W ww 图/ic 近期，"一天一价"的黄金成为当之无愧的市场焦点。在10月7日COMEX黄金期货突破4000美元/盎司的历史大关后，10月15日，金价再度突破4200美元/盎司 大关。 屡创新高的国际金价年内涨幅已超50%，赚钱效应吸引了一波投资者参与黄金投资。Wind数据显示，截至10月15日收盘，年内多只黄金ETF或黄金股ETF均 实现了资金净流入，其中，华安黄金ETF、国泰黄金ETF、博时黄金ETF今年以来资金净流入均超百亿元。 后续，金价将如何演绎？投资者又该如何更好参与黄金市场，丰富资产配置工具？针对相关热点问题，贝壳财经记者采访了中国（香港）金融衍生品投资研 究院院长王红英、工银瑞信黄金ETF基金经理赵栩、苏商银行特约研究员武泽伟、菜百股份高级黄金投资分析师李洋。 "中长期黄金价格仍将维持稳健上涨趋势" 一方面，全球主要央行延续宽松政策，实际利率下行预期仍存；另一方面，地缘冲突与债务风险等不确定性持续发酵，避险需求对金价形成了托底。 不过，投资者也要警惕若美国经济数据超预期或通胀再度回升，可能延缓降息进程，从而抑制金价上行空间的风险。 整体而言，金价中枢仍有望维持高位运行，但波动性或将显著放大。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global market remains resilient despite recent fluctuations, with structural differentiation evident, particularly in the performance of gold and U.S. stocks, while bonds face slight pressure [1]. Market Overview - In September, the global market continued its strong performance, with most indices rising, except for the dividend sector, Germany, and Vietnam, which saw slight declines. Gold was the standout performer, surging approximately 11% for the month, while Chinese bonds fell about 0.6% [2]. Investment Strategies - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio achieved a monthly return of 4.41% in September, with a cumulative return of 15.98% year-to-date. Despite a minor decline of 0.17% during a recent market adjustment, the portfolio maintains a strong upward trend. Over the past three years, it has consistently delivered positive returns, averaging over 10% annually, ranking in the top 9% among similar public funds [6]. - The "Lazy Balanced Portfolio" aims to reduce volatility by increasing the proportion of bonds and cash. In September, it recorded a monthly return of 2.84%, with a projected annual return of 5.13% for 2024. Although its returns are slightly lower than the Rui Ding Tou Global Version, it exhibits significantly lower volatility, making it suitable for risk-averse investors [10]. Performance Metrics - The Rui Ding Tou portfolio has a maximum drawdown of -35.21% and an annualized volatility of 18.23%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.77, indicating a balanced risk-return profile [12]. - The Lazy Balanced Portfolio has a maximum drawdown of -27.45% and an annualized volatility of 11.01%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.02, reflecting its stability in turbulent market conditions [14]. Market Sentiment - Recent U.S.-China trade tensions are viewed as a temporary shock rather than a trend reversal, with expectations for supportive measures from the upcoming "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" meeting. The overall market resilience suggests potential for further investment opportunities despite short-term volatility [13][22].

Group 1 - Gold plays a significant role in asset allocation as a diversification and risk-hedging tool, with optimal allocation averaging 18% from 1972 to 2014, particularly yielding an annual return of 16.2% when inflation exceeds 5% [1] - Gold exhibits positive or low negative correlation during downturns in stock, bond, and commodity markets, highlighting its strategic value in the current environment of high global debt, low real interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainty [1] - The Gold ETF (518800) holds physical gold contracts traded on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, directly corresponding to gold stored in the exchange's vaults, making investment in the ETF equivalent to direct investment in physical gold [1] Group 2 - The Gold ETF is required to maintain at least 90% of its assets in physical gold, ensuring a close correlation with domestic gold prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The event "New Era, New Fund, New Value" focuses on high-quality development of public funds in Beijing, emphasizing investor education for the elderly community [1][5]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event is guided by the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau and involves collaboration between Guoshou Anbao Fund Management Co., Ltd. and Guoshou (Tianjin) Pension Investment Co., Ltd. [1] - The "Late Autumn Fund Classroom" was held at the Guoshou Jiayuan Tianjin Leisure Community, targeting elderly residents to enhance their financial literacy [1][3]. Group 2: Educational Content - The educational session covered basic fund concepts, types of common fund products, asset allocation principles, and how to identify and prevent illegal fundraising and financial fraud [3]. - Key investment principles highlighted include the relationship between high returns and high risks, and the importance of matching investments with individual risk tolerance [3]. Group 3: Community Engagement - The event featured interactive Q&A and one-on-one consultation sessions, allowing elderly participants to ask specific questions about pension management and fund investment [3]. - Feedback from participants indicated that the session was relatable, understandable, and practical, enhancing their confidence in financial matters [3]. Group 4: Corporate Responsibility and Strategy - The initiative reflects Guoshou Anbao Fund's commitment to high-quality development, social responsibility, and community service, bridging the gap between professional financial knowledge and the elderly population [5]. - This activity aligns with China Life Group's "333" strategy and aims to provide diverse, inclusive, and accessible financial services, reinforcing the brand promise of "One Guoshou, Lifelong Protection" [5].

Group 1 - The article questions the effectiveness of dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and emphasizes the importance of considering what to do in case of losses rather than just focusing on profit-taking [1][4][6] - It presents a case study showing that a 10-year investment in the SSE 50 index could result in zero returns, highlighting the potential risks of long-term DCA strategies [4][10] - The probability of a 10-year DCA resulting in zero or negative returns is noted to be as high as 17%, based on historical data from the CSI 300 index [10][12] Group 2 - The article argues that DCA does not inherently improve returns and that in a consistently rising market, lump-sum investments typically yield higher average returns than DCA [11][12] - Research indicates that DCA is more suitable for volatile markets like A-shares, while lump-sum investments are preferable in stable markets like U.S. equities [12][18] - The article suggests that many investors fail to adopt a systematic asset allocation strategy, leading to confusion and suboptimal investment decisions [20]

Core Viewpoint - The current dilemma for property owners and potential investors revolves around whether to hold onto real estate or convert assets into bank savings, influenced by fluctuating interest rates and changing market conditions [1][6]. Market Environment - The real estate market has shifted from rapid growth to a more rational phase, with 35 out of 70 major cities in China experiencing a month-on-month decline in new residential property prices as of September 2025 [1][3]. - First-tier cities are stabilizing in property prices, while second and third-tier cities show varying degrees of price decline, particularly in areas with significant population outflow [1][3]. Interest Rates and Savings - Bank deposit rates are rising, with three-year fixed deposit rates around 3.5% and some large-denomination certificates of deposit exceeding 4% [1][3]. - The actual yield on savings, after accounting for an estimated 2.5% inflation rate in 2025, is only about 1% when considering a 3.5% nominal interest rate and a 20% personal income tax on interest income [4]. Cost and Return Analysis - Holding property incurs ongoing costs such as property management fees, maintenance, and potential vacancy risks, with rental yields for ordinary residential properties ranging from 2% to 3.5% [3][5]. - In contrast, a case study showed that a property purchased for 900,000 yuan in a third-tier city depreciated by 5.5% over five years, while the same amount in a bank deposit would have yielded approximately 107,000 yuan, a 19% return [5][6]. Liquidity Considerations - Real estate has a longer liquidation period and higher transaction costs compared to bank savings, which offer greater liquidity and flexibility [5][6]. - Properties in core areas of first-tier cities tend to retain value due to population influx and limited land supply, while properties in declining cities may continue to lose value [5][6]. Strategic Recommendations - For high-quality properties in first-tier cities with stable rental income, holding onto the asset is generally advisable [6]. - Properties in areas with declining populations or inadequate infrastructure may be better sold for more liquid financial assets [6]. - A diversified asset allocation strategy, including stocks, funds, and bonds, is recommended to mitigate risks and enhance returns [6].

Core Insights - The conference held by Bosera Fund focused on global macro changes, the outlook for China's capital markets, and investment opportunities in various industries [2][4] - Experts from various financial institutions provided insights on the current economic landscape and future market expectations [6][8] Economic Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's economy grew by 5.3%, standing out globally amid a complex macro environment and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [4] - Major indices such as the CSI 300, CSI 500, and STAR Market 50 saw significant increases, indicating an active capital market [4] Market Outlook - The fourth quarter of 2025 is viewed as a critical turning point, with Bosera Fund committed to its strategic positioning as a value creator and high-quality development leader [5] - Experts predict that the A-share market will reflect expectations for 2026, with attractive valuations in Chinese manufacturing, which now accounts for 32% of global manufacturing [6][8] Investment Strategies - Bosera Fund's macro strategy report suggests a balanced asset allocation, focusing on technology, consumer sectors, and gold [8][9] - The report highlights that the domestic equity market performed well in Q3, led by sectors like telecommunications, electronics, and power equipment, while financials and real estate lagged [8] Sector Insights - The pharmaceutical sector is transitioning towards being a strategic emerging industry, opening up valuation opportunities [7] - The retail sector is expected to see profitability improvements among leading companies due to industry reforms [7] - The chemical industry is at a cyclical low but is anticipated to experience an upturn in 2026-2027 [7] Conclusion - Experts agree that the capital market is entering a historic opportunity phase amid global order restructuring and China's economic transformation [9] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a long-term perspective and actively participate in this evolving landscape [9]

Core Viewpoint - The newly launched Huaxia Yingtai Stable Six-Month Holding Period Mixed Fund of Funds (FOF) aims to provide a diversified asset allocation tool for investors in a volatile market, addressing challenges such as maintaining returns, capturing market trends, and stabilizing holdings [1][2]. Group 1: Product Features - The fund is designed with a "stable" core positioning, focusing on long-term asset appreciation while strictly controlling risks through professional asset allocation strategies and a comprehensive fund selection system [1][3]. - It employs a dual framework of "diversified asset allocation + risk parity model," extending its asset allocation to various fields including stocks, bonds, and commodities, while dynamically combining strategic and tactical asset allocations to broaden sources of returns [1][3]. - The product features flexible positioning, allowing adjustments to equity asset ratios to enhance defensive attributes during market downturns and capitalize on opportunities when market trends improve [2]. Group 2: Management and Strategy - The proposed fund manager, Li Xiaoyi, has 10 years of experience in the securities industry, focusing on asset allocation research and portfolio management, with a strong theoretical foundation and practical experience [2]. - Huaxia Fund has established an asset allocation department since 2016, managing various types of allocation-based investment operations, including FOFs, and has developed a comprehensive product line covering different FOF types [3]. Group 3: Market Context - The current market environment is characterized by a dual backdrop of "residential assets migrating to financial markets and increased market volatility," positioning FOF products as a core tool for resident asset allocation [3]. - FOF products can effectively reduce overall portfolio risk by allocating to assets with low or even negative correlations, promoting the investment "efficient frontier" towards higher returns and lower risks, thereby creating more stable long-term returns for investors [3].

知名经济学家、中国商业经济学会副会长宋向清 宋向清认为，黄金正在从传统避险资产向准货币资产转型。2025年二季度全球央行净购金166吨，中 国、波兰、土耳其等新兴市场国家占比超70%。世界黄金协会调查显示，95%的央行预计未来12个月将 继续增持。当前黄金ETF持仓量突破3800吨，创三年新高，其中机构投资者占比从2020年的45%提升至 68%。这种资金结构的变化表明，黄金已成为机构资产配置的"标配"，而非单纯的投机工具。 宋向清说，此次金价突破具有结构性破局特征，打破了传统技术分析框架。4130美元/盎司是1980年黄 金大牛市高点(850美元/盎司)经通胀调整后的理论价格，此次突破标志着黄金正式进入超通胀定价周 期。 大象新闻记者 朱力严 10月14日报道，山东烟台。金饰克价突破1200元，男子将2公斤金条出手变现净赚百万。黄金回收商孙 先生称，客户四五年前从银行购入，当时的金价大约390多元一克，"客户此次出手净赚百万，现在自己 每天电话都接不过来了，一天能收100多单"。 记者注意到，金价首次站上4130美元/盎司。2025年10月14日，COMEX黄金期货单日暴涨3.24%，收报 4130美元/盎 ...

Core Viewpoint - The event organized by Dongxing Fund and other institutions aims to promote high-quality development of public funds in Beijing by enhancing financial literacy among students from non-financial universities, thereby preparing them for future careers in finance and wealth management [1][8]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event titled "New Era, New Fund, New Value" was held at Beijing Union University, focusing on the practical needs of students in applied universities [3]. - The initiative is part of the "Beijing Public Fund High-Quality Development Series Activities" guided by the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau [1][8]. Group 2: Educational Focus - The lectures addressed the importance of basic wealth management skills and career planning for students, emphasizing that financial knowledge should not be limited to the finance industry [3][4]. - Topics included economic cycles and pension planning, with a focus on asset allocation strategies during different economic phases [3][4]. Group 3: Practical Applications - The instructors provided insights on how to adjust asset proportions according to economic cycles and the benefits of early personal pension account establishment [4]. - The event aimed to bridge the gap between financial knowledge and practical career development, helping students understand the relevance of financial concepts in various industries [3][6]. Group 4: Career Guidance - The lectures also tackled the common dilemma of career choice among youth, encouraging students to build a long-term career vision based on industry trends and personal interests [6]. - The importance of internships and practical experience in enhancing employability was highlighted, along with the need for students to align their career choices with market demands [6][8]. Group 5: Future Initiatives - Public fund institutions plan to continue educational outreach efforts, expanding their reach to more universities and integrating financial education into the national education system [10]. - The goal is to cultivate a new generation of finance professionals equipped with rational thinking and professional perspectives [10].