主动投资

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超50只基金翻倍!这两大赛道成最大赢家
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-10-09 15:00
2025年前三季度,在市场结构性行情主导下,公募基金业绩呈现出明显分化格局。其中,超50只基金净 值实现翻倍,部分科技和医药主题基金成为最大赢家,而重仓传统金融和周期板块的基金业绩表现则相 对一般。与此同时,市场避险情绪依旧高涨,国际现货金价不断创新高,全市场黄金ETF(交易型开放 式指数基金)业绩和份额实现双增。 数据显示,截至9月30日,全市场主动股票型基金年内平均收益率达34.54%,偏股混合型基金年内平均 收益率达34.13%,被动指数基金平均收益率为27.56%。对比来看,主动权益类基金表现较为出色,充 分体现出在结构性行情中主动投资的优势。与此同时,黄金ETF年内平均收益率更是达到41.04%。 业内人士向《国际金融报》记者表示,市场行情或将继续分化,四季度主线有望继续维持科技和创新药 行情。不过,前期涨幅较高的品种可能有较大波动,投资者可从主线行情中关注"高切低"的方向。 而主动权益类基金的高光表现离不开个别赛道的爆发,比如人工智能、算力、人形机器人等大科技赛 道,以及创新药等赛道。前三季度业绩领跑全市场的是永赢科技智选A,区间收益率达到194.49%,排 在第二的汇添富香港优势精选A同期收益率 ...
研究框架培训:主动投资的中美对比、基准选择、未来展望
2025-09-26 02:28
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the **Chinese active investment fund industry** and its comparison with the **U.S. active investment fund industry**. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Alpha Generation in China**: Chinese active fund managers demonstrate stronger alpha generation capabilities over the long term, especially in volatile market conditions, achieving significant excess returns. This year, the median return of many public sector active funds exceeded 30 percentage points [1][5][11]. 2. **Market Opportunities**: The Chinese market offers more opportunities for excess returns compared to the U.S. market, attributed to differences in index composition and the emergence of new industries such as robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals, new energy, and AI during China's economic transition [1][4][9]. 3. **Benchmark Selection**: Under the new regulatory framework, it is essential to choose a representative broad-based index that aligns with the investment style, and to regularly compare performance against this benchmark to ensure transparency and accuracy [1][6][18]. 4. **Performance of Chinese Active Funds**: Chinese active public funds have performed exceptionally well this year, with stock-type public funds rising over 20% since the peak on October 8 of the previous year. The proportion of equity public funds outperforming the CSI 300 index reached 70%, a historical high [1][13][14]. 5. **Comparison with U.S. Active Funds**: U.S. active funds are increasingly moving towards passive strategies due to the difficulty of beating indices, with only 27% of active funds outperforming the S&P 500. In contrast, over 90% of Chinese products have historically outperformed their passive counterparts [2][4][18]. 6. **Investment Environment**: Active investment thrives in volatile market environments, where selective stock picking and industry allocation can yield significant excess returns. The outlook for Chinese active investment remains positive as skilled fund managers are expected to continue outperforming market benchmarks [5][17]. 7. **Sector Performance**: Key sectors that have shown strong performance this year include electronics, new energy, communications, and pharmaceuticals, indicating a recovery in the active investment landscape [15][14]. 8. **Investment Strategy Recommendations**: Different investment styles should adopt specific strategies: - **Balanced**: Prefer broad-based indices like CSI 300 or A500. - **Growth**: Opt for growth-oriented indices such as CSI 300 Growth. - **Value and Dividend**: Choose broad-based indices rather than specialized value indices. - **Industry-Specific**: Match benchmarks to specific sectors of interest [29]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Impact of Economic Cycles**: The past few years saw a "barbell" investment strategy due to macroeconomic downturns, but the current environment is different, with many industries entering a harvest phase, leading to clearer investment signals [16]. 2. **Benchmark Performance**: The performance of benchmarks like the CSI 300 has been relatively weak compared to the S&P 500, but Chinese fund managers have shown a greater ability to generate alpha over the long term [8][20]. 3. **Investor Behavior**: The shift towards passive investment in the U.S. is influenced by historical financial crises that made investors wary of high volatility risks, leading to a preference for more stable investment strategies [2][10].
When Market Vol Turns Things Upside Down, Trust Active Investing
Etftrends· 2025-09-19 17:06
The Fed's big rate cut has arrived, boosting market performance and brightening outlooks. With potentially even more cuts coming down the line, too, investors have reason for optimism. ...
【有本好书送给你】市场波动时,更要记住“投资者十诫”
重阳投资· 2025-09-18 07:33
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of reading and continuous learning as a pathway to personal and financial growth, encouraging readers to engage with literature that enhances their investment knowledge and decision-making skills [2][3][6]. Summary by Sections Book Recommendation - The featured book is "Winning the Loser's Game, 8th Edition" by Charles D. Ellis, which is described as a trusted guide for long-term investors, highlighting strategies to achieve success with lower costs and risks [8][25][26]. Investment Strategies - The book discusses the significance of starting with savings as a prerequisite for investment, emphasizing that without savings, investment is not possible [12]. - It outlines the necessity of setting clear savings goals and creating a savings plan to achieve those goals, which can range from saving for a bicycle to a house [13]. - The text advocates for minimizing investment costs by opting for index funds, which help avoid high management fees and other costs associated with active fund management [14]. Maintaining Rationality - A key challenge for investors is to understand themselves and maintain rational thinking to control emotions during market fluctuations [15]. - The article presents a thought experiment to illustrate that investors should prefer buying stocks when prices are low, as this aligns with their long-term interests [17][18]. - It stresses that market downturns can present opportunities for buying more shares at lower prices, ultimately benefiting long-term returns [19][20]. Investment Ten Commandments - The article summarizes ten commandments for personal investors, including the importance of saving, avoiding speculative trading, and being cautious of financial advisors who may prioritize their commissions over clients' interests [21][22][23]. - It advises against viewing a home as an investment and cautions against the risks associated with commodity futures trading [21][22]. - The commandments emphasize the need for written long-term investment goals and the importance of sticking to a disciplined investment strategy [23]. Conclusion - The article concludes that while markets and companies may change, the core principles of successful investing remain constant, encouraging readers to adopt a long-term perspective and focus on index fund investments for better performance [24].
长跑型投资老将的胜利:“时间的玫瑰”开在公募基金里
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-04 04:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the transition of the public fund industry from a "star model" to a "platform model," focusing on building a "platform-based, integrated, multi-strategy" investment research system [1] - Experienced fund managers with over ten years of management experience are showcasing unique value during this transition, as they have navigated multiple market cycles [1][2] - As of August 31, 2025, there are fewer than 100 fund managers in the public fund industry who have continuously managed the same active equity fund for over ten years, representing only about 5% of equity and mixed product fund managers [1][2] Group 2 - Fund managers with over 14 years of experience have demonstrated impressive performance, with annualized returns exceeding 10% for their representative funds [2] - Notable fund managers include Du Meng from Morgan Asset Management, with an annualized return of 15.7%, and others like Zhu Shaoxing and Li Wei, with returns of 15.4% and 14.8%, respectively [2] - The annualized return of the Shanghai Composite Index over the past 14 years is only 2%, indicating that experienced fund managers can generate substantial performance through long-term investment [2] Group 3 - Active investment has seen a significant performance rebound, with 30% of active stock and mixed funds achieving returns over 50% in the past year [3] - Fund managers with over ten years of experience have shown more stable performance, with Du Meng's managed funds yielding returns between 83% and 96% in the past year [3] Group 4 - Historical data indicates that longer holding periods lead to better investor returns, with a 93.2% positive return rate for holding equity funds for five years [4] Group 5 - The article highlights the importance of a supportive platform and culture for fund managers, with companies that have a deep understanding of equity investment fostering long-term management [8] - Morgan Asset Management has maintained a "long-distance" investment culture, with 80% of its global long-term funds outperforming the industry median over the past decade [8][9] Group 6 - The article concludes that the public fund industry is likely to see more fund managers who adhere to long-termism and leverage team intelligence and systematic methods, which is essential for high-quality development in the industry [9]
解密中欧「工业化」:打造公募基金的超级工厂
远川研究所· 2025-08-26 13:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of the public fund industry towards an industrialized model, drawing parallels with the automotive industry's production efficiency, particularly highlighting the practices of Zhongou Fund in creating a systematic and standardized investment research process [6][7][12]. Group 1: Industrialization in Fund Management - Zhongou Fund is adopting an industrialized approach to enhance production efficiency and product quality, similar to the production lines in modern automotive factories [7][9]. - The industrialization process emphasizes the importance of standardized procedures and methodologies, aiming to convert individual successes into replicable systems [7][9][10]. - The fund's investment research team operates under a decentralized model, allowing for collaborative input and reducing the dependency on individual fund managers [10][11]. Group 2: Team Dynamics and Knowledge Sharing - The departure of individual team members has a more significant impact in an industrialized system, as each researcher's contribution is interconnected and critical to overall performance [8][9]. - Zhongou Fund encourages specialization and professional development among its researchers, aiming for each to produce valuable insights regularly [9][10]. - The fund's investment process is structured into distinct phases, including design, production, assembly, and testing, to ensure a systematic approach to fund management [16]. Group 3: MARS Factory and Multi-Asset Solutions - The MARS factory concept is introduced as a framework for multi-asset investment strategies, focusing on predictable returns and reproducible processes [12][16]. - The team behind MARS includes diverse talents from various financial backgrounds, enhancing the fund's ability to innovate and respond to market demands [13][14]. - The MARS factory aims to address common investment challenges, such as style drift and excessive volatility, by implementing a structured investment process [16][18]. Group 4: Insights and Market Adaptation - The article highlights the importance of sharing insights among fund managers to enhance collective performance and capitalize on market opportunities [18][19]. - Zhongou Fund's approach includes utilizing AI tools to analyze market data and improve investment strategies, reflecting a commitment to integrating technology into the investment process [20]. - The fund's focus on active management over passive strategies is emphasized, with a clear strategy to excel in active investment while navigating the complexities of the market [22][23].
沪指创2021年2月来新高 绩优主动权益基金超越大盘76%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 08:54
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index surpassed its previous bull market peak from February 18, 2021, reaching a nearly ten-year high, indicating strong market bullish sentiment [1] - Other major indices, such as the CSI 300, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index, remain 10%-30% below their peaks from 2021, with distances of 29%, 28%, and 27% respectively [1] Fund Performance - A total of 577 actively managed equity funds achieved over 10% returns from February 18, 2021, to August 18, 2023, showcasing the value of active management [1] - Among these, 11 funds from GF Fund Management exceeded 10% returns, with four funds achieving returns over 30%: GF Multi-Factor (78.13%), GF Small and Medium Cap Selection A (38.43%), GF Technology Innovation A (35.90%), and GF Electronic Information Media Industry Selection A (35.61%) [1] GF Multi-Factor Fund - The GF Multi-Factor fund has consistently outperformed major indices since 2018, with a cumulative return of 352.19% and an annualized return of 21.85% as of August 18, 2023 [2] - The fund's investment strategy features diversified industry exposure and balanced styles, investing in cyclical sectors, undervalued growth sectors, and growth assets like new energy and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] Other Funds Managed by Yang Dong - Yang Dong also manages three other actively managed funds: GF Value Navigator, GF Ruiyu, and GF Balanced Growth, with recent one-year returns of 102.51%, 83.19%, and 50.29% respectively [3] - The funds exhibit different investment styles, with GF Multi-Factor focusing on diversified industry exposure, while GF Value Navigator and GF Ruiyu target high-growth value sectors [3] Investment Outlook - As the A-share market continues to reach new highs, specialized and diversified active investments are expected to outperform indices, providing excess returns for investors [3] - Balanced style products are particularly advantageous in a volatile upward market, offering a smoother investment experience for investors [3]
百年保险资管董事长杨峻:被动投资大发展重塑资管价值创造逻辑
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-18 10:58
Core Viewpoint - The rise of passive investment is reshaping the asset management industry, leading to three profound impacts: the toolization of Beta, the specialization of Alpha, and the intensification of the Matthew effect [1][5]. Group 1: Growth of Passive Investment - Passive funds are experiencing rapid growth across global markets, including the US, Europe, Japan, and China, with ETFs leading this trend [3]. - In China, the management fee for broad-based index ETFs has dropped to 15 basis points (bps), while thematic ETFs range from 20 to 60 bps, compared to 120 bps for active equity funds, highlighting a significant cost advantage for passive products [3][4]. - The new "National Nine Articles" policy supports the establishment of a fast-track approval process for ETFs, enhancing the efficiency of fund registration [3]. - Passive investment aligns with investor preferences, as it has a lower cognitive barrier and clearer investment themes, with pension finance being a significant driver of growth [3]. Group 2: Performance and Market Dynamics - Although there is some debate regarding performance, the difficulty for active equity funds to consistently outperform passive funds is increasing. In the US, only 21% of active funds outperformed passive funds over the past decade, while in China, 58% of active equity funds outperformed their passive counterparts in 2023, a decrease of 5 percentage points from 2022 [4]. - Passive investment products have become essential tools for both institutional and individual investors, meeting demands for transparency, low volatility, and cost efficiency [5]. Group 3: Alpha Specialization and Active ETFs - The challenge for active fund managers is significant, as deep Alpha extraction requires focusing on areas with low pricing efficiency and opaque information. Despite the overall trend, certain sectors like real estate and bonds still show potential for excess returns [6]. - Active ETFs may emerge as a key solution to balance low costs, high liquidity, and excess returns, combining active management capabilities with the transparency and liquidity of ETFs [7]. Group 4: Matthew Effect and Market Concentration - The Matthew effect is intensifying in the asset management industry, with the profitability of global asset management declining from 14.4 bps in 2021 to 11.6 bps in 2023, particularly in North America and the Asia-Pacific regions [8]. - In the passive equity fund sector, the top ten institutions are projected to hold 66% of the market share by 2024, with the top ten ETF providers accounting for 80% of the ETF market, compared to only 46% in the active equity fund space [8].
指数基金成了 “香饽饽”,主动管理难道要 “凉了”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 12:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant shift in the investment landscape, where passive index funds, particularly ETFs, have gained prominence over active equity funds since 2021, reflecting a growing preference for beta returns over alpha returns [2][3][19] - The rise of passive index investing is attributed to its ability to provide market-average returns with lower fees and reduced volatility, making it more appealing to individual investors [10][19] - Data shows that from 2022 to 2024, active equity funds faced challenges such as net value drawdowns and shrinking scales, while passive index funds experienced substantial growth, especially during market rallies [3][19] Group 2 - The performance comparison of different types of equity funds over the past five years indicates that passive index funds have lower average maximum drawdowns and positive returns across various time frames, demonstrating their risk-return advantage [7][19] - The top-performing index funds in recent years have shown remarkable returns, with some achieving over 100% growth in one year, underscoring the effectiveness of passive investment strategies [9][16] - Active management remains relevant, as some actively managed funds have outperformed their benchmarks, particularly in volatile market conditions, suggesting that both passive and active strategies can complement each other in a diversified investment approach [15][18]
牛市主升浪来临?谁在追“牛”?十大券商策略来了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 00:19
Market Overview - The A-share market saw a broad increase last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3600 points, reaching a new high for the year; the Shanghai Composite, Shenzhen Component, and ChiNext Index rose by 2.11%, 1.25%, and 0.49% respectively [1] - Key sectors leading the gains included defense and military, non-ferrous metals, and machinery equipment, while pharmaceuticals, computers, retail, and social services experienced declines [1] Upcoming Economic Data - Focus this week includes the release of key economic data such as the US July CPI and PPI, speeches from several Federal Reserve officials, a meeting between US and Russian leaders on August 15, and China's July social financing, retail sales, and industrial output data [1] Investment Strategies - Citic Strategy emphasizes the need for caution in high-valuation sectors, suggesting a focus on five strong industry trends (non-ferrous, communication, innovative pharmaceuticals, gaming, and military) while avoiding speculative trading [3] - Shenwan Hongyuan Strategy notes that while investor expectations for a bull market remain high, short-term market resistance includes economic slowdown expectations and the need for a clear bull market narrative [3] - Tianfeng Strategy highlights the strong performance of A-shares and the inflow of funds, indicating a potential overheating in market sentiment [4] - Xinda Strategy predicts a bull market phase driven by policy and capital, with expectations of increased retail investment in the stock market [5] - Huaxi Strategy points to diverse sources of incremental capital entering the market, including institutional and retail investors, and anticipates a continued upward trend in A-shares [6] - Xingzheng Strategy discusses the return of active investment in China, with a notable increase in the proportion of actively managed funds outperforming benchmarks [8] - Guotai Junan Strategy suggests that the current bull market is in a mid-stage, with potential for sector rotation and continued upward movement despite short-term resistance [9] - Guosheng Strategy indicates a wait-and-see approach, anticipating a breakthrough in market performance as supply and demand dynamics evolve [10] - Zhongtai Strategy asserts that current market adjustments are due to structural shifts rather than a peak in the market cycle, maintaining a focus on technology and dividend-paying sectors [11]