% and 20% respectively in H1 2025 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][14]. Core Views - The company's total revenue for 1H25 reached 7.88 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.5%, exceeding the consensus estimate of 7.80 billion RMB [1][2]. - Non-IFRS net profit for 1H25 was 410 million RMB, also above the consensus estimate of 360 million RMB, with a corresponding non-IFRS net profit margin of 5.2%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth momentum into 2H25, with guidance indicating stable gross margins [1]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue from automotive products and services increased by 10.8% to 7.36 billion RMB, slightly above the consensus estimate of 7.28 billion RMB [2]. - The gross margin for the automotive service segment was 22.8%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to external trade demand fluctuations and industry supply pressures [2]. User and Store Metrics - The number of transaction users reached 26.5 million, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, with registered users totaling 150 million, up 18.8% [3]. - The company has expanded its store count to 7,205, with a net addition of 894 stores year-on-year, achieving a 70% coverage rate in county-level cities with over 20,000 vehicles [3]. Operational Efficiency - The adjusted operating expense ratio improved slightly by 10 basis points to 22.4% in 1H25, despite increased investments in AI and other areas [4]. - The company has established a comprehensive logistics network, enhancing delivery efficiency with a same-day/next-day delivery rate of 83%, up 6 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains the 2025 non-IFRS net profit forecast at 760 million RMB, while slightly lowering the 2026 and 2027 forecasts by 11.1% and 7.8% respectively [5][12]. - The target price is set at 25.13 HKD, reflecting a 25x target non-IFRS PE, which is a premium compared to the comparable companies' average of 23.6x [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.87 CNY, based on a PE valuation of 13X for comparable companies [3][5]. Core Views - The company's performance has shown significant improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with a gradual recovery in profitability expected. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 313 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 29.14%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 92.63% in Q2 2025 [9]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in demand for its cold-rolled stainless steel products, with production and sales volumes increasing by 11.68% and 13.74% respectively in Q2 2025. This has led to an increase in capacity utilization and a rise in gross margin to 5.90% [9]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with new projects underway that are expected to enhance profit margins as downstream demand gradually recovers. The company’s projects, such as the 1.2 million tons per year high-quality wide stainless steel strip project, are beginning to ramp up production [9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 39.874 billion CNY in 2023 to 50.900 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 453 million CNY in 2023 to 948 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery in profitability [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 1.99 CNY, 2.25 CNY, and 2.59 CNY respectively, down from previous estimates [3][4].

蔚来-SW(09866)涨超9%，截至发稿，涨9.66%，报45.16港元，成交额1.19亿港元。 消息面上，8月21日晚，蔚来全新ES8产品技术发布会在成都举行。蔚来董事长李斌现场公布新款ES8预 售价，整车购买预售价41.68万元起，电池租用方式购买预售价30.88万元起。全新ES8将于2025年9月下 旬上市交付。 申万宏源近期指出，蔚来新品牌乐道推出的L90车型，凭借26.58万元(BaaS方案下为17.98万元)的起售价 获得了积极的市场反应。该行认为乐道品牌对于蔚来平衡销量与盈利具有重要的战略意义，有望改变主 品牌此前高定价下难以实现持续高销量的局面。随着乐道与萤火虫两大新品牌旗下车型销量的逐步爬 升，预计蔚来的整体盈利模型将因规模效应得到显著改善。 ...

申万宏源近期指出，蔚来新品牌乐道推出的L90车型，凭借26.58万元（BaaS方案下为17.98万元）的起 售价获得了积极的市场反应。该行认为乐道品牌对于蔚来平衡销量与盈利具有重要的战略意义，有望改 变主品牌此前高定价下难以实现持续高销量的局面。随着乐道与萤火虫两大新品牌旗下车型销量的逐步 爬升，预计蔚来的整体盈利模型将因规模效应得到显著改善。 智通财经APP获悉，蔚来-SW(09866)涨超9%，截至发稿，涨9.66%，报45.16港元，成交额1.19亿港元。 消息面上，8月21日晚，蔚来全新ES8产品技术发布会在成都举行。蔚来董事长李斌现场公布新款ES8预 售价，整车购买预售价41.68万元起，电池租用方式购买预售价30.88万元起。全新ES8将于2025年9月下 旬上市交付。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong sales growth and profitability in Q2 2025, exceeding expectations, with significant year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases in revenue and vehicle sales [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.23 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 165.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.0% [1]. - The company reported a gross margin of 13.6%, which is an increase of 10.9 percentage points year-on-year, although it decreased by 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 160 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses, with a profit margin of 1.1%, up 23.5 percentage points year-on-year and 2.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. Group 2: Sales and Market Strategy - The company sold 134,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 151.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.2% [1]. - The average revenue per vehicle was 106,000 yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 6,000 yuan but a decrease of 8,000 yuan quarter-on-quarter due to the contribution of the B10 model [1]. - The company plans to launch 2-3 new products globally each year over the next three years, with the B10 and B01 already launched in 2025 [2]. Group 3: Operational Expansion - The company has established a "1+N" channel development model, with 806 sales outlets as of June 30, 2025, including 315 core stores and 491 experience centers across 286 cities [2]. - The company exported 25,000 vehicles from January to July 2025 and has over 600 sales and service points in more than 24 international markets [2]. - A partnership with Stellantis aims to leverage its global resources for efficient overseas expansion, enhancing the company's competitive edge in international markets [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by effective management strategies and expansion of service offerings [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 450 million, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, while total revenue including the management center was 523 million, up 35% [1] - Adjusted net profit was 38.78 million, reflecting a 126.1% year-on-year increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 327 million, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - The company exceeded its previous profit forecast, with net profit not less than 320 million and adjusted net profit not less than 38 million [1] Business Expansion - The company accelerated its expansion, adding 36 new stores in the first half of 2025, surpassing the total number of new stores opened in 2024 [1][2] - The number of maternity centers reached 113 by the end of the first half of 2025, with significant contributions from various brands [2] Service Offerings and Growth - The company is developing a comprehensive service matrix, with new business segments such as postpartum recovery, home care, and food services showing positive growth trends [1][2] - The conversion rate for secondary sales reached a record high of 93.8%, indicating strong customer retention and cross-selling potential [2] Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for the maternity center business improved to 35.5%, up 3.5 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from increased management output [2] - Marketing expenses decreased to 12.0% of revenue, and management expenses fell to 22.1%, contributing to an overall gross margin of 37.6% [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to launch the industry's first AI Agent product in the second half of 2025, which is expected to enhance profitability [3] - Long-term growth is anticipated through overseas expansion, mergers and acquisitions, and technological advancements [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting adjusted net profits of 121 million, 205 million, and 306 million for 2025 to 2027, respectively [3] - The target price is set at 9.76 HKD, with a "buy" rating based on the company's growth potential and market position [3]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in total revenue and adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 227.2 billion yuan, up 38.2% year-on-year, and adjusted net profit at 21.5 billion yuan, up 69.8% [1] Automotive Sector - The automotive segment experienced accelerated growth, with revenue from smart electric and innovative businesses reaching 21.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 234% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%, driven by continuous delivery growth and an increase in average selling price (ASP) [2] - The company delivered 81,000 vehicles in Q2, marking a year-on-year increase of 198% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7%, with an ASP of 254,000 yuan, up 11% year-on-year, primarily due to the increased delivery of the high-priced SU7 Ultra [2] - The automotive business gross margin improved to 26.4%, up 11 percentage points year-on-year and 3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from robust orders and capacity ramp-up [2] - The company anticipates that the launch of the YU7 model in June will further enhance quarterly deliveries and potentially lead to profitability within the year [2] Smartphone Sector - In Q2 2025, the smartphone business generated revenue of 45.5 billion yuan with a shipment volume of 42.4 million units, achieving year-on-year growth for eight consecutive quarters and maintaining a top-three position globally for five years [2] - The company achieved significant market share in the high-end segment, with a 24.7% market share in the 4,000-5,000 yuan price range, ranking first, and a 15.4% market share in the 5,000-6,000 yuan range, an increase of 6.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The successful launch and mass production of the self-developed 3nm flagship SoC, the Xuanjie O1, provide the company with a long-term competitive advantage [2] IoT Sector - The IoT and lifestyle consumer products segment achieved record revenue of 38.7 billion yuan in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a gross margin of 22.5%, up 3 percentage points [3] - The smart home appliance category showed strong performance, with revenue growth of 66% year-on-year, air conditioner shipments exceeding 5.4 million units (up over 60% year-on-year), refrigerator shipments exceeding 790,000 units (up over 25% year-on-year), and washing machine shipments exceeding 600,000 units (up over 45% year-on-year) [3] - The company launched the Xiaomi AI glasses in June, featuring a 12-megapixel ultra-transparent optical lens, which is expected to further expand the IoT business space [3] Financial Forecast - The company projects revenues of 474.4 billion yuan, 588.7 billion yuan, and 696.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 24%, and 18% respectively; net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 43.7 billion yuan, 56.7 billion yuan, and 71.4 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 85%, 30%, and 26% [3]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 民生证券8月21日发布研报称，给予盐津铺子（002847.SZ，最新价：72.33元）推荐评级。评级理由主 要包括：1）魔芋品类实现全渠道全球布局，海外市场实现突破性增长；2）毛利率受原料成本影响有所 扰动，2025Q2控费效果显著。风险提示：新品推广不及预期；渠道拓展不及预期；原材料价格上涨； 行业竞争加剧；食品安全风险。 ...

Core Insights - Leap Motor has emerged as a leading player in the new energy vehicle sector, achieving significant growth in revenue and profitability during a traditionally slow sales season [2][3][5] - The company reported a remarkable increase in sales volume, reaching 221,700 units in the first half of the year, and aims to sell between 580,000 to 600,000 units by year-end [3][10] - Leap Motor's strategy focuses on cost control and self-research, allowing it to offer competitive pricing and advanced features, which has resonated well with consumers [7][8][19] Financial Performance - Leap Motor's revenue surged to 15.4 billion yuan, with a gross margin increase from 1.1% to 14.1% year-on-year, marking a significant turnaround to profitability [7][8] - The company achieved its first half-year net profit, becoming the second new force in the industry to do so after Li Auto [2][3] Market Strategy - The company plans to challenge the sales limit of 750,000 units per month and aims for a target of 1 million units by next year, which is considered a survival threshold [4][10][14] - Leap Motor is expanding its product lineup, with new models in the B series and plans for the A and D series to cover a broader price range [15][16] Competitive Landscape - The current market environment is characterized by aggressive pricing strategies, and Leap Motor is capitalizing on this by penetrating the 150,000 yuan segment effectively [7][19] - The company is also expanding its presence in overseas markets, with plans for local assembly in Malaysia and partnerships to enhance its global footprint [18][19] Future Outlook - Leap Motor's management is optimistic about continued growth, with expectations of significant sales increases in the upcoming months [9][10] - The company is positioning itself to become a top-tier player in the global automotive industry, with ambitious long-term sales targets [11][13][19]