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科技制造仍是市场主线?| 财经头条
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 09:29
Group 1 - Northbound capital has increased its holdings in A-shares for three consecutive quarters, with a significant flow into technology manufacturing, particularly in hardware equipment and semiconductors [1] - The current focus among institutions is whether there will be a style shift in the market, debating between dividends and technology as the main market theme [1] - According to Wei Jixing, Chief Strategist at Kaiyuan Securities, the market does not yet have the conditions for a comprehensive style switch, indicating that technology stocks will outperform in the medium to long term [1] Group 2 - The MACD golden cross signal has formed, indicating a positive trend for certain stocks [2]
方向之变 方法之变 思维之变 科技投资“山高” 公募基金“水更长”
"目前A股科技板块市值占比超过1/4。"中国证监会主席吴清日前表示。 科技板块已经成为A股市场举足轻重的组成部分。作为机构投资者的代表,公募基金在科技投资,尤其 是在人工智能(AI)、人形机器人、创新药等科技创新投资的大潮中,可谓当仁不让。 中国证券报记者调研采访多家公募基金公司后发现,科技投资对于公募基金而言,是方向之变、方法之 变,更是思维之变。对照此前研究和投资,科技板块显然是崭新的方向,需要一套为成长估值、为创新 定价的体系,背后更是研究和投资在思维层面的"链式反应":科技投资不再是简单的"线性思维",而是 复杂、复合的"系统思维"。这一思维模式,在研究、定价、投资、风控等领域,正在全面塑造行业发展 的新范式。 投资新陈代谢 "资本市场服务科技创新跑出'加速度',资本市场含'科'量进一步提升。近年来,新上市企业中九成以上 都是科技企业或者科技含量比较高的企业。目前A股科技板块市值占比超过1/4,已明显高于银行、非银 金融、房地产行业市值合计占比。市值前50名公司中科技企业从'十三五'末的18家提升至当前的24 家。"吴清点出了A股市场的新变化。 "许多年后,当我们回忆起往事时,可能会发现资本市场的改变 ...
申万宏源研究晨会报告-20250903
Core Insights - The report highlights the profitability pressure faced by the North Exchange in Q2 2025, primarily due to overseas disturbances and high fixed asset growth, with a forecasted turning point in the second half of the year [3][8]. - The technology manufacturing sector is leading the growth, driven by a combination of cyclical recovery and AI industry trends, while consumer sectors show a mixed performance [3][8]. - The report suggests three strategies to identify high-growth opportunities: selecting companies with sustained revenue growth, those with upward revisions in profit forecasts, and those with high contract liabilities and advance payments [3][8]. Summary by Sections Profitability Analysis - As of Q2 2025, the North Exchange reported a revenue growth rate of +4.9% and a net profit growth rate of -16.6%, indicating significant profitability challenges [8]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to a sharp drop in export growth to the U.S., with over 50% of companies experiencing negative net profit growth [8]. - Fixed asset growth reached a historical high of +30.2%, contributing to the pressure on profitability, with a gross margin of 22.4% [8]. Industry Structure - The technology manufacturing sector is experiencing high growth, with key industries such as computing, telecommunications, and electrical equipment showing positive trends [8]. - The report notes a structural recovery in midstream manufacturing, particularly in traditional robotics and engineering machinery, alongside emerging industries [8]. - Consumer sectors are experiencing a mixed recovery, with agriculture and forestry showing potential for improvement [8]. Investment Strategies - The report recommends identifying companies with consistent upward trends in revenue and net profit growth over the past four quarters, highlighting specific companies like Kaiter and Fujida [3][8]. - It also suggests focusing on companies with upward revisions in profit forecasts, such as Shuguang Shuchuang and Naconoer, which have seen significant increases in expected net profit growth [3][8]. - Companies with high contract liabilities and advance payments, like Kangnong Agriculture and Kun工科技, are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3][8].